Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up at Avoca Point.

The next 16 days start off pretty quiet, with a real gap in decent surf. From today through the end of the week, it’s mostly small, weak, and messy. Monday (14th) has tiny 2-2 ft swell from the south with onshore and cross-on breezes – not worth paddling out. Tuesday (15th) cleans up a little with light offshore wind, but the swell is microscopic from the northeast at under 2 ft and period is a weak 7 seconds. That’s barely surfable.

Wednesday morning (16th) is where things get interesting, but it’s not for everyone. The swell jumps to 10 ft from the south, period 9 seconds, with a strong SSW offshore wind making the surface clean. The combined swell energy is strong (1385). That said, this is too big for beginners – only experienced surfers should be looking at it. By Wednesday afternoon the swell pushes 12 ft with more energy (2300) but the wind swings cross-off, so still clean but even bigger.

Thursday morning (17th) is the true standout of this outlook. Avoca Point sees a solid 12 ft south swell, 10-second period, under SSW offshore wind. The combined swell energy hits a very strong 4305 – there’s serious power in the water. This is expert territory, but for those with the skills, the conditions are clean and favorable. Thursday afternoon the swell drops slightly to 8 ft, still decent for experienced surfers, with lighter cross-off wind and moderate wave energy (1032).

Friday morning (18th) offers a bit of relief for intermediate surfers. The swell settles to 5 ft from the SSE, period 9 seconds, with glassy conditions – that’s near-perfect clean surf. Combined energy is moderate (316). Crowds are possible here at times, so expect some company if you head out. By the afternoon, onshore wind messes it up.

Then we hit another dry spell. Saturday (19th) has a tiny 2 ft long-period groundswell (17 seconds) early with light offshore wind, but it’s weak (280 energy) and barely breaking. The rest of the weekend through the middle of next week is mostly poor surf – onshore winds, small weak swell, and inconsistent energy.

Next Monday (21st) is another big swell event – 12 ft south swell, 10-second period, with strong combined energy (2608) and clean cross-off wind in the morning. Again, this is expert-only size. Tuesday (22nd) drops to 6 ft but onshore wind ruins it.

Toward the end of the month, there’s a little window on Thursday (24th) with 3-4 ft swell and light cross-off wind, but the period is short (5-8 seconds) and energy is weak to moderate (116-143). Surfable but ordinary.

The last few days from Friday (25th) onward are mostly poor with onshore winds and very small swell, except Saturday (26th) morning which has offshore wind but only 4 ft from the northeast and weak energy (233) – not much to write home about.

So overall, the best call is Thursday morning (17th) for expert surfers with that big 12 ft south swell and clean offshore wind – it’s the real standout. For intermediates, Friday morning (18th) with the 5 ft glassy SSE swell is your best bet, though expect some company.

Keep in mind, long-range standouts like the Thursday morning session are promising but a bit less certain this far out. Stay tuned.

- Rusty

Read more