Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a solid run of SSW swell at Baya Reef, a reef break for advanced surfers only. The water is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The pattern starts this Sunday, August 2nd. We’ve got a 6ft SSW swell with a long 17-second period, and the combined energy is strong, clocking in at 1790. The wind is a light cross-on from the south at 6 mph, so it’s a bit choppy but not blown out. It’s rideable, but the tide might be a factor, so keep an eye on that. The afternoon sees the wind pick up to 12 mph and go full cross, making it lumpier.

Monday, August 3rd, is similar. Morning brings a 6ft SSW swell, period dropping to 14 seconds, and light cross wind. It’s messy, but there’s wave energy there (1211). The afternoons are consistently worse with stronger cross-onshore winds.

Tuesday the 4th sees the swell dip a little to 4ft, but the period stays at 16 seconds. The energy is moderate (1259). Light cross wind in the morning will keep it clean enough for a few, but the afternoon gets a 16 mph cross wind, which ruins the surface.

Wednesday the 5th brings a bit more size back, 5ft, and the period jumps to 19 seconds in the afternoon – that’s a proper groundswell. Combined energy is a strong 1910. The wind is light cross in the morning, so it’s your best bet for a clean session mid-week.

Thursday the 6th is looking like a standout. The swell builds to 6ft in the morning, with a 16-second period. The energy is 1964, and the wind is a whisper-light cross from the SSE at 3 mph. That’s about as glassy as you’ll get for this spot. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast,” but with that wind, it’s going to be the cleanest of the week. The afternoon swell nudges 7ft with energy over 2000. If you can get out in the morning, do it.

Now, Friday August 7th, the swell hits 8ft. That’s big, and with a 17-second period, there’s a heap of energy (3588). This is for experts only. The cross wind in the morning is light, but the afternoon wind cranks to 19 mph, making it a lumpy mess. That morning window is the real deal.

Saturday the 8th, the swell drops back to 7ft, but the wind shifts to a cross-offshore in the morning at 12 mph. That means clean, lined-up waves. The energy is still strong at 2346. This is one of the best sessions on offer. The afternoon gets hammered by a fresh 19 mph cross wind.

Sunday the 9th, the swell is 7ft, good energy (2116), but the wind is a gentle cross in the morning. It’s okay, but not as good as Saturday morning. The afternoon is a write-off with 22 mph winds.

Monday August 10th, the swell is 6ft in the morning, but the period is 14 seconds. The energy is high (2486), but the wind is a gentle cross. It’s a scrappy option. The afternoon sees a 8ft swell with a 17-second period, energy over 3000, but the wind is 19 mph cross. The power is there, but the surface is lumpy.

Tuesday the 11th, morning swell is 6ft, 15 seconds, moderate cross wind. It’s average. The rest of the week follows a similar pattern: solid swell, but the afternoon winds are consistently strong cross-shore, making it lumpy. The mornings are your only windows.

Thursday August 14th the swell picks up again to 7ft with a 16-second period, energy at 2545. The morning wind is a gentle cross. It’s a decent option, but the stronger morning winds of Saturday the 8th or Thursday the 6th are the real highlights.

Saturday August 15th, the swell is 7ft, period 16 seconds, energy 2480. Morning wind is gentle cross. It’s okay, but nothing special.

The last few days, 16th and 17th of August, the swell drops off. The 17th is only 4ft with a 14-second period and weak energy (1045). The run is pretty much done.

The best on offer: Thursday morning, August 6th, with the 6ft SSW swell and near-glass conditions. And Saturday morning, August 8th, with the 7ft SSW swell and a clean cross-offshore wind. Those are your two standouts. The afternoons here are a write-off most days, so plan for dawn patrol.

Rusty.

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