Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a pretty quiet start with not much to get excited about. The first solid surfable window doesn't show up until later this week. The early part of the forecast has a few tiny waves, but nothing worth paddling out for. The real action, if you can call it that, builds towards the end of the first week and into the second, but there are some big caveats.

For the standout of the whole period, you have to look at Tuesday morning, July 28th at Tutaekuri River Mouth. The swell is coming from the ESE at 4ft with a long 13-second period (groundswell). That’s some proper energy pushing in, with a combined energy of 577 (moderate). The wind is offshore from the WSW at just 6 mph, which is going to keep things glassy and clean. This is a river bar/beach setup, so that long period can make it a bit straight, but with offshore wind and that size, it’s the pick of the forecast. The water is about 54°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget the extra rubber.

Wednesday morning, July 29th is another decent shout. The swell drops a touch to 4ft from the ESE, still with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is 424. A light WNW breeze at 3 mph will keep it clean. It’s a step down from Tuesday but still a good session.

Looking further out, there’s a big pulse of swell coming for Thursday, August 7th. We’re seeing 12ft swell from the ESE with a 12-13 second period. The combined energy is massive – 3514 to 4087 (very strong). The wind is offshore, so it would be clean. But here’s the thing: at 12ft, this is only for experts. This is a river mouth, and that kind of size with that much energy is going to be wild and dangerous. It’s too big for most, and the forecast notes it’s predicted to be too big for this break. It’s a promising sign for swell, but not for the average surfer.

The rest of the first week has some smaller windows, like Sunday morning, July 26th with 2ft from the ESE and a 14-second period, clean with SW winds, but it’s small. The Monday morning, July 27th is similar with 3ft. Both are rideable but not firing.

There’s a gap from August 1st to the 3rd where the surf is either tiny or messy. Nothing recommended there. Then things pick up again on August 4th with a short-period 4ft from the ENE, but the wind is messy. By August 5th and 6th, the wind is howling at 25 mph from the south, making it a total mess, even though the swell is there. That’s more of a kite day than a paddle day.

So, bottom line: Tuesday morning, July 28th is your best bet. Clean, decent size, and good energy. The big stuff on August 7th is for the brave and the expert only. Keep an eye on it, but don’t get too excited.

Rusty.

Read more