Eastern Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead for Eastern Beach. The forecast is a long, frustrating wait for anything decent, with a lot of slop and wind to paddle through first. The water is sitting at 66°F, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The first real chance to even think about a wave doesn’t come until Sunday the 13th, and even then it’s marginal. The week before that is a write-off. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are a mess of strong cross-onshore winds, with swell around 7ft but from the S, with a period of 15 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell, but with the wind howling out of the NE at 22 mph, it’s just lumpy, choppy junk. The combined energy is massive (2224), but it’s all wasted energy. Don’t bother.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Thursday the 10th, with a cleaner look from a SW wind, but the swell drops right off to 5ft and the energy is weak (387). Not enough to make a session of it. Friday and Saturday are more of the same – small, onshore, messy.

Finally, Sunday the 13th morning offers a glimmer. The swell bumps back up to 7ft from the ESE, with a short 8-second period. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the ENE at only 6 mph, which is about as good as we’re going to get. The combined energy is moderate (1059). It’s still not perfect, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. If you’re desperate, this is your window. It’s inconsistent here, so don’t expect a set every few minutes, but the lighter wind will keep it from being a total washout.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are poor again. Tuesday afternoon sees a clean window with a SSW cross-off wind, but the swell is tiny at 4ft.

The next standout is Wednesday the 16th afternoon. The wind swings to a clean cross-off from the SSW, and while the swell height is only 4ft, the period jumps to a very long 17 seconds. This is a proper groundswell from the SSW. The combined energy is solid (1277). Now, long-period swells can be tricky at a beach break – they can close out – but if it connects, you’ll get some nice, lined-up waves. The light wind will have it glassy. This is a real looker, but a long way out.

After that, it gets messy again. The 17th and 18th are back to strong cross-onshore winds with lumpy, powerful (2078) but un-rideable surf over 10ft. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddling. The 19th sees a cleanup with a SW cross-off, but the swell is still a thumping 8ft from the ESE with a 10-second period. That’s a lot of juice (1546) and size – only for experts. The 20th and beyond just fade away into small, weak, and clean but not surfable.

So, if you’re holding out, the best two shots are Sunday the 13th for a bit of size with light wind, and Wednesday the 16th afternoon for that long-period glassy potential. For the rest of the 16 days, it’s mostly a waiting game. Don’t hold your breath.

- Rusty

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