The Well Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about The Well. This is a solid reef set-up that takes a South swell, and it's been lighting up on the charts. We’ve got a run of proper groundswell rolling in, but you’ve gotta pick your moments because the wind is going to be the main character here.

Right out of the gate, Thursday the 3rd is a write-off. We’ve got a massive 18 ft SW swell hammering the coast, but it’s coming with a strong cross-onshore wind, and it’s just nasty. The water’s sitting at 58°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. Skip it.

Friday the 4th is where it gets interesting. The swell eases to a still-pumping 16 ft from the SW, with a long 16 second period. The magic here is a moderate NNW wind creating clean, cross-off conditions. The combined wave energy is massive (12220), but the wind cleans it right up. This is a serious window for experienced surfers. The swell is well over 8 ft, so this is experts-only territory. The size and power will be intimidating, but for those who can handle it, the shape should be there.

Saturday the 5th is blown out again with a strong cross-wind and a risk of thunderstorms. The swell drops a bit but the quality is gone. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th are average at best, with messy cross-on winds and shorter period swell. The size is still overhead, but the conditions just aren’t cooperating.

Now, if you can wait, Thursday the 10th looks like the absolute standout of the entire 16-day window. We’ve got a clean 16 ft SW groundswell with a 17 second period, and the wind goes absolutely glassy from the ENE – zero knots. The energy reading is a thumping 13245, but for a spot like The Well, that long period is a dream. It’s a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in perfectly. It is still way too big for beginners, but for the experts, this is a day to call in sick for. The crowds are possible here, but with this size, only the brave will be out.

The following days are a mix. Friday the 11th has light offshore winds and 10 ft swell – much more manageable, but the energy is lower. Saturday the 12th is similar with a moderate offshore wind. The second week settles down significantly. Swell sizes drop and the wind tends to be more onshore or cross-on. There’s a small window on the 13th with a clean offshore wind and 5 ft to 6 ft swell, but the energy is low. From the 14th onwards, we get another big pulse of swell, but it’s ruined by strong cross-onshore winds right through to the 18th. It’s a messy end to the outlook, with size but no quality.

So, to wrap it up: the first few days are blown out, Friday the 4th is a serious, experts-only day, and Thursday the 10th is the absolute gem with perfect glassy conditions and a massive, long-period swell. After that, it’s a waiting game for cleaner conditions.

Rusty.

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