
Surf Forecasts:
Avoca Point surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SSE swell with 1,154 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avoca Point this week:
The surf forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Avoca Point in the next 16 days are 2.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, mate. Rusty here, and I’ve got one spot on the radar for the next couple weeks. Let’s break it down.
We’re looking at Avoca Point, a beach and point set-up that’s fairly consistent and exposed to swell. The water temp right now is about average for the time of year, sitting at 66°F.
The action kicks off Wednesday morning, July 8th, with a solid pulse. We’re talking an 8 ft SE swell, but this is a long-period groundswell at 10 seconds, wrapping in with a combined energy of 1604 (moderate to strong). That’s a hefty amount of power, and it’s blowing a gentle offshore from the SSW, making for clean conditions. This is not for the faint-hearted – at this size, it’s strictly for experienced surfers. The morning is the pick, but the afternoon sees the wind shift to a moderate cross-off and the tide may get a little questionable.
Thursday the 9th drops a notch to a more manageable 6 ft from the SE, still with a nice 10-second period and a moderate wave energy (793). Morning offshore winds keep it clean, and the afternoon turns cross-off. Still very good, but the score suggests it’s not the standout of the window.
Friday the 10th is where we get a real gem. The swell drops again to 5 ft from the SE, period 9 seconds, and the combined energy is 537 (moderate). But the wind – oh, the wind. Friday afternoon goes glassy. Absolutely flat calm. That’s a major positive for clean, peeling waves. The morning has a gentle offshore. This is the best on offer for the first week – a classic small-wave window with perfect conditions.
Saturday the 11th sees the swell fade to 4 ft, wind goes cross, and conditions get marginal. From there, the surf drops off a cliff. Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 15th of July is a dead zone – poor conditions, weak energy (down to single and double-digit figures), and nothing worth paddling out for. A big gap of a few days with no recommendations.
Then, look out for Thursday the 16th. A new SSW groundswell arrives, a proper 7 ft from the south with an 11-second period and combined energy of 1612 (moderate to strong). Moderate offshore winds from the SW keep it clean. This is the standout of the second week. It’s big, it’s strong, and it’s clean. Again, for experienced surfers only.
Friday the 17th is even bigger – 10 ft from the south, but the forecast flags that this is too big for the break, even if the winds are favorable. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it might be a washing machine.
Saturday the 18th drops back to 6 ft from the south, with a light cross-off wind and moderate energy (819). Very good conditions, but the week after that fades again into small, marginal or poor surf.
So, bottom line: the first week’s standout is Friday the 10th afternoon for the glassy, clean small waves. The second week’s standout is Thursday the 16th morning for the powerful, clean big swell. The rest is a mix of OK and not-worth-it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1351 | 1227 | 846 | 614 | 614 | 440 | 382 | 469 | 365 | 172 | 133 | 114 | 85 | 38 | 18 | 43 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 39 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:29PM1.32m | 2:28AM1.10m | 3:27PM1.41m | 3:43AM1.05m | 4:25PM1.52m | 4:58AM1.04m | 5:23PM1.62m | 6:07AM1.06m | 6:19PM1.72m | 7:09AM1.09m | 7:13PM1.80m | 8:04AM1.13m | 8:04PM1.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:45PM0.47m | 8:40AM0.28m | 10:01PM0.39m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.28m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.16m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 8 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 8 |
1351 | 1227 | 846 | 614 | 614 | 440 | 382 | 469 | 365 | 172 | 132 | 114 | 85 | 38 | 9 | 43 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | SE 12 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | S 12 | E 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 11 |
253 | 335 | 294 | 173 | 38 | 64 | 148 | 9 | 19 | 164 | 133 | 45 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 39 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | — | S 16 | S 19 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | — | S 6 | S 12 | — | ESE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
— | — | 4 | 6 | — | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 | NNE 3 | NW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | 7 | 1 | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 243 | 22 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avoca Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avoca Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avoca Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avoca Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avoca Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avoca Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avoca Point is 16 km (10 miles) from Central Coast. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Central Coast. Central Coast has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










