4 Mile Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this run of surf is a tough one for 4 Mile. I’m looking at the next 16 days and, to be honest, there’s nothing that’s going to have you scrambling for your board. The whole period is littered with poor surf conditions and only a handful of mornings that are even worth a mention, and even then, they’re marginal.

We kick things off this Saturday the 15th with a small 3ft SSW swell rolling in with a 16-second period. The energy’s moderate at 563, but the wind is cross-on from the W at 19 mph, so it’s already a bit chopped up. The water temperature here at 4 Mile is 61°, which is a touch warmer than the long-term average for this time of year—nothing crazy, but you might notice it’s a little more comfortable than usual. Sunday the 16th is more of the same, 3ft dropping to 3ft, but the morning breeze is light, so there’s a tiny window of cleaner conditions before the wind picks up and it turns to mush by the afternoon.

The start of next week, from the 17th through the 19th, is pretty bleak. Swell stays under 3ft, periods drop slightly, and the cross-shore winds are relentless. The energy is weak to moderate, in the 373 to 742 range, and it just doesn’t have any push. By Thursday the 20th, we see the swell size bump up a bit, hitting 5ft, but it’s a short-period NW windswell at 7 seconds. That’s a telltale sign of messy, crumbly surf. The following days through the 23rd see some bigger 5ft to 6ft NW windswell, but the period is still in that 8-9 second range, and with strong cross-shore winds at 25 mph, this is looking a lot more like a kitesurfing setup than a paddle-surfing one. It’s going to be lumpy and hard to find any clean face.

We do get a little more interesting around the 26th and 27th. A S swell shows up at 4ft to 4ft with a 17-second period. That's proper groundswell, way more energy, and the wind is lighter, which could make things a bit more organized. The energy is strong too—867 and 919—so there’s some actual push in the water. But it’s still rated as marginal, so tide is going to be a factor. Then we roll into the final days of the month, the 28th to the 30th. The swell lingers around the 3ft to 4ft mark from the SSW with decent 16 to 19-second periods, and the morning windows look the best of the entire run, especially with lighter winds. The energy is strong at over 1000, but it’s still not going to be a classic. And remember, any long-period groundswell like this is going to be better at a point or reef, but for a beach break like 4 Mile, it might just close out. It’s also a fairly consistent spot, so if you’re keen, the morning of the 29th or 30th would be your pick, but keep your expectations low. It’s been a dry spell, and this one looks like it might not break. Keep an eye on it, though—it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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