Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Avoca Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s going to be a pretty lean stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell for most of the first week, with very little to get excited about.

For the first few days, from Friday the 21st right through to Monday the 24th of August, it’s pretty much a no-go. We’ve got tiny little windswells and a lot of onshore or cross-shore breezes messing things up. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about average for this time of year.

Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th offer a bit more size, but the wind is just not cooperating. Tuesday has a choppy onshore wind, and while Wednesday morning shows a little 3ft swell from the ENE with a light offshore breeze, it’s still very ordinary. The swell energy is moderate at best (157).

Thursday the 27th of August is actually one of the better-looking windows early on. The morning glass-off is a beauty – winds from the S at just 3 mph, making the 3ft swell from the ENE look real clean. The swell energy (140) is moderate. It’s not big, but if you’re on a longboard, that glassy morning session is going to be your best bet for a while. The afternoon gets choppy again though.

From the 28th through to the 31st of August, it’s back to small, messy, and ordinary. We’ve got a few glimmers with clean cross-off winds on Saturday the 29th afternoon, with a 4ft SSE swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s going to be soft and crumbly. Nothing to write home about.

Now, if you’ve got some patience, the standout window is shaping up for the morning of Tuesday the 1st of September. This is the one. We’ve got a 3ft S swell with a solid 11-second period (groundswell) and near-glass conditions with a light WSW breeze. The combined energy reads 212, which is a solid moderate push. For a beach and point break like Avoca Point, that S swell with a bit of length in the period should wrap in nicely and offer some clean lines. It’s the closest thing to a real surf day we’ve got. Expect some crowds though, because on a day like that, everyone will be smelling it.

After that, things drop right off again for the first week of September, with small dribblers and onshore winds taking over. One to watch is Saturday the 5th of September, where we see a 4ft ENE windswell with a short 5-second period, but clean cross-off winds from the WSW. The energy jumps to 208, so there'll be some push, but that period is way too short for a point break to hold shape – it’ll be a bumpy, crumbly mess.

So to wrap it up: the next week and a half is full of small, windy, ordinary conditions. Don’t fight it. Circle the morning of Tuesday the 1st of September for the best chance of a proper wave. It’s still a week out, so keep an eye on it, but that’s your target.

Rusty.

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