Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what Baya Reef has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

This forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, really. The swell is almost constantly present, with that long-period groundswell from the SSW, but the wind is a persistent issue. It's almost always blowing cross-shore, which keeps the surface a bit chopped up and messy for the most part. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The first week, starting Monday the 27th of July, is mostly about small to moderate swell with those cross-shore winds. Tuesday morning the 28th sees a drop to 2ft of SSW swell, but that period is a massive 16 seconds, giving it a bit of a pulse even if it's small. The energy is moderate at 316. The problem is the cross wind, even if it's light. Wednesday and Thursday the 29th and 30th are more of the same – the swell hangs around the 3ft mark, but that Thursday morning sees a jump in energy to a strong 1255 as the period hits 19 seconds, but it's a 3ft wave. It’s gonna be a bit of a wait between sets, but the power will be there.

Friday the 31st of July and Saturday the 1st of August start to see the swell pick up to 5ft – 6ft with periods still in the 16 to 18-second range, which is proper groundswell. The energy is strong, in the 1400 to 1585 range, but the cross-shore winds keep things from being truly clean. It’s gonna be lumpy.

Sunday the 2nd of August brings the swell up to 7ft, which is starting to get solid for Baya Reef. The energy is very strong at 2330 on the morning session, but again, the moderate cross-shore winds will put a chop on it. Through the next week, the 3rd to the 8th of August, the swell stays consistently in the 5ft to 8ft range with strong energy. The cross-shore winds don't let up though, and by the 8th, the afternoon wind hits 22 mph, making it a real battle.

Now, the best chance we get is on Sunday morning the 9th of August. This is the standout of the whole outlook. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the SSW with a long 17-second period and a very strong energy reading of 3968. The really important thing here is the wind. For the first time in the entire forecast, it’s blowing a cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph. The surface is described as clean. That's the window. A reef break like this with a clean face and that much power from a long-period groundswell will be firing. It's an advanced wave, so you'll need your wits about you, but it’s the best bet on the board. For the rest of the 9th, the afternoon wind swings back to cross-shore and it gets lumpy again. The morning of Monday the 10th is another decent shout with 8ft and a light cross-shore breeze, but it won’t be as good as that Sunday.

After that, the 11th of August sees the swell still 7ft but the cross-shore wind is back. Overall, the surf quality is marked as "marginal" for nearly every session due to the constant cross-shore winds. Baya Reef is consistent, so it’s always worth a look, but for clean, lined-up waves, you've got one date to circle.

Rusty.

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