Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for the next couple of weeks in feet and degrees.

We’re starting with a bit of a wait, but the first real window opens up on Friday, July 17th at Baya Reef. This is an advanced reef break, so don’t even think about paddling out if you’re not on your game. The water temp is sitting at 82°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Friday afternoon is a bit of a write-off – a 5ft SSW swell with a powerful 15-second period gives it some serious energy (1222), but that cross-shore wind from the SSE at 16 mph is going to chop it up. It’s going to be a lumpy, frustrating session. Saturday morning, July 18th, is a much better call. The swell drops slightly to 5ft from the SW, but the wind eases right off to a light 6 mph cross-shore. The period is still a solid 14 seconds, giving it some grunt (934). It’s still a cross-shore breeze, but it’s light enough to keep things reasonably clean. Sunday morning, July 19th, is similar – 4ft SW swell, 13-second period (796) and a gentle 9 mph cross-shore, so it’s rideable but nothing to write home about.

Now, the first real standout comes on Monday morning, July 20th. The swell jumps up to 7ft from the SSW, with a 16-second period, and the combined energy hits 1923 – that’s a solid, powerful groundswell. The wind shifts to a cross-offshore breeze from the SSE at 12 mph, and the report says it’s clean. For a reef break, that’s a beautiful thing. This is a session for the experienced crew. The wave quality is going to be there, just be aware that with a 7ft swell and those long-period lines, it’s going to be packing a punch.

Through the rest of the week, the wind stays mostly cross-off or cross, but the swell drops and picks up. It’s a bit inconsistent. You’ll get a few cleaner morning windows, like Tuesday July 21st morning (5ft, 14s, 1175) and Wednesday July 22nd morning (3ft, 13s, 629), but the energy is lower.

Things get interesting again going into the second week. Thursday morning, July 23rd, a new pulse of 6ft SSE swell rolls in, but the period is a short 8 seconds (933). That’s wind swell, and it’s going to be a bit fat and weak. The 24th and 25th are similar – lumpy, short-period stuff.

But then, hold onto your board. Monday morning, July 27th, we see a 3ft swell from the SSW, but the period is a staggering 21 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell (1119). For a reef, that’s going to open up some incredibly clean, deep lines. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE, so the surface will be clean. This is a session for the connoisseur, where the set waves will be few but absolutely perfect.

The real fireworks, though, are reserved for the end of the month. Friday morning, July 31st, a 7ft SSW swell with a 17-second period and energy of 2289 rolls in with a light cross-offshore wind. That’s a big, clean, powerful swell. And then Friday afternoon, the wind drops to a light 6 mph cross-off, with the same 7ft swell – it’s called out as excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday morning, August 1st, is another cracker: 6ft SW swell, 16-second period, but the energy is enormous at 2250, and the wind is a light 6 mph cross-off. Clean, powerful, and consistent waves. This is the best of the run.

So, to wrap it up for Baya Reef: The first week is a bit of a mixed bag with a few clean windows. The standouts are Monday July 20th morning for a solid, powerful session, and then the real magic looks to be from Friday July 31st through to Saturday August 1st. For the long-range stuff, keep an eye on the forecast, but it looks promising. Remember, it’s an advanced spot, so don’t get in over your head.

Rusty.

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