El Tizate Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m looking at only one spot here – El Tizate. It’s an inconsistent, sheltered little break, and it wants swell from the NW. Over the next 16 days, it’s a rough run with very little to get excited about.

The water is running a touch warmer than normal, sitting at 88°F, with an anomaly of about 3°F above average – that’s notable, but it doesn’t help the waves.

The first few days are a total washout. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are showing poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swell. The combined energy readings are 20 and 61 – that’s weak, no power. The wind is glassy at times, but there’s just nothing to ride.

Tuesday the 11th morning, the energy jumps to 261 (moderate) with a 0.5m (2ft) swell from the SW, period of 18 seconds – that’s a long period groundswell. The wind is calm, glassy. But the wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” With a low score, it’s not a standout. The southwest direction is not the optimum NW, so it’s not going to line up well. It’s rideable, but far from good.

The pattern repeats. The mornings from the 12th through the 14th show similar 0.6m (2ft) SW swells with moderate energy (210, 221, 137) and glassy conditions, but the same “very ordinary” tag. The afternoons are all blown out by westerly winds or hit by risk of thunderstorms. Friday the 14th afternoon sees the energy spike to 448 (strong) with a 0.9m (3ft) SW swell, but the wind is onshore and it’s just “marginal.” It’s not a go.

Saturday the 15th morning has the best energy in the window – 371 (strong) with a 0.9m (3ft) SW swell, 16-second period, and glassy easterly wind. That’s the most promising moment. The break is inconsistent, but it’s been showing some energy. Still, the raw score is low, and the direction is wrong for the spot. It’s a maybe, not a go.

After that, from the 16th right through the 24th, it’s a long, flat, and mostly poor stretch. The combined energy drops to double digits or stays under 200, with swells shrinking to 0.3m (1ft) to 1ft (0.4m). The 23rd and 24th mornings show a bit of life with 1ft (0.4m) SW swells and moderate energy (166, 141), but the comment still says “surfable but very ordinary.” The best is a low score.

There is no standout swell in this window. The best you can hope for is a glassy morning on the 11th, 12th, 13th, 14th, or 15th with a small, long-period SW groundswell. But the direction is wrong for this NW-loving break, and the quality is rated as ordinary. Crowds are possible at El Tizate, but with this poor outlook, it’s unlikely anyone will be out.

For a stretch of 16 days, there’s a big gap of nothing from the 15th afternoon all the way to the 23rd. It’s a blank run. This is a classic case of a sheltered spot that just doesn’t get the goods. Hope changes, but for now, leave the board at home.

- Rusty

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