Baya Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the cards for our local stretch.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, we've got a persistent run of SSW swell, but the wind is the real story here. It's almost constantly cross or cross-onshore, which means we'll be fighting a lot of chop and lumpy conditions. The real standout window is narrow, but there is a glimmer of hope.

The forecast kicks off on Thursday, July 30th, with Baya Beach offering up some swell. The water's sitting at 80°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year. The morning session on Thursday has a 3 ft SSW swell with a very long period of 19 seconds, packing moderate energy (1247). That period is a beauty for a point break, but at a beach break like Baya, it might be a bit too straight. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it'll be a bit bumpy. The report says "questionable tide conditions," so you'll need to pick your moment.

The best chance for a decent wave in the near term looks to be Saturday morning, August 1st. The swell is a solid 5 ft from the SSW, with a good 18-second period (1477 energy). The wind is a light cross-onshore at 6 mph, which is the cleanest we'll see for a while. It's still a little dirty, but this is the pick of the first week. It's a bit much for beginners at that size, but fine for most.

After that, the wind picks up. Afternoons are a write-off with strong cross-onshore breezes and choppy conditions. The mornings are a mixed bag. The swell continues to pulse, but the wind is never fully offshore. We get a peak in size on Thursday, August 6th, with 7 ft of SSW swell, but the wind is still cross or cross-on. That's getting into expert-only territory, and the wind is going to make it a messy, lumpy beast.

The second week looks similar, with the wind being the main issue. There's a pulse of energy on Sunday, August 9th, with a 5 ft, 18-second SSW swell packing 2930 energy, but the morning glass is ruined by a cross-shore breeze. The wind is never our friend here. The best bet for a cleaner look might be the morning of Monday, August 10th, with a 7 ft SSW swell, but again, it's cross-onshore.

Honestly, Baya Beach is an exposed beach, and with this constant cross to cross-onshore wind, it's going to be a battle. The surf is mostly marginal, with the wind creating a lot of chop. For a few mornings, it might be worth a paddle for the patient, but don't expect any perfection. The whole setup is more suited to a kite than a surfboard for most of the run.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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