Avoca Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.48° S 151.45° E

Issued: 3 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Avoca Point sea temperature is
19.0° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Avoca Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Avoca Point surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,586 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avoca Point this week:

The surf forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Avoca Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 6th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 6th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 7th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve had a good look at what’s coming up for Avoca Point.

Right off the bat, we’ve got some serious size rolling in, but it’s not for everyone. The early part of the week is pumping but way too powerful for the average punter. The first real standout is a ways off, on Thursday morning, July 9th. That’s where the magic happens. The swell drops to a manageable and clean 5ft from the SSE, and the wind goes glassy – absolute perfection. The combined energy is still solid at (786), so there's plenty of push, but it won’t be a washing machine. This is the one to circle on your calendar.

The run-up to that is heavy. Monday afternoon, July 6th kicks off with a thumping 10ft SSE swell (1508 energy) and a fresh cross-off breeze. It’s clean, but at that size, this beach and point setup is strictly for the experienced crew. Same story rolls into Tuesday, July 7th – we’re looking at 10ft to 12ft SE swells, with energy peaking at a massive (2591) by Tuesday afternoon. The wind stays cross-off, but it’s howling at 19 mph. This is big, raw ocean. Not a beginner’s playground.

We get a little respite Wednesday, July 8th, but it’s marginal – 8ft dropping to 8ft with a cross-off breeze, but the forecast isn’t singing about quality. Then we hit that glassy Thursday I mentioned. That 5ft SSE swell with zero wind is the gold standard. Friday, July 10th, is also worth a paddle, with 5ft SE swell and glassy conditions again in the afternoon, plus a lighter cross-off in the morning. Solid.

The weekend fades out. Saturday, July 11th is small and average, and by Sunday, July 12th, we’re down to under 3 feet. The whole of the following week looks flat or very ordinary, with a few knee-high days of 3ft swell and clean but weak conditions. A bit of a dead spell.

But hold on – there’s a long-range promise that has me pacing. On Friday, July 17th, a solid 7ft S groundswell (991 energy) rolls in with a light offshore breeze in the morning. That’s a proper pulse, and if the forecast holds, it’ll be a beauty. The next day, Saturday, July 18th, still has 5ft SSE swell, but the wind goes cross-on, killing the vibe.

Then, for the brave, Tuesday, July 21st serves up a monster: a 13ft S swell with an incredible (4357) energy reading. It’s clean with a fresh cross-off, but honestly, that is only for the elite. Massive and powerful.

So, to sum it up: the clear winner is Thursday morning, July 9th at Avoca Point – glassy, clean, and a solid 5ft SSE swell. The water’s sitting at about 66°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Get in there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
!
!
3
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
2.4
SE
10
2
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
9
0.4
ESE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1478
1675
1803
2586
2058
1418
1204
909
402
531
440
405
459
373
230
168
206
135
94
50
30
Wind (km/h)
25
SSE
25
S
25
S
30
S
20
SSE
15
S
25
SSW
20
SSW
5
WSW
0
SSE
5
W
10
WSW
0
E
10
NW
10
NNW
25
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:24AM1.28m
1:34PM1.24m
1:20AM1.18m
2:29PM1.32m
2:28AM1.10m
3:27PM1.41m
3:43AM1.05m
4:25PM1.52m
4:58AM1.04m
5:23PM1.62m
6:07AM1.06m
6:19PM1.72m
7:09AM1.09m
Low Tide
6:25PM0.51m
7:00AM0.22m
7:31PM0.51m
7:47AM0.25m
8:45PM0.47m
8:40AM0.28m
10:01PM0.39m
9:38AM0.30m
11:12PM0.28m
10:39AM0.30m
00:15AM0.16m
11:38AM0.29m
1:13AM0.05m
12:36PM0.26m
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
 mm
2
4
1
2
2
3
2
10
4
2
4
3
Temp °C
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
13
15
14
15
15
14
18
15
13
18
16
12
16
Feels °C
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
11
12
14
13
14
14
12
15
10
9
13
10
7
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
14
1
SE
14
0.1
S
16
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
2.4
SE
10
1.7
ESE
10
1.5
ESE
9
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
9
0.4
SSW
7
Energy kJ
15
357
5
2058
1418
1204
587
378
531
440
405
459
373
230
168
206
135
94
50
15
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
14
0.7
ESE
14
1
ESE
13
1.5
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
19
0.5
ESE
13
0.7
ESE
12
0.7
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.3
SSW
5
0.4
ESE
9
Energy kJ
15
173
307
485
402
39
5
7
7
7
98
125
62
27
16
6
30
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
16
0.2
SSE
8
0.1
SE
7
Energy kJ
4
6
6
8
4
4
4
4
5
6
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SE
11
2
SSE
11
0.3
WNW
2
0.4
NW
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.5
WSW
3
0.5
W
3
0.6
NW
3
Energy kJ
1478
1675
1803
2586
909
1
2
3
5
5
6
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
151
26
26
116
116
3
26
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
6
15
1
248
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
7
7
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
9
8
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
8
7
5
6
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Avoca Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Avoca Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avoca Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avoca Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avoca Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avoca Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Avoca Point is 16 km (10 miles) from Central Coast. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Central Coast. Central Coast has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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