Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the banks of the Tutaekuri River Mouth. It's a tricky spot, a river bar and beach setup that's got a real specific swell window and needs the stars to align. The water's sittin' at 55°, a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll be wantin' a good steamer.

Look, the next week or so is gonna be a real test of patience. We're lookin' at a long dry spell to start. Monday the 20th has no surf to speak of, just a weak 2ft bump with a 12-second period but a nasty cross-shore wind messin' it up and a combined wave energy of only 90, which is basically flat. Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday... it's all the same story. We're talkin' tiny 0.3ft to 2ft slop, very ordinary conditions, and ratings that are just poor. You'd be better off waxin' your board and starin' at it in the garage. Even the glassy morning on Thursday the 23rd with a 0.7ft swell is just too small to do anything with.

The real turnaround starts on Sunday the 26th. The morning is still a bit ordinary, but by Sunday afternoon, things start to wake up. Swell ticks up to 2ft from the ESE with a 14-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 295, which is a moderate but promising pulse. The wind is light and cross-offshore, keepin' it clean. That's a sign of life.

But the standout window, the one you gotta circle on the calendar, is Monday the 27th. That's the pick of the whole forecast. The morning has a solid 5ft swell from the ESE, a long 13-second period, and the combined energy is a strong 632. The wind is a clean cross-offshore, and the conditions are rated as very good. The afternoon is even better. We get a 5ft swell, still from the ESE, still that lovely 13-second period, and the energy jumps to 755. More importantly, the wind swings to a clean offshore from the WNW. This is a proper groundswell, and at that size, it's gettin' into expert territory, especially for a river mouth. The long period means nice, well-shaped lines, but the paddle out might be a bit of a chore with those long lulls between sets. It's a break that rarely gets this good, and when it does, the locals know it. Expect company.

Tuesday the 28th backs it off a bit. The morning is still good, with a 4ft ESE swell and 484 energy, but the wind is a cross-off. You'll still get a wave, but Monday is the day.

After that, we have a bit of a fade. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th have some solid 3ft pulses with clean winds, good for a fun session if you're not lookin' for anything too heavy. The first weekend of August is a mixed bag of onshore and choppy conditions, but there's a whisper of a glassy morning on Tuesday the 4th of August, though the swell is only 1ft.

So, the long and short of it: this is a classic case of waitin' for the right window. The first week is a washout. The clear winner is Monday the 27th of July. If you can only get one session in the next two weeks, make it that one. The Sunday afternoon beforehand is a good warm-up. Stay patient, and when that ESE groundswell hits with a clean offshore, you'll be glad you waited.

Rusty.

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