The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, this is Rusty. Let's get into it. We've got a solid run of surf coming up at The Well, but it's a tale of two halves. The first week looks clean and manageable, but the second week is bringing some serious power and tricky conditions.

The water's sitting around 59°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but nothing wild.

The best bet for the whole run is shaping up to be Friday the 17th of July. The morning is looking exceptional for expert surfers. We’ve got a solid 12 ft SW groundswell pushing in with a very long 16-second period, generated by a strong energy source (4903). The wind is light and offshore from the NNW, which will clean up those chunky lines perfectly. This is a powerful, heaving reef wave, so it's strictly for the experienced crew. The long period means the sets will be well-spaced, so you can pick your moments.

Thursday the 16th is also a good bet to get the ball rolling. It's a touch smaller, still 12 ft SW and a 15-second period, but the wind is lighter from the WSW, making for clean, if slightly cross-onshore, conditions. The wave energy is pumping (6561) and it's a much more manageable entry point for the first big swell of the run.

We then settle into a nice, consistent pattern. From Friday afternoon through to Sunday, the swell drops steadily from 10 ft down to 5 ft. The wind turns cross-offshore from the NNW and NW, keeping the face clean. The swell period stays in the 12-16 second range, so the quality will still be good. Saturday morning with 8 ft at 14 seconds (2379) and Sunday morning with 5 ft at 12 seconds (1072) are both excellent options for experienced surfers.

The first half of the following week, Monday 20th to Wednesday 22nd, sees the swell dip to a smaller, more manageable 4 ft to 6 ft. The wind remains offshore, but it picks up a bit, particularly on Monday reaching 12 mph. The consistency is still good, and the water will be clean. Wednesday afternoon is a bit of a step down with a short 10-second period, but the morning is still a solid option.

Now, the second half of the week gets interesting, but messy. Thursday 23rd sees a big jump in size again, hitting 12 ft SW with a 16-second period by the afternoon and a massive energy reading (5578). The wind is still cross-off, so it will be clean, but this is a lot of power. Friday the 24th is a write-off. Strong onshore winds from the SW will turn it into a choppy, lumpy mess.

Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th are the biggest days of the entire forecast. We're looking at a huge 16 ft SW groundswell (11426) on Saturday morning and 15 ft on Sunday morning. The wind on Saturday is light, but onshore, so it's a question of where you sit. Sunday morning is back to cross-off, but with a 19 mph wind. This is not for the casual surfer. This is big, powerful, and potentially dangerous. For the average punter, the setup on these days looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The run finishes with a drop in size. The last really good day for experienced surfers is Wednesday 29th of July. The swell is back to a reasonable 6 ft-6 ft SW with a 12-second period, and light cross-off winds from the NW will keep it clean. A nice way to wrap it up.

So, to sum it up: your standout windows are the morning of Friday 17th for the power and purity, and the morning of Saturday 19th for the quality at a more manageable size. The second week offers huge, raw power, but it's a mixed bag of clean and messy conditions.

- Rusty

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