Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, well, grab a seat ‘cause this one’s a bit of a tough read. The forecast for Velzy Land over the next 16 days is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long, dry stretch with hardly any surf on offer, and what does show up is junk.

Starting off, the first few days are a write-off. Saturday the 18th kicks off with a tiny 1 ft WNW swell, but it’s being blown to bits by a fresh 19 mph east wind. The water’s a warm 79°, which is bang on average for this time of year, but you wouldn’t know it with the quality. Combined energy is a measly 57, so there’s just no power. We go through Sunday, Monday, and right into the rest of the week with nothing but flat spells or scraps of 0.7 ft to 1.0 ft, all under cross and cross-offshore winds that are too strong for the size. It’s a proper desert.

There’s a gap of about 10 days with no real surf to speak of. The only blip in the first week is a tiny 0.7 ft NNW swell on Friday the 24th, but it’s short period at 9 seconds and cross-shore wind is lumpy. Not worth a paddle.

Then, just when you’ve given up hope, Tuesday the 28th of July shows a pulse of 4 ft NE swell, with combined energy jumping to 160 – that’s moderate energy. But look closer, the period is only 7 seconds, which is weak and short, and the wind is howling cross-shore. It’s messy. Wednesday the 29th pushes up to 6 ft from the NNE, with a combined energy of 286, which is getting interesting energy-wise, but the period is still just 7 seconds and the wind flips to cross-onshore. That’s too big and blown out for a clean ride. For a reef break like Velzy Land, a short period swell like that will just be a bumpy, chaotic mess.

Honestly, the only faint glimmer is on Friday the 31st of July. The morning has a tiny 0.7 ft, but the afternoon brings a 2 ft SW swell with a very long period of 16 seconds. Combined energy sits at 125 (moderate). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the east at 12 mph. That’s the best-looking window in the whole run, but it’s still just knee-high. The long period means it’ll have some shape, but for a reef, it might be a bit straight. Still, that’s the pick of a very poor bunch.

The rest of the first week of August is more of the same – small, weak, and cross-shore wind. There’s nothing here for a beginner, and even experienced surfers will be lucky to get a few grovelly ones. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most days.

So, to put it plainly: the surf is flat or poor for the next 10 days, then we get a few days of short, blown-out swell, and then a possible clean but tiny groundswell at the very end. It’s a tough run.

Rusty.

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