Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks for the Tutaekuri River Mouth. It’s a bit of a waiting game, so don’t get too excited just yet. We’re looking at a long, flat spell before anything gets going, and even then, it’s about picking the right window.

The water is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, sitting around 53°F, so you'll want the thick rubber on.

For the first few days, there’s basically nothing doing. We have a long stretch of tiny, weak surf with poor winds, which is a classic setup for this area. It’s going to be a barren run from Monday the 10th through to at least Wednesday the 12th. The swell energy is just pathetic, with readings down in the single digits and a piddly 0.3ft to 3ft of surf. Not worth the drive.

Things stay pretty ordinary through the rest of that first week and into the weekend. We get a bit more energy around Friday the 14th, but it's coming with onshore winds and rain, making for messy conditions. The swell bumps up to 4ft to 5ft, but it's not going to be any good for a paddle. This is looking more like a kite-surfing setup than a surf one, with those strong onshore winds.

There is a pulse of bigger swell on Saturday the 15th, with the energy jumping to 864, but again, it’s onshore and sloppy. Not our window. Sunday the 16th sees cleaner conditions with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops back to 4ft to 5ft and the wind is howling at 19-22 mph, which will make it a battle.

The real story is the long-range call for the final day of the forecast period. On Monday the 25th, a solid groundswell is predicted to fill in. The morning looks marginal, with a 6ft swell and a shorter 7-second period, but it's the afternoon that has my attention. The models are showing a significant jump to a 10ft swell from the east with an 11-second period. The combined energy is a massive 4074, indicating some serious power. The wind is forecast to be cross-offshore and clean. This is a proper swell, but the call is that it might actually be too big for this river-mouth break. This one is for the experts only, and even then, it could be a washing machine. It's a promising outlook, but it's a week and a half away, so we'll have to see how it shapes up.

All in all, there’s no standout day in the near term. The only real hope is that Monday the 25th pulse, but with the size predicted, it might be a case of "watch from the bank". Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don't hold your breath for the next ten days.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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