Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at Avoca Point for the next couple of weeks.

Right from the get-go, it’s a tough stretch. Most of the time, the swell is small and the wind is junk. We kick off Sunday the 16th with some shin-high 1.3m swell from the SE, but the cross-shore wind and short 7-second period make for a real scrappy, unappealing lineup. The water is sitting at 18°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.

That poor run carries on through Monday through Saturday, with tiny swell and mostly onshore or cross-onshore breezes. There’s a brief moment early Wednesday the 19th when it goes glassy with a small 0.6m ESE swell and a longer 10-second period, but the wave energy is only weak (147), so it’s nothing to get excited about. The 21st sees a morning offshorer from the SW with a pathetic 0.7m ENE swell – clean, but barely a ripple.

Then the following week kicks in. Monday the 24th morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a tiny 0.3m swell, but it’s got a very long 19-second period which gives it more shape than you’d expect. Still, with energy that low (140), it’s more of a longboard cruise than a proper session.

Now, Tuesday the 25th morning is the one that stands out as the best bet. The swell jumps to a clean 0.8m from the S at 12 seconds, with a solid 30 km/h SW offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate (266), so there’s some push. The S direction is the optimum swell direction for this spot, so the shape should be pretty decent. This is the highlight of the whole period.

After that, it stays clean through to the end of the month but drops off in size, with some offshores and moderate energy on the 26th and 27th. The very end of the outlook, Monday the 31st afternoon, shows a big 3.0m S swell with an onshore breeze, but the forecast is shouting that it’s simply too big for this break – a warning sign, not a green light.

Overall, this is a lean couple of weeks. The best surf comes on Tuesday the 25th morning at Avoca Point with a clean offshore, S swell at 0.8m, and a 12-second period. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big. For the rest, be patient – sometimes a clean 0.3m is all you get.

- Rusty

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