ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. We’ve got a dry spell to start. The end of August and the first few days of September are pretty much a write-off. The wind is hammering in from the east-northeast, cross-shore, and it’s messy. There’s swell around – moderate energy (520 to 966 on the combined scale) – but it’s all poor quality. Not worth getting wet for.

The first real chance shows up around Thursday, September 3rd. The swell jumps up, with the combined energy hitting over 1200. We’re looking at a 1.9m swell from the east-northeast, with the period stretching out to 11 and 12 seconds. That’s a groundswell, so more push and better shape. But the wind is still cross-shore, and there’s a chop. It’s only rated as marginal. The better stuff starts to build from Saturday, September 5th, into Sunday the 6th. The swell holds around 2.2m from the east-northeast, with energy readings around 1300 to 1476 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The wind eases a little, but it’s still cross-shore. For ADs/Doubles, that cross-shore wind is the main issue. This spot needs clean conditions to really work.

Then we get to Monday, September 7th. That morning is where things turn. The wind drops to a light breeze from the northeast at just 6 mph. The swell is 1.9m from the east-northeast with a period of 9 seconds. It’s cross-shore, but with that light wind, the surface will be much cleaner. This is the first proper standout of the outlook. The combined energy is strong at 1182, so there’s plenty of power. For an intermediate, that 6 ft swell is fun, but it’s getting towards the top end for beginners. Crowds at ADs/Doubles are “often,” so expect company.

The water temperature is 81°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Looking further out, the best of the whole window looks like it lands on Thursday, September 10th. The afternoon session is the real winner. We’ve got a 4 ft swell from the east with an 11-second period. The combined energy is 714 – moderate – but the wind is the key. It swings to the north-northwest at just 6 mph and goes cross-offshore. That’s clean, glassy conditions. The forecast even says “expect very good surf conditions.” The swell direction is from the east, which is close to the ideal ESE direction for ADs/Doubles. This is the pick of the whole stretch. Size is manageable, shape will be good, and it’ll be clean. For this break, with “often” crowds, you’ll have company, but for conditions like that, it’s worth it.

The next morning, Friday the 11th, has a 6 ft east swell with a 10-second period and an offshore wind from the southeast at 6 mph. That’s got potential too, but the afternoon drops off as the wind turns cross-shore again.

So, a long wait, but the second week has a couple of solid windows. The real standout is Thursday the 10th afternoon.

Rusty.

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