Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s happening at Baya Reef over the next couple of weeks. This is a solid reef break that’s built for the advanced crew, and it’s exposed to the open ocean swell, so it’s got some grunt when the conditions line up. The water is sitting at 83°F right now, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year – nothing weird going on there.

The overall pattern is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a few days of pretty weak, marginal stuff to start, but the real energy starts to build towards the middle of the second week. The standout window is definitely the Monday morning of the 20th of July, with clean conditions and a solid 7ft SW groundswell that’s packing some serious energy (2193). That’s a proper expert-level session, and the wind is light and cross-off, so the faces will be clean. The other one to circle is the Sunday morning of the 19th of July – 6ft SSW swell with a long period of 19 seconds, and clean conditions again. That’s a lot of water moving (2584 combined energy), and the long period means it’ll be a bit more lined up and powerful, but at a reef like this, that’s a good thing.

Now, the first few days are nothing to write home about. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are small and messy – 4ft and 3ft respectively, with cross-shore winds and a cross-chop. The morning of Monday the 13th is actually glassy, with a 2ft wave but a super long 21-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, but it’s tiny, so it’s more of a longboard or a foil session if you’re keen. The energy is there (816), but the height isn’t. The rest of that week is a mix of small, clean windows and then some lumpy afternoons as the wind picks up.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th is where it’s at. The Sunday morning is clean and the swell is building, but the Monday morning is the real pick – 7ft, clean, and the wind is just right. It’s a bit of a crowd magnet though, as this spot is sometimes busy, so get in early. After that, the swell hangs around but the wind gets messy again in the afternoons. The second week looks like a bit of a mixed bag – some decent size but often with a strong cross-shore wind that’ll put a chop on it. The 24th of July morning has a 7ft S swell with 19-second period and a gentle cross-shore, which is promising, but it’s a long way out so keep an eye on it.

The 25th of July Saturday afternoon is a monster – 8ft S swell with a massive 5804 energy reading – but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’ll be lumpy and heavy. That’s for the experts only, and only if you’re feeling brave. The 26th morning is cleaner but still a solid 6ft.

Overall, it’s a slow start, then a couple of absolute ripper mornings around the 19th and 20th of July, then a bit of a fight with the wind for the rest of the run. Stick to the mornings for the cleanest conditions.

Rusty.

Read more