Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at Baya Reef.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. There's a solid run of SSW energy pushing through, but the wind is mostly going to be cross or cross-shore, which is going to mess with the surface. The water's sitting at 82.2°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no drama there.

The first real chance to get out is Thursday morning, the 27th. There's 4.3ft of SSW swell with a 19-second period, but the SSE wind at 12 mph is making it cross-shore with a bit of chop. It's a bit messy, but it's a start. By Thursday afternoon, it's jumping up to 6.9ft, but that fresh 22 mph breeze is going to have it lumpy. Not worth it.

The pick of the first week is Saturday morning, the 29th. The swell drops a touch to 4.6ft, this time from the SW with a 14-second period. More importantly, the wind eases off to a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze, and the conditions are clean. That's the one to focus on. The combined energy is still strong at 975, but it's manageable. This is the stand-out session for the first week. The swell direction is lined up perfectly for the break's optimum.

After that, Sunday and Monday are pretty average. Sunday morning drops right off to a dribbly 2.3ft with a very long 20-second period, and a cross-shore breeze. It's just a bit flat and washed out. Monday sees it bump back up to 5.2ft, but the wind is light and cross-shore again, so there's a bit of surface ripple. It's there, but you'll be fighting the lump.

The second week is where it gets interesting, but less certain. Tuesday, the 1st of September, has a consistent 6.9ft of SW swell, but the mornings are the only time to look – the afternoons get wrecked by a fresh SSE breeze. The morning has that gentle cross-shore wind, so it might clean up a bit, but it's still not great.

There’s a long gap of nothing really worth chasing through until the 6th and 7th, as the swell backs off and the winds stay messy. The levels keep dropping, and with the period also shortening, the energy weakens.

Then, hold on. Look at the 9th of September. The swell's only 2ft, but it's from the SW with a cracking 19-second period. And here’s the kicker – the morning has a gentle cross-off breeze and the forecast is "clean." That's a proper glassy moment. It’s small, but for a reef like Baya, a 2ft clean wave with that kind of period is going to be the pick of the whole window. It’s a long way out, so don't book your flights on it, but that's the promising one.

Right, to sum it up: Get on it Saturday morning the 29th for the most size and cleanest conditions of the first week. And keep the 9th of September morning in the back of your mind – that could be a special little window. Everything else is a compromise on the wind.

Catch you in the water.

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