Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak, to be honest. There’s a real flat spell on the cards, and we’re going to be staring at dribble for a while. The first solid windows of surf don’t show up until the very end of the run, so you might want to get your land-based hobbies sorted.

To kick things off, we’ve got nothing on the 18th. Tuesday is a complete write-off, with some cross-onshore junk and a tiny 4ft ESE windswell. It’s messy and poor. Wednesday morning on the 19th will be glassy, but the swell is basically nothing, just 2ft. You could paddle around on a log, but it’s not going to be a surf. That calm, clean window gets blown out pretty quick as the onshore breeze picks up.

From Thursday the 20th all the way through the 30th, it’s a long stretch of tiny, weak surf. We’re looking at swells under 3ft, mostly from the east and southeast, with periods mostly under 10 seconds and occasionally up to 18 seconds but with no energy behind it. Combine that with a lot of cross-onshore winds and it’s going to be bumpy and small. The odd glassy morning will pop up, like on the 22nd and 23rd, but you’re still only looking at 0.7ft to 1ft. It’s a serious lull. The combined energy stays weak, in the double digits and low triple digits, not even reaching 100 most days. Water temp at Avoca Point (Central Coast) is 64°, which is about average for this time of year.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. The real news is the solid pulse of south swell that’s due to show up right at the end of the run, on the 31st of August and into the 1st of September.

Avoca Point (Central Coast) is the standout, no question. The morning of Monday the 31st will see the swell start to build, with about 6ft of south swell and a 10-second period. But the wind is cross-offshore and clean, so it’ll be a bit lumpy but rideable. The afternoon is where it’s at. The swell jumps to a solid 8ft from the south, with the energy reading coming in at a strong 2216. It’s going to be powerful and clean. This is a proper winter swell.

By the morning of Tuesday the 1st, the swell peaks at 10ft from the south with a 10-second period. This is the biggest of the run, but it’s a caution. At this size and with this kind of power, it’s really only for the experienced crew. It might be too big for this break, and conditions might get a bit unruly. The energy reading is through the roof at 1758.

So, my advice? Keep your eye on the 31st afternoon and the 1st morning. That’s your window. The long-range stuff is always a bit more promising than certain, so don't book the time off just yet. But if it pans out, it’ll be worth the wait.

Rusty.

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