Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Baya Reef. This forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, honestly. The swell is there, but it’s mostly coming in with a cross-shore wind, which is going to chop things up a fair bit. The water temp is sitting at 80.1°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start off on Wednesday the 5th with a 5.2ft SSW swell, but that cross-shore wind is going to make it a bit of a mess. The energy is moderate at 1699, but it’s not going to be clean. The afternoon drops off a touch to 4.3ft with a slightly longer period, but the wind picks up, so it’s still not the one.

Thursday the 6th sees a bit more size, 6.9ft in the morning from the SSW with a 16-second period. The energy is up to 2203, but that cross-onshore wind is a bit of a downer. It’s surfable, but you’ll be working for it.

Friday the 7th is when things start to get interesting. The morning brings 7.9ft of SSW swell with a 17-second period, and the energy is ramping up to 3148. The wind is light, but still cross. It's a bit of a tease. The afternoon is bigger at 8.2ft, but the wind picks up and chops it out.

Saturday the 8th is the first real standout. The morning has 7.2ft of SSW swell, a 16-second period, and the wind turns cross-offshore. The energy is a solid 2343, and the report is calling it clean. This is the one to get out for. The afternoon, however, gets blown out with a 30 km/h cross-shore, so make the most of the morning.

Sunday the 9th is a drop-off, with 5.9ft and a cross-shore wind that’s going to make things lumpy. The energy is down around 1687. It’s a bit of a nothing day.

Monday the 10th sees the swell pick back up, 6.6ft in the morning with a 19-second period, and the energy jumps to 4017. But the wind is cross and it’s not looking pretty. The afternoon gets bigger at 7.9ft, but with a 35 km/h cross-shore, it’s going to be a washing machine.

Tuesday the 11th is another morning to watch. 8.2ft of SSW swell, 18-second period, and a cross-offshore breeze. The energy is up at 4606 and it’s clean. This is a proper session. The afternoon, again, gets wrecked by the wind.

The middle of the week, Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, is a mixed bag. Wednesday morning has 6.9ft but a cross-on wind. Thursday morning, however, is a big one. The swell jumps to 9.8ft from the S with a 16-second period, and the energy is huge at 6557. The wind is light, but cross. This is a big, powerful swell and it’s going to be a handful. This is for experienced surfers only, that’s over 8.2ft. The afternoon, the wind picks up but the size holds.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are more moderate. Friday has 7.9ft in the morning with a light wind, but it’s cross. Saturday has 6.6ft with an 18-second period, but the afternoon wind kills it.

The second week, starting Sunday the 16th, is a bit quieter. Swell drops to 5.9ft and 5.6ft, with the wind being the main issue. It’s mushy and lumpy for the most part.

But then we get to Tuesday the 18th. Big swell is back – 9.8ft from the SSW with an 18-second period. The energy is massive, up there at 5858 in the morning and 6523 in the afternoon. The wind is still cross, which is a shame, because this is a lot of water moving. This is a powerful, heavy day, definitely for experts only.

Wednesday the 19th has a 8.2ft SSW swell with a cross-offshore wind in the morning and clean conditions. That’s another good window. The energy is 4416.

Finally, Thursday the 20th has 8.2ft in the morning with light winds, but it’s cross. The energy is 3263.

So, looking at the whole 16 days, the standout windows are Saturday the 8th morning, Tuesday the 11th morning, and Wednesday the 19th morning. Those are the ones with the clean conditions and the decent size. The big days on the 13th and 18th are massive, but the cross-wind is going to make them challenging, even for the best. The period is mostly in that 15-18 second range, which is proper groundswell, so it’ll have some punch. Baya Reef is a reef break, so it should handle that long-period energy better than a beach break, but that cross-chop is still going to be an issue. There are long gaps in the second week where the wind just makes it not worth it. The crowds might be a factor on the good days, so get out early.

That’s the rundown from me. Stay safe out there

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