Baya Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, mate, the surf window is pretty much open from the start but it ain't all blue skies. We're looking at a solid run of south-west swell train hitting Baya Reef, but the early part of the week is a bit of a mixed bag with the wind. The tide and the wind state are going to be the real gatekeepers. The real standout is tucked away in the second week, so keep your patience.

Things start off Sunday the 19th with a 4ft SSW swell, period around 13 seconds, but it's got a cross-shore wind on it, so the surface is a bit rippled. The combined wave energy is moderate (798). Not the best start, but it's surfable. Monday the 20th sees a bump in size – 6ft from the SSW, period stretching to 16 seconds, and the morning has a clean feel with a cross-offshore breeze. The energy is getting solid (1853). That Monday morning is your first real looker.

The middle of the week, Tuesday to Thursday, is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops back to the 3ft to 5ft range, and the period goes short on Thursday, down to 9 seconds. The wind stays cross-off or cross, but the energy is low. The fresh afternoon breezes are going to chop it up. Friday the 24th is similar, with a 6ft SSE swell, but that short period means it's a bit fat and weak.

Now, Saturday the 25th morning is a real highlight. The swell is 5ft from the SSE, period is a short-ish 8 seconds, but the wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, making for clean lines. The combined energy is moderate (840) and the forecast tips it to expect very good surf conditions. That’s the one to circle for the first week.

We hit a lull on Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th with tiny 2ft swell. Tuesday the 28th is also small. A bit of a dead zone mid-week.

But then, hold onto your boardies. Monday the 3rd of August is the absolute standout. The morning brings a solid 8ft swell from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds. The wind is a whisper – a slight air from the SE, creating a cross-offshore breeze, so it’s going to be glassy. The combined energy is strong (3702). This is a proper groundswell. For a reef break like Baya, that long period means powerful, lined-up waves, but it’s going to be a challenge for anyone not advanced. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report. The crowd factor is listed as "sometimes", so you might have a few others with the same idea, but it’s a big enough reef. This is the one you want.

The week before that, on the 1st and 2nd of August, there’s some solid 8ft to 8ft SSW swell, but the wind is a bit messier. The morning of the 2nd looks decent with light winds, but the 3rd is the real prize.

So, bottom line: for the first week, hit Saturday the 25th morning. For the real, heavy, clean gem, you’re waiting for Monday the 3rd of August. That’s a session you’ll be telling stories about.

Rusty.

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