Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Baya Reef. This is an advanced reef break that's exposed to the swell, and it's a consistent spot that can handle a decent amount of energy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The whole 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We've got a lot of days where the wind is just wrong, blowing cross-shore or cross-on, which is going to chop things up. There's not a lot of true standouts, but there are a couple of windows that look worth circling on the calendar.

The first real chance of something good comes on Friday, July 17th. The morning session is the clear winner. We'll see a 5ft SSW swell pushing in with a solid 16-second period, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is pretty strong at 1088, and crucially, the wind is forecast to be glassy. That's the magic word right there. This is an advanced break, so that size is in the sweet spot for experienced surfers. It's not too big, it's not too small, and with those clean conditions, it could be a really fun morning. The downside? It's a reef, and with that long period, the sets will have some punch, so you need to know what you're doing.

After that, things get a bit average again for a stretch. The wind picks up in the afternoons and stays messy. We get a bit of a bump on Monday, July 20th with the swell jumping up to 7ft from the SSW, period at 16 seconds, and the combined energy is cranking at 1875. But the morning wind is cross-off, which is okay, but it's not the perfect offshore we'd want. At 7ft, this is getting into the bigger range for advanced surfers only. The afternoon is a write-off with a fresh cross-shore.

The other standout window is way out there, on Tuesday, July 28th. That morning looks like a repeat of the 17th: glassy conditions, with a 3ft SSW swell, but the period is a massive 19 seconds. That's a very long period groundswell, and the energy is still moderate at 1027. For a reef, this could produce some beautifully lined-up, clean waves for the experienced crew. It's small, but that long period means it'll have plenty of push. Just keep in mind this is a long-range look, so the forecast confidence is a bit lower.

So, if you're looking for the best of it, circle Friday morning, July 17th and keep an eye on Tuesday morning, July 28th. The rest of the time, the wind is going to be your enemy, and it's mostly marginal surf with a chop on it.

Rusty.

Read more