ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s see what we’ve got for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a tough outlook for ADs/Doubles. The whole 16-day window is a long, frustrating grind with nothing we’d call a proper surf session. The pattern is locked in with a strong, persistent wind from the east-northeast that just won’t let up, keeping the ocean messy and choppy.

Starting off now, through the end of July and into the first few days of August, we’ve got some serious size—10 ft on Saturday the 1st of August and 8 ft on the 2nd—but it’s all wind-affected. The swell is coming from the east-northeast with a short, weak 8-second period, and the wind is blowing hard at 25 to 28 mph. That’s creating heavy cross-shore chop and messy conditions. The wave energy is strong to very strong, hitting 1455 and 1494 (combined energy), but with that wind, it's a washing machine. For beginners, anything over 5 ft is a handful, and this is well over that; the 10 ft days are strictly for experienced crew, and even then, the quality is poor. This setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We do get a small shift around Tuesday the 4th of August. The swell period jumps to 11 seconds, bringing a bit more push and shape (combined energy 780), but the wind is still a cross-shore breeze from the northeast at 12 mph, which keeps the surface bumpy. It’s only a 6 ft wave from the east-northeast, and the forecast calls it marginal. Not exactly something to get excited about.

After that, things drop off hard. From the 5th of August onward, the swell gets smaller and confused. We see some longer period energy—14 to 18 seconds—from the south-southwest, which is not the optimum direction for this break. The wave heights drop to under 3 ft, and the combined energy falls below 600. That long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds) can make waves break too straight on a beach break, so it’s not doing us any favors here. The wind stays steady from the east or northeast, mostly in the 12 to 19 mph range, so the ocean stays lumpy and choppy.

There is a brief moment on Tuesday the 11th of August where the wind eases to just 6 mph from the east-southeast, and the swell is a waist-high 3 ft from the south-southwest with a 15-second period. Combined energy is 594. It’s still cross-onshore but light, so you might find a cleaner wave if you’re desperate. The forecast gives it a 2 out of 10, which is about the best we see.

So, a long, frustrating stretch with no real standout. The break is fairly consistent in the sense that it gets swell, but the wind is the villain here, ruining any chance of quality. The water temp is 80°F with a normal anomaly of +0.5°, so it’s about average for the time of year. For the crowd situation, it’s often busy here, but with conditions this poor, I wouldn’t worry about company.

Stay patient. The forecasts can change, but for now, leave the boards in the car.

Rusty

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