Avoca Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Look, I won’t sugarcoat it – this outlook for Avoca Point is a tough read. We’re staring down a long, patchy 16-day window with no real standouts to get excited about. The first proper surf worth mentioning doesn’t show up until Wednesday the 26th, and even then it’s only just surfable. There’s a big gap of flat or poor conditions before that. Let’s walk through it.

We start on Monday the 24th with a south swell of 2ft at 10 seconds and a moderate NE breeze blowing onshore. Combined wave energy is weak at 154. Not worth paddling out. Tuesday the 25th doesn’t improve – morning sees 3ft from the ENE at a short 7-second period, with a cross-onshore northerly breeze making it choppy. The afternoon is the same story but with a NNW breeze. Wednesday morning the 26th offers the first glimpse of clean surf: a 3ft swell from the ENE, 8-second period, with a light offshore SSW breeze. The combined energy is moderate (110). It’s surfable but very ordinary – not a standout by any stretch.

Thursday morning the 27th brings a bump to 5ft from the south, 8-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze. That swell energy jumps to moderate (369) and conditions are clean. It’s the best we’ve seen so far, but still not a ripper. Friday morning the 28th has a small 3ft south swell at 8 seconds, but glassy conditions with a light westerly wind. Clean and tidy, but small. The energy is 211 – moderate. Saturday the 29th keeps the south-southeast swell around 4-4ft with light to gentle breezes, but it’s only marginal.

Sunday the 30th drops back to a tiny 2ft south-east swell, glassy in the morning but onshore by afternoon. Monday the 31st has a 1ft south-southeast groundswell with an 18-second period – long period, so it’ll be clean in the glassy calm morning, but tiny. That long period might make for better-shaped waves on this beach-and-point setup, but there is barely any push.

Tuesday September 1st through Thursday September 3rd is mostly flat or very small with poor winds. Friday September 4th has a 4ft SSE swell but fresh cross-offshore winds make it messy. Saturday September 5th is the biggest push of the whole run: 5ft from the NE on Saturday morning, with a short 7-second period. That’s enough to get beginners nervous (over 5ft), and combined energy is strong (511), but the period is short and the wind is light cross-shore. It’s still only marginal. Sunday September 6th fades fast to 3ft from the SE. After that, the last few days are flat with poor conditions.

The water temperature at Avoca Point is sitting at 64°F, which is 0.5°F cooler than average – pretty much normal for this time of year.

Honestly, nothing in this window screams “go now.” The best call would be Wednesday morning the 26th for the clean conditions, or Friday morning the 28th for the glass – but both are small. The bigger swell on Saturday September 5th is too short-period and messy to be a true standout. For a break that’s fairly consistent, this is a rare quiet spell.

Rusty

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