The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.

First off, there’s a gap at the start. The forecast kicks off Saturday, July 4th, but with a solid 12ft SW swell runnin’ at 13 seconds, it’s lookin’ messy. The wind is a cross-on 12 mph from the SSW, and the water is sittin’ at 59°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is pumpin’ at 4240, but it’s “poor surf conditions” – not worth the paddle.

Sunday, July 5th, brings a huge 16ft SSW groundswell (17 seconds) and a combined energy of 13664 – that’s massive. But it’s just too big for this spot, and with a cross wind from the ESE at 12 mph, it’s a definite no-go for the average surfer. The afternoon holds at 15ft, same story.

Now, Monday, July 6th, things start to clean up. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft from the SSW (14 seconds) in the morning, and the wind swings to a cross-off NNE breeze at 9 mph. The waves are clean, but with 8ft, this is expert territory. The combined energy is 2938. The afternoon is even better: 7ft, a light offshore from the NNE at 6 mph, and glassy conditions. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers only.

Tuesday, July 7th, morning is a standout. The swell is 7ft from the SW with a 16-second period, the wind is a near-flat calm cross-off from the NE at 3 mph, and it’s clean. The combined energy is 2222. This is the best on offer in the first week – clean, lined-up waves for the crew that can handle it. The afternoon sees a light cross-on breeze from the SE, makin’ it a bit more marginal.

Wednesday, July 8th, is another big day. The swell jumps back to 10ft from the SW (18 seconds in the morning, 17 in the afternoon), with a combined energy over 6000. The morning is clean with a cross-off NNE breeze, but again, 10ft is too big for this break. The afternoon is glassy, but still too big.

Thursday, July 9th, is a beauty. The morning has a 7ft SW swell (15 seconds), a light offshore from the NNW at 6 mph, and clean conditions. The afternoon is even better – glassy, with the wind droppin’ to 0 mph, and a 7ft SW swell. The combined energy is 1851. This is excellent, clean surf for experienced surfers.

Friday, July 10th, morning is another highlight. The swell is 8ft from the SW (16 seconds), the wind is a clean offshore from the NNE at 9 mph, and the combined energy is 3053. It’s clean and powerful – again, for the experts. The afternoon is a touch smaller at 8ft but still clean.

After that, the forecast gets a bit more mixed. Saturday, July 11th, sees the swell drop to 6ft, but with a strong offshore wind from the N at 19 mph, the conditions are clean but maybe a bit blown out. The combined energy is 1179. Sunday, July 12th, is a write-off with strong cross-on winds and rain.

The second week, from Monday, July 13th, through to Thursday, July 16th, is dominated by big, messy swell with cross-on winds and poor conditions. The swell is often over 10ft, and the wind is from the SW or SSE, makin’ it choppy and ugly. Not worth a look.

Friday, July 17th, morning brings a clean, glassy 8ft SW swell (13 seconds) with a combined energy of 1877 – excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday, July 18th, morning has a 8ft SW swell (12 seconds) with a clean offshore from the NNW at 9 mph. The rest of the second week is small, with the swell droppin’ to 6ft and 5ft, but the winds pick up from the NNW and NW, makin’ it clean but a bit weak.

The standout sessions are Monday, July 6th afternoon, Tuesday, July 7th morning, and Thursday, July 9th afternoon. These are the windows where the wind is light, offshore, or glassy, and the swell is manageable for the experienced crew. The combined energy is moderate to strong, and the waves will be clean and lined up. The Cutting is a consistent spot, so there’s always somethin’, but these days are the real gems.

Rusty.

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