Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up. We’ve only got one spot on the radar for this whole sixteen-day stretch, and it’s a tricky one. The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

The overall pattern is that we’re looking at a lot of marginal conditions for Baya Reef. There’s a solid run of decent swell energy, but it’s often paired with tricky winds. The first few days are a write-off, with the wind mainly cross or cross-onshore and lumpy. Thursday the 3rd kicks off with a light cross-onshore breeze and a 4ft SW swell (period 15 seconds), but it’s a marginal call. The afternoon gets worse, with a strong 16 mph cross-shore wind messing it up. Friday the 4th is similar, with a moderate breeze keeping things choppy.

The first real hint of hope comes on Saturday the 5th morning. We’ve got a clean, cross-off wind with a gentle breeze, and a 5ft SSW swell that’s packing some serious energy (1239). The period is a long 16 seconds, which is great for a reef like this. This is the standout of the first week, but the afternoon falls apart again with a fresh cross-shore wind.

Sunday the 6th morning is clean again with a cross-off breeze and a 4ft SW swell (period 17 seconds), and the energy is really pumping at 1730. It’s a marginal call, but the conditions are there. The rest of the first week and into the second week is a frustrating pattern: clean mornings, blown-out afternoons. The swell sticks around, with size bumping up to 5ft and 6ft, and even hitting 7ft on Wednesday the 9th morning, but that underlying cross-shore wind is a constant problem.

Now, for the real standout. Keep your eyes on Sunday the 13th of September. The morning session is looking excellent for experienced surfers. We’ve got a clean, cross-off breeze with a gentle breeze, and a 5ft SW swell (17 seconds) charging in with a massive energy reading of 1970. This is the best the window has to offer, no question. The swell direction is right on the money for Baya Reef, and the long period will make for some beautiful, powerful lines. The afternoon will get messy, but that morning window is a gem.

The following week continues with surfable mornings, but the wind is never quite as good. The swell does drop off a bit by the end of the window, with the 18th of September showing a 4ft SW swell, but the energy is fading.

One thing to note: the water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Alright, that’s the long view. It’s a waiting game for that Sunday morning, but it could be worth the wait.

Rusty.

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