Hebara Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, gang, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next 16 days at Hebara. The charts are pumping out some serious numbers, but it’s a case of too much of a good thing, or just not the right conditions. We’re looking at a real battle between huge swell and messy wind.

The water temperature is 82°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year at Hebara (beach and reef). That’s a nice little bonus.

The first few days are a total loss. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, the combined energy is massive – 3206 and then 7077 – but it’s all from a long-period SE groundswell, and the wind is a fresh cross or cross-off from the NE. The swell is running 6ft to 12ft, but the call is “marginal surf” or “too big for this break.” The wave quality is just not there. The peak energy hits on Wednesday the 5th morning, with a combined energy of 8286 and a 13ft swell from the SE. Again, it’s just too much juice for the setup, and the wind is a fresh cross-off. It’s a lot of raw power with no finesse.

Thursday the 6th, the swell drops to 10ft, but the wind swings onshore from the ESE, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. The wave state is “gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy.” Not a pretty picture. That onshore, choppy mess continues right through the weekend. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are a complete washout with “poor surf conditions” and a combined energy that’s still high but messy. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it a bumpy, ugly affair.

Now, there’s a brief window of hope on Monday the 10th. The wind drops to a cross-off from the NNE, and the swell is solid at 12ft with a 12-second period. The combined energy is 4243. But, for the second time, the call is “wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” For a beginner, this is a no-go. For a seasoned expert? Maybe, if you know Hebara inside out, but it’s right on that edge.

The stand-out, the one that makes me sit up a little, is actually a couple of weeks out. Look at the 16th of August, a Sunday. The morning shows a 13ft swell from the ESE, with a 12-second period, and a combined energy of 8887. That’s a serious amount of power. But more importantly, the winds are a moderate cross-shore from the NE. The same goes for Monday the 17th – a 16ft ESE swell with a 13-second period, and a combined energy of 12497. These are massive, long-period groundswells. The catch? The guidance says “wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” And it’s two weeks out, so it’s a long-range call. But if you’re a legit expert, and you’re willing to wait, that Monday the 17th is a monster. The energy is immense (12497), and the wind is a moderate cross-off again. It’s the only true standout in the whole 16-day window, but it comes with a massive caveat about size.

To be honest, most of this period is either too small to be exciting, or too big and wind-affected to be truly clean. The middle of the month, from the 12th through the 15th, sees a drop in swell to 5ft to 8ft, but the winds are cross or cross-on, and the wave quality is “marginal.” It’s a frustrating stretch.

So, for the average surfer, there’s not a lot to get excited about. The best bet is to sit tight and watch the charts for the 17th. If that holds, and you’ve got the skills, that’s the day. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game. The surf at Hebara is either going to beat you up or leave you flat. That’s just the way it is.

Rusty.

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