
Surf Forecasts:
4 Mile surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NW swell with 585 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for 4 Mile this week:
The surf forecast for 4 Mile over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at 4 Mile in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for 4 Mile over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. Right now, our only real option on the table is 4 Mile, and honestly, it’s a tough stretch. The next 16 days start with a bit of a dry spell – there’s no surf worth paddling out for from Wednesday, July 15th, all the way through to the end of that week. The water is sitting at 60°F, which is a good 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s notably toasty.
The first real flicker of something happens on Friday, July 24th. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell rolling in from the SSW, but the period is a massive 24 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is heavy at 713 (Sunday morning) and 1516 (afternoon), but the catch is it’s coming from the SSW, which is cross-on for 4 Mile. The wind is light, only 6 mph, but it’s still cross-onshore, so expect some wind ripples. It’s still a marginal call, and the size is tiny. Not a standout.
The real standout, and the only true window of hope, is Saturday, July 25th. The morning session sees the swell bump up to 5ft from the S, with a period of 15 seconds – solid groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 1768, which is strong. The wind is light cross-onshore from the WNW at 6 mph, keeping it fairly clean. This is the best-looking day on the charts. The afternoon holds similar size at 5ft, period drops to 14 seconds, but the wind firms up to 12 mph and goes cross-shore, which will introduce a bit of chop. The morning is the pick.
After that, Sunday the 26th still has some size (5ft from the S, 13 seconds), but the wind is cross-onshore again, and it’s cloudy. The energy is still strong at 1431. It’s a marginal day, but if you missed Saturday, it’s worth a look.
The rest of the 16-day window, from Monday the 27th onward, drops back into a pattern of small, messy, cross-shore slop with swell around 3ft and periods in the 16-18 second range. The energy is moderate (around 684-807), but the wind stays cross or cross-onshore, and the scores are all poor. There’s no real recovery after that Saturday.
So, if you’re locked in, bank on Saturday, July 25th, early. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got – clean enough, solid size, and that long-period S swell will have some push. 4 Mile is a point break, so it’ll handle that long period better than a beach break would, but keep in mind the light cross-onshore wind isn’t ideal. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | W 16 | SW 17 | WNW 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
142 | 267 | 527 | 323 | 374 | 585 | 428 | 217 | 190 | 309 | 263 | 177 | 216 | 386 | 350 | 268 | 314 | 326 | 256 | 334 | 256 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:56PM1.73m | 11:42PM2.36m | 1:38PM1.80m | 00:35AM2.18m | 2:19PM1.86m | 1:30AM1.96m | 3:01PM1.91m | 2:31AM1.72m | 3:42PM1.95m | 3:43AM1.50m | 4:23PM1.97m | 5:11AM1.36m | 5:07PM1.97m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:40PM1.10m | 6:55AM-0.01m | 6:42PM1.05m | 7:36AM0.15m | 7:47PM1.00m | 8:16AM0.36m | 8:56PM0.94m | 8:55AM0.57m | 10:10PM0.87m | 9:33AM0.79m | 11:25PM0.78m | 10:12AM0.98m | 00:36AM0.67m | ||||||||
6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
Feels °C | 19 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 12 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 17 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SSW 17 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 6 |
109 | 50 | 287 | 125 | 122 | 331 | 237 | 215 | 107 | 88 | 263 | 61 | 95 | 386 | 350 | 268 | 260 | 273 | 256 | 334 | 52 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | W 13 | SW 16 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | W 18 | W 17 | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 17 | SSW 18 | W 16 | SW 16 | S 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 15 |
39 | 55 | 125 | 123 | 120 | 169 | 151 | 74 | 190 | 309 | 211 | 177 | 216 | 199 | 278 | 261 | 314 | 326 | 101 | 82 | 256 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | W 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 15 | W 16 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 15 | W 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | W 14 | WNW 9 | S 9 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 |
31 | 44 | 47 | 28 | 27 | 76 | 181 | 84 | 104 | 186 | 44 | 62 | 170 | 163 | 64 | 65 | 104 | 49 | 27 | 34 | 147 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 7 | NW 7 | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 4 | NW 6 |
142 | 267 | 527 | 323 | 374 | 585 | 428 | 217 | — | — | 86 | 122 | — | 111 | — | — | 67 | 123 | 44 | 34 | 106 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 96 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Cruz | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the 4 Mile Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for 4 Mile provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at 4 Mile can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our 4 Mile surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (4 Mile) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for 4 Mile may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
4 Mile is 12 km (7 miles) from Santa Cruz. If you plan a vacation in Santa Cruz, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Cruz. Santa Cruz has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










