
Surf Forecasts:
Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, ESE swell with 627 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tutaekuri River Mouth this week:
The surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tutaekuri River Mouth in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what Tutaekuri River Mouth has on offer over the next couple of weeks.
First up, we’ve got a little pulse rolling in starting this Thursday afternoon, July 16. The water’s sitting at 55°F – about 2°F cooler than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit. Thursday arvo brings 2ft of ESE groundswell with a long 17-second period, and the wind’s a light cross-off from the WSW at 9 mph. Combined energy is moderate at 225 – not huge but enough to get a few fun ones. Expect clean, rideable waves, but keep in mind it’s a river mouth and the crowd can be around sometimes.
Now, the real standout is Friday morning, July 17. That’s the pick of the fortnight. We get 4ft of ESE swell, 16-second period – proper groundswell – and the wind goes glassy, just a 3 mph westerly. Energy jumps to 627, which is strong. That’s gonna produce some well-shaped, clean waves with long lines between sets. The direction is ESE, not the ideal NE, but the quality will make up for it. This is advanced territory, so if you’re skilled, get out there early before the crowd builds. The afternoon shifts to onshore, so the morning is the window.
Saturday, July 18, still has some life: 3ft ESE swell, 14-second period, and offshore wind in the morning at 6 mph from the west, then glassy again in the afternoon. Energy is moderate-strong at 401 and 367. It’ll be clean and fun, but not quite the quality of Friday morning.
After that, things drop off fast. Sunday the 19th sees 3ft with a shorter period, and the wind turns onshore in the afternoon. By Monday the 20th, we’re down to 2ft and weaker energy (81). From there we enter a long, flat spell – essentially from Monday the 20th through to about Thursday the 30th, there’s nothing worth paddling for. Tiny waves, poor wind, combined energy often below 100. It’s a classic winter lull for this spot.
Then around Thursday July 30 and Friday July 31, a little bump appears: 2–3ft of east swell, 11-second period, with clean offshore winds on Friday morning (W 12 mph). Energy climbs back to moderate 174 on the 30th, then 123 on the 31st. But it’s still small and ordinary – not a standout, just a sign that the flat spell might be breaking.
So to wrap it up: if you want the best surf, it’s Friday morning July 17 at Tutaekuri River Mouth. Get in before the wind shifts and the crowd rolls in. After that, you’re waiting over a week for anything rideable again.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 5 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
221 | 422 | 627 | 596 | 537 | 394 | 367 | 282 | 195 | 189 | 115 | 81 | 79 | 73 | 47 | 40 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | off | off | glassy | off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 7:03PM1.76m | 7:30AM1.60m | 7:59PM1.74m | 8:26AM1.58m | 8:53PM1.70m | 9:21AM1.55m | 9:46PM1.64m | 10:16AM1.51m | 10:39PM1.56m | 11:09AM1.48m | 11:30PM1.49m | 12:00PM1.44m | 00:20AM1.42m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:27AM-0.01m | 1:44PM-0.02m | 2:23AM-0.00m | 2:41PM0.01m | 3:18AM0.01m | 3:36PM0.05m | 4:10AM0.05m | 4:29PM0.11m | 5:01AM0.10m | 5:22PM0.18m | 5:50AM0.16m | 6:13PM0.24m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 14 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
221 | 422 | 627 | 596 | 537 | 394 | 367 | 282 | 195 | 189 | 115 | 81 | 79 | 73 | 47 | 40 | 19 | 8 | 21 | 10 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 16 | S 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 24 | SSE 22 | SSE 21 | S 17 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 20 | SSE 7 | SE 6 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 5 | SSE 5 |
6 | 5 | 53 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 114 | 154 | 88 | 23 | 38 | 72 | 72 | 151 | 19 | 14 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | — | S 16 | S 19 | S 19 | S 19 | SSE 6 | — | — | SSE 21 | S 16 | — | S 20 | SSE 6 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | ESE 5 |
4 | — | 5 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 4 | — | — | 42 | 19 | — | 196 | 12 | 64 | 72 | 60 | 29 | 26 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | S 5 |
3 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 112 | 249 | — | — | — | — | 22 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tutaekuri River Mouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tutaekuri River Mouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tutaekuri River Mouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tutaekuri River Mouth is 8 km (5 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










