
Surf Forecasts:
Aoshima surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 2,587 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoshima this week:
The surf forecast for Aoshima over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoshima in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoshima over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Aoshima over the next few weeks.
To be honest, the first few days are a write-off. That big SE swell on Friday the 7th is pushing 12ft, but it’s getting hammered by a strong 25 mph easterly wind. The water’s a warm 84°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, but you wouldn’t know it with all that wind. It’s messy, onshore, and just plain ugly. That big energy reading of 7127 is all noise and no joy. You’d be better off watching from the beach.
The whole weekend stays poor. The wind eases a bit, but it’s still coming from the east, pushing that 6-10ft swell straight onshore. The period is short, around 8-9 seconds, so it’s just a lumpy, choppy mess. Even by Monday the 10th, the swell drops to 5ft, but it’s cross-on with a little breeze, and the energy is still high at 1295. They’re calling it marginal, and I’d agree.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday morning, the 11th of August, is our first real standout. The wind goes glassy, coming from the NNE at just 3 mph. The swell is 4ft from the east with a solid 12-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with the combined energy at 577, it’s got enough push. The water is still warm, and the consistency is fairly consistent, so you’ll get waves. The break is a reef, so that long-period east swell should wrap in nicely. Just keep an eye out for crowds, as they’re sometimes around.
Wednesday morning the 12th is also a gem. The swell is a bit smaller at 3ft, but the wind is glassy again, and the period is 10 seconds. The energy is a more modest 344, but for a clean, knee-to-waist high session, it’ll be hard to beat. The morning is the call, because the afternoon turns ugly with a 12 mph SSE cross-shore wind.
After that, we hit a bit of a flat spell. From Thursday the 13th through to the following Monday the 18th, the swell drops to under 4ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-on. The energy readings are low, often under 500, and the wave quality is poor or marginal. The periods get short too, sometimes dropping to 6-7 seconds. It’s a bit of a lull, and the forecasts change, but for now, it’s a good time to clean the wax off your board.
Things look like they might fire up again around Wednesday the 19th of August. The swell jumps back to 10ft from the east, with a 9-second period and a combined energy of 1378. The wind is light cross-on, so it’s not perfect, but it’s a big jump in size. The spot is a reef, so that east swell should work. However, at 10ft, this is only for experienced surfers. It’s still a bit of a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.
The standout session of the whole forecast is Tuesday morning, the 11th of August. That glassy east swell with the 12-second period is going to be clean and fun. Wednesday morning the 12th is a close second for a smaller, cleaner session. After that, watch the 19th for a potential big-wave day, but only if you’ve got the skills.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 77mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Fri afternoon, light winds from the ESE by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSE 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | E 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
4401 | 2204 | 1660 | 1528 | 1003 | 688 | 604 | 1419 | 915 | 513 | 480 | 330 | 314 | 229 | 174 | 174 | 125 | 110 | 79 | 79 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | glassy | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:24AM1.79m | 4:09PM1.71m | 1:55AM1.79m | 4:58PM1.85m | 3:13AM1.86m | 5:33PM1.97m | 4:12AM1.96m | 6:03PM2.06m | 5:01AM2.07m | 6:31PM2.13m | 5:44AM2.15m | 6:57PM2.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:41PM1.44m | 8:23AM0.61m | 8:51PM1.47m | 9:33AM0.47m | 10:08PM1.38m | 10:25AM0.34m | 10:56PM1.27m | 11:09AM0.24m | 11:33PM1.13m | 11:47AM0.18m | 00:07AM1.00m | 12:23PM0.17m | 00:39AM0.87m | |||||||
— | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | |
7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | |
mm | 4 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | ESE 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 |
4401 | 2171 | 858 | 403 | 235 | 191 | 604 | 1419 | 915 | 513 | 480 | 330 | 314 | 229 | 170 | 167 | 125 | 110 | 79 | 79 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 15 | ENE 15 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 7 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 12 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
— | 17 | 21 | 17 | 39 | 106 | 235 | 275 | 250 | 112 | 153 | 229 | 229 | 196 | 174 | 174 | 75 | 51 | 48 | 71 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | E 14 | S 15 | S 14 | S 10 | SSE 7 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | NE 5 | NE 4 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 4 |
— | — | — | 5 | 10 | 9 | 306 | 67 | 60 | 130 | 54 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | — | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | — | — | ESE 3 | NE 4 |
2726 | 2204 | 1660 | 1528 | 1003 | 688 | — | 214 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 791 | 359 | 297 | 297 | 202 | 202 | 359 | 202 | 202 | 202 | 38 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 20 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoshima Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoshima provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoshima can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoshima surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoshima) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoshima may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoshima is 14 km (9 miles) from Miyazaki-shi. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Miyazaki-shi. Miyazaki-shi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











