Surf Forecasts:
Avoca Point surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,756 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avoca Point this week:
The surf forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Avoca Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks at Avoca Point.
Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a bust. Small surf and the wind’s mostly junk. You’re gonna have to be patient.
We kick off on Friday the 11th. A total washout – a sloppy 5ft SSE swell with no quality. Don’t even think about it.
Saturday the 12th morning, there’s a tiny window. The swell drops to 4ft from the SSE, but the wind is glassy. That’s a huge plus. The water is about 64°, which is standard for this time of year. It’s small, but it’ll be a clean little session. After that, the wind turns onshore and it’s game over.
From Saturday afternoon straight through Monday the 14th, it’s all bad. Onshore wind, weak little waves. Not worth your time.
Tuesday the 15th is tiny, with a weak NE swell and a combined energy rating of just 65 – that’s weak sauce. The wind is cross-off in the morning, so it’ll be clean, but you’ll be hunting for anything to ride.
Now, mark your calendar for Wednesday the 16th because things get serious. A solid 10ft to 12ft S swell rolls in, with energy readings in the thousands (1655 to 2640) – that’s powerful. The wind is clean cross-off, but the data warns us: this swell is too big for this spot. This is for experts only, big-wave territory. If you’ve got the stones for it, this is your standout session. For everyone else, it’s a spectator sport.
Thursday the 17th morning keeps the size coming with a 10ft S swell and glassy offshore wind. Again, it’s massive (energy at 2744), strictly for the brave. The afternoon drops to a more manageable 7ft from the SSE, but the wind goes cross-shore and messes with the shape.
After that big pulse, it fades quickly. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are small and average. Sunday the 20th is barely a ripple, under 2ft.
The second week is quiet with no real standout days. There’s a little bump in energy around Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th, with a 7ft E swell and a promising 6ft ENE swell on the 25th morning. That Friday morning has glassy conditions, so if it holds up, it could be a clean, fun session. But it’s a long way out and the period is short (8 seconds), so don’t bet the farm on it.
Bottom line: if you’re a big-wave charger, the 16th and 17th mornings are your time. For the rest of us, cross your fingers for the 25th.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 6 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 259 | 220 | 238 | 148 | 113 | 141 | 206 | 121 | 93 | 136 | 47 | 20 | 440 | 1288 | 2756 | 2695 | 2110 | 1207 | 579 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:45AM1.43m | 8:56PM1.48m | 9:21AM1.47m | 9:35PM1.36m | 9:58AM1.47m | 10:15PM1.23m | 10:35AM1.44m | 10:57PM1.11m | 11:15AM1.38m | 11:42PM0.99m | 12:00PM1.32m | 00:38AM0.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.16m | 3:08AM0.12m | 3:32PM0.19m | 3:40AM0.19m | 4:17PM0.23m | 4:11AM0.28m | 5:03PM0.30m | 4:44AM0.37m | 5:54PM0.38m | 5:20AM0.46m | 6:53PM0.45m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | |  | | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | |
 | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 7 | S 16 | — | NE 13 | S 10 | S 18 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 259 | 220 | 238 | 148 | 113 | 141 | 91 | 121 | 42 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 5 | — | 7 | 1763 | 25 | 579 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 20 | ENE 5 | E 13 | S 10 | ENE 6 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | 35 | 122 | 117 | 129 | 9 | 13 | 102 | 32 | 83 | 49 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 17 | ENE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 13 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | — | NE 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 3 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 6 | WSW 2 | ESE 4 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 22 | 21 | 34 | 206 | 82 | 93 | 136 | 1 | 10 | 440 | 1288 | 2756 | 2695 | 2110 | 1207 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 351 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1328 | 110 | 585 | 762 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avoca Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avoca Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avoca Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avoca Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avoca Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avoca Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avoca Point is 16 km (10 miles) from Central Coast. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Central Coast. Central Coast has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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