Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. I've looked over the charts for our region, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch ahead. We're looking at Velzy Land specifically, and the next couple of weeks are a grind for anyone hoping to get a decent wave. The water is sitting around 80°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least a dip won't shock you.

Right now, from Friday the 21st of August, we're in a real flat spell. The swell is tiny, mostly knee-high or less, and even though the wind is often a clean cross-offshore breeze, there's just no energy in the water. The combined swell energy barely cracks 70 (72) on the first day and drops off from there. It's clean, yeah, but you're scratching for scraps. This poor run of tiny, waist-to-knee-high surf drags on right through the end of the month. For over a week, it's pretty much unsurfable for anyone looking for a proper ride.

Now, there's a slight change on Sunday the 30th of August. We see a bump of swell coming in from the NE at 5ft, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 230 – that's moderate. Don't get too excited, though. The wind is a fresh cross-shore from the ENE at 19 mph, making for lumpy, bumpy conditions. It's messy. For a spot that likes a solid NW groundswell with clean offshores, this northerly wind-swell is a poor fit. Honestly, with that choppy texture, this setup might be more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys.

After that, it goes straight back to flat and tiny again into the first days of September. Then on Tuesday the 1st of September, there's a real spike in the numbers: a 7ft NE swell with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy hits a massive 1071 – that's strong. But again, the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the NE, creating lumpy conditions. The rating tells me it's marginal, and the wind just won't play ball for Velzy Land to be good. At that size, over 5ft, it's getting too big for beginners anyway, and with that cross-shore, it's a battle.

The best look in the whole 16-day window comes on Thursday the 3rd of September. It's over a week and a half away, so take it with a grain of salt, but the morning shows a 5ft NNE swell with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 286. The standout here is the wind: glassy. A light WSW breeze of 3 mph. That is a major positive. It'll be clean, for sure. The swell direction isn't optimal for the break's preferred NW, but glassy conditions fix a lot of sins. At 5ft, it's still a manageable size for a confident intermediate. It's not a perfect day, but in this forecast, it's the only one I'd even mark on the calendar. Get your hopes up a little for that Thursday morning, but don't book the time off work just yet.

This has been a tough run for Velzy Land. It's a spot that relies on the right swell and the right wind, and neither is lining up. Hang in there, forecasts change. I'm Rusty.

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