Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Avoca Point.

Right now it’s a bit of a mixed bag. Wednesday morning the 9th brings some small waist-high S swell at 3ft, period around 8 seconds, combined wave energy at 202 (moderate). The cross-off wind from the SSW at 9 mph will keep it clean enough for a paddle, but it’s nothing to get excited about. That afternoon, the wind cranks up to 25 mph from the S, pushing the swell to 8ft, but it’s a messy, powerful thing – not for the average punter, conditions are poor. Thursday hangs in there with solid 8ft S swell in the morning, dropping slightly to 8ft in the arvo. Combined energy hits 2143 (very strong) in the morning, plenty of power, but the cross-off wind and marginal tide comment means quality is questionable. A big, powerful swell like that at a beach and point setup might have the kites out if it gets too bumpy.

Friday morning the 11th is where it starts to look better. We get a clean 6ft SSE swell, period 10 seconds, energy 546 (moderate) – nothing massive, but the wind goes offshore from the SW at 9 mph, gentle breeze, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a solid morning session. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have company. Saturday morning the 12th is still decent, with 4ft SSE swell and light 3 mph cross-off wind, energy at 399 (moderate) – clean and fun for a longboard.

Then we hit a long gap. From Saturday afternoon through to Tuesday the 15th, it’s mostly onshore wind, small weak swell under 3ft, and energy dropping below 160 (weak). A few days of flatness and poor conditions. Tuesday afternoon the 15th sees a short-period 6ft SSE pulse at 6 seconds, energy 215 (moderate), but it’s a windswell with marginal tide – not the kind of wave that holds together.

The first true standout comes on Wednesday morning the 16th. Glassy conditions – zero wind, dead calm – with a 3ft S swell, but the period stretches to 13 seconds. That’s a groundswell, long period, combined energy 594 (moderate). The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a clean, lined-up wave with easy paddling between sets. For a point break like Avoca Point, that long period stuff will wrap in nicely. This is the best session on offer, no question.

After that, we slide into a second week of mostly poor options. Thursday the 17th has a 3ft S swell and cross-off wind, but energy drops to 205 (weak) and it’s marginal. The rest of the week through to the 24th is full of small, weak swells under 3ft, onshore or cross winds, and combined energy mostly below 200 (weak). There’s a weird one on Monday the 21st – a 10ft SSE swell with energy 2035 (very strong), but the finder notes it’s “predicted to be too big for this break” – that’s expert-only territory, and with a NE onshore wind, it’ll be a washing machine. Not recommended.

For the second week, if you’re chasing anything, the Wednesday the 16th morning glass-off is the clear standout. The rest of that week is small, inconsistent, and mostly blown out. The final few days from the 22nd onwards are a write-off.

Water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

So, your best bet: Wednesday morning the 16th at Avoca Point. Glassy, long-period 3ft S swell, clean as a whistle. Get on it.

Rusty.

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