Escollera Necochea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, it’s a tough stretch ahead on the coast. We’ve got a long, quiet run to start, so don’t bother paddling out just yet. The first proper chance of a wave isn’t until early next week, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 51°F, just a degree or so above average for this time of year.

Let’s look at the only break on offer: Escollera Necochea. It’s a beach and reef setup, very consistent, exposed to the south, and the optimum direction is S. Crowds are *sometimes* an issue, so there’s a chance of company.

Through the first few days, it’s flat or tiny. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th show some small S swell around 1ft to 2ft, but the combined energy is weak (58, 43, 71) and the call is “poor surf conditions.” The wind is offshore on Thursday morning, which would be clean, but there’s just no swell to work with. Friday afternoon picks up a bit to 2ft S swell at a nice 14-second period, with moderate energy (195) and clean conditions, but it’s still not enough to get excited about.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th see a mix. Saturday has tiny 1ft to 2ft S swell with weak energy. Sunday brings a jump to 5ft SW swell, but it’s short period (6-7 seconds) and cross-onshore on Sunday morning, making it choppy and messy. By Sunday afternoon, it’s onshore and unknown quality. Not worth it.

Monday the 27th is the first semi-reasonable window. We get a 5ft SSW swell with moderate energy (355) and clean, offshore wind in the morning. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s a bit of a short-period groundswell, but the conditions are the best we’ve seen. The afternoon session is a bit better on paper – 4ft S swell, offshore wind, clean – but it’s rated as marginal. This is about as good as it gets in this outlook.

The standout here, if you can call it that, is Monday the 27th. The swell size is around 5ft from the SSW, with a light offshore breeze from the north. It’ll be clean, the combined energy is solid (355 moderate), and the S direction matches the optimum. It’s not huge, but for beginners it might be fine under 5ft. At this break, with a long period groundswell (9s is moderate), it’s a mix of reef and beach, so the waves should have some shape.

Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 31st is a mix of tiny swell (2ft to 4ft) and poor conditions. The best of a bad lot might be Thursday the 30th, where a 4ft S swell with 8-second period and clean conditions gives you “surfable but very ordinary” waves. The energy is modest (173, 160), so it’s a session for the dedicated.

The end of July into early August brings a pulse of bigger, messier swell. On Saturday the 1st of August, we see 7ft ESE swell in the morning, but it’s short period (7 seconds), cross-off wind, and the energy is strong (457). That’s over the 5ft mark, so it’s too big for beginners, and with that short period and cross-off wind, it’ll be a bit lumpy. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with strong wind and poor surf quality.

After that, the forecast drops off hard. From Sunday the 2nd through to the end on Friday the 7th of August, we’re looking at swell under 3ft, weak energy (mostly under 100), and a lot of onshore or cross-shore wind. The last few days are practically flat, with 0.3ft to 2ft swells and terrible conditions. It’s a long, dry spell.

So, overall, it’s a lean forecast. Monday the 27th is your one shot, and even that is a quiet, ordinary day by most standards. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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