Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what we’ve got coming at Baya Reef.

Right now, it’s not looking great for a paddle. The whole stretch starts off pretty grim – Tuesday afternoon has some lumpy cross-chop with a fresh cross-breeze and the wave quality is poor. Honestly, for the first few days you’ll be battling cross-winds and marginal conditions. There’s a gap of a few days where nothing really stands out as worth getting excited about.

The first real glimmer shows up on Thursday morning, 17 September. Still not a standout, but with light cross-shore breeze and a little more order in the water, you might score a few. Swell is around 6 ft from the SSW, period 14 seconds – decent enough for a reef setup like this, but it’s still only marginal.

Things start to build from Saturday morning, 19 September. The swell jumps up to 7 ft from the SW, with a long 18-second period pushing in strong wave energy (1467). The wind stays light cross-shore early, which is a big positive for a clean surface. But by the afternoon, that fresh cross-breeze returns and chops it up again.

The best on offer across the whole outlook is Sunday morning, 27 September. That’s the one to circle. Swell hits 8 ft from the SSW, with a 18-second period – that’s serious groundswell energy (4373). The wind is light cross-shore, just 6 mph, so the face should be clean and lined up. For a reef break that’s exposed to the SW optimum, this is a proper session for advanced surfers. It’s a big swell though – too much for beginners. And keep in mind, a long-period swell like this tends to stand up and bend beautifully around reefs, so Baya Reef should handle it well.

Water temp is sitting at 77°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 3° below average, so you might want a spring suit.

Crowds here can be an issue sometimes, but with conditions this clean and a solid SW swell, expect company.

After that, Monday morning 28 September holds 7 ft from the SSW with light winds again – another good window, just not quite the same energy punch. The rest of the second week drops off in size and gets more inconsistent, with smaller swells and periods. Nothing else really compares to that Sunday.

So, if you’re keen, keep your eyes on Sunday the 27th – that’s the real standout. Everything else is either too windy, too small, or just marginal.

Rusty.

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