ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks, folks.

Honestly, it’s looking pretty bleak for a proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of lumpy, cross-shore conditions and messy, weak waves on tap. The opening days are a write-off. The energy is there, but it’s coming from the wrong direction and the wind is tearing it to pieces.

We start with a bit of swell on Sunday the 6th, around 7ft, but it’s coming from the ENE with a stiff 30 km/h cross-breeze. It’s lumpy, it’s cross-chop, and the wind state is just poor. The guidance says it’s marginal at best, and I’m not seeing anything to get excited about. That’s a hard pass from me.

The whole first week is pretty much the same story. We’ve got some 5ft to 7ft swell, but the ENE wind stays on it, chopping everything up. The period is around 11-12 seconds, which is okay, but it doesn’t matter when the surface is a mess. You’d be fighting the elements more than riding waves.

The energy readings do drop off mid-week, down to around 690 on Wednesday the 9th, but there's still no quality. We see a couple of days where the swell dips to under 3ft, and the period drops to 7 or 8 seconds. That’s just short-period wind slop. Not worth your time.

You want to know about the standout? The one tiny glimmer in all this is Monday the 21st. The wind finally swings around to the east-southeast and drops right off to just 5 km/h in the afternoon. That’s as close to glassy as we’re going to get. The swell is a modest 5ft from the ENE with an 8-second period, so it’s not going to be epic, but it’ll be *clean*. The energy is still only moderate (431 mm), but you might actually catch a few fun, crumbly ones at ADs/Doubles. That’s your best bet in the whole window, and it's a pretty low bar.

Before that, there’s nothing that gets the heart racing. A long stretch of nothing, really. A week of poor conditions, then another few days of small, cross-shore junk. It’s the kind of run where you’d be better off checking the forecast again in a few days.

There will be a lot of flat, bumpy days between now and then. I'm not going to sugarcoat it. The water temp is 81°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, a touch warm, nothing crazy.

So, mark your calendar for the 21st. It might be the only day the ocean gives you anything back.

- Rusty

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