Waikiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the Waikiki stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Gotta be straight with you from the jump – this outlook is a tough one. We’ve got a long, lean stretch ahead. The first week is basically a write-off, and the second week only offers faint glimmers that are more for the die-hard than anyone looking for a proper session.

For the first several days, right through to the end of July, it’s a flat spell. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (coming in around 94 or less), and the swell heights are tiny, mostly under 3 ft. The best you’ll see is a bit of waist-high slop on the morning of Friday the 17th, with a weak 3 ft from the ENE at 8 seconds, but it’s crossed up with a rain shower and a light cross-onshore breeze. The wind goes offshore for the afternoon, cleaning it up, but the wave quality is still described as "very ordinary." After that, for the next week and a half, the story is the same: small, weak, and mostly poor conditions. The wind is often a cross-off or side-shore breeze, which keeps the surface clean, but there’s just no push in the water. This is a blank run that lasts nearly two weeks before anything interesting shows up.

Then, we finally get a flicker of life on the very last day of the outlook, Saturday the 1st of August. A new swell tries to push in, with a combined energy reading of 111 in the morning, climbing to 130 by the afternoon. That’s still only moderate energy, but it’s a big step up from the dust we’ve been seeing. The swell is small, only 2 ft to 2 ft, but it’s coming from the ESE with a very long period of 13 to 14 seconds. That long period is a true groundswell, meaning the waves that do show will have a lot more shape and push to them, but with such a small height, it’s going to be a very inconsistent, long-period bump. The wind is a screaming 25 mph from the southwest, which is strong offshore for Waikiki. It’ll be glassy clean, but that’s gale-force stuff. It’s going to be a real battle to get out there, and paddling into those little 2 ft waves will be a workout. This is deep expert territory, and honestly, the setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, to sum it up: take the next two weeks off. The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal at 50°, but that’s the only thing going for it. The only potential standout is that Saturday the 1st of August, and even that is a "promising but risky" bet for the most dedicated experts at Waikiki. Patience is the call.

Rusty.

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