Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for Avoca Point. The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, but there are definitely some windows of opportunity if you’re patient.

The immediate start is a bit of a letdown. Sunday morning (6th September) is a no-go with tiny 1ft swell from the NE and a stiff SW wind. The energy is a measly 21—weak as. It’s not worth paddling out for.

Monday morning (7th September) is where things start to get interesting. The wind goes glassy, N at 5 km/h, which is a major positive. We’re looking at a clean 5ft SSE swell, period of 8 seconds, with moderate wave energy (267). It’s not huge, but it’s clean and rideable. This is a good little session for the intermediate crew.

Tuesday morning (8th September) sees the swell jump to 8ft from the S, period 9 seconds, and the energy is massive at 2082. The wind is a cross-off S at 20 km/h, so it’s clean. But at 8ft, this is pushing into expert territory—too big for the beginners. The afternoon drops to 7ft with a light SE cross-breeze, still a bit of size.

The real standout in the first week is Thursday morning (10th September). The swell builds to a solid 10ft from the S, at 10 seconds, with energy hitting 3059—strong. The wind is offshore from the SSW at 20 km/h, meaning it will be glassy clean. This is the pick of the first week, but it’s only for experienced surfers. That size is no joke.

Friday morning (11th September) is also a good call. The swell holds at 7ft from the S, period 10 seconds, with a light offshore SW wind at 10 km/h. Energy is 974, solid moderate. Clean and punchy—another good expert session.

We then hit a dry spell from Sunday (13th September) through to Tuesday (15th September). The swell drops off, winds turn onshore, and conditions go poor. A gap of about three days with nothing worth chasing.

The next big highlight is a long-range promise. Friday morning (18th September) and Saturday morning (19th September) are both huge. Friday sees a massive 16ft S swell, period 12-13 seconds, with energy over 12,000—very strong. Saturday morning is a bit smaller at 8ft from the SSE, period 12 seconds, with glassy conditions (ENE 0 km/h). The Saturday morning session is described as excellent for experienced surfers, and it’s a long-period groundswell. That kind of period at a beach-and-point setup like Avoca Point can make the waves a bit straight, but the glassy wind more than makes up for it. This is the standout of the whole forecast, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on the updates.

The water temp is sitting at 65°F, with an anomaly of 0.5°F, so it’s about average for this time of year. Crowds? Avoca Point can get busy sometimes, so if you’re heading out for the Monday or Thursday sessions, expect some company.

Overall, the best bets are Thursday 10th for a solid, clean swell, and Saturday 19th for a glassy, long-period groundswell. The rest is a waiting game.

Stay stoked.
Rusty

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