Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Velzy Land. This is a reef setup that’s very consistent, but for the next 16 days, it’s a real test of patience. The forecast is mostly a dud, with a few glimmers worth waiting for.

We’re starting off with a flat spell. From Tuesday, September 1st, right through to Saturday the 5th, there’s nothing doing. The swell is tiny, mostly 0.7ft to 1ft, with wind blowing cross or cross-off at 15 to 22 mph. The combined energy is weak, barely registering in the low double digits (11 to 31). The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is bang on average for this time of year.

Sunday the 6th sees a pulse of energy arrive in the afternoon. The swell picks up to 3ft from the SW with an 11-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 204 (moderate). But the wind is still a messy cross-shore breeze, so the surface is lumpy. It’s a tease.

Monday the 7th is where it gets interesting. Morning conditions are still clean with a cross-off breeze from the E at 12 mph, and 3ft of SW swell (11 seconds, 171 energy). The afternoon gets even better: the wind drops to a light breeze from the ESE at just 6 mph, making it glassy. The 3ft SW swell is clean, but it’s not a standout. The real highlight is Tuesday the 8th. The afternoon session is the best on offer. The swell builds to 5ft from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds, sending combined energy rocketing to 632 (strong). The wind is a gentle, clean cross-off from the E at 9 mph. This is proper reef-swell with good period, and the conditions will be very good. Expect some crowds, as this spot does get busy.

After that, it drops off again. From Wednesday the 9th through to the 16th, the swell is inconsistent and mostly small, under 3ft, with a brief spike to 4ft on the morning of Monday the 14th from the NE (9 seconds, 217 energy). But the wind stays steady, and the energy is moderate at best. The period is short, so the waves will be less powerful and more disorganized.

The standout: The absolute best window is Tuesday, September 8th afternoon.
That 5ft SW swell, combined with a 13-second period, a gentle offshore breeze, and clean conditions, is the real deal. It’s a reef break, and that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. The energy is strong (632). If you can only paddle out once, that’s the session.

The backup: Monday, September 7th afternoon is a solid second. The swell is smaller at 3ft, but the wind is light and glassy, making for a clean, fun session.

This is a long-range outlook, so the Tuesday 8th call is solid, but always keep an eye on the wind shift. For now, that’s the ticket.

Rusty.

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