Chapadmalal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Chapadmalal. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, but there are a few windows that’ll get the heart pumping.

Right off the bat, the water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is a solid 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a nice little bonus for the early sessions.

The week starts pretty average. Wednesday morning the 5th has some surfable little 2ft waves from the SE with a light offshore breeze, but honestly, it’s pretty ordinary. The energy is weak (89). That window closes fast, and we hit a real dry spell. From Wednesday afternoon right through to the end of the week, it’s a write-off—poor conditions, onshore winds, and lumpy seas. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are a total loss for a paddle surfer.

The first real spark shows up early Sunday the 9th. We’ve got a solid 10ft swell from the SSW, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore. The combined energy is pumping hard (1992). But here’s the catch—that’s too much juice for Chapadmalal. At over 8ft, this is strictly for the experts only. If you’re not dialled in, stay on the sand.

That big energy drops a notch by Monday the 11th, still too big for most at 7ft from the SSE, but the wind is light and cross-off again. It’s still an expert’s game.

Now, the real standout. Wednesday morning the 12th. This is where it all comes together. A clean 5ft swell from the SSE, period of 10 seconds, and a glassy offshore breeze from the NW. The wind is almost nothing at 3 mph. The energy is moderate (555), and conditions are set to be very clean. For a point break like this, that’s a dream. This is the one to circle—good size for intermediates, clean, and the wind will have it looking like a postcard.

Thursday the 13th stays clean but smaller, with 2ft waves and a long 13-second period from the SSE. That long period means more energy between sets, making it easier to get out back.

The big one for the experienced crew rolls in on Friday the 14th afternoon. A 5ft SSE swell with a 15-second period—that’s proper groundswell. Combined energy is strong (1059). At a point break, this long-period swell will set up beautifully, with clean lines. This is the best session for the more advanced surfers. Crowds can be a factor here sometimes, so get out early.

After that, it fades. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are marginal, with smaller swell and questionable conditions. Then from Monday the 17th onward, it’s a proper letdown. Strong winds, messy cross-shore chop, and small weak energy (down to 66 by the 19th). The last week is a washout—mostly poor conditions with a couple of ordinary, surfable mornings that aren't worth getting wet for.

Overall, don’t waste your energy on the first week. The real action is Wednesday the 12th for a clean, fun session, and Friday the 14th for the experienced crew chasing longer-period groundswell. After that, it’s time to hang the wetsuit up for a while.

Rusty.

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