The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about The Well. It’s a reef break, so it’s one for the experienced crew only. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The next few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. Wednesday the 5th is messy — cross-on wind, 7ft SW swell but the period’s a long 15 seconds, and the combined energy is sitting at 2291 (moderate), but the wind’s just ruining it. Thursday the 6th isn’t much better; the morning has a clean look with a cross-off breeze on a 5ft SW groundswell (16 sec period, 1061 energy), but it’s marginal. Not worth paddling out for.

Now, Friday the 7th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is looking clean with a light cross-off breeze and a solid 8ft WSW swell, period 15 seconds, and combined energy jumping to 4048 (moderate-to-strong). That’s a good sign. But the real standout is Friday afternoon — glassy conditions, 8ft SW swell, same long period, and 3735 energy. That’s the kind of session that’ll have you grinning ear to ear. It’s big enough for experts only, though — over 8ft, so the beginners should sit this one out.

Saturday the 8th keeps the dream alive. Morning brings a clean offshore breeze from the N at 12 mph, with a 8ft SW swell (16 sec, 3118 energy). That’s a proper clean wave. The afternoon gets a bit windier — 19 mph offshore — but still clean. The swell holds at 8ft. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

From Sunday the 9th, the wheels start to come off. The swell drops to 7ft, wind picks up to 22 mph offshore, and it’s only marginal. By Monday the 10th, things get wild — a 10ft SW swell (18 sec, 7051 energy) but the wind is cross-on and lumpy. That’s a no-go. The afternoon sees a massive 15ft WSW swell (17 sec, 19397 energy) — way too big for this break, even if the wind and tide are favorable. That’s kite-surf territory, not paddle.

The rest of the second week is a big, messy pulse. From the 11th through to the 14th, we’re seeing 12ft to 21ft swells, with strong cross-shore or cross-on winds. The combined energy hits 28524 (very strong) on the 12th afternoon, but it’s just too big and messy. Even the 15th and 16th are still pumping 10ft to 13ft, but the wind is all wrong. Not for us.

Now, here’s the real long-range promise — Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th. The 18th morning has a clean cross-off wind, 12ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second period, and 8374 energy (moderate-to-strong). That’s groundswell perfection for a reef. The 19th morning is even cleaner — light NW cross-off, 12ft SW swell, 15 sec period, 7048 energy. That’s an exceptional day for experts. The 20th also has a clean offshore morning with 10ft WSW swell. Those are the ones to circle on the calendar.

So, bottom line: don’t bother paddling out until Friday the 7th afternoon. That’s the real standout for the first week — glassy, solid, and clean. The second week’s best bet is Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th mornings, but it’s a longer-range call, so keep an eye on it. The Well is a reef, so it handles the long period swells well, but remember, the crowds can pop up.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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