Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid run of groundswell on the cards for Baya Reef, but it’s going to be a battle with the wind most days. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 82.6°, which is a nice little bonus.

The first real chance to get wet is Sunday afternoon, August 23rd. The swell is a clean 4.9ft from the SSW, with a long 14 second period giving it some real pull. The wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s rideable. The combined energy is pumping at 1732, so there’s plenty of power in the water.

Monday morning, August 24th, is a standout. We’ve got 5.6ft of SSW groundswell, with a very long 16 second period. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph, making for clean conditions. The energy is still strong at 1718. This is a proper window for Baya Reef, with the swell direction matching the optimum. It’s an advanced spot, and it’s a reef, so that long period energy will be lining up nicely. The waves will be a bit more powerful and the sets will be spaced out, making the paddle out a bit easier. With the crowds noted as “sometimes,” you might have a few out, but it won’t be a circus.

The wind turns nasty Monday afternoon and stays messy for the next few days, with fresh cross-shore breezes and lumpy chop. The swell drops a little, but the real issue is the wind. Wednesday morning, August 26th, has a light breeze, but the swell is down to 3.9ft.

Thursday morning, August 27th, is another one to circle. The swell jumps back to 4.3ft from the SSW, but the period is a massive 19 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell, and combined with a clean cross-offshore wind at 16 mph, the energy reading is huge at 2183. The tide might be a factor though, as the call is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so keep an eye on that.

The swell builds through the end of August and into September. The morning of Tuesday, September 1st, sees the biggest swell of the run at 7.5ft from the SW with a 17 second period. The energy is at 3024, which is very strong. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it’s clean. This is a big day for experienced surfers only. Anyone under 5ft for the beginners, but this is over 8ft, so it’s expert territory.

The pattern repeats through the first week of September: clean mornings with lighter winds, followed by afternoon onshores. The swell stays in the 3.9ft to 6.6ft range, with periods dropping back to the 13-14 second mark by the end of the week. The morning of Sunday, September 6th, has a nice 4.6ft SSW swell with an 18 second period and a gentle breeze, giving a clean window with energy at 1972. For the second week, the outlook is similar: morning windows are the go, with the wind always picking up in the afternoon. The swell remains consistent, but the quality will always be a morning game.

The best bet on offer is Monday morning, August 24th, for the clean conditions and solid groundswell. The second call is Thursday morning, August 27th, for the massive period and clean cross-offshore wind. Both are expert-level sessions at the reef.

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