Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I'll be straight with you – this stretch of coast is going to test your patience. There's a lot of nothing, some decent windows, and then a massive pulse that's going to be way too much for most. Let's get into it.

The overall pattern is slow, with a few short-lived windows of clean, small surf, and then a serious spike of big swell right at the end of the month. The first week is a bit of a write-off, so don't bother checking the buoys.

We're starting with a bit of a gap. The first real chance to get wet is Saturday afternoon, the 15th. Avoca Point is showing 5ft of south swell, but it's carrying a short 8-second period. The wind is cross-off from the south at 9 mph, which will keep it clean, but the energy is only moderate (632). The water temp is 64°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year, so pretty average.

Monday morning, the 17th, is the first true standout. The wind goes glassy from the ESE at just 3 mph, making for perfect conditions. The swell has dropped to 3ft from the south, with a period of 9 seconds. The energy is moderate (201). It's small, but with clean conditions and a bit of period, it'll be fun on a longboard. Crowds are possible here.

Then we hit a long, dry spell. From Tuesday the 18th all the way through to Saturday the 22nd, it's a real struggle. The wind is messy, the swell is small and weak, and the recommendations are all zero. It's a solid five-day stretch with nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, the next interesting window is Sunday morning, the 23rd. A new groundswell arrives, pushing 4ft from the south with a very long 12-second period. The energy is solid (413). The wind is offshore from the WSW at 6 mph, so it's clean. This is a good one for a point break or reef, as that long period might make the beach break sectiony. Crowds are still possible.

Wednesday morning, the 26th, is where things get serious. The swell jumps to 8ft from the south, with a 10-second period and a massive energy reading of 1029. The wind is offshore from the SW at 12 mph, making for clean, powerful waves. This is for experienced surfers only – it's over 8ft. It's a true standout for the big-wave crew.

After that, it just gets bigger. From Wednesday afternoon through to Saturday the 29th, the swell is pumping 10ft to 16ft from the south and SSE. The energy readings are off the charts (up to 11830). The wind is often offshore or cross-off, but the size is just too big for this break. It's a full-on, expert-only situation. The 16ft call on Thursday morning the 27th is a beast.

Sunday morning, the 30th, the swell finally backs off to 6ft, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it messy. The afternoon sees it drop to 6ft with a cross-shore breeze, but it's still only marginal.

So, the best bet for a clean, fun session is Monday morning the 17th for the small stuff, and Sunday morning the 23rd for a bit more punch. For the big-wave boys, Wednesday morning the 26th is the one to circle, but it's for experts only. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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