Baya Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way for Baya Beach, but the wind is gonna be a constant battle, keeping things messy for the most part.

Right from the start on Monday the 14th, there’s a decent 6ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period, carrying moderate wave energy (1538). But the wind is cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, putting small ripples on the face. It’s surfable if you’re keen, but it’s not clean, and the morning is the best of a so-so session. The afternoon gets choppier as the wind picks up. Tuesday and Wednesday follow the same pattern – chest-high SW swell, but the cross-onshore breeze never really lets up. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th see the swell drop a bit to 5ft and 4ft, with periods around 14-15 seconds. The energy dips into the moderate-low range (934), and the wind stays cross-onshore, making for choppy, lumpy conditions. Saturday the 19th brings a slight bump back to 5ft SSW swell with a 17-second period in the afternoon, but the wind shifts cross-shore, creating a messy cross-chop. Not great.

Sunday the 20th is one of the better windows early on. The morning sees 6ft SW swell with 16-second period and moderate-strong energy (1774). The wind is light cross-onshore at 6 mph, so while it’s not glassy, it’s the cleanest it’ll be for a while. Still, it’s marginal. Monday the 21st is similar with 6ft SSW swell and light winds, but again, cross-onshore keeps it from being a standout.

We then hit a flat spell from Tuesday the 22nd through Saturday the 26th, with swell dropping to 4-5ft and energy falling to moderate-low levels. The wind is moderate to fresh cross-onshore most of the time, making for poor, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out.

Then comes the real standout, and it’s a big one. On Sunday the 27th, the swell jumps to 8ft SSW with a very long 20-second period, and the combined energy hits a very strong 5648. That’s a serious groundswell. The morning is still cross-onshore and messy, but the afternoon brings a 10ft SSW swell with 19-second period and energy at 5493. The wind is moderate cross-onshore, but the wave comment says wind and tide are favorable – however, it also warns the swell is too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, the long period groundswell will make it break straight and fat on this beach setup. Only the most experienced should even look at it.

Monday the 28th still has 8ft SSW swell in the morning with 17-second period and strong energy (3296), but the wind is moderate cross-onshore and the surf is marginal at best. The rest of the week fades back to 6ft with light cross-onshore winds.

Honestly, the only real highlight is the Sunday the 27th afternoon pulse, but it’s too big for most and the wind isn’t doing us any favours. For the rest of the period, the constant cross-onshore wind is the main issue – it’s not a total write-off, but it’s a grind. If you’re desperate, the mornings with light winds are your best bet.

Rusty out.

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