4 Mile Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down for you. This is Rusty, and I'm looking at what we've got coming up for 4 Mile.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 61°F – that's about 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it's notably warm for a winter dip. You'll feel that difference.

Honestly, the first week and a half is a bit of a struggle. From Wednesday the 8th right through to about Thursday the 16th, we're dealing with a long stretch of average to poor conditions. The swell is there – we get pulses of 4ft to 8ft – but the wind is a constant problem. It's mostly cross-shore from the NW or WNW, and it's often a moderate to fresh breeze, which is chopping things up. The wave energy is moderate to strong (values like 993 to 1694), but that doesn't matter when the surface is lumpy. Most sessions are rated as marginal or poor, so don't get your hopes up for a classic day in that period.

The best of that early run might be Thursday morning the 9th. We've got a clean 7ft NW swell coming in, period of 9 seconds, and the wind is a gentler cross-shore. It's not perfect but it's the most promising window in that first week. The main issue is the 7ft height is getting into the zone where it's more for experienced surfers, and the cross-chop will still be there.

The real standout, the one to mark on your calendar, is Saturday the 18th. The morning is looking like the pick of the whole forecast. The swell drops back to a modest 4ft from the WNW, but the wind goes glassy. I mean, dead calm, just a slight air. That's the kind of morning where the point break at 4 Mile can really shine. The wave energy is moderate (639), but with glassy conditions, the shape will be clean and lined up. This is the session for the early birds. The afternoon switches to a very long period 18-second SSW groundswell at 2ft, but the wind goes light cross-onshore, so it loses a bit of its magic.

From Sunday the 19th through to the end of the window on the 23rd, the swell fades out. We're looking at smaller surf, mostly 2ft to 4ft, with moderate cross-shore winds. The wave energy drops off into the lower hundreds. It's not bad for a longboard or a cruise, but nothing to get excited about.

So, to wrap it up: tough conditions for most of the first 10 days. If you're keen, try Thursday morning the 9th for a bigger, but rougher, session. The absolute standout is Saturday morning the 18th – glassy, clean, and that point will be working nicely. Get on it early.

Rusty

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