Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Gotta be straight with you—this outlook is a tough one. I’ve scanned the next 16 days for Velzy Land, and honestly, there’s not a single good session in the entire window. The forecast is a flat spell with some weak pulses of swell, but the wind, the size, and the quality just aren’t coming together for a proper paddle.

The first few days, from Saturday the 1st through to Sunday the 16th of August, are all showing “poor surf conditions.” We’re talking tiny waves—mostly 0.7 ft to 3 ft—with a lot of cross-shore wind, especially from the ENE, which is lumping up the surface. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate at best, never getting above 517 (moderate energy) by the last day, but it’s still too small and messy to be worth it. The swell direction is all over the place—north, west, northwest, northeast—but none of it lines up with the optimum NW direction for this reef break. The period is mostly short, between 6 and 18 seconds, but the size is just too small for any real drive.

A few afternoons, like Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th, offer clean conditions with light offshore or cross-off winds, but the swell is still only 0.7 ft to 1 ft. Not enough to ride. There’s a slight bump in size around the 14th and 15th, with 3 ft to 3 ft waves and moderate energy (308 to 517), but the wind turns cross again on the 15th and 16th, putting a chop on it. The 16th itself has a 3 ft swell from the west with a 14-second period, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore from the ENE, so it’s lumpy and not worth the drive.

Bottom line: if you’re looking to surf, you’re out of luck for the next 16 days. The swell is too small, the wind is too messy, and the quality is just not there. It’s a rare quiet spell for this spot, which is usually very consistent, so don’t write it off forever—forecasts can change. But right now, Velzy Land is a no-go.

Rusty.

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