Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright surfers, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for Baya Reef over the next couple of weeks. It’s going to be a bit of a mixed bag, with some solid energy coming through, but we’re gonna have to deal with a lot of cross-shore wind. The standout sessions are going to be the ones where the wind drops off.

First up, we’ve got Baya Reef on the cards. The water is sitting at 82°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

We start off slow. The first couple of days, Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th of August, are mediocre. Swell is around 4ft to 5ft from the SSW but the wind is side-shore and bumping it up. Not worth getting wet for.

Things start to look up on Tuesday the 18th. The swell picks up to 7ft from the SSW with a long period of 16 seconds, and the wind goes super light on Tuesday morning. It’s the best window we’ve seen so far. That’s a lot of energy (2128 combined) and the light cross-shore wind should keep it fairly clean. This one’s for the advanced crew though—over 6ft with that long period will be pumping and only for those who know what they’re doing. Tuesday afternoon the breeze picks up again.

The real heavyweight arrives on Wednesday the 19th. Swell jumps to a solid 10ft from the SSW, period hitting 18 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 4636 in the morning. That is serious groundswell. With the wind only a light breeze in the morning, this is the absolute standout of the whole forecast. It’s huge, it’s powerful, and it’s going to be a proper reef-break show. This is expert-only territory—the size and the long period mean it’ll be heavy, so don’t even think about paddling out if you’re not in the top tier.

Thursday the 20th stays strong with 8ft swell from the SW, but the wind gets up again in the afternoon, turning it messy. The mornings are still your best bet this week.

Friday the 21st has more of the same—8ft SSW swell with 18-second period in the morning, but the cross-off breeze on Tuesday the 25th morning is the only really clean wind window we get after the main swell. That 4ft SSW swell with clean conditions could be a fun, smaller option for those wanting an easy paddle.

After that, from around the 26th, the swell drops away significantly. There’s a gap of poor to flat conditions before a slight pickup around the 28th and 29th, with 5ft to 6ft swell but with fresher winds making it lumpy. Nothing to get excited about.

So, the best on offer is clear: Wednesday morning, 19th of August. Big, long-period groundswell from the SSW at 10ft, light wind, and all that energy. That’s the one you wait for.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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