The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking for The Well over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp here feels pretty standard for this time of year, nothing too far off the mark. Now, for the outlook, you’re lookin’ at a classic case of "good things come to those who wait." The start of this period is a write-off. From Thursday the 23rd right through to the end of Saturday the 26th, it’s a no-go. We've got a solid 13ft to 18ft SW groundswell pounding in, but with a cranking onshore wind, it's a total mess. The combined swell energy is massive (values between 5403 and 12587), but the wind is just shredding it. Kite surfers might be frothing, but for a paddleboard, it’s a hard pass.

Sunday the 26th morning shows a bit of a glimmer. Swell drops to a still hefty 8ft from the SW, period at 11 seconds. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NW at 9 mph, so the report says "clean." Combined energy is still moderate (1846), but the tide and conditions are still rated as marginal, so it's only a 3/10 kind of vibe. It's a peek, not a day to call in sick for.

We then ride through Monday and Tuesday with similar marginal conditions. The swell hangs around 8ft to 12ft, but the onshore and cross-shore winds keep things choppy and lumpy.

Now for the standout. You have to hold fire until Wednesday the 30th of July. Thursday morning, the 30th, the stars align. Swell drops to a manageable 12ft from the SSW, period at 13 seconds—proper groundswell. The wind goes cross-offshore from the East at 3 mph, basically a glass-off. The report screams "clean" and "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." The combined energy is moderate (3615), but that wind is the key. For a reef setup like The Well that lights up on a S'ly swell, this is your window. Thursday morning, July 30th is your best bet.

After that, things get interesting again. Sunday morning, August 2nd is another absolute cracker. Same setup: 10ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, cross-offshore NW wind at just 9 mph, and it's clean. Combined energy sits at 4774. This is as good as it gets for a point/reef wave. The late afternoon on the same day goes cross-on, but that morning session is premium.

Following that, Monday August 3rd keeps the dream alive with clean, offshore conditions (N and NNW winds) and a solid 10ft SW swell at 14 seconds. That’s two back-to-back mornings of excellence.

Into the second week, the pattern holds. The morning of August 7th (Friday) looks promising with offshore winds and a long-period 16-second SW groundswell. It’s a long-range call, so don’t bet the farm on it, but the signs are good.

Overall, the first few days are a write-off with big, blown-out swell. Don't even bother until Thursday the 30th. Once that wind flips offshore, The Well will be firing. Thursday July 30th morning and Sunday August 2nd morning are your standouts. Get after it.

- Rusty

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