Elliot Bay surf break

Elliot Bay surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Sunday 10 May 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Elliot Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Elliot Bay sea temperature is
19.2° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Elliot Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Elliot Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Elliot Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 13) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (May 11) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Mon 11th May)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s
Best Surf 6AM (Tue 12th May)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Most Powerful 9PM (Wed 13th May)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Elliot Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the ESE by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed night, min 16°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
11
Tuesday
12
Wednesday
13
Thursday
14
Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sun
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
ENE
11
1
E
11
0.9
ENE
11
0.9
E
10
1.6
ESE
8
1.5
E
8
1
E
7
0.8
E
7
1.3
E
9
2.4
E
8
2.1
E
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.5
E
7
1.6
E
8
1.8
E
8
1.8
E
8
1.9
E
7
1.9
E
7
1.9
E
8
1.4
E
7
1.4
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
363
242
191
164
330
295
108
62
252
742
597
228
223
339
408
371
397
387
409
205
205
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
15
SSW
10
S
10
SW
5
WNW
10
NNW
15
SSE
15
SE
40
ESE
30
ESE
25
SE
25
SE
25
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
15
SE
15
ESE
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:04AM1.84m
2:18PM1.73m
2:59AM1.86m
3:19PM1.76m
3:55AM1.91m
4:24PM1.82m
4:52AM1.98m
5:27PM1.93m
5:49AM2.06m
6:26PM2.06m
6:45AM2.14m
7:21PM2.19m
7:40AM2.20m
Low Tide
9:05AM0.64m
9:17PM0.64m
10:00AM0.59m
10:16PM0.61m
10:56AM0.50m
11:16PM0.55m
11:51AM0.40m
00:14AM0.47m
12:45PM0.29m
1:10AM0.39m
1:37PM0.19m
2:05AM0.32m
2:29PM0.11m
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
cloud
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:09
7:09
7:11
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:29
5:28
5:27
5:25
5:25
3
3
1
1
1
Temp °C
16
17
17
15
16
17
16
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
17
16
16
16
16
12
14
15
13
15
17
15
12
11
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
12
11
12
12
13
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
ENE
11
1
E
11
0.9
ENE
11
0.9
E
10
1.6
ESE
8
1.5
E
8
1
E
7
0.8
E
7
0.2
NNE
9
0.2
N
10
0.1
N
10
1.3
ENE
8
0.5
E
8
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
12
0.2
ENE
11
0.5
E
11
1.6
E
8
1.4
E
7
1.4
E
7
Energy kJ
363
242
191
164
330
295
108
62
8
8
2
228
35
2
3
12
62
294
205
205
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NW
6
0.2
SSE
5
0.3
SSE
5
0.5
SE
8
0.8
E
10
0.2
N
11
0.6
E
9
0.6
E
9
0.2
N
10
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
12
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
11
0.6
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
10
Energy kJ
6
3
4
33
125
9
61
57
8
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
74
72
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
13
0.1
NW
7
0.2
N
12
0.2
N
12
0.2
N
11
0.1
NE
10
0.2
E
12
0.3
E
11
0.1
N
14
0.1
N
12
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
12
Energy kJ
14
2
11
11
9
4
11
22
4
3
3
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
3
0.4
SSW
3
0.2
SSW
2
1.3
E
9
2.4
E
8
2.1
E
8
1.1
SE
7
1.5
E
7
1.6
E
8
1.8
E
8
1.8
E
8
1.9
E
7
1.9
E
7
1.9
E
8
Energy kJ
7
3
1
252
742
597
109
223
339
408
371
397
387
409
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
4
1
3
4
2
2
4
2
2
4
Distance (km)
9
0
9
0
0
0
19
30
153
89
93
105
82
105
93
82
82
93
82
30
93
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
4
2
4
1
1
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
3
3
4
4
2
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
5
4
5
9
9
9
9
7
5
5
5
6
6
5
5
4
4
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Elliot Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Elliot Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Elliot Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Elliot Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Elliot Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Elliot Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Elliot Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Whangarei which is 51 km (32 miles) away.

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