Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the outlook for Baya Reef. Let’s get straight into it.

We’ve got a solid run of groundswell pouring in from the SSW, with a lot of energy in the water right through the first week. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing wild there – just your usual warm‑enough feel.

The standout session looks like Wednesday morning, the 19th of August. We’re looking at a solid 10 ft of SSW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, stacking up with heaps of energy (4636). The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so the surface should be clean with only slight chop. That’s a big, powerful swell for advanced surfers only. The long period will make for long waits between sets, but the shape on a reef like this is going to be excellent. Get out there early.

The rest of the first week is a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday morning the 15th kicks off with 5 ft SSW swell, 17‑second period, and a light cross‑shore – clean but the scores are only marginal. The wind picks up each afternoon, putting a cross‑chop on the surface. Sunday morning the 16th is similar: 5 ft, 15 seconds, light cross‑shore, but still just marginal. Monday the 17th is smaller, dropping to 4 ft, and the cross‑chop gets a bit lumpier in the afternoon. Tuesday the 18th sees a bump back to 7 ft in the morning, still with a light cross‑shore, but it’s a marginal call.

Wednesday the 19th morning is the peak as I said. After that, Thursday the 20th morning still has a solid 8 ft, 16‑second SSW swell with a gentle cross‑shore – plenty of energy (3319) but also only marginal. The afternoons get windier and lumpy. Friday the 21st drops a touch to 6 ft, and the afternoons are fresh and lumpy.

Then we hit a bit of a flat spell. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are still around 7 ft and 5 ft respectively, but the afternoons are messy and the mornings are just marginal. From Monday the 24th onward, the swell drops further – 4 ft, then 4 ft, and by Thursday the 27th we’re down to 4 ft. The afternoons go poor, with fresh cross‑shore winds making a lumpy mess. There’s a stretch of several days with no good surf here.

We do get a little flicker toward the end. On Friday morning the 28th of August, there’s a 4 ft swell but with an 18‑second period and a light cross‑shore – that’s clean but small. Saturday morning the 29th picks up to 7 ft, 18 seconds, and light cross‑shore, with energy jumping to 2933 – that could be a promising late run, but it’s further out so keep an eye on it. Sunday the 30th morning is still 6 ft with a gentle cross‑shore.

Overall, the best bet is Wednesday morning the 19th – that’s the one to circle. The rest of the window is mostly marginal, with some afternoons blown out. If you’re an advanced surfer and you can handle the size and the long period, that Wednesday session is going to be a beaut.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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