Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here, talking surf. We’ve got a dry patch to get through before anything worth paddling for shows up, so don’t be in a rush.

The outlook for the next two weeks is a real slow burn. Right now, we’re looking at a flat spell that runs from Wednesday the 2nd right through to Friday the 11th of September. That’s a solid nine days with nothing but tiny, weak leftovers. The energy is barely there, with combined readings scraping the bottom of the barrel (like 2 to 98). The odd glassy morning on Saturday the 5th might look tempting, but those 0.3ft to 1.0ft slivers aren't going to get you wet. A bit of a bummer, but it is what it is.

Then, things start to wake up. The real standout, and the only one I’d circle on the calendar, lands on Saturday the 12th of September. Tutaekuri River Mouth wakes up with a solid 7ft swell from the SE early in the morning. That’s a proper winter pulse, pushing the combined energy up to 501 – plenty of grunt. The wind is a clean cross-off from the SW, which should keep it tidy. Bear in mind, this is an advanced spot, and with a 7ft swell, it’s going to be too big for the beginners. The period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s a windswell, not a groundswell, meaning it’ll be a bit sectiony and fat. Not the cleanest lines, but it’s the only day with real size and power on offer.

The following week is pretty average. After that Saturday morning pulse, the surf drops back into the ordinary range. Wednesday the 16th brings a bit of interest with a 1ft swell but a very long 15-second period giving a combined energy of 151, and the afternoon goes glassy. That’s a long-period groundswell, which at a river mouth setup can be a bit tricky – it might break too straight – but it’ll be clean. Thursday the 17th has some energy (179) but it’s blown out by a strong, lumpy cross-shore wind.

The water temps are a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 54°F if you’re braving the early sessions.

So, to keep it simple: the first week and a half are a write-off. The one true standout is Saturday morning the 12th for the advanced crew looking for some punch. After that, it’s a slow return to small, clean but ordinary conditions. Keep an eye on the charts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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