4 Mile Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s been cooking for the next stretch. Right off the bat, Monday the 3rd is a bit of a letdown—there’s some swell on the way, but it’s all tangled up in poor conditions. We’re looking at a rough start with a lot of "marginal" and "poor" labels on the board. The first few days are going to be a grind, with only weak energy showing up. The water’s sitting at 58°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.

We’re looking at a real dry spell from the 3rd through to the 8th. Most of that time we’ve got small, short-period swell and a lot of cross-onshore wind, which just chops it all up. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are basically flat, with the swell bottoming out at 1ft and a long-period pulse that’s just not doing anything for this spot. It’s a waiting game.

Now, things start to get interesting on Sunday the 9th. We finally see a jump in size—5ft from the WNW—and the energy is moderate (704). It’s still cross-shore winds, so it’s not perfect, but it’s a sign of life. Monday the 10th keeps that going with 6ft, but again, it’s a bit lumpy.

But the real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 11th. That morning, 4 Mile (Big Island) is where I’d be. The swell jumps to 8ft from the NW, the period is a solid 9 seconds, and the combined energy is strong, reading 1542. The wind is light and cross-on, but it’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the whole run. This is one for the advanced crew—at that size, it’s not playing around. The direction is a little off from the W optimum, but the power is there. It’s the best look we get.

After that, it’s all downhill again. Wednesday the 12th through the 14th sees the size drop back to 5ft, and the winds get stronger and more cross-shore, turning it messy. The period drops back to 8-9 seconds, and the energy weakens. Friday the 14th afternoon is a write-off.

The second week is pretty quiet. We get some cleaner conditions on the 15th and 16th with light winds, but the swell is tiny, only 3-3ft. It’s a fun, small-wave weekend for those who are keen, but nothing to get excited about.

Then we get one more pulse. Monday the 17th has a bit of size, 6-6ft, but the wind is on it. And Tuesday the 18th morning brings another 7ft from the NW, with a light wind and moderate-to-strong energy (1137). It’s a promising look, but it’s over a week out, so I’d treat it as a "maybe" rather than a certainty.

So, bottom line: Tuesday the 11th is the day. That’s the big one. Get out there early and enjoy it, because the rest of the window is mostly just waiting for that kind of juice again.

Rusty.

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