Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf’s up... or maybe not just yet. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks for Velzy Land. It’s gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

We’re starting off flat and pretty rough. Monday the 7th is a write-off with a storm risk and onshore energy, only 3ft to 5ft of SW swell, but it’s messy and not doing anything for us. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least we don’t need a thick suit.

Tuesday the 8th sees a bump in size, with 8ft of WSW swell in the morning, but the period drops to 10 seconds and it’s cross-offshore. It’s a bit of a struggle, more for the experienced crew, and the energy is moderate at 1241. Still, the winds are moderate, so it ain’t gonna be clean.

The real glimmer comes Wednesday morning, the 9th. The swell drops to 4ft from the NW, but the wind goes light and easterly, making for some glassy conditions. This is our first real look at Velzy Land. It’s a reef break, very consistent, and this looks like a clean window. The energy is weak though, at 241, so it’s not going to be pumping. It’s a “good surf conditions” kind of morning, but that afternoon the rain showers move in and it drops off quickly.

From Thursday the 10th through to Sunday the 13th, we’re in a real slump. Swell heights are down in the 2ft to 3ft range, mostly weak NE windswell, and the energy is mostly in the double digits. It’s poor. This is a dead stretch, maybe 4 days of nothing worth suiting up for.

Monday the 14th only offers up 3ft of NE swell and an 8-second period. It’s surfable but very ordinary. Not what we’re after.

Then we get another tease. Tuesday morning the 15th shows a long-period SW groundswell at 20 seconds, but it’s only 2ft. The same story on Wednesday the 16th, with 2ft of SW swell and an 18-second period. These are long period, which would be amazing if there was any size, but there isn’t. It’s a promise of things to come, but not now.

The rest of the second week is more of the same – small, weak, and uninviting. There’s a bump from the NNW on the 20th and 21st, bringing maybe 4ft to 4ft, but the period is around 11-12 seconds, and the winds are fresh and cross-off. It’s not doing it for me. There’s a chance of a bit more kick on Saturday the 19th with a NW groundswell at 15 seconds, but it’s only 2ft and it’s being chopped up.

So, if I had to call it, the standout is Wednesday morning, the 9th. It’s small, but clean, and that’s the best we’ll see for a while. That’s your window. The long-period energy arriving on the 15th and 16th is promising, but with that lack of size, it’s not a go. Everything else is a skip.

Keep the hopes up. It’s been flat like this before, and it always turns around.

Rusty

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