The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we've got some serious juice rolling in. This isn't your average run-of-the-mill stuff; we're talking about a proper, long-period groundswell from the SSW that's got some serious muscle behind it. The wave energy is absolutely pumping, reading at a massive 20073, which is into the very strong category. This is big ocean energy, folks.

The problem is, it's *too much* of a good thing for a while. Starting Wednesday the 9th, we're looking at a solid 18ft of SSW swell with a 19-second period. That is a colossal, long-period groundswell. For The Cutting, an exposed break, anything over 8ft is expert-only territory, and this is way beyond that. The wind is on it from the SSW at 19 mph, adding to the chaos. It's going to be a washing machine. Honestly, the first few days are a no-go for paddling; this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

That big energy continues through Thursday the 10th and into Friday the 11th. Even though we get a moment of complete glass on Friday morning, with zero wind, the swell is still a solid 11ft from the SW with a 14-second period. It's still too big and powerful for a comfortable session at this spot.

The first real chance of something rideable comes on Sunday the 13th. The swell finally drops to a more manageable 7ft from the SW, still with a lovely 15-second period. The wind swings to a clean offshore from the N at 16 mph. This is what we've been waiting for. It's still a big day, pushing the limit for intermediates, but the conditions will be clean and lined-up. The wave energy is still moderate at 2168, so there's plenty of push. This Sunday morning is the standout of the whole forecast period.

Sunday afternoon gets a little dicey with stronger cross-offshore wind, and then Monday the 14th is a complete write-off with fresh cross-shore winds and poor conditions.

Then, just when you think you've got a window, another massive pulse hits on Tuesday the 15th. We're back to 13ft of SW swell with a 13-second period. The wave energy jumps back up to 6122. It's too big again. This pattern of monster swells continues right through until the end of the forecast window on the 24th of September.

We do get a slight reprieve on Friday the 18th, with the swell dropping to 8ft from the SW. The wind is a clean offshore from the NNW at 16-19 mph, making for some clean faces. It's marginal, and the wave energy is moderate at around 2400, but for the expert crew, it's a far better option than the 13ft+ days. Saturday the 19th is another pulse of 15ft swell that's just too big for a safe paddle.

So, to wrap it up: the entire 16-day window is dominated by a series of powerful, long-period SW swells. The only true standout for a proper paddle session is Sunday morning the 13th of September. It's the only day where the size drops enough to be manageable, and you've got clean offshore wind. After that, it's a constant cycle of too-big swell and onshore or strong cross-shore winds. If you're an experienced charger, Friday the 18th might offer a brief, cleaner window in the 8ft range, but it's a gamble with the wind.

Stay safe out there, and don't get caught inside on those big sets.

Rusty.

Read more