
Surf Forecasts:
Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, ESE swell with 596 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tutaekuri River Mouth this week:
The surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tutaekuri River Mouth in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the Tutaekuri River Mouth over the next couple of weeks.
First up, it’s a slow start. Really slow. The river mouth is a tricky one, an advanced-level wave that needs the right direction, and for the first few days we’re just not getting it. Tuesday morning (14th July) has a tiny 1ft easterly swell with a short 9-second period, and it’s cross-shore – a total write-off. The water is a bit colder than normal at 55°F, sitting about 3°F below average for this time of year.
We’re looking at a gap of a few days with nothing really worth paddling out for. The swell stays tiny, and the wind is all over the shop. It’s not until Thursday afternoon (16th July) that we get a pulse of life. A 2ft ESE groundswell with a period of 17 seconds rolls in, and the wind turns offshore from the WNW. The wave energy is still moderate at 226, but it’s clean. That’s our first real chance.
Then Friday morning (17th July) is the standout of the whole outlook. The swell jumps to 4ft from the ESE, with a very long 16-second period. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the WSW, keeping it clean. The combined energy climbs to 561 – solid moderate to strong. This is a point-break-style wave here, and that long period groundswell will set up nicely. It’s a river bar, so expect it to handle that long-period energy well. A good session for the advanced crew. Friday afternoon gets a bit ugly with the onshore wind, so get in early.
Saturday morning (18th July) still has 4ft ESE swell, offshore WNW wind, and clean conditions, but the energy drops a little to 478. It’s a solid option, but not quite the standout of Friday.
The next real highlight is a weird one. On Thursday morning (23rd July), we get a tiny 3ft easterly windswell with a short 7-second period, but the wind is glassy. It’s a rare, clean moment for a weak wave, but the energy is low at 96. Then Thursday afternoon, the swell jumps to 5ft from the ENE, still short period at 7 seconds, and the energy hits 330. The wind is onshore, so it’s not clean, but it’s a sign of things to come.
From Friday (24th July) onwards, the swell gets big. Too big for the river mouth. We’re looking at 6ft, then 7ft, and by Saturday afternoon (25th July) it’s 12ft from the E with a 12-second period. The energy is massive – 5073 – but it’s coming with strong cross-onshore wind and rain. This is expert-only territory, and even then the wind is going to mess it up. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The final few days of the outlook settle back down. Monday morning (27th July) has 4ft swell with clean cross-offshore wind, but the energy is moderate at 326. Tuesday morning (28th July) is 3ft, clean, but nothing special. The last day, Wednesday morning (29th July), is just 2ft and clean.
So, the best on offer is undeniably Friday morning (17th July). That 4ft ESE groundswell with a long 16-second period and light offshore wind is the pick of the bunch. The Tutaekuri River Mouth is a consistent spot, so it’s not unusual to get a few poor days, and the forecasts can change. For now, aim for Friday morning and keep an eye on Thursday afternoon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
25 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 45 | 221 | 380 | 561 | 596 | 559 | 478 | 378 | 352 | 195 | 189 | 131 | 113 | 109 | 100 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | on | off |
High Tide | 5:09PM1.73m | 5:35AM1.60m | 6:07PM1.76m | 6:33AM1.61m | 7:03PM1.76m | 7:30AM1.60m | 7:59PM1.74m | 8:26AM1.58m | 8:53PM1.70m | 9:21AM1.55m | 9:46PM1.64m | 10:16AM1.51m | 10:39PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:50AM0.02m | 11:30PM0.04m | 11:49AM-0.01m | 00:29AM0.01m | 12:47PM-0.03m | 1:27AM-0.01m | 1:44PM-0.02m | 2:23AM-0.00m | 2:41PM0.01m | 3:18AM0.01m | 3:36PM0.05m | 4:10AM0.05m | 4:29PM0.11m | ||||||||
7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | NE 4 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
25 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 45 | 221 | 380 | 561 | 596 | 559 | 478 | 378 | 352 | 195 | 189 | 131 | 113 | 109 | 100 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | ESE 10 | ENE 5 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | N 4 | S 16 | SSW 8 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 23 | SSE 21 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 |
4 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 39 | 68 | 12 | 11 | 52 | 42 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | E 14 | E 12 | S 9 | S 21 | NE 4 | E 10 | NE 10 | SSW 16 | S 16 | — | — | S 20 | S 24 | S 8 | SE 6 | SSE 19 | S 16 | S 19 | S 19 | SSE 19 |
19 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 5 | — | — | 7 | 12 | 55 | 1 | 37 | 5 | 29 | 29 | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 4 | S 6 | — | — | — |
5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 99 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 86 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Tutaekuri River Mouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tutaekuri River Mouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tutaekuri River Mouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tutaekuri River Mouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tutaekuri River Mouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tutaekuri River Mouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tutaekuri River Mouth is 8 km (5 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










