Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking in your local waters. We’ve got one spot that’s going to be the focus for the next couple of weeks: Baya Reef. This is an advanced reef break that needs a solid south-west groundswell to light up, and it’s exposed to just that. The water temp is sitting at a warm 83°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The overall pattern shows a long run of surf, but honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The mornings are where it’s at. Most afternoons get chewed up by a fresh cross-shore wind that turns things into lumpy chop. You’ll want to be an early bird here.

We kick off with some action on Tuesday the 7th. Tuesday morning is looking clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a 5 ft SSW swell with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell with real energy (1144), so the waves will have shape and punch. It’s a solid start, but the afternoon gets messy, so don’t sleep in.

Wednesday and Thursday mornings the 8th and 9th look good too, with clean conditions and solid 5 ft to 6 ft SSW swell. The energy is building, hitting over 1600 on Wednesday morning. It’s still clean, but the wind picks up later each day, so get out before lunch.

Now, if you’re looking for the real standout, circle Monday the 14th. Tuesday morning the 14th is looking unreal. We’re talking glassy conditions, a 5 ft SSW swell, and a very long 18-second period. That’s a deep-water groundswell with heaps of energy (1943). At a reef like Baya, that kind of long-period swell will groom into some beautiful, powerful lines. This is the best on offer across the entire forecast.

Saturday the 18th is another one to watch, but with a caveat. The swell jumps up to 7 ft from the SSW (2539 energy). That’s getting into expert-only territory. It’s a clean morning, but the wind is a little more cross than offshore. It’ll be big and mean, not for the faint-hearted.

There’s a handful of other mornings that are decent – like Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th – but the afternoons are consistently blown out. For the second week, keep an eye on Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd mornings. They offer cleaner, smaller windows (3 ft to 4 ft) with glassy or cross-offshore winds. Those are your more mellow, fun-size sessions.

Overall, Baya Reef is offering consistent surf, but the quality is tied hard to getting out first thing. The 14th is the true standout. After that, the long-range stuff is promising but less certain. Get on it.

- Rusty

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