Surf Forecasts:
Avoca Point surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,642 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avoca Point this week:
The surf forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Avoca Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat about what’s on the menu for Avoca Point.
Right now, it’s a slow start. The next few days—Sunday 13th through Monday 14th of September—are total duds, with onshore wind and messy slop. On Tuesday 15th, there’s a tiny chance at surfable but ordinary 2ft ENE swell, but it’s weak and short-period, so not worth paddling for. We’re sitting through a dry spell until the big stuff hits.
The standout is Wednesday 16th September, but it’s a double-edged sword. A serious southerly swell rolls in, hitting 10ft on Wednesday morning and 12ft in the afternoon, with moderate to strong wave energy (1344 to 2589). The wind is offshore in the morning (SSW at 22 mph) turning cross-off in the arvo, so it’s clean, but this is too big for most. Over 8ft, this is expert-only territory. The swell is from the S, not matching the ideal E, so the point isn’t loving it—the forecast says it’s actually too big for this break. If you’re a big-wave nut with a gun, go for it in the morning. Everyone else, grab a towel and watch. Thursday 17th stays massive at 10–12ft with cross-off winds, still expert-only.
After that, things calm down. Friday 18th September morning is pure gold: glassy with a light NNE breeze, 4ft of S swell at 9 seconds, and moderate energy (394). This is perfect for intermediates—clean, fun, and not too heavy. Saturday 19th September morning is similar, glassy with 3ft ESE swell at a longer 11 seconds, energy of 455. That longer period will groom the point nicely. Those two mornings are the best of the whole 16-day run.
The second week fades out. Sunday 20th is tiny at 1ft, glassy but barely worth a paddle. From Monday 21st through Thursday 24th, it’s mostly poor with onshore or cross winds and small, weak swell. Friday 25th morning has a brief glassy 2ft, but it’s ordinary. Saturday 26th sees a bump to 5–6ft from the NE, but it’s onshore and messy. Sunday 27th morning offers clean 3ft with a light offshore SW wind, but it’s still ordinary. The last day, Monday 28th, has a 7ft S swell with cross winds—marginal at best.
Overall, the week of the 16th is the main show, with a massive pulse that’s only for experts, then Friday 18th and Saturday 19th mornings are the real winners for everyone else. Water temp is about average for this time of year—nothing wild. The long-range for Monday 28th is worth a glance but don’t hold your breath.
Stay sharp, and I’ll catch you out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat night, fresh winds from the NNE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 148 | 113 | 141 | 167 | 121 | 83 | 183 | 40 | 20 | 488 | 1320 | 2573 | 2590 | 2021 | 1406 | 637 | 247 | 207 | 352 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:21AM1.47m | 9:35PM1.36m | 9:58AM1.47m | 10:15PM1.23m | 10:35AM1.44m | 10:57PM1.11m | 11:15AM1.38m | 11:42PM0.99m | 12:00PM1.32m | 00:38AM0.91m | 12:56PM1.26m | 1:52AM0.85m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:08AM0.12m | 3:32PM0.19m | 3:40AM0.19m | 4:17PM0.23m | 4:11AM0.28m | 5:03PM0.30m | 4:44AM0.37m | 5:54PM0.38m | 5:20AM0.46m | 6:53PM0.45m | 6:04AM0.53m | 8:05PM0.49m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | ENE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | E 14 | ENE 13 | NE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 9 | S 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 148 | 113 | 141 | 80 | 121 | 83 | 71 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 637 | 247 | 207 | 352 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 5 | E 13 | S 10 | ENE 6 | E 13 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 14 | ENE 14 | — | — | S 19 | NE 13 | E 13 | ESE 8 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 23 | 9 | 13 | 100 | 33 | 12 | 33 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 20 | — | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | 126 | 148 | 115 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 20 | SSE 17 | ENE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | — | E 12 | E 13 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 10 | S 18 | SSE 17 |
| kJ | 129 | 59 | 17 | 13 | 13 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 24 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | SSE 4 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | NE 3 |
| kJ | 49 | 19 | 44 | 167 | 72 | 57 | 183 | — | 19 | 488 | 1320 | 2573 | 2590 | 2021 | 1406 | — | — | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 151 | 110 | 806 | 762 | 223 | 26 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Avoca Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Avoca Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avoca Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avoca Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avoca Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avoca Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avoca Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avoca Point is 16 km (10 miles) from Central Coast. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Central Coast. Central Coast has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest