
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 15,671 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and let's have a proper look at what's cookin' at The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the start of this run is a total write-off. Tuesday the 14th is ugly. We're talkin' a massive 18ft south-west groundswell with a very long 16-second period, but it's gettin' smashed by a 35 km/h cross-shore wind. The combined energy is absolutely thumping, but with that wind, the surface is gonna be lumpy, chopped-up rubbish. Not a single wave worth paddlin' for. Wednesday the 15th through Friday the 17th sees the swell drop a touch, still sitting between 10ft and 12ft from the SW, with a solid period. The wind cleans up nicely to light breezes, even going offshore on Friday, making for clean conditions. But the problem is the size. At 10ft to 12ft, this is still well over the 8ft mark, putting it firmly in the "experts only" zone. The forecast even says it's too big for this break. So, unless you're a complete charger on a step-up, you're gonna have to wait.
Now, Saturday the 18th is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to 8ft in the morning, comin' from the SW (optimum direction here) with a 14-second period, and the wind goes light offshore from the N. It’s still big, right on the 8ft threshold, but it's clean and the energy is strong. The afternoon gets even better – swell drops to 7ft, wind shifts light cross-off from the NE, and it's described as clean. This is the first real window for experienced surfers to get amongst it.
Sunday the 19th is a proper step down. Swell backs right off to 4ft from the WSW with a 12-second period. Don't let the size fool you completely, the wind is offshore from the N all day, making for clean lines. The energy is moderate. It’s not gonna be pumping, but it'll be clean and rideable on a log or a groveler. Monday the 20th has a bit more push, with 4ft in the morning under a moderate N offshore, and the swell bumps up to 6ft in the afternoon, though the wind turns cross-off from the NNW. The 6ft afternoon session has decent energy, so that's a solid call for a surfer who knows what they're doing.
We've got a long stretch of good conditions through Tuesday the 21st, Wednesday the 22nd, and into Thursday the 23rd. Tuesday the 21st is a personal favorite on paper. You get 7ft from the WSW in the morning with a light N cross-off wind, and then in the afternoon... glass. The wind goes WNW at 5 km/h, it's described as glassy, and the swell is a consistent 7ft from the SW with a 13-second period. That’s your standout session for the whole run – proper conditions, good energy, and it's going to be clean as a whistle. Wednesday the 22nd keeps the good vibes going with 6ft morning swell and an offshore N wind, easing to 6ft in the afternoon. Thursday the 23rd morning has a moderate N offshore with 5ft swell – another very solid, clean option.
But the party gets gatecrashed. From Thursday afternoon the 23rd right through to Sunday the 27th, it swings back to being too big and/or too windy. Thursday afternoon jumps to 10ft, and Friday the 24th is 12ft again—way too much for the spot. Then from Saturday the 25th onwards, the wind swings onshore from the south and picks up, turning the ocean into a mess. The end of the run on Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th is marginal at best with onshore flow, before a final tease on Wednesday the 30th with a massive 10ft, 18-second groundswell under a light offshore N wind. That's a very long period, which will pour a ton of energy right in, but again, for the experienced crew only.
If I'm picking the one session to circle on the calendar, it's the glassy Tuesday afternoon on the 21st. That's the one where conditions, swell size, and wind all line up for a beautiful session at The Cutting.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
18429 | 13605 | 11915 | 7956 | 5345 | 4485 | 4716 | 5358 | 5333 | 3970 | 4301 | 5969 | 3515 | 2337 | 1657 | 797 | 525 | 469 | 618 | 803 | 1693 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:33PM1.01m | 1:54PM1.01m | 2:11PM0.98m | 11:46PM0.51m | 2:25PM0.94m | 1:05AM0.58m | 2:38PM0.89m | 2:04AM0.64m | 2:50PM0.85m | 2:58AM0.67m | 3:02PM0.81m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:28AM0.08m | 4:53AM0.04m | 5:55AM0.03m | 9:20PM0.49m | 6:46AM0.04m | 8:53PM0.44m | 7:29AM0.09m | 8:57PM0.35m | 8:08AM0.17m | 9:14PM0.27m | 8:43AM0.27m | ||||||||||
— | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | |
— | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
17657 | — | — | 7956 | 5345 | 4485 | 4716 | 5358 | 5333 | 3970 | 4301 | 5969 | 3515 | 2337 | 1657 | 797 | 525 | 469 | 447 | 803 | 1693 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | S 11 | — | SSW 19 | S 10 | — | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | W 12 | S 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | 21 | — | 1960 | 8 | — | 149 | 132 | 413 | 303 | 224 | 618 | 322 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 11 | SSW 10 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 82 | 188 | 281 | 88 | 36 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | — | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — |
18429 | 13605 | 11915 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | — | 3 | 18 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 128 | 129 | 633 | 80 | 76 | 80 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 24 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away











