Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer.

We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, and for the most part, it's all about Baya Reef. There's no real gap at the start; we can get straight into it. The water is sitting at 78°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. Not freezing, but you’ll feel the difference.

Friday, September 11th kicks things off with a 5ft SW swell hitting the reef. The water temp is 78°F with a -2°F anomaly, so yeah, a touch cooler than usual. The swell energy is pumping at a massive 1730 (moderate wave energy) and it’s a long-period 15-second groundswell, which is going to wrap in nicely here. The wind is light and cross-shore in the morning, so the lineup should be relatively clean. It’s not going to be epic, but there are waves to be had. By the afternoon, the wind picks up to 16 mph from the SSE and it gets a bit chopped. This pattern repeats through the weekend.

Saturday, September 12th looks similar. Morning is best with light cross-shore winds and a 4ft SW swell, but the period is a juicy 19 seconds and the combined energy is 1727 (moderate). The afternoon sees the wind again and a bigger, 6ft swell. The sessions are all marked as marginal, but a long-period SW swell at Baya Reef with light winds in the morning is always worth a look.

Sunday, September 13th through Monday, September 14th is more of the same: SW groundswells in the 6ft to 7ft range, with 15-16 second periods and moderate wave energy. Winds are mostly light cross or light cross-onshore in the mornings. The afternoon winds are a letdown. This continues through the week.

Now, let's talk about Friday, September 25th – this is the standout. The morning session is glassy. That's right, glassy. 5ft of SSW swell, with a 14-second period and a combined energy of 1352 (moderate). The forecast calls it excellent conditions for experienced surfers, and I can see why. That glassy wind is the key. This is the one to circle. It’s still a couple weeks out, so it's promising but less certain, but if that forecast holds, it will be worth the wait.

Saturday, September 26th still has some life with light winds in the morning and a 5ft SW swell that has a very long 18-second period and 1710 energy (moderate). That long period will be fantastic for a reef break like this, giving it some real power and shape.

Overall, the setup here is for experienced surfers. With the swell consistently over 5ft and often climbing above 7ft, it’s not for beginners. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" for Baya Reef, so you might have some company, but nothing crazy. Despite the daily wind issues, Baya Reef is consistent and the long-period SW swells are exactly what this spot needs.

Rusty out.

Read more