Elliot Bay surf break

Elliot Bay surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Elliot Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Elliot Bay sea temperature is
21.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Elliot Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Elliot Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Elliot Bay in the next 12 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Jan 22) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 16th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 22nd Jan)15ft (4.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 22nd Jan)16ft (5.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Elliot Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Warm (max 23°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the ESE by Sun morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 57mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 21°C on Tue night, min 18°C on Sun afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1
N
1
NNE
0.9
NE
0.9
NE
1.1
NE
1.3
NE
1.4
NE
1
E
3.5
ESE
4
E
4
E
4.5
E
4.5
E
5
E
4.5
E
4
E
3.5
E
3.5
E
3.5
E
4
E
4.5
ESE
Period(s) (?)4788910998999101010999999
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)4099821041922993251621434240328223141377550163693253020651761175724163446
Wind
(km/h)
30
NNW
15
NW
15
WNW
25
NNW
15
SSW
15
SSE
25
ESE
15
SE
40
ESE
45
ESE
45
ESE
40
E
40
E
40
E
35
E
35
E
35
ENE
40
NE
35
NE
50
NNE
30
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
oncross-
on
ononononononononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:10PM
1.78
7:01AM
1.85
7:02PM
1.79
7:49AM
1.91
7:51PM
1.83
8:34AM
1.97
8:37PM
1.89
9:16AM
2.03
9:21PM
1.94
9:56AM
2.08
10:04PM
1.98
10:36AM
2.12
10:46PM
2.00
11:16AM
2.14
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:55AM
0.64
1:28PM
0.76
1:46AM
0.60
2:18PM
0.72
2:34AM
0.55
3:04PM
0.66
3:19AM
0.49
3:49PM
0.59
4:02AM
0.43
4:33PM
0.53
4:44AM
0.39
5:17PM
0.47
5:25AM
0.36
Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Sunrise--6:24--6:24--6:26--6:26--6:28--6:28--6:30
Sunset8:39--8:38--8:38--8:38--8:37--8:37--8:37--
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
mod rain
mod rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
Rain (mm)
-2-----4119102---2122232821
Temp. °C222122232021212019181819202020202121212223
Feels °C (?)192020201819182014121213151415151817181622
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Elliot Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Elliot Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Elliot Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Elliot Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Elliot Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Elliot Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Elliot Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Whangarei which is 51 km (32 miles) away.

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