Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, giving you the straight-up surf outlook for this stretch.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of surf coming but it’s going to be a mixed bag of conditions. The first real action kicks off Friday morning, July 24th, at Baya Reef. The water temp is sitting at a warm 82°, which is pretty much bang on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout window is the early mornings. Friday morning, July 24th, we’re looking at a clean 7ft swell from the SSE with a moderate breeze blowing cross-offshore. That’s a nice setup. The combined energy is pumping at 1064 (moderate energy), so there’s some grunt in the water. This is a reef break, so it’s for advanced surfers only, and it’s exposed to the swell. Keep in mind it can get busy here – crowds are possible.

Saturday morning, July 25th, is another solid shout. Similar story: 6ft from the SSE, clean conditions with that cross-off wind, and energy at 1005 (moderate). The swell does drop off a bit over the weekend, and by Sunday morning, July 26th, it’s down to 3ft with a cross breeze, so it gets weaker.

The real magic, if you can wait for it, looks like it could be on Saturday morning, August 1st. The swell is up to 6ft from the SSW, but the period is a very long 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is 1735 (strong). The wind is light from the south, making it a light cross-shore breeze. For a reef break, that long period is a dream, giving you powerful, well-shaped lines. It’s a bit of a wait but it’s promising.

Actually, hold on – the very best of the lot might be Sunday morning, August 2nd. We’ve got 7ft from the SSW with a 19-second period. That’s huge, long-period groundswell. The energy is massive at 3084 (very strong). Wind is a slight air from the south, so near glassy, cross-onshore conditions. That’s a huge caveat for a reef – the sets will be few and far between, but when they come, they’ll be bombs. This is expert-only territory at over 8ft, but the potential is epic.

Then Monday morning, August 3rd and Saturday morning, August 8th also look solid with 7ft and 7ft SSW swells, clean conditions, and strong energy (3465 and 2917). The week of August 3rd to 8th is packed with surf, but the mornings are the key.

Keep an eye on the afternoon winds – they tend to pick up and get cross or lumpy, so the early sessions are where it’s at. This is a reef break, so the long-period swells (over 15 seconds) will be absolutely perfect here, but they’ll also mean longer lulls between sets.

Rusty out.

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