
Surf Forecasts:
Aoshima surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SSE swell with 8,579 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 18s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoshima this week:
The surf forecast for Aoshima over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoshima in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoshima over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Aoshima.
Right now, the surf is pretty flat and ordinary. Monday the 6th has tiny 1ft swell from the ESE with a long 18-second period, but the energy is weak at 148, and conditions are just “surfable but very ordinary.” Not worth getting wet for.
Things change Tuesday morning the 7th. That’s your first real standout. The wind goes glassy, the swell bumps up to 4ft from the ESE, period 14 seconds, and the energy jumps to 540. It’s clean, glassy, and should be fun for a beginner to intermediate session at the reef. Water temp is 79°, which is about 2° cooler than normal for this time of year – noticeable but not crazy.
From Tuesday afternoon through the end of the week, the swell builds fast but the wind turns onshore and stays that way. Wednesday the 8th sees 8ft to 8ft SE swell with strong energy (3534 to 4438), but with ENE winds on it, the waves will be messy. Thursday and Friday get even bigger – 10ft to 12ft from the SE and SSE with energy readings over 5000 and up to 8621 – but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a choppy, lumpy mess. These are expert-level sizes with poor conditions, so unless you’re chasing big, ugly waves, stay home.
Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th see the swell dropping back to 8ft to 6ft, but the wind stays cross-onshore and the energy levels are moderate. Nothing special.
Now, Tuesday the 14th morning is another standout. After a few days of mediocrity, the wind goes glassy again, and there’s a 10ft ESE swell with a short 10-second period and energy of 2115. That’s a solid, powerful wave – but it’s big. This one’s only for experienced surfers. The reef at Aoshima should handle the short period well, offering some punchy, clean waves for those with the skill.
Wednesday the 15th morning is also glassy with an 12ft E swell, but the period drops to 9 seconds. Still powerful, still big, still expert-only. The wind stays clean.
Towards the end of the forecast window, things settle. Friday the 17th morning has glassy 5ft E swell, and Saturday the 18th morning has glassy 6ft E swell – both with 8-second period and moderate energy. These are more manageable sizes, clean conditions, and should offer fun waves for a broader range of surfers. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th mornings also look clean and glassy with 7ft to 7ft E swell – good, consistent options.
Avoid the 21st – fresh NNE winds at 30-35 km/h and lumpy conditions make it a write-off.
Overall, the best sessions are Tuesday the 7th morning and Tuesday the 14th morning. The first is a smaller, glassy, fun day for all levels. The second is a bigger, cleaner, expert-only session. The later mornings around the 17th to 20th are also solid, clean options.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 32°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 18 | SE 18 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 16 | ESE 14 | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
124 | 84 | 334 | 529 | 909 | 752 | 3340 | 4284 | 4523 | 4798 | 4991 | 4966 | 6836 | 8561 | 7242 | 4542 | 3380 | 1551 | 1022 | 835 | 540 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:07AM1.70m | 10:54PM1.88m | 11:20AM1.59m | 11:39PM1.85m | 12:56PM1.54m | 00:30AM1.83m | 2:40PM1.58m | 1:28AM1.83m | 4:02PM1.69m | 2:28AM1.86m | 5:00PM1.82m | 3:24AM1.91m | 5:45PM1.93m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:19PM0.73m | 5:23AM0.85m | 5:09PM0.93m | 6:32AM0.78m | 6:13PM1.11m | 7:46AM0.66m | 7:34PM1.25m | 8:52AM0.52m | 8:58PM1.31m | 9:48AM0.37m | 10:05PM1.31m | 10:37AM0.23m | 10:58PM1.27m | ||||||||
5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | |
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 32 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 31 | 33 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 18 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 16 | ESE 14 | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
124 | 84 | 334 | 529 | 909 | 752 | 3340 | 4284 | 4523 | 4798 | 4991 | 4966 | 6836 | 8561 | 7242 | 4542 | 3380 | 1551 | 1022 | 835 | 540 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SE 18 | SSW 4 | S 6 | ENE 7 | SE 18 | E 8 | E 7 | — | — | S 21 | E 8 | E 8 | — | E 7 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
14 | 79 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 370 | 74 | 68 | — | — | 865 | 58 | 32 | — | 28 | 57 | 49 | 19 | 27 | 27 | 24 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 6 | SW 7 | E 8 | — | ENE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 15 | SE 15 | SW 13 |
10 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 57 | — | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SW 5 | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | E 7 | E 9 | ENE 8 | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | 8 | 22 | — | — | 105 | 120 | — | 104 | 39 | 112 | — | — | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 359 | 202 | 288 | 359 | 48 | 202 | 202 | 202 | 202 | 202 | 38 | 48 | 50 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoshima Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoshima provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoshima can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoshima surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoshima) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoshima may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoshima is 14 km (9 miles) from Miyazaki-shi. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Miyazaki-shi. Miyazaki-shi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










