
Surf Forecasts:
El Tizate surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with 354 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Tizate this week:
The surf forecast for El Tizate over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Tizate in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Tizate over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the surf window for El Tizate is looking pretty grim for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf ahead. The first real session worth paddling out for doesn’t even show up until Friday the 18th, and even then, it’s marginal at best. We’re looking at a solid four-day gap of nothing but flat, messy conditions from now until then.
When Friday morning finally rolls around, we’ve got a small 1ft southwest swell pushing through with a period around 19 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, so there’s some energy in the water, but it’s still small. The wind is light offshore from the north-northeast, leaving things glassy. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s very ordinary – you’ll be fighting for tiny, weak waves. The combined energy is sitting at 139, which is weak, so don’t expect any push.
The weekend stays in that same rut. Saturday and Sunday mornings have slightly better 2ft southwest swells with periods around 18-19 seconds, and the winds are calm or light offshore, keeping the surface clean. The energy bumps up a bit to around 199-222, but it’s still weak. You’ll get some rideable waves, but nothing that’ll get your heart racing. Afternoons are shot though – a westerly onshore breeze kicks up and messes things up, plus there’s a risk of thunderstorms.
Early next week, Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd mornings offer the biggest surf of the whole run at 3ft, southwest swell with a 16-17 second period. Combined energy gets up to 355, which is moderate, so there’s a bit more push. The winds are calm or glassy, so the conditions are clean. This is probably the best you’re gonna get, but it’s still pretty small and weak for most. The long period means those waves might be breaking a bit too straight at the beach, so keep your expectations in check.
Beyond that, it fades back down to 2-2ft southwest swells through the following week. The mornings have some clean, glassy windows, but the energy stays weak, and the afternoon onshores regularly ruin any chance of a decent session. By the 29th, we’re back down to 1ft and pretty much flat.
One thing to note – the water here is running about 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is pretty noticeable. If you do go out, it’ll feel like bathwater.
So, bottom line: if you’re desperate, the Monday and Tuesday morning sessions from the 21st to the 22nd are the least bad. But this is a long, flat stretch. With a break this inconsistent and waves this small, it might be more frustrating than fun. Some of the afternoons with that onshore wind and tiny swell are honestly more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
Keep the board waxed, but don’t hold your breath.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 34°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 35°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 12 | W 11 | SW 16 | W 6 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | NW 4 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
108 | 246 | 21 | 9 | 206 | 3 | 22 | 74 | 71 | 4 | 137 | 133 | 184 | 170 | 197 | 197 | 252 | 222 | 227 | 287 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | off | on | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:56PM1.05m | 10:43AM1.35m | 11:13PM0.91m | 10:53AM1.29m | 11:10PM0.77m | 10:51AM1.21m | 9:15PM0.68m | 10:26AM1.12m | 9:35AM1.06m | 6:01PM0.91m | 8:55AM1.03m | 6:40PM1.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:59PM0.30m | 4:20AM0.50m | 5:30PM0.42m | 4:12AM0.60m | 6:03PM0.55m | 3:33AM0.64m | 7:01PM0.67m | 1:38AM0.48m | 3:14PM0.88m | 1:37AM0.36m | 2:00PM0.80m | 1:46AM0.26m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | |
mm | — | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 5 | — | 5 | 3 |
Temp °C | 33 | 26 | 32 | 31 | 26 | 34 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 27 | 35 | 34 | 27 | 32 | 30 | 27 | 32 | 31 | 26 |
Feels °C | 35 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 31 | 38 | 36 | 33 | 37 | 37 | 33 | 38 | 38 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 35 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
108 | 246 | 169 | 274 | 206 | 258 | 212 | 186 | 183 | 134 | 118 | 114 | 84 | 170 | 197 | 197 | 252 | 222 | 227 | 287 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | NW 3 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
37 | 35 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 71 | 117 | 137 | 133 | 184 | 65 | 59 | 57 | 37 | 36 | 27 | 25 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | WNW 4 | W 11 | SW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | SW 24 | SW 22 | NW 4 | W 6 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 7 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 |
25 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 65 | 13 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 0 | 25 | 31 | 0 | 25 | 34 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the El Tizate Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Tizate provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Tizate can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Tizate surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Tizate) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Tizate may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
El Tizate is 1 km (1 miles) from Puerto Vallarta. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










