Aoshima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Aoshima over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it's a pretty quiet start. We've got a few days of tiny, weak surf with combined energy in the double digits (83) and even below (44). The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about 1° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it's basically average – a nice warm bath for the wait.

Wednesday, July 29th through to Saturday, August 2nd are all pretty flat. The swell is barely a ripple, under 2ft, and the period is short. The mornings are glassy, but there's just nothing to ride. You're looking at a solid 4-day gap with no real surf to speak of. It's a bit of a bummer, but it's not unusual for this area.

Now, things get interesting from Sunday, August 2nd. The afternoon picks up a bit of juice with a 3ft ESE swell, but the period jumps to 16 seconds – that's a proper groundswell. The energy kicks up to 371 (moderate). The wind is a bit cross, so it's not perfect, but it's a sign of things to come.

Monday, August 3rd morning sees the swell push to 6ft with a 16-second period, and the energy is now strong at 1453. That's a proper swell, but it's a bit onshore and cross, so the wave quality will be a bit lumpy. It's getting too big for beginners.

Tuesday, August 4th is the big one. The swell is 8ft with an 18-second period, and the energy is a massive 4275 (very strong). This is a serious groundswell from the ESE. The wind is cross-on and onshore, which is a problem. The break is a reef, and with this kind of long-period swell, it can be a bit tricky and straight, but it will have power. At 8ft, it's only for the experienced crew.

Wednesday, August 5th is where it gets wild. The swell is 18ft with a 19-second period and energy at 23641. That's too big for Aoshima. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it a choppy mess. Don't paddle out, but if you're a kite surfer, this setup is your playground.

Thursday, August 6th is a full-on event. 44ft swell with a 19-second period and 123286 energy. The wind is 37 mph onshore. It's a total washout for surfing. Leave it for the big wave chargers in a jet ski, or just watch from the shore.

The swell drops off sharply after that, but the wind stays nasty with onshore gales through the rest of that week. Saturday, August 10th is a no-go.

Finally, looking way out, Tuesday, August 11th morning is a real standout. The swell is 8ft from the E with an 8-second period, but the wind is dead calm, glassy. The energy is 1049 (moderate). The conditions are described as "excellent for experienced surfers". That's the window. It's a long way off, but if the forecast holds, that morning at Aoshima is your best bet. Look for that clean, glassy session.

The swell thereafter stays big (12ft) and the wind turns onshore again, so it's a short window of opportunity.

Rusty, signing off.

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