
Surf Forecasts:
Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, SE swell with 4,172 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tutaekuri River Mouth this week:
The surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tutaekuri River Mouth in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got coming up for Tutaekuri River Mouth. This is an advanced wave for sure – a river bar/beach setup, so it needs respect and local knowledge. The water temp is running about average for this time of year, sitting at 56°F with a slight -0.9°F anomaly. Nothing too weird, just your usual winter chill.
The forecast shows a pretty slow start, but hang in there because Wednesday morning the 8th of July is the standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft easterly groundswell with a long 11-second period, pushing the combined energy up to a solid 516 – that's moderate wave energy, with some real push behind it. With a light offshore from the WSW at just 6 mph, it’s going to be clean, lined up, and offering proper bowls down the bank. This is the best on offer – get on it early. Conditions look excellent.
Leading into that, Tuesday morning the 7th of July will give you a taste with a smaller 4ft easterly swell (period 9 seconds, energy 239) under light offshore winds. It’ll be surfable and clean, but nothing compared to Wednesday’s punch. Monday morning the 6th is only 3ft with moderate offshore wind – just an ordinary session to wet the line.
Now, the back half of the first week gets shifty and messy. Thursday morning the 9th holds a clean 4ft cross-offshore swell from the ESE (period 10 seconds, energy 356), but by Thursday afternoon you’re looking at a full-on 22 mph cross-onshore blow with rain and a lumpy 7ft – ugly. Friday the 10th is similar; big swell but winds above 19 mph keep it messy and tough to surf. That continues through Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th. The energy drops right off early in the second week, and we hit a real quiet patch from Monday the 13th through Thursday the 17th of July – a solid 5-6 day gap of small, weak swell around 1ft to 3ft with poor conditions. That’s a long flat spell for this area.
The next time it gets interesting is Saturday afternoon the 18th of July. That’s further out, so take it with a pinch of salt – but it's showing a 6ft ENE swell (period only 7 seconds, energy 405), and best of all, it’s glassy. Inshore calm, no wind, that river mouth could actually turn on for a few hours if the banks are right. Worth a look if you're keen on a gamble. After that, it drops back to tiny and blown-out through to the end of the forecast.
So, to wrap it up: Wednesday morning the 8th of July is your pick of the 16 days – clean, solid, and punchy. Saturday the 18th is the long-range wildcard if the swell direction and glass-off line up. The rest is mostly for the die-hards or the kite crew, because a few of those windy afternoons with moderate energy and strong cross-shore winds would definitely suit a kite better than a paddle board.
Keep an eye on that river mouth after any rain too – that can change everything.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Thu night, light winds from the SSW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | ESE 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
106 | 198 | 210 | 239 | 320 | 541 | 516 | 418 | 353 | 356 | 961 | 1658 | 1154 | 917 | 1974 | 490 | 419 | 272 | 172 | 141 | 147 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 9:58AM1.32m | 10:18PM1.43m | 10:43AM1.34m | 11:03PM1.44m | 11:31AM1.38m | 11:51PM1.44m | 12:22PM1.43m | 00:44AM1.46m | 1:16PM1.49m | 1:40AM1.48m | 2:13PM1.55m | 2:38AM1.51m | 3:12PM1.62m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:09PM0.27m | 4:43AM0.25m | 4:55PM0.27m | 5:26AM0.23m | 5:44PM0.25m | 6:13AM0.20m | 6:36PM0.23m | 7:02AM0.17m | 7:31PM0.20m | 7:56AM0.13m | 8:29PM0.16m | 8:52AM0.09m | 9:29PM0.12m | ||||||||
7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
— | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | |
mm | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | ESE 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SSW 19 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
106 | 198 | 210 | 239 | 320 | 541 | 516 | 418 | 353 | 356 | 961 | 36 | 1154 | 917 | 742 | 490 | 419 | 272 | 172 | 141 | 147 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 22 | S 20 | S 19 | — | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 12 | S 21 | S 20 | S 20 | S 19 | S 18 | S 14 |
9 | 8 | 7 | — | 33 | 28 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 21 | 50 | — | — | — | 79 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | SSW 14 | — | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | — | SSW 12 | — |
— | — | 1 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 39 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 17 | — | 13 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSW 3 | SE 10 | SW 3 | S 7 | S 8 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 93 | 130 | 205 | 651 | 1658 | 3633 | 5 | 1974 | 2 | 215 | 138 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 188 | 200 | 227 | 220 | 8 | 8 | 200 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tutaekuri River Mouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tutaekuri River Mouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tutaekuri River Mouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tutaekuri River Mouth is 8 km (5 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










