ADs/Doubles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let's get real about the next couple of weeks. It’s not looking pretty, folks. We’ve got a stretch of poor conditions coming up that’s gonna test your patience more than anything.

The first week and a half or so is a total loss. We’re looking at a long gap with no real surf on offer. The energy is just messy, and the wind is all over the place, mostly cross and blowing hard enough to chop everything up. Forget about it.

Now, I know you’re looking for something, anything. There’s a tiny window on Tuesday, August 4th, where the period jumps to a more useful 11 seconds. The swell is still small, only around 5ft to 6ft, and that ENE direction is all wrong, putting us in a cross-shore mess. It’s rated as marginal, which is being generous. The energy is moderate, around 585-727, but with the onshore junk and that cross-chop, it’s still a skunk. Not worth paddling out for.

The rest of that first week and into the second is just a write-off. The swell drops, the period stays short, and the wind keeps howling from the ENE at 19-25 mph. It's just lumps and bumps out there. Honestly, by the middle of August, this is looking more like a kite-surfing show than a surf spot. With that much wind and a short, choppy swell, the waves are better for jumping than for turning.

Then, around the 12th and 13th, we finally see some groundswell start to fill in. The period jumps to a proper 16-18 seconds, but the size is still not there. We're only looking at 3ft to 4ft. The direction is more southerly, which is closer to what we want, but that strong ENE wind is still ruining the party. It’s still going to be cross-onshore and lumpy. Deep down, it might be a lot more interesting than the diary suggests, but on the surface, it's still a mess. There is some solid energy there in the water, around 956 in the combined swell, but the wind is just going to trash it.

Honestly, looking over all this, there's just no standout day. The 16th sees the swell start to bump back up to 6ft, but that short 8-second period and strong cross-onshore wind are a massive red flag. That’s just going to be a washing machine.

The water temp is a normal 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't freeze waiting for something decent.

Keep the hopes up, but don't hold your breath. Sometimes it tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change. Go do something else for a bit.

- Rusty

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