The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, it's Rusty here. I'm looking at the forecast for The Well, and it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some serious swell on the horizon, but the wind is going to be a real pain for a solid stretch.

Right now, we're in a bit of a lull. The first session that's really worth paddling out for is on Wednesday morning, the 22nd of July. It's small, with a 5ft swell from the SW, but the wind is cross-offshore from the NW, which will keep it clean. The water’s at 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The combined energy is a solid 1114, so there's a bit of push.

But honestly, don't get too excited for that first day. The real story is the waiting game. From Wednesday afternoon right through to Saturday morning, the 25th, it's a write-off. The westerly winds are howling, cross-on and choppy, turning the 10ft to 18ft SW swells into a mushy, blown-out mess. The wave energy is massive - hitting 7478 on Thursday morning and peaking at 12882 on Friday morning - but it's all for nothing with that wind.

We need to wait until Sunday, the 26th of July, for the wind to ease. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the WSW, but the cross-breeze will keep it from being perfect. It's marginal, but you can get out there.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Monday, the 27th of July, is your first real standout. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore NW breeze and a 10ft SW swell. The energy is a lively 1913. But the afternoon session is the pick of the early run: a light breeze and an 12ft WSW swell with a 12-second period, pushing the combined energy to 7110. The waves at The Well will be well-shaped and powerful.

The absolute best bet on offer, though, is Tuesday, the 28th of July. The afternoon session is looking glassy with a 13ft SW groundswell on a 15-second period. Zero wind. The wave energy is a huge 7000. This is a proper reef-break session for advanced surfers only – the swell is over 8ft, so it's expert territory. The long period will make it a bit heaving and straight on the takeoff, but for the crew that knows the ledge, it will be some of the best waves of the season.

After that, we have a run of good, clean days through to Friday, the 31st, with smaller swells in the 6ft to 8ft range and offshore to cross-offshore winds. It's consistent and fun for the experienced crew.

Looking further out, the first week of August has some big numbers on the charts. Saturday, the 1st of August, looks promising again with a 10ft SW swell and a very long 16-second period, with clean morning conditions. Then, Monday, the 3rd of August, shows a massive 16ft SW swell with a 16 mph offshore wind from the north. The combined energy is a staggering 17226. However, the forecast says it's likely too big for even this break. That's one for the absolute big-wave chargers only, and even then, it's a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

There's a bit of a gap in quality after that, with the wind turning back onshore from the 5th of August. So, lock in the 28th of July as your day to circle. Glassy, powerful, and clean. Don't sleep on it.

Rusty.

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