Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, lookin' at what we've got on the table.

Right off the bat, this isn't a setup for everyone. We're talkin' Tutaekuri River Mouth, and it's an advanced-only kinda wave, especially when it gets going. Water’s sittin' at 55°, which is a bit colder than what we're used to for this time of year – so don't forget a hoody if you're paddling out Friday morning.

The first real shout is Friday the 10th, first light. That's a big one. We've got a 13ft swell out of the southeast, and the combined energy is rippin' at 3836 – that's serious power. Now, this spot is a river bar/beach, and with a 10-second period, that's a lot of water moving. The wind is a cross-off from the south, so it'll be clean, but honestly, this is only for the experts. The swell size is well over the 8ft mark so if you're not absolutely dialed, give it a miss. The afternoon drops fast to 7ft, but the score drops too, so that early window is the one.

Saturday the 11th is a bit more manageable. Morning brings a 5ft ESE swell with a light cross-off breeze. It's clean, but the energy has dropped to 334. It's a surfable wave, but nothing to write home about.

Then we hit a long, quiet spell. From Sunday the 12th all the way through to Thursday the 16th, it's pretty much flat or tiny. You'll see little 1ft to 3ft bumps, but the combined energy is mostly in the double digits, and the conditions are just ordinary. That's about a 5-day gap with nothing worth paddling for.

Now, here's where it gets interesting again. On Friday the 17th, we get a pulse of long-period groundswell. Morning sees a 4ft ESE swell with a 16-second period. That's a very long period, and combined energy jumps back to 697. For a river bar, that long period can make waves stand up and break a bit straight, so you'll want to pick your peak. The wind is a light cross-off from the southwest, so it'll be clean. This is the standout of the whole forecast for me. Saturday the 18th morning has a similar 4ft swell with a 14-second period and light winds, another very good session.

After that, it gets messy again with onshore winds and choppy conditions until Wednesday the 22nd. That afternoon is a sleeper hit – glassy conditions and a solid 8ft ESE swell. The combined energy is 1430, which is high, and it’s glassy. That one is excellent for experienced surfers only, but the conditions will be perfect.

Thursday the 23rd morning is still good, with a 5ft E swell and glassy conditions. Then the end of the window on Saturday the 25th sees a return to a smaller 4ft E swell with light offshore winds, which would be a fun way to close it out.

So, my pick: Friday the 17th morning for the quality of the long-period groundswell and clean conditions. The Wednesday the 22nd afternoon is a close second for the pure power and glassy surface.

Signing off,
Rusty.

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