
Surf Forecasts:
Aoshima surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, E swell with 110 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoshima this week:
The surf forecast for Aoshima over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoshima in the next 16 days are 0.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoshima over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, mate, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Aoshima (Japan) is serving up over the next couple of weeks.
Overall, it's a pretty flat and quiet stretch. The first real hint of surfable waves isn't until the morning of Wednesday the 15th, and even then, it's tiny. The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is about average for the time of year, so no worries there.
The first couple of days are borderline. Wednesday morning the 15th has some tiny 2ft S swell at 8 seconds, but with a light W offshore it's clean. The combined energy is weak, just 84. It's a pop-up-and-straighten-up deal. That afternoon sees it drop to 1ft from the ESE, and the wind picks up to a moderate offshore. The same tiny 1ft junk hangs around through Thursday and Friday morning. Friday morning the 17th is worth a mention for the glassy conditions, with a 2ft E swell at 10 seconds. It's weak, but that glassy surface is a huge plus for a beginner spot. The crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so you might have a few mates out.
The weekend from Saturday the 18th through to Tuesday the 21st is more of the same: 2ft E swell, 9 seconds, with plenty of glassy mornings. The energy is still weak, sitting in the 60s. The afternoons get a bit of a cross-shore breeze, so mornings are the go.
Now, we get a slight uptick around Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd. The swell ticks up to 2ft from the E, and the period stretches to 11 seconds. The combined energy jumps to moderate, reading 116 and 117. This is a bit more of a groundswell pulse, and for a reef break like Aoshima, that longer period will mean better shaped waves. Thursday morning the 23rd is glassy, with a S wind, so that's a solid pick. You'll get cleaner lines and a bit more push.
The best on offer, though, is that Thursday the 23rd. It's a stand-out for the period. You've got the best combination of swell height, a longer 11-second period, and glassy conditions. The reef setup will handle that longer period well. It's not big, but it's the cleanest and most energetic window of the whole fortnight.
After that, it trails off through the 24th and 25th back into the 1ft to 2ft range. The last few days of the month, from the 27th, we see the swell jump up to 3ft to 4ft from the SE, but the wind turns onshore or cross-shore, and the conditions are described as poor. The energy picks up to moderate (180-236), but with that wind, it's going to be a messy, blown-out mess. Not worth it for a paddle.
So, bottom line: it's a very quiet outlook. The only real standout is the morning of Thursday the 23rd. Otherwise, you're chasing tiny, glassy windows for a beginner-friendly paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 47 | 45 | 31 | 60 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 57 | 61 | 57 | 57 | 56 | 58 | 65 | 102 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:29PM2.10m | 6:28AM2.11m | 7:59PM2.10m | 7:10AM2.09m | 8:29PM2.09m | 7:52AM2.04m | 9:00PM2.05m | 8:37AM1.95m | 9:31PM2.01m | 9:27AM1.84m | 10:04PM1.96m | 10:26AM1.70m | 10:41PM1.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:38PM0.05m | 00:58AM1.06m | 1:15PM0.09m | 1:34AM0.99m | 1:50PM0.18m | 2:12AM0.92m | 2:26PM0.31m | 2:52AM0.87m | 3:01PM0.49m | 3:35AM0.83m | 3:38PM0.68m | 4:26AM0.80m | 4:17PM0.90m | ||||||||
5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | |
— | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 33 | 33 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 37 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 37 | 36 | 33 | 33 | 36 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 |
35 | 21 | 33 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 47 | 45 | 31 | 60 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 57 | 61 | 57 | 57 | 56 | 58 | 65 | 102 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | E 8 | SSW 7 | SE 9 | SSW 4 | SSE 8 | SSW 3 | S 4 | SSE 9 | SSW 3 | SSW 5 | SSW 4 | E 13 | SSW 4 |
33 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 11 | SSW 7 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | SE 9 | S 7 | SE 8 | S 7 | S 6 | SSE 9 | S 6 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
16 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | SW 3 | SW 4 | SW 5 | WSW 2 | — | SW 6 | SW 5 | — | — | SSW 3 | NW 2 | SW 4 | — | SW 4 | — | SSW 3 | — | — | SW 4 | SW 4 |
20 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 1 | — | 10 | 10 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | — | 14 | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoshima Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoshima provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoshima can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoshima surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoshima) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoshima may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoshima is 14 km (9 miles) from Miyazaki-shi. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Miyazaki-shi. Miyazaki-shi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










