Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—this outlook for Avoca Point is a bit of a slow burner. We’ve got a long 16-day window ahead, but the first week’s offering is pretty ordinary stuff. There’s a gap right from the start, with no real surf on the table until Thursday the 13th. Before that, we’re looking at small, messy waves and a lot of cross-shore wind, so don’t bother waxing up just yet.

Monday the 10th sees a bit of a jump in swell height, up to 6 ft from the ENE, but the wind is a fresh 21 mph cross-shore, turning the ocean into lumpy cross-chop. It’s a write-off. Tuesday the 11th drops right back down to tiny 2 ft to 2 ft—weak, barely surfable. By Tuesday afternoon, though, we get a glassy spell with a 2 ft ENE swell, and it’s clean, but it’s just too small to get excited about.

Now, Thursday the 13th is where things start to look up. Early morning we’ve got a 5 ft S swell with a 12 mph offshore breeze from the SW. The water temp is around 64°, which is pretty average for this time of year—nothing weird there. The combined energy is moderate at 352, and it’s clean. This is the first real chance for a surf, but it’s not a standout just yet. The afternoon holds up with similar size and a cross-off wind.

Friday the 14th keeps the momentum: a 4 ft S swell, offshore WSW wind at 6 mph, and clean conditions. The energy drops a bit to 235, but it’s still surfable for intermediates.

But if you want the real standout, mark your calendar for Tuesday the 18th. That morning we get a 5 ft ESE swell with a 9 mph offshore from the SSW, and the combined energy is strong at 512. The period is a nice 10 seconds—decent groundswell—and it’s glassy clean. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook. Avoca Point is a beach and point setup, and with the swell coming from the ESE and the wind offshore, it should hold shape. There could be crowds here sometimes, so don’t expect to have it to yourself. The short period (8-9 seconds) on some afternoons means it might be a bit straight at the beach, but the point should handle it. This one’s for the keen surfer, but it’s not huge—just solid, fun waves.

Wednesday the 19th is similar but slightly less energy, and it’s still a good option. Beyond that, into the second week, we see more small, messy ENE swells and onshore winds, so don’t hold your breath. Saturday the 22nd has a clean 5 ft ENE swell with an offshore SSW breeze, which might be worth a look, but the energy is moderate at 245.

Overall, the pick is Tuesday the 18th. It’s not a monster, but it’s the cleanest, most consistent window. Before that, Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are your next best bets. Keep the faith—it’s not a total loss.

Rusty.

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