The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the outlook for The Well. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the way, with one absolute standout that’s got me buzzing.

The pattern starts off a bit raw this Sunday morning with a big 16ft SSW swell rolling in, but the wind is cross-shore and it’s coming with a combined energy of 14005 (strong to very strong). Conditions are marginal due to tide and that cross-chop. It’s not the cleanest start, but there’s power in the water. The water temp is sitting at 59° which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Sunday afternoon sees the swell back off slightly to 15ft, but the ESE wind picks up to 12 mph, keeping things a bit messy.

Monday the 6th is where it starts to turn on. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and we get clean, offshore NNE wind at 6 mph in the morning. It’s a major positive – the wave comment calls it excellent for experienced surfers. By the afternoon, it goes glassy with light NNE wind at 3 mph and 7ft swell. This is the kind of clean, fun surf you hope for.

Tuesday the 7th keeps the goodness going. Glassy conditions again in the morning with a 7ft SW swell and no wind. Afternoon sees a cross-on breeze pick up, making it a bit more average, but the morning session is pure gold.

Now, Wednesday the 8th is the true standout of this whole forecast. We’ve got a solid 12ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and the wind is offshore from the NE at just 6 mph. The combined energy is pumping at 8022 (strong). This is exceptional for expert surfers. That long period means it’s going to hold up beautifully at The Well, which is a reef setup and loves that kind of energy. The water is clean, the sets will be powerful, with long gaps between them making the paddle out easier. If you can handle this size and power, don’t miss this morning. The afternoon holds 10ft but the wind goes cross, so the morning is the call.

The rest of the week continues with clean, fun waves in the 7ft to 8ft range with offshore and glassy conditions through to Saturday the 11th. It’s not huge, but it’s consistent and clean. Sunday the 12th sees a drop in size and some rain, with the combined energy falling to 383 (weak), so a bit of a lull.

Watch out for the second week. Monday the 13th brings another pulse of 12ft SW swell with a 16-second period and offshore NNE wind in the morning – that’s a promising one but less certain this far out. Things go a bit sideways after that as we get onshore winds and poor conditions from the 15th to the 16th, with SW winds at 19 mph creating messy, blown-out surf. That Wednesday morning the 15th has 10ft but it’s just poor with onshore wind. Not worth it.

The week closes with a massive pulse on the 20th (Monday). We’re talking 18ft SW swell with a 16-second period and absolutely glassy, no wind conditions in the morning. The combined energy hits 14587 (very strong) – that’s a monster. This is exceptional for experts only. The afternoon pushes the energy to 15445, but it’s cross-on and the file notes the swell may be too big for the break. That Monday morning glassy session is a rare, powerful beast for the brave and skilled. The 19th (Sunday) also has a solid 15ft morning session with clean ENE wind at 3 mph, which is a good warm-up.

So here’s the deal: Wednesday morning the 8th is your best bet for that combo of big, clean, long-period swell and perfect wind. It’s a standout. The Monday morning the 20th is another standout for sheer size and power, but it’s at the expert-only level and more uncertain due to the range.

Overall, we’ve got a fantastic run coming up with only a few ragged days. Get on it.

Rusty

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