Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Tutaekuri River Mouth, and honestly, there’s a big stretch of nothing much worth getting excited about. We’ve got a long gap of poor conditions from the start, but there is one morning that’s shaping up to be a little beauty if you can wait for it.

The story starts pretty flat and ordinary. Saturday the 8th has a tiny 1ft SE swell with a sniff of a cross-off wind in the morning, but the wave energy is weak (78) and conditions are just surfable, nothing more. That sets the tone for a real dry spell. From Sunday the 9th right through to Monday the 11th it’s small, weak, and messy – mostly cross-shore or onshore winds, with swell heights barely cracking 2ft and energy levels dropping into the doldrums (as low as 6). There’s a brief glassy moment on Monday afternoon, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3ft.

Tuesday the 12th kicks off with a bit of a pulse. The morning sees a 3ft ESE swell, and the combined energy climbs to 141 (moderate), but the wind is cross-on from the NNE and it’s choppy. Not one for the log. Wednesday and Thursday are similar – a bit more size (up to 4ft on Thursday morning), but the wind stays cross-on or cross, and the period is short (6 seconds on Thursday), making it bumpy and weak. The wave energy is moderate (126–141), but the quality is poor.

Friday the 14th is more of the same: 3ft easterly swell with a short period (7–8 seconds) and cross-on winds. The setup is getting a bit more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if you ask me.

Then, finally, a glimmer. Saturday the 15th morning has a clean 2ft easterly swell with a SW cross-off breeze, and the combined energy is 96 (still weak). It’s surfable, but ordinary. The real standout is further out.

We’ve got a long gap of poor conditions from the 15th afternoon through to Thursday the 21st. Most days are tiny (0.3ft to 1ft) or flat, with a few glassy moments but no swell to speak of. The 19th is completely flat, with zero energy.

But hold onto your board – Saturday the 22nd of August is the one. Saturday morning at Tutaekuri River Mouth (New Zealand) is looking like a cracker. The swell is 4ft from the SE, period 11 seconds, and the wind is glassy – WNW 3 mph, dead calm. The combined wave energy is 304 (strong), which is the biggest push we’ve seen in the whole outlook. The water temperature is sitting at 53°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year (anomaly -3°F) – so you’ll want a thick wetsuit. That SE swell direction is right in the sweet spot for this exposed river bar/beach, and with offshore winds and a long period, it’s going to be clean and lined up. The only catch? It’s an advanced break, so this isn’t a learner’s wave – and it’s fairly consistent, but crowds are sometimes an issue, so get in early.

Sunday the 23rd morning is still clean and glassy, with a 3ft SE swell (period 10 seconds) and energy at 192 (moderate), but the wind shifts onshore by afternoon. It’s a good option if you miss Saturday, but Saturday is the clear standout.

So, to sum it up: a long, flat first week and a bit, then a solid, clean session on Saturday the 22nd. That’s your best bet. Lock it in.

Rusty.

Read more