
Surf Forecasts:
Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SE swell with 1,140 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tutaekuri River Mouth this week:
The surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tutaekuri River Mouth in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 11) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, mate, I gotta be straight with you – this is not looking like a stellar period for a paddle. We’re looking at a real dry spell to start, with the first real chance of a wave not showing up for a good while. The water temp at Tutaekuri River Mouth is sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit.
The main break on the cards here is Tutaekuri River Mouth, a river bar/beach setup that's marked as advanced. It's fairly consistent when there's swell, but we just don't have the juice for most of this forecast.
For the first week, it's grim. Monday the 7th is a write-off with rain and mucky winds. We get a pulse of energy on Tuesday the 8th with a 5ft swell from the ESE, and the combined energy peaks at (415) – that's a decent amount of power. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a mixed bag. The trouble is the wind is cross-off in the morning, but it goes cross in the arvo and makes a mess of it. It's a marginal call at best.
Wednesday the 9th morning is interesting, but for a different reason. The swell drops to 3ft, but the wind is totally glassy (0 mph). That’s rare. The combined energy is weak at (132), but if you want some clean, tiny waves to yourself, that’s your window. After that, it's flat and poor all the way through the weekend and into the next week. We're talking days of tiny, gutless swell, with the combined energy barely hitting double digits.
Now, after that long, flat gap, there is a glimmer. On Friday the 18th of September, the swell picks up again. The morning shows a 3ft swell from the SE with a 9-second period. The combined energy is moderate at (147), and the wind is a gentle offshore from the WSW. That will make for some clean, if small, waves. It’s the only period that looks even close to surfable in the whole run.
The Standout
If you’re desperate, the absolute best bet is the morning of Wednesday the 9th. I know the swell is small, but with glassy conditions and a 3ft ESE swell, the river mouth could have some clean, peelable little banks. It’s not going to be pumping, but it’ll be the only time you’re not fighting the wind. Don't expect any crowds for that one. For the rest of it, you're better off waiting for the next proper swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | SE 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | E 13 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 12 | E 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 91 | 226 | 415 | 368 | 185 | 122 | 110 | 79 | 44 | 33 | 21 | 62 | 42 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:39PM1.59m | 2:07AM1.48m | 2:39PM1.60m | 3:06AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.61m | 4:04AM1.50m | 4:34PM1.62m | 5:01AM1.52m | 5:28PM1.62m | 5:55AM1.53m | 6:21PM1.61m | 6:47AM1.54m | 7:11PM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:00PM0.15m | 8:19AM0.11m | 8:59PM0.13m | 9:18AM0.10m | 9:57PM0.11m | 10:16AM0.09m | 10:54PM0.09m | 11:13AM0.08m | 11:49PM0.08m | 12:09PM0.08m | 00:41AM0.07m | 1:03PM0.09m | 1:31AM0.08m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | 11 | 9 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | SSE 19 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 |
3 | 1 | 226 | 415 | 368 | 185 | 122 | 110 | 79 | 44 | 33 | 21 | 62 | 42 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 201 | 149 | 145 | 52 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 16 | — | S 15 | — | E 17 | E 16 | E 15 | E 16 | E 17 | E 15 | E 3 | SSE 6 | E 14 | ESE 7 | E 13 | SSE 5 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
2 | 5 | — | 4 | — | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | E 9 | — | — | — | E 17 | E 16 | E 15 | ENE 8 | E 13 | ENE 8 | E 15 | E 14 | S 20 | E 13 | E 7 | E 8 | E 13 | — | E 12 | E 12 |
5 | 2 | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 6 | SE 8 | SW 3 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | S 7 | — | — | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 91 | 67 | 1 | 19 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 289 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 93 | 102 | 165 | 8 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 33 | 10 | 46 | 10 | 86 | 95 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tutaekuri River Mouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tutaekuri River Mouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tutaekuri River Mouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tutaekuri River Mouth is 8 km (5 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










