The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let's have a look at what’s on the cards. The Well (a reef break, advanced only) is the sole spot in the picture, so all eyes are on it. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the extra thick wetsuit just yet.

The first real opportunity is Thursday the 13th in the afternoon, but it’s messy. We've got a solid 16ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, but the wind is on it from the west at 12 mph, making for a cross-shore chop. The combined swell energy is massive (10495), but those conditions will be proper ugly. A bit of a wait.

Friday the 14th stays average. The swell drops a touch to 15ft from the SW, but it’s still cross-onshore. Not worth getting excited about.

Now, Saturday the 15th morning is a proper standout. The swell is still a hefty 13ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period, but the wind goes glassy—just 3 mph from the SSW. That’s the magic window. It’ll be clean, lined-up, and holding that serious energy (6356). This is the one. This size is well over 8ft, so it’s strictly for expert surfers only. Don’t even think about it if you’re not comfortable in big, powerful reef waves.

Sunday the 16th morning is still clean with a cross-off breeze, and the swell has eased to a more manageable 10ft. It’s still a solid size, so it’s for experienced surfers. The 14-second period keeps the quality high.

Monday the 17th is another good day. Both the morning and afternoon sessions look clean with cross-off winds, and the swell sits around 8ft to 8ft from the SW, with a very long 15 to 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and at this size, it’s a lot more welcoming for strong intermediates.

Tuesday the 18th sees offshore winds from the NNE—beautiful. The swell drops to 6ft by morning and 5ft in the afternoon, but the quality will be high with that offshore breeze grooming the faces.

From Wednesday the 19th, the power drops away fast. The swell fades to around 4ft, and while we get some offshore wind on Wednesday afternoon and Thursday, the energy is weak (around 582 to 1807). Not worth a paddle out unless you’re desperate. Friday the 20th is similar, with a 5ft SW swell and clean conditions in the morning, but it’s low energy.

After that, the surf goes a bit wild again, but the wind turns nasty. A big 15ft to 13ft SW swell hits from Sunday the 23rd into Monday the 24th, but it’s blown out by strong cross-onshore winds. That’s kite-surf territory, not paddle-surf. Crowds are marked as “sometimes” at The Well, so you might have it to yourself on the windy days.

Now, the real long-range standout is Tuesday the 25th afternoon. The finder shows a 15ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is offshore from the NNE at 9 mph. The combined energy is off the charts (11197), and the file describes it as “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers.” This one is a promise from a long way out, so keep an eye on the charts as we get closer. The Sunday the 24th and Monday the 25th mornings also have big SW swells, but the wind will be strong and cross-off, so it’ll be a battle.

The final few days from Wednesday the 27th onward are a write-off for surfing, with strong winds and messy cross-onshore conditions on big to medium swells. There will be a gap roughly from late on the 27th through to the end of the forecast period with no good quality surf on offer here.

Right, that’s the skinny. Keep your eyes on Saturday the 15th morning and that Tuesday the 25th afternoon. Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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