Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Baya Reef.

We’ve got a classic, exposed reef break that knows how to handle a south-west swell, and that’s the story for the whole run. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird going on there. It’s a spot for the more experienced crew, and it’s a consistent one. The swell energy is moderate to strong through the period, with combined energy values hanging between 335 and 1978. It’s a reef, so the long period groundswells will set up nicely. There’s a decent gap of a few days with no real standouts to start, but once we get into the swing of it, there’s a couple of moments to get excited about.

Friday the 10th is a write-off. The swell is there at 6 ft from the SSW with a deep 15-16 second period, but the wind is a cross-chop mess. Don’t bother. Saturday the 11th morning is a different story. The swell drops to a clean 5 ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave comment says it straight: "expect very good surf conditions." This is the first real looker. The energy is moderate (869), but the conditions are clean. Get out there early.

Sunday the 12th morning is glassy and small – 3 ft from the SW, period 12 seconds. The energy is weak (335), but it will be smooth. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th see the swell jump back up to 6 ft from the SSW, but the wind is a cross-shore chop, so the quality is marginal. The energy is strong (1978 on Tuesday morning), but it won’t be pretty.

Now, for the real standout. Friday the 17th of July morning is the one to circle. The swell is 5 ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave comment says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." The energy is strong (1105). That’s a proper groundswell, long period, and the reef will handle it beautifully. It won’t be too big, so it’s manageable. Expect crowds here, as it’s a known spot, but the quality will be worth it.

The other standout comes later. Saturday the 25th of July morning. The swell is 6 ft from the SSW, period 14 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze and a gentle breeze. The wave comment calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" again. The energy is moderate (1208). This one is a bit further out, so less certain, but if the forecast holds, it’s a solid session.

The rest of the window is a mix of cross-shore winds and marginal conditions. The swell is always there, but the wind is the enemy. Most afternoons are a dusty mess with fresh breezes. The mornings are your best bet, but only the 17th and 25th mornings are true standouts. If you’re looking for a small, clean wave, the 12th morning works. For anything bigger, you’re waiting for the 17th or the 25th.

Rusty.

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