The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.1°C
0.6° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 21,800 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 8th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 12s
Best Surf 1PM (Tue 8th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 9th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let's see what we’ve got. Rusty here with the full picture on The Cutting.

Water temps are sitting around 57°F, which is right where it should be for this time of year—nothing weird going on.

First real shot at a decent wave is Tuesday morning, September 8th. We get a clean 7ft southwest groundswell with a super long 18-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW, cleaning it right up. Swell energy is strong at 3996. This is for the experienced surfer only—that long-period swell will be hitting the break with serious power. It’s going to be excellent.

Tuesday afternoon jumps to 10ft but the wind turns onshore, and it just gets too unruly to enjoy for most people.

Wednesday the 9th is a solid no-go. The swell is a monster 18ft to 20ft from the SSW with fresh onshore winds. That’s not a surf session, that’s a rescue mission. Might look good for the kite surfers.

Now, the session to really circle on your calendar is Saturday the 12th. The swell drops back to a more manageable 10ft from the southwest, still with a long 15-second period, and we get light offshore wind from the north in the morning turning glassy by the afternoon. Energy is strong at 4408. This is the best it gets. The Cutting will be firing with clean, hollow walls. It will be busy, so get there early.

The second week starts rough. Monday the 14th is wet and messy. Skip it.

Thursday the 17th is interesting because we get a fresh 19 mph offshore from the NNW, but the swell drops to 7ft to 8ft from the southwest. It’s clean but just average. A surf, but not a standout.

Saturday the 19th sees the swell pump back up to 12ft, but the wind is onshore and the period is shorter. Too big for those bumpy conditions.

So, final call: the standout is Saturday the 12th. Tuesday the 8th morning is a solid second place. The rest of the run is either too big, blown out, or marginal. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 5°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
5
5
!
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
4
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
12
2.2
SW
9
2.3
SW
12
2
SW
18
3
SW
17
4
SW
16
5.5
SSW
19
6
SSW
18
6
SSW
17
5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
16
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
754
736
1451
2402
5019
8072
21800
20783
19966
12833
9763
5860
4443
5472
6553
4408
3470
2491
1958
1513
1125
Wind (km/h)
25
S
20
SSW
5
NE
10
WNW
25
WSW
35
SSW
35
SSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
20
SW
20
SW
5
SSW
5
SW
10
S
10
NE
10
N
5
NNW
15
NNE
30
N
30
NNW
25
NW
Wind State
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
1:00PM0.86m
12:55PM0.88m
12:53PM0.88m
11:50PM0.40m
12:54PM0.86m
00:05AM0.53m
12:56PM0.82m
00:33AM0.67m
1:01PM0.79m
1:03AM0.78m
1:07PM0.77m
1:33AM0.86m
Low Tide
10:05PM0.15m
10:14PM0.26m
8:56PM0.37m
5:13AM0.24m
7:39PM0.40m
6:00AM0.21m
7:09PM0.34m
6:37AM0.20m
7:04PM0.26m
7:08AM0.22m
7:12PM0.17m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
 mm
1
Temp °C
12
10
9
10
12
11
11
11
10
11
11
10
11
12
10
17
18
16
21
22
21
Feels °C
5
5
7
6
6
4
4
4
5
7
7
7
8
9
7
15
16
13
15
16
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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