
Surf Forecasts:
Christmas Bay surf forecast from 12 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 16 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 11s period, S swell with 5,532 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 11s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Christmas Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Christmas Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Christmas Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 15) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 17th Oct) | 15ft (4.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 17th Oct) | 15ft (4.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 16th Oct) | 16ft (5.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Christmas Bay over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Mainly near gales. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 12 | Tuesday 13 | Wednesday 14 | Thursday 15 | Friday 16 | Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
36 | 35 | 38 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 49 | 21 | 40 | 40 | 27 | 144 | 5532 | 5061 | 4342 | 3349 | 2416 | 1307 | 780 | 1430 | 1942 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 7:26PM1.27m | 7:52AM1.34m | 8:18PM1.26m | 8:41AM1.34m | 9:08PM1.24m | 9:28AM1.32m | 9:55PM1.23m | 10:12AM1.30m | 10:39PM1.21m | 10:55AM1.27m | 11:20PM1.19m | 11:37AM1.24m | 11:59PM1.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:20PM0.16m | 1:40AM0.25m | 2:14PM0.20m | 2:29AM0.27m | 3:07PM0.23m | 3:15AM0.28m | 3:57PM0.24m | 4:00AM0.28m | 4:43PM0.22m | 4:44AM0.27m | 5:26PM0.20m | 5:26AM0.26m | 6:07PM0.18m | ||||||||
6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 7:30 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 5 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | S 8 | — | — | SSW 16 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 10 | S 13 |
36 | 35 | 38 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 67 | 51 | 144 | — | — | 53 | 3349 | 2416 | 1026 | 287 | 1004 | 1942 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | ENE 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 9 | NE 8 | — | — | — | S 14 | — | SSW 11 | S 14 | SE 9 | SE 8 |
19 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 49 | 21 | 40 | 40 | 27 | 72 | — | — | — | 405 | — | 655 | 142 | 138 | 34 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SW 13 | S 13 | S 9 | ENE 4 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 12 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 3 | N 2 | NW 2 | NW 2 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | WNW 2 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 9 | S 10 | — |
— | — | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5532 | 5061 | 4342 | 1316 | 1382 | 1307 | 780 | 1430 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 352 | 28 | 29 | 234 | 28 | 56 | 168 | 87 | 1 | 1 | 138 | 335 | 335 | 101 | 146 | 169 | 15 | 2 | 125 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Christmas Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Christmas Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Christmas Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Christmas Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Christmas Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Christmas Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in The Wairarapa? If you are looking for accommodation near Christmas Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in The Wairarapa, consider staying in Masterton which is 47 km (29 miles) away. Other places in and around The Wairarapa where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Palmerston North which is 80 km (50 miles) away and Levin, 85 km (53 miles) away.










