ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. It’s been a quiet start and frankly, it’s going to stay that way for a while. We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap of flat, wind-affected days with nothing worth paddling out for until the calendar flips around. Hang in there.

We’ve got no solid options on the table for the first week and a half. From Monday the 14th all the way through to Thursday the 24th, the local scene is pretty much a write-off. Winds are hammering from the ENE and NE, mostly cross or cross-onshore at 15 to 25 mph, churning up a lumpy, messy cross-chop. Swell is small, short-period slop in the 3ft to 4ft range most days, with barely enough energy to push a ripple (combined energy values sitting mostly below 200, a few in the high 200s). There’s a bigger bump of 7ft to 8ft around the 17th and again on the 23rd, but with those strong onshore winds and short 7 to 10 second periods, it just looks like blown-out, bumpy junk. Honestly, for kite surfers it might be fun, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass.

The real bright spot—and I mean the *only* one—shows up late in the run. Around the 26th and 27th of September, things finally change. We’ve got a lovely SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 14 to 16 second period, bringing moderate wave energy (combined energy around 393 to 558). The swell is small, only 3ft to 3ft, but it’s the conditions that make it a standout. Light NNE to N winds at 6 mph, cross-offshore, creating clean, glassy conditions. Water temp is sitting at a warm 81°, right on the money for the time of year, so the anomaly is practically nothing. ADs/Doubles is exposed to ESE, so this SSW swell should wrap in nicely. This is classic, small-wave fun for intermediates—clean, lined-up, and without the crowd if you pick your session right.

Then on Monday the 28th, it gets even better. A new pulse of SSW swell arrives with a very long 18 second period and a jump in energy (760). Another 3ft of clean, long-period groundswell under light offshore breezes. This is the pick of the entire forecast window. And to cap it off, Tuesday the 29th keeps that trend going with clean 4ft to 4ft ENE swell under light offshore airs.

So, the story is this: suffer through the junk for the first 11 days, then get ready for a sweet little clean window from the 26th through the 29th. The 28th is the absolute standout—set your alarm.

Rusty.

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