ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. Looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta tell ya, it’s a pretty grim picture for getting a decent wave around here. The whole period is one long stretch of onshore and cross-shore winds, and just about everything is showing as poor surf. There’s not a single standout day in the whole 16-day window, and the first actual surf recommendation doesn’t even show up until Tuesday, August 4th. That’s a long, flat, and messy gap to get through.

The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a hood.

When the surf does finally show, it’s pretty marginal. Tuesday the 4th is the best we’ve got, and that’s not saying much. There’s some inconsistent swell at ADs/Doubles with a 5ft easterly swell, but the period is a lengthy 11 seconds. That kind of long-period groundswell can be tricky, breaking too straight on a beach break like this, and with the wind still coming from the east-northeast, it’ll be cross-shore and a bit lumpy. It’s rideable, but you’ll be hunting for peaks. The energy is moderate at best, with a combined swell reading of 648.

After that, the wind stays in that easterly groove, and the swell drops right off. The rest of that first week is poor, with the swell dipping to 4ft and 4ft, and the energy dropping into the 300s. By the 6th and 7th, there’s a tease of some long-period south-southwest swell, but the height is a pathetic 1ft and the wind is up, so forget about it.

We then go into another poor stretch from the 8th through the 11th. The swell is there, around 5ft to 6ft, but the period is short and lumpy, and that cross-shore wind is just killing any chance of it being clean. The energy readings hover in the 400-600 range, which tells you it’s just not organized. This is more of a messy, blown-out situation than anything you’d want to paddle out into.

Around the 12th and 13th, the swell direction swings to the south, and the period gets long again, 16 to 18 seconds. The height is only around 3ft, but the energy climbs noticeably into four digits, hitting 1125 on the morning of the 13th. There’s some real power in the water, but the wind is cross-onshore and messy, so it’s going to be a choppy, lumpy mess. Honestly, with that much wind and the setup being a beach, it starts to look more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys.

Then, the forecast gets bigger but uglier. From the 14th to the 17th, the easterly swell builds to 8ft, and even hits 10ft on the afternoon of the 15th. The energy is strong too, peaking at 1223. But it’s all short-period (8 seconds), windblown, and coming with a strong 25-28 mph cross-shore breeze. This is not beginner territory at all – anything over 5ft can be a handful, and at this size and wind, it’s strictly for experts, and honestly, even they are going to have a tough time. The wave comment just says "poor surf conditions" over and over again.

So here’s the deal. The only window that even vaguely resembles a surf is Tuesday the 4th, and that’s a long way off and still far from perfect. The rest of this 16-day run looks like a write-off for quality waves. It’s a classic case of wind and swell not lining up at all.

Signing off, Rusty.

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