ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for ADs/Doubles.

Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The first week or so is riddled with lumpy, cross-shore winds and messy conditions. The wave energy is significant, but it’s all dressed up with nowhere to go thanks to the wind. The combined swell energy is up around 2500 (2575) on Saturday the 5th, but with a fresh, cross ENE breeze at 22 mph, it’s going to be chopped up and bumpy. The swell is a solid 8ft at 13 seconds from the ENE, which has some power, but it's not going to be any fun to paddle out into that onshore chop. It’s a beach-and-reef setup, and with these winds, this looks more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfing for a good few days.

That poor run of wind and chop drags on through the following week. We see the swell dip a little, but the wind stays cross or cross-on from the ENE or NE, mostly in the 15 to 22 mph range. The conditions are labelled as poor or marginal right the way through to the middle of the month. A slight shift on Tuesday the 8th with a lighter S wind and 6ft swell looks a bit less aggressive, but it’s still cross-on and choppy. There’s just no clean window to speak of.

Now, there is a flicker of something different around Wednesday the 16th. A long-period groundswell shows up from the SSW with a 21-second period on Tuesday the 15th, but it's tiny at 3ft and cross-on. Then on Wednesday the 16th, we see it again from the SSW at 3ft with an 18-second period. The combined energy jumps to 1119, and importantly, the wind is cross-shore from the ENE at 16 mph. It’s a moderate breeze, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but that deep, long-period groundswell will wrap in and offer some clean, powerful lines at the right tide. This is the one true standout, but it’s a full week and a half away, on Wednesday the 16th and into Thursday morning. It’s promising, but long-range and less certain.

For the rest of the outlook, through to the end of the 16 days, it’s back to strong ENE winds in the 25 mph range, cross-shore and messy, with weak, short-period windswell. It’s a bleak run with a couple of days of hope right in the middle.

Stay patient, boys. Wednesday the 16th has a pulse of clean, long-period energy if the wind plays ball. Until then, it’s a struggle.

Rusty.

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