ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what this 16-day stretch has in store for us at ADs/Doubles. Honestly, it’s a tough run. The forecast is littered with poor surf conditions, and the wind is almost always a problem.

We kick off the first week with a lot of energy in the water, but it’s a mess. Monday the 7th has a solid 8 ft of swell out of the ENE, packing a ton of power (energy of 2533), but with a 16 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s choppy and poor. That continues through Tuesday with even stronger wind. The swell drops a bit Wednesday the 9th, but we finally see a change. The wind eases to a light breeze, and while the swell is only 3 ft from the SSW, the period stretches out to 14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy is moderate (726). The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s not glassy, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. This is our best bet in the first week, but it’s still marginal. It’s a small, long-period swell, so it’ll be better shaped and less lumpy, but don’t expect much size.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a write-off. From Thursday the 10th through to the 15th, we’ve got a solid run of cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the ENE and NE, with speeds between 9 and 19 mph. The swell is small, often under 3 ft, and the energy is weak. It’s just messy, lumpy, and not worth paddling out for.

Now, there’s a glimmer of hope way out in the second week. On Wednesday the 16th afternoon, a very long-period SSW groundswell appears, with a period of 18 seconds and moderate energy (878). The problem is that the wind is still a moderate cross-shore from the NE, so it’s going to be chopped up. The same holds for Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th – the swell direction is SSW, periods are 16-17 seconds, but the wind is always cross-shore or cross-onshore, keeping things messy. The best chance seems to be Saturday the 19th afternoon. The wind drops to a light breeze, and we’ve got a 3 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period. The energy is moderate (823). It’s still cross-onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but with the light wind, it’ll be the cleanest surf of the entire forecast – small, clean, and long-period. It’s a long way off, so don’t bank on it, but it’s the only thing that looks even half-decent.

So, for the whole 16 days, there’s no standout. The best of a bad bunch is that small, clean SSW swell on Saturday the 19th. The rest is a mix of wind-affected chop and small, weak waves. There’s a lot of energy in that first week, but the wind just ruins it entirely.

Rusty.

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