Surf Forecasts:
El Tizate surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, SW swell with 251 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Tizate this week:
The surf forecast for El Tizate over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Tizate in the next 16 days are 0.8m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 14s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Tizate over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s see what we’ve got. El Tizate is the only break in the game – a sheltered, inconsistent little nook that needs a northwest swell to really wake up. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.
Honestly, the next 16 days are pretty slim pickings. There’s a big lull at the start. Sunday morning, August 16th, is the first real chance: a 3ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, moderate energy (257), and glassy north winds at 3 mph. It’ll be clean, but tiny. The afternoon drops off fast, and then we hit a long stretch of near-flat conditions.
Monday morning, August 18th, brings back a 2ft SW swell at 14 seconds, energy around 165, with calm, glassy winds. Clean, but average. Thursday morning, August 20th, is similar – 2ft, 14 seconds, 134 energy, glassy. These are the only real windows, and they’re all pretty ordinary.
Sunday afternoon, August 23rd, and Monday, August 24th, show a bit more SW groundswell, with energy between 117 and 135, but still only 1-2ft. Glassy winds keep it clean.
The best of the bunch looks like Friday, August 28th. The afternoon shows a 3ft SW swell at 16 seconds, with energy jumping to 322. Winds go glassy from the northwest, so that should be the cleanest, most consistent wave of the whole forecast. Still small, but it’s the standout.
So yeah, it’s a quiet run. El Tizate is inconsistent and rarely fires, but that Friday 28th afternoon session is worth keeping an eye on. The rest is mostly ankle-biters or flat. Forecasts can change, though.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 35°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 34°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | SW 18 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 19 | WNW 9 | NW 13 | SW 18 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 251 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 93 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 59 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:21AM1.26m | 11:26PM1.08m | 11:45AM1.26m | 11:54PM0.93m | 12:05PM1.23m | 00:06AM0.78m | 12:15PM1.17m | 11:40AM1.10m | 9:50AM1.07m | 5:56PM1.07m | 9:17AM1.06m | 6:47PM1.12m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 5:33PM0.42m | 5:15AM0.47m | 6:18PM0.55m | 5:12AM0.63m | 7:25PM0.67m | 4:10AM0.71m | 1:31AM0.63m | 1:36AM0.49m | 1:58PM0.99m | 1:54AM0.36m | 1:49PM0.89m | 2:11AM0.25m | |||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 4 | — | 4 | 11 | — | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 9 | — | 4 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Temp °C | 35 | 35 | 28 | 35 | 32 | 26 | 33 | 33 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 26 | 34 | 34 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 29 | 32 | 27 |
Feels °C | 38 | 39 | 35 | 39 | 37 | 32 | 36 | 36 | 33 | 36 | 37 | 31 | 37 | 37 | 35 | 37 | 38 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 251 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 200 | 120 | 133 | 140 | 251 | 146 | 140 | 136 | 93 | 70 | 69 | 67 | 68 | 78 | 98 | 67 | 111 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | W 14 | NW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | SSW 5 | WNW 6 | W 10 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | W 12 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 9 | WNW 3 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 4 |
| kJ | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | — | W 14 | W 11 | W 13 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 12 | W 9 | W 12 | W 8 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SSW 16 | NW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 20 | SSW 16 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 26 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 24 | 59 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | 9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 528 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 25 | 0 | 537 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Tizate Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Tizate provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Tizate can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Tizate surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Tizate) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Tizate may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
El Tizate is 1 km (1 miles) from Puerto Vallarta. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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