Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s have a look at what Avoca Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. The forecast kicks off with a bit of a flat spell, so don’t expect much for the first day or so. The real action starts building from Wednesday the 15th.

Wednesday the 15th sees a jump in size with a solid 8 ft swell coming from the south. The morning looks promising with a clean offshore wind (SW 25 km/h) keeping things tidy. The wave energy is moderate (1,029). That said, with the swell coming straight from the south, it’s not the optimum direction for this spot (which prefers east), so it might be a bit raw. That 8 ft is getting up there – definitely for the experienced crew only. The afternoon wind swings to a cross-off, still manageable but a bit stronger.

By Thursday the 16th, we’re still seeing 7 ft of south swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-off from the south, so it’s not clean as a whistle. Wave energy is moderate (519). The quality is a bit marginal, with some rain around. It’s a bit of a messy one.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th drop right back in size (3 ft to 4 ft), but the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, so the surf is pretty poor and not worth getting excited about. The energy levels are weak (91–226). A bit of a flat, choppy patch.

Now, Sunday the 19th looks like a bit of a turnaround. We’ve got a 6 ft to 6 ft easterly swell rolling in, and the period is a decent 10 seconds. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so there’s a little bump on it. The wave energy is moderate (658–847). It’s still a bit marginal, but better than what we’ve had.

Monday the 20th holds similar size (5 ft) from the east, but it’s cross-on so the surface won’t be perfect.

The first real standout is Tuesday the 21st in the morning. It’s not huge – just 4 ft of east-northeast swell – but the wind is dead glassy (NW 5 km/h). That’s a massive positive. The wave energy is moderate (337). For a break that can get a bit tricky, this window is your best shot at clean, lined-up waves for the intermediate surfer.

Then there’s a bit of a lull again until Thursday the 23rd morning, which is the next true highlight. We’ve got a 5 ft easterly swell, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s a lovely groundswell full of energy (907). The wind is glassy again (WNW 5 km/h). This is proper, clean surf, but that longer period might make it a little walled-up for the beach break, so look for the point. Definitely the pick of the second week, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

Friday the 24th morning also looks tidy with 5 ft east swell and a light cross-off breeze, but the afternoon turns onshore.

Saturday the 25th morning has 5 ft east swell (period 12 seconds) with a solid offshore wind (SW 25 km/h), so it’ll be clean and powerful. Wave energy is strong (729). Again, it’s a week and a half out, so promising but not locked in.

The rest of the run into the end of the period sees size fluctuating, but the winds start to get stronger and more cross, so the quality dips. The 28th morning looks okay with 5 ft south swell and a gentle cross-off, but overall, the really good windows are limited.

So, if you want the cleanest waves, mark your calendar for the morning of Tuesday the 21st and the morning of Thursday the 23rd. The 23rd has the most power. Everything else is a bit of a gamble with the wind and sub-optimal swell angles.

Rusty.

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