Surf Forecasts:
El Tizate surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period, SW swell with 246 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Tizate this week:
The surf forecast for El Tizate over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Tizate in the next 16 days are 0.6m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Tizate over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what El Tizate has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, it's going to be a slow start. The first few days are pretty much a write-off with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. We're looking at a gap of about three days before anything worth mentioning pops up. Things finally show a bit of life on the morning of Saturday, September 14th, with a small but clean window. The swell is coming from the southwest, pushing in at around 1ft, but with a long period of 18 seconds – that's proper groundswell energy, and it’s showing a moderate combined swell energy of (166). The kicker here is the glassy conditions with calm winds; that'll put a shine on the waves. It’s not big, but for the patient surfer, those long-period lines will offer some shape.
The standout of the whole outlook is the morning of Monday, September 21st. The southwest swell bumps up to 3ft with a period of 17 seconds, and the energy is climbing into the strong range at (353). We’re getting a light northeast breeze creating clean, glassy conditions. This is the best-looking swell size and period combo of the whole run, and with offshore wind, it’s going to be the pick of the fortnight. The water temperature is about 89°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – so you can leave the thick rubber at home.
Later in the second week, the mornings from Tuesday, September 22nd through to Thursday, September 24th keep a similar rhythm: 2ft to 3ft southwest swell with period dropping a little, but still offering clean, glassy conditions. The energy stays moderate to strong (between 220 and 307). These are all good, surfable mornings for an intermediate surfer, but nothing beats that Monday session.
Keep in mind, El Tizate is an inconsistent spot and can be a bit sheltered, so you need the right window. The winds are light and often glassy in the mornings, which is a big positive. The afternoons are a complete no-go with onshore winds and the risk of storms. Stick to the early hours.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 34°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 6 | W 6 | SW 22 | SW 21 | WNW 6 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 167 | 164 | 95 | 87 | 85 | 84 | 80 | 109 | 108 | 246 | 21 | 216 | 206 | 3 | 3 | 74 | 71 | 4 | 137 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | on | off | glassy | on | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:34PM1.36m | 9:49AM1.35m | 10:04PM1.28m | 10:09AM1.38m | 10:32PM1.17m | 10:28AM1.38m | 10:56PM1.05m | 10:43AM1.35m | 11:13PM0.91m | 10:53AM1.29m | 11:10PM0.77m | 10:51AM1.21m | 9:15PM0.68m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:42AM0.12m | 3:58PM0.14m | 4:00AM0.25m | 4:29PM0.20m | 4:14AM0.38m | 4:59PM0.30m | 4:20AM0.50m | 5:30PM0.42m | 4:12AM0.60m | 6:03PM0.55m | 3:33AM0.64m | 7:01PM0.67m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | — | 6 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 8 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 27 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 26 | 33 | 32 | 26 | 33 | 32 | 26 | 34 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 35 | 37 | 31 | 36 | 37 | 31 | 36 | 36 | 31 | 37 | 36 | 33 | 38 | 38 | 35 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 167 | 164 | 95 | 87 | 85 | 84 | 80 | 109 | 108 | 246 | 169 | 216 | 206 | 258 | 160 | 186 | 183 | 134 | 118 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | SSW 18 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 16 | W 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 11 | 5 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 31 | 38 | 37 | 35 | 21 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 74 | 71 | 117 | 137 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 18 | W 11 | W 13 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | SSW 10 | W 9 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 11 | 48 | 9 | 30 | 58 | 59 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 7 | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 12 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 22 | 31 | 0 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Tizate Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Tizate provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Tizate can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Tizate surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Tizate) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Tizate may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
El Tizate is 1 km (1 miles) from Puerto Vallarta. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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