ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s gonna be a tough watch for the next couple of weeks here at ADs/Doubles. The long-range picture is trying to fire up, but we’ve got a serious dry spell at the start that feels like it’s never gonna end.

From Tuesday the 15th through to around Thursday the 24th, we’re stuck in a brutal pattern. The wind is blowing hard out of the ENE and NE, side-shore or side-on-shore, and it’s got a nasty lumpy chop on it most days. The swell direction is bouncing all over the place – NE, E, even some SSW pulses – but the wind just wrecks any chance of a clean wave. Swell heights are puny at first, around 3 ft, with a weak combined energy reading (150) and a short, gutless period of 8 seconds. It’s just not happening. We do see a spike in energy on the 16th afternoon with a long-period SSW groundswell hitting 3 ft but 18 seconds and a massive energy jump to 737, but that cross-shore wind makes it a mess. That’s a tease, not a treat.

We get a big build of swell towards the end of the week starting the 17th, with heights climbing over 7 ft and combined energy readings hitting three and even four digits – 982, 1232, 1103 – but the quality is still poor. The wind is relentless. By Sunday the 20th we’re looking at 8 ft of choppy, lumpy cross-on-shore slop. This setup at a beach/reef break like ADs/Doubles is honestly looking more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The water temp is sitting at about 81°, which is pretty average for this time of year.

There’s a brief glimmer on Thursday the 24th. The wind finally swings around to the SSE and drops to just 6 mph with an onshore direction for the afternoon. Swell is still a solid 8 ft from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds and combined energy of 940. The forecast notes suggest the tide and wind are favorable, but that it might be too big for the break. At over 8 ft, this is really only for experts. If you’re a solid, experienced surfer and can handle a big, lumpy beach break, that afternoon might be your only shot. The risk of thunderstorms is there too.

After that, it’s a quick return to the same old story for the rest of the month: strong ENE winds, lumpy cross-shore conditions, and poor surf right through to the end of the 16-day window on September 30th. Swell stays up around 3 ft to 8 ft but it’s all blown out.

Honestly, the best on offer across this entire forecast is that Thursday afternoon the 24th. It’s not pretty, and it’s not for the faint-hearted, but it’s the closest we get to a clean wave. If the wind holds and you’re an expert, you might snag a few.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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