Velzy Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Velzy Land.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you—this stretch of the forecast is a grind. The finder is throwing up zero recommendations across the entire 16-day window, which is a real gut punch. The swell is there, but it’s tiny, and the wind, while often cross-off, is just too strong to let any real quality build. It’s the kind of run that has you checking the forecast more than the waves.

We start off Tuesday, August 4th, with a pathetic 0.7ft of swell from the west, with a long 13-second period, but the energy is pathetic at just 18 (combined energy). The morning has a cross-off breeze from the east at 9 mph, keeping the surface clean, but there’s nothing to ride. That afternoon, the wind swings a bit more cross-shore and picks up to 12 mph, chopping it up.

This pattern just repeats itself day after day. Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday—all through the first week and into the second, we’re looking at waves between 0.7ft and 1.0ft. The wind is mostly cross-off from the east, which keeps the water clean, but the swell is so weak it’s a non-starter. The combined energy never cracks 100 until we get to the second week.

Now, there is a glimmer of something in the distance. Over the second week, starting around Thursday, August 13th, the swell begins to lift. We see a jump to 1ft, then 2ft, and up to 2ft by Friday, August 14th. The period stretches out, hitting 18 seconds on the 13th afternoon, with the combined energy finally climbing into the moderate range (258 on the 13th afternoon, 258 on the 14th morning). The wind stays cross-off from the east, but the speed is up to 19 mph, which is a fresh breeze and will put a bit of a texture on the face.

The best of the lot, if you can call it that, looks like Thursday afternoon, August 13th, and Friday morning, August 14th. The swell is 2ft to 2ft from the WNW, with a very long period of 17-18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (258). For a reef break like Velzy Land, that long period is a big positive—it’ll wrap in and produce some nicely shaped, lined-up waves, with long waits between sets. The morning of the 14th is clean with a cross-off breeze, but the afternoon gets choppy.

The catch is the size. Even at 2ft, that’s not a wave that’s going to get your heart racing. And with that long period, you’ll be sitting out there waiting a while for a set. Saturday, August 15th, is similar, with 2ft to 2ft and clean conditions, but the wind is still a fresh 19 mph. The energy drops a bit to 184-178.

Honestly, for an expert, advanced reef like Velzy Land, which is very consistent, this is a flat spell. It’s the kind of thing that happens here. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no worries there. The optimum swell direction is from the NW, and the later period does have a bit of west in it, but the size is just too small to make it worthwhile.

Forget the paddle. On those days with a bit more size and the strong cross-off breeze, a kite would be the only way to get a ride. The setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, hold tight. The end of the second week looks a tiny bit better, but it’s a long way off and nothing to get excited about yet. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a hard pass.

Rusty.

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