Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the second half of this 16-day window is looking like it could be absolutely firing. The first few days are a bit of a write-off with messy cross-shore winds and only marginal surf, so you’ll want to be patient. The real action starts to build from the end of July and kicks into high gear through the first week of August.

Our main break for this period is Baya Reef, an advanced reef break that is exposed to the swell. The water temperature is sitting at a very warm 82°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Let’s talk about the standout. The morning of Friday, July 31st is the first real gem. We’re looking at a 5ft SSW groundswell, with a period of 17 seconds – that’s proper long-period energy. The wind is glassy, dead calm at 0 mph, which is about as good as it gets. The combined energy is a meaty 1421 (moderate-strong), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a clean, powerful reef wave with no wind to mess it up. Expect long, grinding lines. This is a serious session for the crew who know what they’re doing.

The next morning, Saturday, August 1st, is almost as good. Another 6ft SSW swell at 18 seconds, with glassy conditions first thing. The energy is even higher at 1684. Same deal – a clean, powerful reef break. If you miss the Friday, this is your backup.

Now, things get bigger and more serious as we head into the second week. The morning of Thursday, August 6th sees a 7ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, with a cross-offshore wind (SE at 9 mph) keeping it clean. The combined energy jumps to 3326 (strong), and the surf is described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a big, powerful swell, so it’s definitely for the advanced crew only.

Then, Friday, August 7th is the big one. A 12ft SSW swell at 19 seconds – that’s massive, very long-period groundswell. The combined energy is a whopping 9593 (very strong). The morning wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but for a wave of that size and power, it’s still a serious contender. This is a wave for experts only. At this size, the reef will be shutting down hard, and it’s not for the faint-hearted. The morning of Saturday, August 8th is similar, with a 10ft SSW swell and a cleaner cross-offshore wind, but again, this is expert territory.

The first few days (July 24th to 29th) are mostly a bust. The wind is consistently cross or cross-off, and the swell is small and short-period, or just sloppy. The afternoon sessions are a write-off. The morning of Thursday, July 30th has a long-period 19-second swell, but it’s only 3ft and the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not worth getting excited about.

So, the bottom line: If you’re an experienced surfer, the two standouts are the mornings of Friday, July 31st and Saturday, August 1st for clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. The week after that is all about size and power, with the 6th, 7th, and 8th of August offering serious, expert-only waves. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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