Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got coming up for Tutaekuri River Mouth. This is an advanced wave for sure – a river bar/beach setup, so it needs respect and local knowledge. The water temp is running about average for this time of year, sitting at 56°F with a slight -0.9°F anomaly. Nothing too weird, just your usual winter chill.

The forecast shows a pretty slow start, but hang in there because Wednesday morning the 8th of July is the standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft easterly groundswell with a long 11-second period, pushing the combined energy up to a solid 516 – that's moderate wave energy, with some real push behind it. With a light offshore from the WSW at just 6 mph, it’s going to be clean, lined up, and offering proper bowls down the bank. This is the best on offer – get on it early. Conditions look excellent.

Leading into that, Tuesday morning the 7th of July will give you a taste with a smaller 4ft easterly swell (period 9 seconds, energy 239) under light offshore winds. It’ll be surfable and clean, but nothing compared to Wednesday’s punch. Monday morning the 6th is only 3ft with moderate offshore wind – just an ordinary session to wet the line.

Now, the back half of the first week gets shifty and messy. Thursday morning the 9th holds a clean 4ft cross-offshore swell from the ESE (period 10 seconds, energy 356), but by Thursday afternoon you’re looking at a full-on 22 mph cross-onshore blow with rain and a lumpy 7ft – ugly. Friday the 10th is similar; big swell but winds above 19 mph keep it messy and tough to surf. That continues through Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th. The energy drops right off early in the second week, and we hit a real quiet patch from Monday the 13th through Thursday the 17th of July – a solid 5-6 day gap of small, weak swell around 1ft to 3ft with poor conditions. That’s a long flat spell for this area.

The next time it gets interesting is Saturday afternoon the 18th of July. That’s further out, so take it with a pinch of salt – but it's showing a 6ft ENE swell (period only 7 seconds, energy 405), and best of all, it’s glassy. Inshore calm, no wind, that river mouth could actually turn on for a few hours if the banks are right. Worth a look if you're keen on a gamble. After that, it drops back to tiny and blown-out through to the end of the forecast.

So, to wrap it up: Wednesday morning the 8th of July is your pick of the 16 days – clean, solid, and punchy. Saturday the 18th is the long-range wildcard if the swell direction and glass-off line up. The rest is mostly for the die-hards or the kite crew, because a few of those windy afternoons with moderate energy and strong cross-shore winds would definitely suit a kite better than a paddle board.

Keep an eye on that river mouth after any rain too – that can change everything.

Rusty.

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