Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, let’s talk about Avoca Point. Things are a bit quiet for the next few days, but the story builds towards some very solid energy later on. The water temp is sitting right around 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first bit of the week is a write-off, honestly. Sunday the 12th has a small 3ft of swell from the ESE, but that 19 mph WNW wind is just making a mess of it. Monday and Tuesday are even smaller, with barely a ripple. You’ll be watching the horizon and seeing nothing. There’s a proper gap here until things start to wake up.

Wednesday the 15th sees a jump in size, but it’s a messy 6ft of short-period S swell (7 seconds) and the wind is still cross-off at 16 mph. The energy is moderate (454), but the quality is poor. Thursday the 16th is still rough, though the afternoon shows a 4ft with a light breeze and a score that suggests the conditions are starting to tidy up. Friday the 17th through Saturday the 18th stays in the 5ft to 7ft range, with moderate energy (up to 617), but the wind is pretty much always cross-off and the surf is just marginal.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 19th is the real standout. You’re looking at a solid 8ft of east groundswell, with a long 11-second period and a very strong combined energy reading (1662 to 1741). The wind is a gentle cross-off, 9 mph from the SSW, which will keep it clean. This is expert territory at that size, but for those who can handle it, the lines are going to be proper. The swell direction is east, and the optimum swell direction for Avoca Point is east, so that’s a perfect match.

The following week is still promising. Monday the 20th holds 7ft of east swell, but the wind goes cross and then onshore, so it’s a bit of a gamble. Tuesday the 21st back to 6ft with a clean cross-off breeze, a solid option. The next big one to circle is Wednesday the 22nd: 5ft of east swell, but with a very long 12-second period and a light 6 mph cross-off wind. The energy is strong (1130), and the conditions are excellent. That’s a top-tier morning for the experienced crew.

After that, the swell switches back to the south from Thursday the 23rd, with a big pulse of 7ft and a very strong energy of 1796, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s not as clean. The tail end of the window, Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th, sees the swell dropping back down to 4ft and below, with strong WNW winds making it a poor finish.

So, the best bet is without a doubt Sunday the 19th for the big, clean east swell, and Wednesday the 22nd as a very close second for the long-period groundswell with glassy conditions. Crowds are a possibility at Avoca Point, so get in early. The rest of the time is either a wait or a gamble.

Rusty.

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