Aoshima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let's talk shop. Right out of the gate, we got a problem: that pretty sizable 8-foot swell is on the way, but the trade winds are gonna be on it like ugly on a monkey. It's gonna be a whole lot of ocean moving around, but all of it chopped up and blown out. The energy reading is a hefty 2219, so there's no shortage of power, but it's useless power. The wave period is a junky 10 seconds, so it's just gonna be a bumpy mess.

Water temps are a balmy 84°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Not a big deal, just a little anomaly.

So, for the next week, from the 5th all the way through to the 9th, we're looking at a blank. It's either too small, or the wind is just ruining everything. We got onshore winds at 35 km/h, cross-onshore chop, and short-period junk. There's a solid gap here where you just don't even bother checking the cam.

The first glimmer of hope shows up on the 12th. It's tiny, only about 2 feet, but the wind goes light and offshore and the period stretches out to a lovely 14 seconds. That's a proper groundswell, even if it's small. It'll be clean, but you'll be paddling hard for a ripple. Better than nothing, but just barely.

The next few days are more of the same micro-junk. But then, look at Tuesday the 15th afternoon. The wind just dies, we're talking glassy, and the swell bumps up to a clean 5 feet. The energy is nothing special at 447, but the conditions will be. This is the first day where you can actually have a fun, smooth session.

And then, the big one. Thursday the 17th in the afternoon. The wind is forecasted to go absolutely dead, and the swell pushes up to a solid 5 feet from the ENE. The energy reading jumps again, and the report literally says "expect very good surf conditions." This is our standout. It's eleven days out, so treat it as a promise that could be broken, but mark it on your calendar. This is the window. The swell direction is a bit off from the ideal SE, but it should still wrap into Aoshima with some fun shape.

After that, the forecast goes back downhill. More onshore wind, smaller waves, and just a general lack of anything interesting. So to sum it up: the 15th afternoon and the 17th afternoon are your only real chances for a decent paddle. Everything else, you're better off finding something else to do.

That's the long and short of it. Rusty, out.

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