The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about The Well. We’ve got a classic scenario where a deep, powerful swell is dumping in, but the wind is going to ruin it for a few days. The first week will test your patience, but the second week is where you’ll score. Expect a big, heavy, left-breaking reef setup that just wants to be angry for a while.

Right now, Wednesday the 16th, we’ve got a massive 15-foot swell with a very long 15-second period rolling in from the southwest. The combined energy is a huge 9389, but a stiff 12 mph south wind is blowing straight onshore, making it a messy, frustrating experience. The morning is barely okay, and the afternoon is just about unrideable. It’s a lot of power, none of it clean.

Thursday the 17th is a rinse and repeat story. Swell drops slightly to 10 feet, but it’s still a 14-second groundswell, with a solid 3964 energy. A west-southwest cross-onshore wind from the same direction leaves it choppy. Not the day to get the log out.

Friday the 18th is the first real opening. The swell drops to 7 feet with a very long 17-second period. The wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the northwest. This is clean water. 4233 in energy. For the advanced crew, this is a proper, well-shaped, powerful wave. This is the best of a rough first week.

Saturday and Sunday into next week are frustrating. The swell bounces between 6 and 11 feet, but the wind kicks up from the west, giving us continuous cross-shore and onshore conditions.

Now, the good news. Tuesday the 22nd of September is the big standout. The swell swells back to a solid 16 feet from the southwest, with a 16-second period. The combined energy explodes to 12,930. The morning wind is a light onshore, but the afternoon softens to a gentle 9 mph. The forecast is a strong 7/10. For the experts, this is a deep, structured, powerful, and dangerous swell. That’s a session for the memory bank. For anyone else, it’s a skip day.

Wednesday the 23rd is cleaner with cross-offshore NE winds and a still solid 12-foot swell.

Look further ahead to Saturday the 26th of September. We see another absolute gem. Swell is a clean 10 feet with a huge 18-second period from the southwest. The wind is blowing offshore from the north-northeast at 16 mph. The report says “exceptional” for experts. This is a long-period, high-quality groundswell. It’s another standout, promising an epic day for the advanced surfers.

The very tail end, like Monday the 28th, has smaller, glassy 8-foot conditions for a cleaner, more manageable session, but the energy is a lot lower.

The Well doesn’t do small. It’s a raw, powerful reef break. The first week is a waiting game, but that last week of September is absolutely looking like a world-class window.

Rusty.

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