Eastern Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what’s heading for Eastern Beach.

Right now, the water is sitting at 64°F, which is a good 5°F colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a significant chill, so you’ll want a thicker suit. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for quality surfing. The swell is there, but the wind is messing it up. Thursday the 9th morning has a solid 7ft S swell at 13 seconds, but with a 25 km/h cross-offshore wind, it’s clean but the energy is a bit messy. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong at 1478, but the score is low – it’s a marginal call.

Thursday afternoon and all of Friday the 10th stay in that same groove: 7ft to 8ft SSW to S swells, periods around 13-14 seconds, but the wind stays cross-off and the energy is strong (3393 on Thursday afternoon, 2335 Friday morning). Still, the conditions are just not coming together for a good session.

Saturday the 11th morning is the first real glimmer. The swell drops to 7ft from the S, 13 seconds, and the wind swings light SE at 10 km/h. It’s a cross-on breeze, but light enough that the wave face stays reasonably clean. The combined energy is still strong at 1253, and the score edges up to a 4. It’s the best of a pretty average run so far, but it’s still not a standout.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Saturday afternoon through to Tuesday the 14th, the wind gets nasty – onshore, cross-on, gusting 25-35 km/h. Swell sizes drop or get chopped up. Scores are mostly zeroes. The combined energy drops into the 500-800 range. It’s ugly.

Wednesday the 15th morning is a real tease. The wind goes glassy – zero km/h from the NW. The swell is a modest 5ft from the E at 10 seconds, with a combined energy of 490 (weak to moderate). It’s glassy, so it’s clean, but the swell is small and the period is average. It’s a 2 out of 10 – not worth getting too excited about.

Thursday the 16th afternoon is the first real standout. The wind whips up to 40 km/h from the SW, strong offshore. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SSW at 11 seconds, with a combined energy of 1438 (strong). The offshore wind will clean it up, but that 40 km/h is going to be *hard work* paddling into. This is for experienced surfers only. It’s a marginal call, but the potential is there for a few good ones if you can get out.

After that, it’s a mixed bag. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are average at best, with light onshore winds and modest swell. Sunday the 19th morning sees a 10ft E swell at 10 seconds, but with light onshore wind and the energy is strong at 1798. The notes say it’s too big for this break – that’s expert territory, and even then, the wind is iffy.

The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Friday the 24th. The morning is absolutely glassy – 5 km/h from the SW, dead calm. The swell is a solid 12ft from the ENE at 10 seconds, with a massive combined energy of 3174. The notes say it’s wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s a big, powerful, clean swell. Again, this is for experts only. If you’ve got the skills and the board for it, that Friday morning could be the session of the forecast period. The wind is perfect, the energy is huge. Afternoon shifts to a strong cross-on breeze, so the window is the morning.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a struggle with wind. The best bet for a decent paddle is Saturday the 11th morning for a small, clean wave, or Thursday the 16th afternoon for a strong offshore session. But the real highlight, the one that stands out above everything else, is Friday the 24th morning. Glassy, big, powerful, and for experts only. Keep an eye on that one.

Rusty.

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