ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I'm looking at the regional surf outlook here, and I gotta be straight with you—this is a tough stretch for ADs/Doubles. The wind is no friend to us for the next couple of weeks. Let’s break it down.

The swell window is open, but we've got a persistent ENE trade blowing across the face almost the whole time. The first real action starts on Sunday, the 2nd of August, with a 8ft swell from the ENE and an 8-second period. That’s a fair bit of water moving around, with combined wave energy at 1138 (strong). But with that onshore wind howling at 25 mph? It’s messy, lumpy cross-chop. Not worth paddling out for a beating.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th see the swell drop a little—still around 5ft to 6ft from the ENE, still cross-shore with moderate to fresh breezes. The period on Tuesday actually stretches to 11 seconds, which is a decent groundswell, but that cross-chop is still killing the shape. The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze waiting for a clean one.

From Wednesday the 5th through the end of the first week, it’s all poor. Swell size drops to 4ft, period gets shorter, and that wind just never lets up. It’s all cross or cross-on, and the wave comment is "poor surf conditions" across the board. This stretch is a write-off.

Now, here’s the weird bit. Around the 7th and 8th of August, we get a tiny pulse of SSW swell, but it's only 1ft to 5ft, and the wind is still howling. It’s just not surfable.

The second week doesn’t offer much hope either. Swell direction swings south from the 11th of August onward. We get some long period energy—biggest is a 20-second groundswell on the 11th, with combined energy of 689 (moderate). But by then, the wind is still blowing ENE at 19 to 25 mph, cross-shore and lumpy. There's a few 16- and 17-second swells coming through mid-week, giving a bit of an energy boost (up to 1044 on the 12th), but it's all still wrapped in that messy cross-chop. This setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing—it’s just too blown out.

The standout? Honestly, there isn’t a proper one. If you were absolutely desperate, maybe the Tuesday morning (4th of August) with that 5ft, 11-second ENE swell and only a moderate breeze. It's marginal at best, and the break is rated as "fairly consistent," but the crowds are "often" there. For this entire 16-day window, the wind is the enemy.

Stay patient. A blank run like this is more normal for this area when those trades lock in.

Rusty

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