Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of swell heading into Avoca Point, but it’s gonna start with a bit of a ugly roar. The first decent surf kicks off Sunday morning, July 5th, with a thumping 10ft south swell at 11 seconds, and the ocean is absolutely pumping with strong wave energy (2304). The wind is offshore from the SSW, so it’ll be clean, but honestly, this swell is too big for the break – it’s gonna be a wall of white water even for experienced surfers. The water temp is 67°, which is about normal for this time of year.

The swell stays big through Monday and Tuesday, holding around 8ft to 12ft from the SSE, with wave energy climbing into the extreme range (up to 5153 on Tuesday afternoon). The wind is cross-offshore, so it stays clean, but swells over 8ft are strictly for experts only. By Wednesday morning, the swell drops to 8ft with a fresh offshore breeze, and the wave energy is still strong (3142), but it’s still a bit heavy for the average punter.

Things start to get a whole lot more interesting by Thursday, July 9th. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft from the SE with a 10-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the SSW. The wave energy is moderate (880), and the feel is right. Friday is even better: a 6-6ft SE swell, clean conditions with light offshore winds, and the wave energy is still moderate (592-626). This is the sweet spot—clean, chest-to-head-high waves, with that long period giving them shape. Saturday morning, July 11th, is the last decent call, with a 4ft SE swell, glassy conditions, and light wind, but the energy is dropping (387).

After that, it’s a long, flat spell. From Sunday, July 12th, right through to the end of the outlook on Monday, July 20th, the swell drops away to nothing. Heights are under 3ft, often as low as 0.7-1ft, with wave energy going from weak (155) down to bugger-all (14). The winds are a mix of junk, mostly cross-onshore or cross-off, but with no swell, it’s not worth paddling out. This is a proper drought of surf for over a week.

The standout by far is Friday, July 10th. That day delivers a clean, shoulder-high SE swell with light offshore winds and moderate energy. It’s the most user-friendly size and the most consistent quality. Wednesday the 8th morning is also worth a look if you’re an expert, with that 8ft swell and offshore wind, but it’s pushing the limit.

If you’re after a paddle, aim for Thursday the 9th or Friday the 10th. After that, it’s a long dry spell. The setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during the big, windy days early on.

Rusty.

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