Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,133 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, breaking down the next two weeks at The Cutting. We’ve got some serious size coming through, but the timing and the winds are going to be the key.
Right off the bat, the biggest story here is the massive amount of energy. The combined swell energy is off the charts, hitting values like 3936 and even 17672, which is a lot of power. For the first few days, from Friday 21st through Sunday 23rd, the swell is pushing 10ft to 15ft from the WSW to SW. That’s big, heavy stuff. With a period of 14 to 16 seconds, this is a proper groundswell, but it’s just too much for The Cutting. The height is over 8ft, so it’s strictly for absolute experts, and even then, the wind is a cross-off from the NW, which is okay, but the sheer size is the limiting factor.
The first real standout that looks good for someone with experience is Monday the 24th. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the SW, and the period is still a solid 14 seconds. The real winner here is the wind: a clean offshore from the NNW at 12 mph. The combined energy is still a strong 2171, meaning there’s plenty of push, but the conditions are described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That Monday morning is your best bet in this first week. The afternoon gets a little messy.
We then hit a rough patch. From Tuesday 25th through to Thursday 29th, it’s a write-off. Strong onshore winds from the S and SSE, or cross-on winds, blow the surf out. The conditions are poor, with combined energy levels still high but totally wind-chopped. It’s a solid five days of ugly.
Things start to look up again on Sunday the 30th. The swell drops right down to 4ft from the WSW, and the wind swings back to a clean offshore from the NNE. The energy is a weak 532, but it’s clean. The report says "expect very good surf conditions," so for a small, clean wave, this is a nice little session. Then Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September keep that trend going. We’re looking at 3ft to 4ft of SW swell, with offshore or light cross-off winds. The energy is in the low hundreds to low thousands, so it’s not pumping, but it’s clean and rideable.
The best of the second week is shaping up for Tuesday the 1st of September. The swell is a modest 4ft from the SW, but the wind is a glassy light breeze from the WNW. The period is 14 seconds, giving it some shape. The combined energy is 1579, which is moderate, but the conditions are clean. It’s a small, clean, long-period groundswell – perfect for a longboard or a funboard.
Now, a word of caution. The Cutting is a consistent break, but it can get crowded sometimes. Also, the water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3594 | 3695 | 3495 | 8008 | 9133 | 7567 | 6295 | 3728 | 5189 | 3197 | 2155 | 1668 | 1703 | 2522 | 5428 | 5878 | 3908 | 2399 | 1365 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:46AM0.71m | 2:22PM0.74m | 5:45AM0.64m | 1:57PM0.74m | 1:16PM0.77m | 12:51PM0.82m | 12:50PM0.87m | 00:11AM0.35m | 12:58PM0.90m | 00:10AM0.43m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:23AM0.55m | 9:53PM0.11m | 8:47AM0.61m | 10:11PM0.16m | 10:26PM0.21m | 10:23PM0.27m | 9:23PM0.33m | 4:49AM0.27m | 8:29PM0.35m | ||||||||||
— | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
2931 | 3695 | 2847 | 6775 | 8485 | 7567 | 6295 | 3728 | 5189 | 3197 | 2155 | 1668 | 1703 | 2522 | 5428 | — | 3908 | 2399 | 1365 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | SSW 24 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | SW 16 |
— | 241 | 1201 | — | 54 | 305 | 872 | 1501 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 113 | 990 | — | — | — | — | 306 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | — | — | — | WSW 6 | SW 14 | — | — | — |
3594 | — | 3495 | 8008 | 9133 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 15 | — | — | — | 218 | 5878 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 121 | 24 | 108 | 128 | 76 | 76 | 24 | 17 | 24 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 205 | 346 | 145 | 452 | 76 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away











