Aoshima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Aoshima over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a decent run of surf building, but it’s gonna take a few days to really get going.

There’s a bit of a slow start, but things kick into life from Thursday the 10th of July onwards. The standout window is that Friday the 10th of July into Saturday morning, with a solid pulse of swell rolling in. For the most experienced crew, the pick of the fortnight looks to be the Sunday morning of the 19th of July – clean, glassy conditions and a proper size.

Right now, the water temperature is sitting at 79°, which is about 3° cooler than usual for this time of year, so a touch on the chilly side for a summer session.

Wednesday 8th July is a write-off. We’ve got a small, onshore bump with swell at 8ft from the ESE, but the wind is a light cross-onshore and the energy is massive at 3125, but it’s a messy combo. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday 9th July keeps the cross-onshore wind. The swell builds to 10ft from the SE with an enormous 4333 energy, but the wind’s on it or onshore all day. Too lumpy for a good time. Pass.

Friday 10th July is where it starts to get interesting. The morning shows a 12ft swell out of the SSE, with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, hitting 7403. The wind is onshore from the East, but that period is so long it’ll push through. The afternoon improves with the same size and a massive 8136 energy. This is the first genuine standout. Aoshima is a reef, so that long-period groundswell from the SSE should wrap in nicely. It’s big, over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. Beginners, stay on the beach.

Saturday 11th July – the morning still holds 12ft from the SSE, with 7251 energy, but the onshore wind (12 mph) will put a chop on it. By the afternoon, the size drops to 10ft and the wind goes cross-onshore, making it messier. Still big, still for experts.

Sunday 12th July the swell drops back to 7ft from the SSE, period down to 13 seconds, energy 1436. Light cross-onshore wind. It’s still surfable, but nothing special.

From Monday 13th July through Saturday 18th July, we are in a flat spell. Swell drops under 5ft and most days have poor surf conditions or strong onshore winds. Surfable waves on Tuesday 14th are only 3ft and glassy, but that’s tiny. Not worth suiting up for.

Sunday 19th July – bingo. The morning session is the absolute standout for the second week. We get a clean 8ft from the East with 1055 energy, 9 second period, and glassy conditions. The wind is a light Slight air from the NE, making it dead smooth. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – that size is pushing the limit for intermediates. The break is fairly consistent, but expect a few other folks out there as crowds are ‘sometimes’ an issue. The ride will be long and clean on this reef break.

The 19th afternoon holds the same size but goes cross-onshore, so go early.

Monday 20th July still has 7ft from the East with over 1000 energy, but onshore wind makes it a downgrade. Tuesday 21st and Wednesday 22nd are smaller and won’t match Sunday.

Thursday 23rd July starts with a glassy 3ft – clean but very small. The window closes out after that.

So to boil it down: if you want the best, hit Friday 10th July for the big, powerful groundswell (experts only), or wait for Sunday morning 19th July for glassy, grunty waves that are a joy to surf. The rest of the two weeks is pretty quiet.

Stay safe, check the tides, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty

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