ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for ADs/Doubles over the next couple weeks. I’ll tell you straight up, it’s gonna be a grim run.

The whole 16-day stretch is basically a write-off. There’s no proper surf on the table. It’s not one of those times where you can pick a window and make it work – this is a consistent dud. The east-northeast trades are just relentless, blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore every single day. That means wind-chop and lumpy conditions from morning to night. The swell ticks over, but the quality is just not there – every single session is marked as poor. You’re looking at a stretch of roughly three weeks where you’d be better off doing something else.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. But none of that matters when the waves are junk. The first few days, from Thursday the 10th through Sunday the 13th, you get a mix of swell sizes around 3 ft to 5 ft, but it’s all from the east or northeast, with a short period (7 to 11 seconds). The combined energy is moderate at best (723 down to 188). But the wind is just ruining it – mostly 12 to 22 mph from the ENE, keeping things choppy and cross.

From Monday the 14th right through to Wednesday the 23rd, the pattern holds. Swell drops a bit, hangs around 3 ft to 4 ft most of the time, period short. On the 16th afternoon, there’s a weird spike of a long-period SSW swell (18 seconds) giving strong combined energy (807), but the wind is still cross-onshore and there’s a risk of thunderstorms – not a session to get excited about. Then again on the 18th and 19th, another long-period SSW pulse (17 seconds) cranks the energy up to over 1000 (1059 and 1340), but the wind is howling at 25 mph from the ENE, creating a messy, strong cross-shore chop. That kind of setup, with significant swell and strong onshore wind at a beach break, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The last few days, from the 24th to the 25th, it’s more of the same: poor surf, strong ENE winds, lumpy conditions. Nothing changes. Crowds might be low because no one’s out, but that’s about the only positive.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. Not one session worth paddling out for. If you’re desperate, you could sit and watch the long-period groundswells on the 18th or 19th, but with that wind, the shape will be blown out. This stretch looks like a total blank run. Sometimes it just goes like that in this area. Best to wait for the next weather pattern shift – forecasts can change, but for now, I’d give it a hard pass.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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