Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the coast. Let’s get straight into it.

We’ve got one spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks, and that’s Baya Reef. It’s an advanced reef break, so this isn’t a beginner’s game. The water temp is sitting around 83.3°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a few windows where it could get real good.

The first few days are pretty ordinary. Sunday the 5th is a write-off with that afternoon thunderstorm risk and a cross-shore wind messing things up, even though there’s some decent energy in the water (1332). Monday the 6th is similar – morning has a little more hope with lighter cross-shore breeze and a 3.9ft SSW swell, but it’s still marginal.

Now, Tuesday the 7th morning is where it gets interesting. The wind drops right off to almost nothing with a cross-offshore flow, cleaning up a 4.3ft SSW groundswell with a long 16-second period. That’s the kind of energy that wraps into a reef like this beautifully. The combined energy is solid at 1011, and the conditions are described as clean. This is the standout of the first week – early Tuesday morning will be the pick. The wind stays light on Wednesday the 8th morning too, with a bit more size at 5.9ft from the SSW, period 15 seconds, and clean conditions. That’s another good session, though the afternoon gets blown out.

There’s a real quiet spell from the 10th through the 12th. The swell drops, the wind gets messy, and it’s not worth paddling out. Sunday the 12th has waves barely 2.3ft – a total nothing.

Then things ramp back up in a big way. Monday the 13th morning is an absolute gem – glassy conditions, a 3.6ft SSW groundswell with a massive 20-second period. That is a deep ocean pulse, and on a reef like this, it’ll set up some beautiful, long lines. The combined energy is pumping at 1404 despite the smaller height, because that period means power. This is the standout of the whole outlook – get on it if you can. Keep in mind, a period that long can make the waves a bit walled at beach breaks, but on a reef, it’s a dream. The afternoon gets bigger at 5.9ft but the cross-shore wind spoils it.

The following week continues with a similar rhythm. Mornings are your friend. Thursday the 16th morning has another clean window with a 5.2ft SSW swell and light cross-offshore winds. Saturday the 18th morning pushes up to 5.9ft from the SSW with clean conditions, but the afternoon gets a strong cross-shore. The week after that, the 19th and 20th, the swell starts to fade and the wind turns onshore, so the quality drops off.

Overall, the standout sessions are Tuesday the 7th early morning, Wednesday the 8th early morning, and especially Monday the 13th early morning. Those are the ones to circle on the calendar.

Stay safe out there.

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