The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right from the get-go, this outlook is all about one place: The Well. It’s a heavy reef break, strictly for the advanced crew. We’ve got a proper slab of southwest groundswell hitting, and it’s going to be a wild ride.

We kick things off on Wednesday the 9th with a massive 18ft SW swell rolling in. The energy is off the charts, with a combined value of 19103. That’s some serious, powerful water. The wind is a moderate onshore from the SSW, but the comment says the tide is favorable. Honestly, at this size, it’s looking more like a survival mission than a surf session.

Through Thursday the 10th, we’ve still got a solid 16ft to 15ft SW swell. The energy is still pumping, reading 12544, and the wind eases off to a light breeze. It’s still huge, but the conditions are getting a bit more manageable. The wave comment calls it marginal, so pick your moment.

The standout window looks to be Friday the 11th. It’s still a proper size, with an 12ft to 13ft SW swell running at a long 15-second period. The energy is strong at 5762, but the magic is in the morning: the wind is glassy, dead calm. The conditions are described as exceptional for experts. This is the one where it all lines up. Later in the day, a light cross-on kicks in and makes things a little more tricky.

The weekend has waves, but it’s a step down in size. Saturday the 12th is still glassy and clean early with 12ft of SW swell and a light offshore. Sunday the 13th brings a bit more wind, a moderate offshore, with drop in size to 8ft. It’s still clean and fun, but the energy has backed off.

There’s bit of a lull around Monday the 14th, when the swell drops to under 6ft and the wind goes onshore, creating poor, choppy conditions. It’s a good day to do something else. This lasts into Tuesday the 15th, when a new pulse of SW swell (15ft) rolls in, but it’s onshore and rough.

But hold on, because Wednesday the 16th is my pick of the whole run. The wind is completely glassy, dead calm, and we’ve got a clean 13ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period. The energy is solid at 7854. The conditions are rated as exceptional for experts. This is a serious, heavy, clean day at the Well. The long period will make it sectiony, but at this spot, it should be working. Get on it.

From there, the swell eases back through the second week. Thursday the 17th sees a fresh cross-off breeze and 10ft to 12ft of swell; it’s clean but getting more average. Friday the 18th gets messy with a 25 km/h cross-on, and it’s rated as poor. Not your day.

The following weekend and into the new week sees smaller but cleaner conditions. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th bring a cleaner 7ft of SSW/SW swell with light winds. It’s more relaxed, but still okay. We then drift into a period of smaller swell, with 7ft or less, but with clean winds. The standout from this stretch is Tuesday the 23rd, which has a 8ft SW swell and a light offshore in the morning, making for a clean, more user-friendly session. It’s not the big stuff from the start, but it’s a nice way to finish the outlook. Everything from the 16th onward is less of a sure thing, so treat those longer-range picks as promising, but not locked in.

Rusty.

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