ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for ADs/Doubles over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long run of days where the conditions just aren’t playing ball.

The water temp is sitting at 80°F which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, no weird surprises there.

So, here’s the deal. The whole first week is a write-off. From Monday the 3rd right through to Sunday the 10th, the onshore and cross-shore winds are just too strong, and the swell is mostly short-period, wind-affected junk. The wave energy is moderate at best – you’re looking at readings around (544) to (585) – but it’s all lumpy and chopped out. It’s a solid week with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for.

There’s a glimmer of a change around Wednesday the 12th. We get a pulse of long-period south groundswell coming in at 18 seconds. That’s the kind of period that gets your attention, but the problem is the wind. It’s still howling out of the ENE at 15 to 22 mph, keeping things messy. The combined energy jumps up – (950) on Wednesday morning and then a proper strong reading of (1241) on Wednesday afternoon – but the wind just ruins it. The forecast notes say “poor surf conditions” and “marginal” at best, and I’d have to agree. That kind of long-period south swell at a spot that’s exposed to the ESE just isn’t going to line up cleanly with that cross-breeze.

Thursday the 13th is more of the same story: a solid south groundswell (16 seconds, energy at 1017), but still those strong, choppy winds. It’s frustrating because there’s energy in the water, but the surface is a mess.

Heading into the second week, it doesn't really get better. From the 14th to the 18th, we’re stuck with strong breezes (25 to 28 mph) and lumpy, messy conditions. The swell does push up to 7ft on Monday the 17th – that’s a decent size and the energy reading of (809) is solid – but with that wind, it’s a washing machine. At that size, it’s getting into expert-only territory anyway, and with the wind, it’s a no-go for paddling. Honestly, on days like that with that much wind and messy surf, it might look more interesting for a kite surfer than a surfer.

To be blunt, there isn’t a single standout session in this entire 16-day window. The winds just won’t ease up, and the swell direction never quite matches what the spot needs. It’s a long blank run, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope entirely, but for now, I’d save the wax for another week.

Rusty.

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