Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Velzy Land over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it’s a pretty bleak stretch for paddle surfing. The whole 16-day window is a tough one. There’s a long gap right from the start with nothing worthwhile, and even when the swell does show up, the conditions just aren’t cooperating. We’re looking at a solid 8 days of poor surf before anything remotely interesting happens, and even then, it’s not for beginners.

The water temp is sitting at a warm 80°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so at least the water’s nice.

The first sign of life comes on August 30, Sunday afternoon. The swell jumps up to 5ft from the NE, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the combined energy is moderate at 201. The wind is a cross-shore breeze at 16 mph, making for a moderate cross-chop. Honestly, with that short period and messy wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean wave for a log or a shortboard. Not worth paddling out for.

Then on August 31, Monday, we get a bit of a cleaner window. The swell drops to 4ft from the NE, period is still short at 6-7 seconds, and the energy is moderate (120-134). The wind turns cross-offshore in the morning and stays that way through the afternoon at 16 mph, so it’s clean. But the swell is small, short period, and it’s a beach-and-reef break here, so those NE swells with short period just don’t line up well. It’s rideable for a log or a funboard if you’re desperate, but there’s nothing to get excited about. Crowds are sometimes an issue, but honestly, with surf this average, I doubt many will show.

From September 1 onwards, it’s back to tiny, weak surf with cross winds and lumpy conditions. There’s a couple of days around September 5 and 6 where the swell direction swings to the W and WNW with longer periods of 13-15 seconds. That’s groundswell, and at a reef break like Velzy Land, that could be interesting in theory. But the swell heights are tiny – just 0.7ft to 2ft – and the combined energy is weak (24 to 90). The wind is still a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, so it’ll be lumpy and messy. For experts on a longboard, maybe a few ankle-biters, but nothing worth planning a session around.

Bottom line: Velzy Land is in a real flat spell. The few days with any swell are plagued by cross winds and short periods. If you’re a kiter, the 30th might be worth a look. For paddle surfers, sit this one out and check back in a week or so – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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