Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, so we're looking at a pretty specific spot here – Baya Reef. It's a consistent, advanced-level reef break, and it's exposed to the south-west swell. The water's sitting at a balmy 81.7°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag. The first week or so is looking pretty marginal, with a lot of cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. We've got a solid background of swell, but the winds are just not playing ball. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate at best for most of the week, sitting around 1091 (moderate) on Saturday the 25th, but it's paired with a fresh cross-shore that's going to chop it right up. The swell height is there, about 6.2 ft from the SSE, but the 9-second period is a bit short and won't give you the best shape.

We get a bit of a break on the 30th of July with a bigger, longer period swell starting to show up. A 5.2 ft swell from the SSW with a 17-second period on the 31st is a proper groundswell, and the combined energy jumps to 1592 (strong). But again, the wind is a light cross-onshore, which will keep it okay but not perfect.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is the morning of Thursday the 6th of August. Now, that's over a week away, so take it with a pinch of salt, but the forecast looks sick. We're looking at a 7.5 ft groundswell from the SSW with a 17-second period. That's a proper, long-period groundswell, and for a reef setup like this, that's pure magic. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE at 9 mph, which is going to groom those waves into perfect, clean lines. The combined energy is a strong 2889. This is an expert-only affair though, as 7.5 ft with that period is going to be heavy and powerful. It's not for the faint of heart.

That Friday morning, the 7th of August, is also looking promising as a second option. The same 6.6 ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period, combined with a light 6 mph cross-offshore, will keep things clean. The combined energy is still strong at 1946. It's a touch smaller than Thursday, but still a fantastic session.

The rest of the second week, from the 8th of August onwards, looks like the swell hangs around, but the winds are predicted to become more cross-shore again, which will take the shine off. The size stays solid, between 6.6 ft and 7.5 ft, but the wind will be the limiting factor.

So, to put it simply: the first week is a write-off for quality surf. The standout is the morning of the 6th of August, with Friday the 7th as a close second. If you're an advanced surfer, that's your window.

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