Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and here’s how it’s looking at Avoca Point through the next couple weeks.

The 16-day window starts with a big southerly swell, but it’s too much for this spot. Wednesday the 16th has 10ft S swell with a 10-second period, combined energy at 1771—strong stuff. Offshore wind from the SSW at 22 mph keeps it clean, but that size is just too big for Avoca Point, even for experienced surfers. Not the day to paddle out unless you’re a real charger.

Thursday the 17th morning stays big with 10ft S swell, energy up to 3232, and moderate offshore winds from the SSW at 16 mph. Still too big. But Thursday afternoon turns it around. Swell drops to 7ft from the SSE at 9 seconds, energy eases to 819, and wind goes light from the SSE at 6 mph, cross-offshore. Clean, powerful waves that are actually manageable for intermediates—this is the standout of the run. Water temp is 64°, about average for the time of year.

Friday morning the 18th is a beauty. Swell down to 5ft from the S at 9 seconds, combined energy 448, and glassy conditions—dead calm from the NE at 3 mph. Clean, fun waves, perfect for a long session. But by Friday afternoon, the breeze comes onshore from the NE at 12 mph and ruins it, so get out early.

Saturday the 19th morning offers small 3ft S swell at 9 seconds, with gentle offshore winds from the WSW at 9 mph, giving you clean little waves (energy 227). It’s small but rideable. Afternoon goes onshore, so morning’s the move.

From Sunday the 20th through the end of the month, it’s mostly poor. Swell stays tiny, often under 3ft, and when there’s a little push, the wind is onshore or messy. Monday the 21st morning has 2ft S swell at 10 seconds and a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW (energy 102), but it’s very ordinary. Tuesday the 22nd has some size—6ft–6ft from the SSE with short 7-second period—but it’s blown out by fresh SSE winds at 19 mph, making for poor conditions.

Late in the run, Tuesday the 29th afternoon shows a glimmer: 4ft ENE swell, light cross-offshore wind from the S at 3 mph (energy 175), but just surfable. Then Wednesday the 30th morning comes through with 5ft NE swell at a short 6-second period, light cross-offshore wind from the W at 3 mph, energy 238, and the call is “good surf conditions.” That’s promising but far out, so don’t count on it yet.

Best bets are Thursday afternoon the 17th and Friday morning the 18th—clean, solid, and fun. After that, it’s a long quiet spell until maybe the 30th. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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