
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 22,009 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 7.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 23ft (7.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at what's coming down the line for The Cutting.
Right off the bat, the start of the week is a write-off. Tuesday the 4th is a complete mess with a strong 12ft SW swell but it’s being hammered by a fresh cross-onshore wind, making for lumpy, poor conditions. You’d be mad to paddle out. Wednesday the 5th is only marginally better, with the swell dropping to 6ft but still carrying a cross-shore breeze that’s keeping things a bit messy.
Now, the first real glimmer of hope comes on Friday morning, August 7th. We’ve got a solid 8ft groundswell from the SW with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is swinging cross-offshore with a gentle breeze. It’s clean and powerful. This is the best session of the early window. The combined swell energy is sitting at 3700, so there's plenty of grunt, but it's going to be a handful. This one is for the experienced crew only, as that size will be well overhead. The Cutting is an exposed spot that handles this direction well, and with the long period, expect those big, clean lines.
Saturday the 8th is a tricky one. The swell holds at 8ft, but the wind goes offshore from the north, freshening up to 19 mph. The sets will be clean, but that fresh wind is going to make it a battle. It's still good, but not as easy as Friday. The combined energy is still strong at 3221. You might score, but you'll work for it.
Things start to get wild from Monday the 10th. We’ve got a huge spike in swell, hitting 21ft from the WSW. The wind is clean, but honestly, this is too much for The Cutting. The guidance is pretty clear that this swell is predicted to be too big for this break, and with combined energy readings of over 18000, it’s going to be a washing machine. This is expert-only territory, if anyone is silly enough to try it. This massive swell hangs around for days, through Wednesday the 12th, with 21ft to 23ft swells and insane energy readings up to 49670. The wind goes onshore and cross-onshore at times, making it even worse. Stay on the beach.
The swell finally backs off a bit into the second week. By Saturday the 15th, we see 8ft SW swell with a 15-second period, light offshore wind from the north, and clean conditions. It’s another good one, but the combined energy is still solid at 2939. This is a promising option for experienced surfers, but we're a long way out, so keep an eye on it.
Finally, on Wednesday the 19th, there’s another shout. The swell is 8ft from the SW, period dropping to 12 seconds, but with a light offshore from the NNE and clean conditions. The energy is a strong 3421. Another one for the experts, but a clean, powerful day is on the cards.
To be honest, the standout in this whole 16-day run is Friday the 7th. That’s the one to circle. The big swell events mid-month are just too dangerous for a break like The Cutting, and the last few days are promising but a long way off.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the WSW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NNE by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
4043 | 3464 | 2214 | 1278 | 1484 | 1135 | 688 | 636 | 1001 | 1589 | 3204 | 2114 | 3515 | 3212 | 2723 | 2038 | 1558 | 1428 | 16320 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:01AM0.69m | 2:54PM0.79m | 3:38AM0.71m | 2:51PM0.74m | 4:19AM0.71m | 2:36PM0.71m | 5:13AM0.70m | 2:06PM0.73m | 1:30PM0.79m | 1:10PM0.87m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 8:44AM0.28m | 9:21PM0.20m | 9:10AM0.38m | 9:31PM0.15m | 9:28AM0.49m | 9:44PM0.11m | 9:26AM0.60m | 10:01PM0.08m | 10:25PM0.07m | 11:00PM0.09m | |||||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | |
mm | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 19 |
4043 | 330 | 362 | 1278 | 1484 | 1135 | 688 | 636 | 1001 | 1589 | 3204 | 2114 | 3515 | 3212 | 2723 | 2038 | 1558 | 1428 | 11483 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | SW 18 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 7 | SSE 7 | — | WNW 10 | SW 18 | SW 13 | — |
395 | — | — | 424 | 643 | 565 | 573 | 202 | 314 | 921 | 459 | 1435 | 36 | 9 | — | 123 | 255 | 600 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 20 | — | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 488 | — | 16 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 92 | 37 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 8 | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 5 | NW 6 | W 9 | WSW 19 |
2372 | 3464 | 2214 | 470 | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 38 | 54 | 123 | 758 | 16320 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 108 | 108 | 145 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 76 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 120 | 89 | 318 | 659 | 389 | 449 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away











