Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Velzy Land is a real tough one to write. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead, so let’s get into it.

Right now, the wave energy is completely flat. The combined swell energy is a big fat zero for the first day, and it barely twitches for the next week. We’ve got a few days with tiny, weak windswell, but the report keeps calling it “poor surf conditions,” and honestly, I’m not gonna argue. The swell is showing up from the NNE and NE, but it’s small, short-period stuff – around 6ft to 6ft at best, with a period of just 7 seconds. That’s not surf, that’s just bumpy water. The cross-shore wind is up, too, so it’s a choppy mess.

The water temp is sitting at 79°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so you can’t even blame the cold for the lack of waves.

We’re looking at a major gap here. Honestly, from now until the end of the first week of August, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The energy is essentially zero or in the single digits. You’ll see a few 0.3ft to 1ft bumps, but with fresh winds and lumpy conditions, it’s a total write-off.

Then, around the 6th of August (Thursday), we start to see a change. The combined energy finally climbs into three digits, hitting 119 on Thursday morning and 122 on the afternoon. That’s moderate wave energy. The swell picks up to 1ft, but crucially, the period jumps to 15 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and it’s coming from the W and WNW. The wind swings cross-offshore from the ENE, cleaning things up. This is a glimmer of hope.

The real standout, however, hits on the 7th of August (Friday) and into the 8th (Saturday). The 7th of August sees the swell building to 3ft from the W with a 14-second period, and energy hitting 319. The 8th of August (Saturday) morning is the peak of the window: a 3ft swell from the W, 13-second period, combined energy of 346. The wind is cross-offshore from the E at 30 km/h, which should keep the surface clean. This is the best we’ve got. For a reef break like Velzy Land, that long-period groundswell from the W is a good match, though the 3ft height is still small. The break is very consistent, and the crowds are only sometimes an issue, so that’s a bonus. The north-west is the optimum direction, and we’re getting W swell, which is just about right.

After that, the energy drops back down through the 9th and 10th, tailing off into the 100s and 60s, with the wind turning cross-shore again, so that window on the 7th and 8th is really the one to aim for. It’s a long way off, so don’t set your watch by it, but it’s the only thing on the cards.

This is Rusty, signing off. Stay hopeful.

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