
Surf Forecasts:
Avoca Point surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,501 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avoca Point this week:
The surf forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Avoca Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avoca Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me have a look at what we’ve got coming up. We’re looking at Avoca Point over the next couple of weeks and honestly, the start is a bit of a letdown. The first few days offer next to nothing worth paddling out for.
Right now, Tuesday morning the 15th, the swell is a tiny 2.3 ft coming in from the ENE with a short 6-second period. There’s just 52 in the energy department, so it’s pretty weak. The wind is light and cross-off, the place is clean, but the size and period just aren't there. Honestly, you’d be better off staying home. Tuesday afternoon gets worse: the wind picks up to 12 mph from the SSE, and the swell drops even more. A total dud.
We skip ahead to Wednesday the 16th. Now this is where it gets intense, but not in a good way for most of us. The swell is predicted to be way too big for Avoca Point. We’re talking 9.8 ft in the morning and 11.5 ft in the afternoon, straight out of the south, with a period of 10 seconds. The energy readings are massive – 1633 to 2168 – but mate, this is strictly for the experts. The wind is strong and cross-off, pushing 22 mph. For your average surfer, it’s a no-go.
The best day of the whole outlook, the real standout, is Thursday the 17th morning. We’ve got offshore wind from the SSW, 12 mph, cleaning up a solid 9.8 ft south swell at 10 seconds. The energy is huge at 2848. The conditions are described as moderate offshore and clean, meaning some proper, powerful lines. But again, that size means only experienced surfers should be looking at it. The rest of Thursday drops off into a marginal cross-shore mess.
Friday the 18th morning is a little gem for the intermediates. The swell has backed right off to a much more manageable 4.3 ft from the SSE (9 seconds), and the wind has dropped to nothing – glassy, with a 3 mph NE breeze. It’s clean, and even though the energy is a moderate 344, it’ll be a welcome relief. That morning window is worth getting up for, but it’s short-lived. The afternoon turns to trash with the wind swinging onshore.
After that, it’s a long stretch of garbage for almost a week. From Saturday the 19th afternoon all the way through to Friday the 25th, almost every session is flagged as poor. The winds are mostly onshore or cross-on, the swell direction is off and tiny, so you’re looking at a real dry spell.
There is a flicker of hope on Tuesday the 22nd morning. The wind is light and cross-off, the swell is 5.2 ft from the SSE with a 10-second period, and the energy is 992. That’s actually a decent wave for a beach and point break – clean and punchy. It’s probably the second best window, right after that Thursday 17th morning.
The very end of the outlook, Tuesday the 29th, finally sees some offshore wind return, but the swell is only 3.0 ft with weak energy, so it’s just surfable, nothing special.
The best bet: If you’re a proper charger, get on Thursday the 17th morning for the biggest, cleanest groundswell of the window. For the rest of us intermediates, Friday the 18th early, or that Tuesday the 22nd morning, will offer the most fun with clean conditions and a sensible size.
Keep the faith, mate. It’ll turn.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | S 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
186 | 36 | 19 | 947 | 1609 | 2153 | 2248 | 1618 | 705 | 366 | 276 | 246 | 168 | 113 | 113 | 59 | 37 | 23 | 29 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 10:15PM1.23m | 10:35AM1.44m | 10:57PM1.11m | 11:15AM1.38m | 11:42PM0.99m | 12:00PM1.32m | 00:38AM0.91m | 12:56PM1.26m | 1:52AM0.85m | 2:05PM1.23m | 3:18AM0.86m | 3:17PM1.24m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:11AM0.28m | 5:03PM0.30m | 4:44AM0.37m | 5:54PM0.38m | 5:20AM0.46m | 6:53PM0.45m | 6:04AM0.53m | 8:05PM0.49m | 7:05AM0.59m | 9:23PM0.48m | 8:25AM0.61m | 10:27PM0.44m | |||||||
— | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 22 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | E 14 | ENE 12 | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | S 10 |
71 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1224 | 705 | 366 | 276 | 246 | 168 | 113 | 113 | 59 | 37 | 23 | 17 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 14 | ENE 14 | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | ENE 4 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 3 | ENE 5 |
33 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 20 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 3 | 65 | 103 | 7 | 99 | 97 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | — | E 13 | S 16 | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | S 19 | E 12 | E 12 | SSE 16 | ENE 4 | E 12 | S 15 | S 17 | S 17 | S 19 |
3 | — | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 87 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 29 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | SW 3 | SE 4 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | ESE 7 | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | NE 4 | WSW 2 |
186 | 2 | 8 | 947 | 1609 | 2153 | 2248 | 1618 | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 10 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 0 | 1342 | 143 | 806 | 762 | 143 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 23 | 98 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avoca Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avoca Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avoca Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avoca Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avoca Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avoca Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avoca Point is 16 km (10 miles) from Central Coast. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Central Coast. Central Coast has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










