Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Avoca Point. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next 16 days, so let’s get into it.

The good news is we kick off with some solid, clean surf. Thursday morning (9 July) starts with a clean 6ft SE swell, period around 10 seconds, and a light offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate at 752, and the water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty average for this time of year. That’s a fun, user-friendly size for intermediates, and the offshore breeze will have it looking like a picture. This is genuinely the best on offer for the whole period, and it’s happening right now.

Friday (10 July) keeps that energy going. Morning is similar with a 6ft SE swell and offshore wind, but the real gem is Friday afternoon. The wind drops to glassy, the swell holds at 6ft from the SE, and the energy is a solid 593. That’s about as good as it gets for a point break on a Friday. You’ll want to be in the water then.

Saturday (11 July) sees a drop in size. The morning is a smaller 3ft ESE swell with a longer 12-second period, but the wind is cross-shore. The energy is still moderate at 389, but the quality is down. Saturday afternoon turns poor with onshore wind. We then hit a long, flat spell. From Sunday (12 July) right through to the middle of the following week, the swell drops right off. You’re looking at tiny, weak waves less than 2ft for days on end. The energy numbers are weak, in the double digits, and the wind is all over the place. It’s a real dead patch.

Now, things get interesting again, but not for the faint-hearted. Starting Wednesday afternoon (15 July) we get a sudden jump to a 7ft S swell, but it’s accompanied by a near gale-force wind. The conditions are just a mess. From Thursday (16 July) through to the weekend of the 19th, we’re looking at a massive, powerful swell. The combined energy readings are in the thousands, which is very strong, with swell heights hitting 18ft from the SSE. The problem is, the wind is strong and cross-shore, creating lumpy, cross-chop conditions. The forecast notes say the swell is just too big for this break. That’s a hard pass for paddling – looks more like a kite-surfing setup if you ask me.

After that big pulse fades, we get a brief window on Monday morning (20 July). The swell drops back to a clean 6ft from the SE with glassy conditions. The energy is a nice 745. That’s a solid, clean session for a Monday, but it’s short-lived. Monday afternoon goes onshore and poor.

The final week of the outlook is a bit of a tease. Tuesday (21 July) is small and marginal. Then on Wednesday (22 July) and Thursday (23 July), we get another big swell, 10ft to 12ft, with offshore winds. The forecast says it’s too big for the break, and with that kind of size and a shorter period around 9-10 seconds, it’s going to be a wild, powerful beast, strictly for experts only. Friday (24 July) sees it drop back to a more manageable 7ft, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s only marginal.

To wrap it up, the standout sessions are this Thursday (9 July) morning and Friday (10 July) afternoon. That’s where the conditions align perfectly. The rest of the window is either flat, blown out, or far too big and messy.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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