Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. We’ve got a 16-day stretch, but it’s a flat one for Velzy Land. You’re going to be watching the horizon for a long time before you see anything worth paddling for. The first week and a half is a total bust.

From Sunday, August 30th, right through to Monday morning, September 7th, it’s all poor surf. The wind is a nasty, steady cross-shore from the ENE, blowing at 18 to 28 mph, and the water is just a lumpy, cross-chop mess. The combined energy is in the single digits or zero for most of it – you’re looking at a weak, pathetic energy reading (0 to 11). There’s a brief moment on the afternoon of September 5th where the wind eases a touch to a cross-off, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft from the NNE, and the energy is still negligible (31). Not worth the wetsuit.

Finally, on Monday, September 7th, the ocean starts to show some life. The combined energy jumps to a moderate 140 and 142, with a 4ft swell from the NE and 3ft from the NNE. The period is a short, weak 8 seconds, though. It’s still fresh cross-shore wind, so it’s going to be lumpy. The guidance says the break is a reef, and the optimum swell is from the NW. This NE swell is a side-angle, so it won’t be lining up right. The water temp is average for this time of year – nothing strange to report.

The best of a bad bunch comes on Wednesday, September 9th. We get a NW swell, 1ft with a 12-second period, and the wind drops to a gentle cross-off from the east. The water will be clean. The combined energy is a weak 63 and 61, but it’s the best we’ll see. The swell direction is a perfect match for the optimum (NW), and it’s a clean, glassy morning. It’s a reef break, so the longer period will help the shape, but the size is tiny. For a beginner, it’s fine. For a strong surfer, it’s a longboarder’s dream. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" possible, so you might have company.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. September 10th has a glassy morning, but the swell is 0.7ft – not ridable. The 11th and 12th get a little more energy, with a 4ft NNE swell and moderate cross-off winds, but the period is short (8 seconds) and the direction is still off. The combined energy gets up to a moderate 161 on the 11th, but the quality is still poor. It’s clean, but the waves are likely to be weak and crumbly. If you’re desperate, you could try it, but it’s a long way from good.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the Wednesday, September 9th. The swell direction matches the optimum, the wind is light and clean, and it’s a reef break. The waves will be tiny, but the quality will be there. For the rest of the period, it’s a washout. The water temp is average for the time of year, so no excuses there.

Rusty.

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