Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at the coming 16 days for Avoca Point. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, with some decent windows and a real big fella lurking way out there at the end. We’ve got clean conditions at times, but the wind is going to be a deciding factor.

The biggest issue for the first week-plus is the wind. There's some surfable energy, but it often comes with cross or onshore breezes that mess up the face. We start off on Sunday the 2nd with a bit of a dud. That morning, there's a 4.6 ft SSE swell (11 sec period) and a combined energy of 719 (moderate). The water is sitting at about 64.4°, which is pretty average for this time of year. But that 5 km/h north wind puts a bit of cross-on bump on it, so it’s not great.

Monday the 3rd through to Saturday the 8th is mostly a write-off. Swell is small and weak, sometimes down to 1 ft, and the wind is a constant problem from onshore or cross-shore directions. You’ll get a few moments... like Wednesday the 5th morning has a clean offshore wind from the WSW (20 km/h) with a 3.3 ft S swell, or Friday the 7th morning where it goes dead glassy with a 5.2 ft S swell (9 sec, energy of 427). That Friday morning glass-off with 5.2 ft is your best bet in this first week, but it’s a short window before the afternoon sea breeze kills it.

There’s a long gap of mostly poor conditions from the 8th afternoon right through the 10th. Swell gets real small for a couple days there.

The real standout doesn't show up until way out there: Friday the 14th morning. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a clean 6.9 ft swell from the S (10 sec period) rolling in with absolutely glassy conditions – zero wind. The combined energy is strong at 845. This is excellent for experienced surfers, offering proper, clean waves. It is a bit on the bigger side for beginners at over 5 ft. The afternoon gets cross-on and messy as the wind shifts, so that morning is the money window.

Then it gets wild. Saturday the 15th is for experts only. We’re talking a massive 11.5 ft SSE groundswell (12 sec period) with the combined energy hitting a massive 3351. The wind is light, but the swell is simply too big and powerful for this spot. The long period also means it will be a bit straight, but for a crew with big balls and bigger boards, it’s on.

Sunday the 16th morning is the second big highlight. After that giant settles a bit, you get a much cleaner 6.9 ft SSE swell (11 sec, energy of 1059) with a light 10 km/h W wind making it clean. Another excellent session for the experienced crew. After that, it drops back down to a fun 3.9 ft on the morning of the 17th with glassy conditions.

In short: This week is scrappy, with Friday the 7th morning being the only real bright spot. The real magic is in the second week: Friday the 14th morning and Sunday the 16th morning are the standouts. Keep an eye on that long-range, because the 15th is a beast. The overall outlook is optimistic for the patient surfer.

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