Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's have a look at what Baya Reef has in store. This is an advanced reef break, and it's a consistent spot, which means when the stars align, it can be a beauty. The water is sitting at 82°, which is about what you'd expect for this time of year, so no thermal surprises.

Looking at the overall pattern, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. The wind is mostly coming from the SSE, and here's the thing: it's nearly always blowing cross-shore, and often a fresh one at that. That'll keep the surface a bit lumpy and messy. There's a gap at the very start with no real recommendations, so don't expect much for the first few days. The surf is small and the wind is on it.

The first sniff of something interesting comes on Thursday morning, the 27th of August. We've got a moderate SSW groundswell pushing in at 4ft with a very long period of 19 seconds. That's some proper energy moving through – the combined energy is a healthy 2180. The problem is the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it won't be perfect, but it's a step in the right direction. That long period groundswell will wrap nicely around this reef, mind you.

Friday morning, the 28th, is where it starts to clean up. The swell holds at 7ft from the SSW with a 16 second period. The wind finally shifts to a light cross-offshore from the SE, giving us clean conditions. The combined energy is 2294, which is solid. This is looking like the best window in the first week. A clean 7ft on a reef with that much energy is a proper session for any advanced surfer.

The rest of that week and into the next is a bit hit and miss. The mornings often offer a lighter breeze, but the wind swings around to the cross-shore or cross-on in the afternoons, turning things to chop. There's some size around 6ft to 7ft through the end of August and into the first of September, but that persistent SSE wind never really lets up enough to call it epic.

Now, if you can hold out, the forecast for the 9th of September, a Wednesday morning, looks seriously promising. We're looking at a solid 7ft SSW groundswell with a 17 second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 3960. That's a lot of water moving around, and at that size on this reef, it's firmly in expert-only territory. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, which will leave a slight chop on the face. This is the standout session of the whole outlook, but remember we're talking over a week and a half away, so treat it as a promising date to pencil in. The afternoon of the 9th is a write-off with the wind picking up again.

A couple of other mornings are worth a mention. The 1st of September morning has a 7ft swell with a gentle breeze, and the 5th of September morning is clean with a lighter SE wind, a 4ft SSW swell and a lovely 16 second period – a solid combo for a more manageable size.

So, bottom line: the surf is here, but you have to be picky about your window. The wind is the main enemy. If you're an advanced surfer, the clean morning on the 28th of August and that big morning on the 9th of September are the ones to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

Read more