Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, for the break we’ve got on the radar – Baya Reef – it's a bit of a mixed bag. The swell is there, no doubt, but the wind is almost always coming from the side, which means it's never going to be that perfect, glassy dream. The water's sitting at a warm 82° right now, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama there.

The first real window to get excited about kicks off on Saturday, August 15. The morning shows some clouds with a light SSE breeze, so it's a cross-shore situation. You're looking at 5 ft of swell from the SSW, with a long period of 17 seconds. That's proper groundswell, and combined energy is strong at 1896. The afternoon sees the wind pick up to 15 mph, which will mess with the surface, so the morning is the call that day.

Sunday, August 16 is a similar story. Clear skies, a light cross-shore in the morning, and 5 ft of that same SSW groundswell, but the period drops to 15 seconds. Energy is still moderate at 1120. The afternoon wind picks up again, so the early session is your best bet.

We then hit a bit of a lull. Monday, August 17 drops to 4 ft, and the energy fades to 740. It's small, but still surfable with the light morning breeze. Tuesday, August 18 sees a spike back to 7 ft in the morning, with energy jumping to 2234. The light cross-shore wind makes it a decent option, but the periods are still long, so it'll be a bit walled up at a reef break like this.

Now, the standout session looks like Wednesday, August 19. The morning clears up, and we get 8 ft of SSW swell with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a strong 4354. That's a lot of water moving. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it'll be the cleanest you'll see it all week. Just be aware, at 8 ft this is getting into expert territory. The reef will be working, but that long period means it's going to be powerful and possibly a bit weird on the takeoff.

After that, the week trends into the "marginal" zone. Most mornings offer a light cross-shore with chest-high stuff, but the afternoons are consistently blown out by a fresh SSE breeze. The week of August 24 looks pretty poor, with dropping swell and building wind, leaving not much to work with.

Looking further out, Thursday, August 27 morning shows a new pulse of 6 ft SSW swell, with the light cross-shore again. Sunday, August 30 is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning has 8 ft of SSW swell with an 18-second period, and the energy is a huge 4180. The wind is just a gentle cross-shore breeze. That's the best looking long-range call. It's a ways out, so keep an eye on the charts, but if that holds, it'll be a belter.

So, the pick of the bunch is the morning of Wednesday, August 19. The second best is the morning of Sunday, August 30, but that's a long way off. The rest of the time, you're chasing the early light-wind windows before the afternoon chop ruins it.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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