The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at The Well.

Water temps are sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet.

The forecast kicks off on Monday afternoon the 17th with a solid pulse. We’re looking at 8 ft of SW groundswell rolling in at a long 16 seconds, and the combined energy is right up there at 3424, so it’s pushing strong. The wind is a light cross-off from the east at 9 mph, keeping things clean. This is proper advanced territory with that size and power, but for those who can handle it, the conditions are excellent. The swell direction is a near-perfect match for the reef’s optimum. This is a standout window.

Tuesday the 18th keeps the fun going. The morning has 6 ft SW swell at 14 seconds, with a clean offshore breeze from the northeast at 16 mph. The afternoon drops to 5 ft but the offshore switches to a glassy NNE at 9 mph, and the period stretches back to 16 seconds – that’s a dreamy combo for a reef. Still excellent for the experienced crew.

Wednesday the 19th sees the swell drop to 4 ft, and while the winds are offshore in the morning, the rain and a fresh 19 mph breeze make it less appealing. The afternoon turns cross-off and the quality drops. This is a day to sit out or check the tide.

From Thursday the 20th through to Sunday the 23rd, the swell pumps up to 10 ft to 12 ft, and the energy readings are massive – between 4148 and 6683. But the wind is all over the shop: cross-on, cross, or just plain messy. The wave quality is poor to marginal for most of it, with strong cross-onshore winds making it choppy and hard to manage. This is big, raw, and mostly unrideable for paddle surfing. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for the rest of us, it’s a hard pass.

Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th offer a bit of relief. The swell drops to 7 ft to 7 ft, with clean conditions on Monday morning from a light NW cross-off, and Tuesday morning is clear with a 9 mph offshore from the NW. The energy is still moderate to strong (around 1768 to 2573), and the quality is good for experienced surfers. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit onshore, so hit it early.

We then hit a dry spell from the 26th through the 30th. Swell hangs around 5 ft to 6 ft, but the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, often fresh and lumpy, with rain and even a risk of thunderstorms on the 28th. The energy is moderate to strong, but the quality is poor to marginal. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate.

Now, the real standout is the Monday the 31st of August. The swell is 5 ft of SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period, energy at 4060, and a glassy offshore from the northeast at just 3 mph. That’s clean, lined-up, and perfect for the reef. The morning session is the best of the entire run. The afternoon turns cross-shore with light ripples, but still good.

And then Tuesday the 1st of September delivers another cracker: 8 ft SW swell at 16 seconds, with a clean moderate offshore from the north at 12 mph. Energy is strong at 3428, and the conditions are excellent. This is a serious session for the experienced crew.

So, overall, the standout windows are the 17th, 18th, early 25th, and the 31st of August into the 1st of September. That’s where the magic is.

Rusty.

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