Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a solid run of swell on the cards for the reef, but it's not all perfect. The dominant wind is a cross-shore breeze, which keeps things from being glassy, but there are some windows where it lightens up and the quality improves.

First up, the water temp is sitting at a warm 82°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. No need for a thick steamer, just a summer suit.

The real standout here is the early morning sessions. The best on offer looks like the morning of Tuesday, August 11. We've got a solid 8ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a very long period of 19 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy reading of 5074 – that's some serious grunt in the water. The wind is a light cross-shore from the SSE, so it'll be a little lumpy, but the power and size will be there for the advanced crew. This is a big swell, over 8ft, so this is strictly for experts. The long period will make it grind beautifully on the reef, but expect some long lulls between sets.

The other morning that looks really promising is Wednesday, August 19. Another 8ft SSW swell, period at 17 seconds, and a light cross-shore breeze. The energy is high (3621), and the conditions should be a touch cleaner than the 11th. Again, this is big, powerful stuff – not for the faint-hearted.

Looking at the rest of the week, the mornings consistently offer better conditions with lighter winds. The afternoons get a fresh cross-shore breeze that chops things up, making it less appealing. The swell hangs around the 7ft to 8ft range for most of the first week, so there's plenty of power, but the wind is the limiting factor.

Into the second week, the swell does back off a bit. Saturday, August 22 morning is a bit different. The swell has dropped to 5ft from the SSW, but the wind is a cross-offshore from the SE. That will clean the face right up, making for a much smoother, more user-friendly wave. The energy is moderate (1307), but the clean conditions will be a welcome change.

Towards the end of the run, Tuesday, August 25 morning offers another chance with a 7ft SSW swell and light cross-shore winds, but it's a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

Remember, this is a reef break, so it's for advanced surfers only, especially when it's over 8ft. The crowds are listed as "sometimes," so you might have some company, but it shouldn't be a circus.

Rusty.

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