Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it for you. We’ve got a long, bare stretch of beach ahead before anything worth paddling out for shows up. The models are showing what we call a "blank run" – it happens here sometimes, and it looks like this is one of those spells. Don’t get bummed out just yet, though. When it’s flat for this long, it usually means a storm is brewing somewhere to fill the void. Forecasts can and do change, so keep an eye on the charts.

Looking at the entire 16-day window, there are no real standouts, but there are a couple of days that might offer a glimpse of hope way down the line. The early part, from August 5th through the first week, is completely out. We're talking nothing but 0.7 ft to 1 ft of slop, and with the wind blowing cross-shore or cross-off, it’s messy. The wave energy is weak, with readings in the low teens to 50s, and with short 7-9 second periods and a peak wave from a bad direction, it's not even close to rideable. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Then, starting around August 14th, things get interesting for a couple of days. We start to see a bit more size and energy building. August 14th morning at Velzy-Land (Huntington Beach) has 1 ft and the combined energy jumps up to 106, which is a sign things are waking up. The wind is offshore, coming from the E at 22 mph, which will keep it clean. This W-NW swell is moving in the right direction for this spot, with a period of 13 seconds – a bit of a longer period than we’ve seen. It’s still small, but it’s something.

The afternoon on the 14th and the 15th keep that energy moderate, in the 100s. By the 16th, we see the swell peak at 2 ft with a period of 14 seconds and energy at 115. But here's the rub – the wind swings around to the ENE at 22 mph and goes cross-shore, which will chop it up. The break is a reef, so it’s not a total write-off, but the conditions are going to be lumpy.

The very last blip is on August 20th, more than two weeks out. The morning shows a jump in energy to 205 with 2 ft and a longer, 18-second period from the SW. That’s a real groundswell signal. But it’s a long way out, so treat it as a promising idea, not a guarantee. The wind is still just moderate cross-shore, which isn't perfect.

So here's the deal: this spot is a reef break, and long-period swells like that are best on points, reefs, and river mouths. It could be worth a look on the 14th, but for the most part, this two-and-a-half-week stretch looks like it’s for the kite surfers, not the paddle surfers. It’s flat, windy, and cross-shore for too many days. I wouldn’t burn the gas money for anything other than a long walk on the beach. Keep the boards in the rack and wait for the next pulse.

Rusty.

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