ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the table for ADs/Doubles over the next couple of weeks. To be honest, it’s a pretty rough start. The first week and a half is mostly a write-off. The wind is relentless out of the east-northeast, pumping at 19 to 25 mph for the first several days, whipping up a lumpy, messy cross-chop that’ll have you fighting the conditions more than riding the wave. The swell is there, but it’s junk – short-period, wind-affected slop between 5ft and 10ft, with moderate to strong combined wave energy (866 to 1762). Don't bother paddling out from Tuesday the 1st right through to Friday the 4th; it’s all poor surf. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th see a slight improvement in the swell period, stretching to 12 to 13 seconds, which adds a bit of grunt (energy climbing to over 2300), but that cross-wind is still there, messing up the surface. It only gets a “marginal” tick. Same story from Monday the 7th through Tuesday the 8th – lighter winds, but they’re cross-onshore, and the swell drops a touch.

Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th it’s back to fresh cross-breeze and poor conditions. The real kicker comes on Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th. A big, powerful SSW swell rolls in on Sunday – 10ft at 12 seconds, with very strong wave energy (2569 to 3119). That’s a heavy groundswell. But here’s the thing – ADs/Doubles is an exposed spot and this swell is too big for the break, even with favourable wind (gentle to moderate cross-shore). This is expert-only territory, and honestly, at that size here, it might even be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Monday the 14th keeps the size up with a 12ft S swell, but that period drops to 8 seconds, and the wind stays cross – again, too big and messy for a proper paddle session. After that, the drop-off is quick. From Tuesday the 15th onwards, we’re back to small, weak, and mostly poor surf through to Wednesday the 16th.

So, if you have to pick a session, Saturday the 5th or Sunday the 6th are your best bet for something rideable, with that longer-period swell offering better shaped waves (around 8ft to 8ft from the ENE), but don’t expect perfection with that cross-wind. The real standout is the Sunday the 13th window for experts only, with a serious SSW groundswell, but you’d need to know the break well and be ready for a beating.

Water temp is sitting at 81°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year – no surprises there.

– Rusty

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