Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up.

We've only got one spot on the menu for the next couple of weeks: Baya Reef, a solid advanced reef break. It's a consistent spot that's exposed to the open ocean, so it's always got some potential. The water temp is sitting right on 83.3°, which is spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The outlook is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We're looking at a solid run of swell, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story, and it's not always a friendly one. For the first week, the size is consistently in the 3.9 ft to 5.9 ft range, with a long period (12 to 16 seconds) groundswell from the SSW and SW. That's proper energy, with the combined energy reading anywhere from 742 to 2121, so we're talking moderate to very strong wave energy. The problem is that the wind is mostly cross or cross-shore, and often quite fresh at 19 to 22 mph. That's going to put a lot of chop on the surface, making it lumpy and tough to get a clean ride.

The best of the first week looks like Thursday morning, July 9th. The swell is a clean 5.2 ft from the SSW at 14 seconds, and the wind is a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore. That's a magic combination. The water will be glassy, and the wave quality will be excellent for experienced surfers. It's a proper standout. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" here, so you might have a few others out, but it's well worth the paddle.

After that, the wind gets messy again until we hit Thursday morning, July 16th. That morning we get another clean window with a 3.9 ft, 15-second SW swell and a light 6 mph cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (861), but the clean conditions will make it rideable and fun.

Then, looking further out, the swell really starts to pump. Monday, July 20th and Tuesday, July 21st see the swell pushing 5.6 ft to 6.9 ft from the SSW, with periods of 14 to 17 seconds. The combined energy is huge, peaking at over 2000, so that's very strong wave energy. The mornings look best again with lighter winds. However, at 6.6 ft and 6.9 ft, this is expert territory only. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break's optimum (SW), so the shape should be fantastic on the reef. This is the standout period for the big dogs, but it's a week and a half away, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

Overall, the first week is a bit of a write-off except for that one Thursday morning. The second week has more promise, especially for the experienced crew looking for a bigger, cleaner swell.

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