Aoshima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Aoshima over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, it’s a grim start. For the first several days, the wind and weather are a write-off – onshore winds, rain, and poor conditions dominate right through Wednesday 25 September. You won’t want to paddle out until things clean up. That’s a solid gap of about nine days with nothing worth chasing.

From Thursday 26 September morning, things start to turn. You’ll see a glassy morning with a 6ft swell out of the southeast, and the energy’s picking up (2,011). The water temp is 82°, right on the money for this time of year – no surprises there. That morning surf is good for experienced surfers, but the afternoon gets a bit more mixed with a cross-shore breeze. Still, the swell bumps up to 8ft.

The real standout? That’s Monday 28 September. This one’s a cracker if you’re an expert. You’ve got a 15ft swell from the SSE – groundswell, period of 15 seconds – and glassy conditions in the morning. The combined energy is massive (10,050), and it’s clean. By the afternoon, the swell hits 18ft with a cross-offshore wind, so the wave shape should be solid. That’s a serious session for those who know what they’re doing. Be aware: over 8ft is expert-only, and the long period means it’ll hold up better on the reef at Aoshima than it would on a beach break. Paddling out might be easier with the long gaps between sets.

Tuesday 29 September is still pumping for experienced surfers – 15ft in the morning from the ESE, clean again, with light offshore winds in the afternoon. The swell energy’s dropping (6,070) but still strong. From Wednesday 30 September, it fades fast and we’re back to poor conditions.

So, to sum it up: wait it out until Saturday 28 September for the real magic, and then you’ve got a couple of days of excellent, powerful surf for the crew who can handle it.

Rusty.

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