Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a tricky window for Baya Reef. This is a reef setup, so it’s one for the advanced crew only. The water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is bang on average for this time of year—no surprises there.

We’re kicking off on Sunday the 5th of July, and honestly, it’s a bit of a slow burner. Sunday morning has a 6ft swell from the SSW with a 14-second period, but the wind is cross-on from the SSW at 6 mph, making it messy. The combined energy is strong at 1284, but with that cross-on breeze, it’s not looking clean. Sunday afternoon goes downhill with a risk of thunderstorms and a moderate cross-shore chop.

Moving into Monday, the swell drops to 3ft in the morning, period stretches to 16 seconds, but again, cross-shore wind kills the vibe. The energy drops a bit to 1002. Not worth getting excited about.

Now, Tuesday the 7th of July is the standout. Morning session is the pick: a clean 4ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period and light cross-offshore breeze from the SE at 6 mph. Energy is moderate at 1011, and it’s labeled as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer—crisp, clean lines. The afternoon gets choppy again, so make the most of the morning.

Wednesday morning on the 8th still has some potential with a 6ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and clean conditions, but the energy jumps to a strong 1604. It’s still rideable for the advanced crew, but it’s not as clean as Tuesday. The afternoon turns into a windy mess with 22 mph cross-shore and a lumpy chop—skip that.

Thursday the 9th morning is clean again with a 5ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and gentle cross-offshore winds. Energy is moderate at 1269. It’s a solid backup, but not the top pick.

Friday the 10th morning sees a 6ft SSW swell, 16-second period, but the wind is light cross-shore, leaving small ripples on the face. Energy is strong at 1553, but the surface isn’t glassy. The afternoons stay windy and messy right through the weekend.

There’s a big gap of poor quality from the 11th right through to the 13th, with dropping swell and lumpy winds. Sunday the 12th is tiny—3ft cross-shore—and Monday the 13th sees a 4ft swell from the SSW with a very long 19-second period, energy jumps to 1402, but the wind stays cross-shore. Still not the cleanest.

Looking further out, Tuesday the 14th has a 5ft SSW swell in the morning with light winds and 1546 energy—marginal but better than the rest. Wednesday the 15th is similar, but the wind turns cross-on.

Then, Monday the 20th of July shows promise. Morning session has a 5ft SSW swell, 14-second period, light cross-offshore breeze from the SE at 6 mph, and the energy is moderate at 1043. This one’s labeled excellent for experienced surfers. It’s the other real standout, but being that far out, keep an eye on it—forecasts can shift.

Overall, there’s surf on offer, but the windows are tight. Tuesday the 7th is your best bet, with Monday the 20th as a promising long-range option. The rest of the time, it’s either too windy or just meh.

Rusty.

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