Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me paint you a picture of what's coming up for Velzy Land.

Overall, mate, it's a pretty flat and frustrating run ahead. The next week and a half or so is looking grim, with barely a ripple to get excited about. We've got a long dry spell before anything even starts to look rideable. The good news is, if you've got patience, the second week might just throw us a bone.

For the first few days, from Sunday the 5th through to Friday the 10th, the swell is tiny, basically nothing. We're talking knee-high slop at best, with a weak combined energy of only 42 in the water. The wind is howling from the ENE at 18 mph and it's all cross-shore, making it lumpy and messy. It's a total write-off.

Things start to change a little around Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th. The swell starts to pick up a touch, with a combined energy climbing from 64 up to 241. But the wind is still a problem, staying fresh and cross-shore, keeping the surface chopped up. It's still poor surf conditions.

Now, the first real standout window appears on Tuesday the 14th. The morning and afternoon both see a moderate breeze from the ENE at 15 mph, but it shifts to a cross-offshore wind, cleaning the face up nicely. You'll see a modest 2ft swell from the west with a period of 17 seconds. That's proper groundswell, and while the height is small, the energy is finally there (366). This is the first time the conditions look actually surfable, albeit marginal. If you're desperate for a paddle, this is your window.

The following days, Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, keep this trend going. The swell holds around 2ft to 2ft from the west, and the wind is lighter and cross-offshore, meaning cleaner waves. The combined energy is still solid (230-281). It's not pumping, but it's a lot better than the previous week.

After that, it fades again. The period and energy drop off, and we're back to small, weak waves from Friday the 17th onwards. The wind stays light, so it'll be clean, but there just won't be much push.

So, the best bet on offer? Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th at Velzy Land. The swell is a classic 2ft groundswell from the west, with a 16-17 second period. That long period is perfect for this reef break, giving those waves a bit of shape and power. And with the wind turning cross-offshore, it'll be clean. Just know it's a very consistent spot, and crowds are possible, so get in early. It's a small-wave day for the crew who know the line-up.

The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no dramas there.

Rusty.

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