Aoshima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Aoshima over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first week is a bit of a struggle. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and mostly ordinary conditions. From Tuesday, July 28th right through to Saturday, August 1st, the surf is pretty much flat to gutless, with swell heights barely scraping 2ft and the combined energy sitting in the low double digits (94 max). The water temp is a warm 84°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least it’s warm if you’re keen for a paddle. There are a few glassy windows on the Wednesday and Thursday mornings, but with that tiny swell, it’s more of a float session than a surf.

Sunday, August 2nd, sees a little pulse of life. The morning brings a 1ft swell, but the period jumps to 14 seconds, pushing the combined energy up to 139 (moderate). It’s glassy early, so Aoshima (reef) might offer a few clean, slow rollers. The wind is light offshore from the NE, so it should be tidy. Just be aware that crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have some company on those small waves.

The real story, though, is the massive swell that builds for the following week. The standout window is definitely Wednesday, August 5th. We’re looking at a very solid 15ft swell from the E, with a long period around 18-19 seconds. The combined energy is absolutely pumping at over 13,800 (very strong). This is big, powerful groundswell. The wind is light cross-onshore from the NNE, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s manageable. This is expert-only territory. At over 8ft, Aoshima will be heavy and challenging. For the experienced crew, this is the best on offer, but it’s a week away, so keep an eye on it.

The rest of the second week is a mixed bag. Thursday, August 6th, and Friday, August 7th, are blown out by strong winds, with Friday seeing violent storm-force gusts. Not worth it. Saturday, August 8th, cleans up with cross-offshore winds, but the swell drops to a weak 3ft. Sunday, August 9th, is actually a decent prospect with 4ft swell from the ESE, clean cross-offshore winds, and moderate energy (468). It’s not a standout, but a solid option for a surf.

After that, the swell fades again into the 4ft to 6ft range, with periods dropping and the wind turning onshore, so conditions become choppy and messy right through to August 12th.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off for decent waves. The real highlight is the big swell on Wednesday, August 5th, for experts only. Sunday, August 9th, is your best bet for a cleaner, more manageable session.

Rusty.

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