Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on the waves coming up over the next couple of weeks. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty persistent run of swell, but it’s gonna take a few days to really clean up and become worthwhile. The water’s sitting at a warm 82°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The main event is Baya Reef. It’s an advanced reef break, so this isn’t for the faint of heart. It’s exposed to the swell, and it’s consistent, which is a big tick. The optimum swell direction is from the SW, and we’ve got a solid south-southwest groundswell building in. The combined wave energy is strong, with readings in the thousands – that’s a lot of power in the water.

The first few days, from Thursday the 23rd through to the end of the month, are a bit of a write-off for quality. The swell is there, mostly between 5 ft and 6 ft, but the wind is cross-off or cross-shore with a chop. It’s not clean. The period is short at 8-9 seconds, so the waves won’t have much shape or power behind them. The 23rd afternoon has a 25 mph cross-off, which is just messy.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The morning of Saturday, the 1st of August, is the standout. The wind goes glassy, dead calm. The swell is 6 ft from the SSW, with a period of 17 seconds – that’s a proper long-period groundswell. The energy is extremely strong, and the conditions are glassy. This is the best session on offer. It’s a reef break, so that long period will groom into some nice, long, walling lines. Crowds are possible, but with that quality and the advanced nature of the break, the crew in the water will know what they’re doing. It’s not for beginners; 6 ft at a reef with that power is a serious wave.

The following week has some promising mornings. The 4th of August Tuesday morning has a clean 7 ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-shore, not glassy. The energy is massive. The 5th of August Wednesday morning is a solid call too, with a 5 ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and a clean cross-off wind. That’s a good, solid day.

Overall, the best bet is the morning of Saturday, the 1st of August. The glassy conditions and that strong, long-period groundswell make it a no-brainer. The 5th of August morning is a solid backup. The rest of the period is a mix of decent swell with average wind, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but the 1st is the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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