
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 22,110 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at The Cutting. It’s a bit of a wait, but the first real window opens up this Friday afternoon, 10 July. The water’s sitting around 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year—nothing to worry about there.
Early on Friday afternoon, 10 July, we’ve got a solid 7ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 15-second period, and a clean northerly offshore breeze. The combined swell energy is pumping at 2083 (moderate to strong). This is the standout for the whole period—good, clean, powerful waves for experienced surfers. The Cutting is consistently exposed and picks up that S direction swell nicely, so it should be working well. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect to have it all to yourself.
Saturday morning, 11 July, the swell drops to 6ft from the WSW, period still a nice 14 seconds, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph north offshore. It’s clean, but that strong breeze makes paddling a bit of a mission. The energy drops to 1111 (moderate). By Saturday afternoon, the wind swings WNW and picks up to 25 mph cross-offshore, swell down to 5ft, and it’s not looking good—rating zero. Sunday is a write-off. Massive 18ft SW groundswell with 12-second period, but the wind is howling 28 mph from the west, cross-shore, creating a messy cross-chop. Combined energy is through the roof at 8174 then 9475 (strong to very strong), but it’s not surfable.
Monday 13 July through to Thursday 16 July, the swell just keeps getting bigger. We’re talking 12ft to 23ft SW groundswells, periods of 14 to 16 seconds, and combined energy hitting 32653 on Monday afternoon (very strong). Winds are mostly cross-offshore or offshore, but the waves are too big for this break—over 8ft, so experts only, and even then it’s a serious step up. Not recommended for most.
Friday 17 July sees the swell ease to 10ft to 12ft SW, still long period at 16 seconds, with light winds. Energy is still high at 4754 to 5916 (strong), but again, it’s pushing the limits. Saturday 18 July morning brings a better window: 8ft SW swell, 14-second period, and a moderate north-northeast offshore at 12 mph. Combined energy 1896 (moderate), and the offshore wind keeps it clean. This is a good option for experienced surfers. Afternoon drops to 7ft WSW, but the score is lower.
Sunday 19 July has a strong 25 mph north offshore, with 6ft to 4ft swell, but the strong breeze makes it hard work. The 18-second period on Sunday afternoon is very long, but the energy is still moderate at 1977. Not the best.
Monday 20 July sees 7ft to 5ft SW swell, 15 to 16-second period, lighter winds, but the ratings are marginal. Tuesday 21 July morning is a small highlight: 7ft WSW, 13 seconds, moderate north offshore at 16 mph, energy 1703 (moderate). Clean and rideable for the crew who know what they’re doing.
Then from Wednesday 22 July onwards, it’s back to massive swell. 18ft to 20ft SW groundswells, periods of 12 to 16 seconds, and combined energy from 7777 all the way up to 17685 (very strong). Winds are mostly cross-offshore or cross-shore, but the size is just too much for this spot. This is only for the absolute nuts, and even then, it’s a beast.
The real standout here is this Friday afternoon, 10 July: 7ft SW with 15-second period and clean north offshore. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. After that, it’s a mix of too big or too windy, with a few smaller windows on 18 and 21 July for the experienced lot.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2083 | 1521 | 1111 | 754 | 4038 | 8174 | 9427 | 12450 | 17806 | 21474 | 21190 | 14205 | 10929 | 7161 | 4899 | 4005 | 3216 | 3373 | 3373 | 4356 | 4717 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:30PM0.82m | 12:45PM0.92m | 1:09PM0.98m | 1:33PM1.01m | 1:54PM1.01m | 2:11PM0.98m | 11:46PM0.51m | ||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:24PM0.16m | 00:08AM0.12m | 1:32AM0.10m | 3:28AM0.08m | 4:53AM0.04m | 5:55AM0.03m | 9:20PM0.49m | 6:46AM0.04m | |||||||||||||
— | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | |
5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | 5:28 | |
mm | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | SSW 22 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
2083 | 1521 | 1111 | 754 | — | — | 48 | 10200 | 14847 | 18325 | — | 14205 | 10929 | 7161 | 4899 | 4005 | 3216 | 3373 | 3373 | 4356 | 4717 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 |
— | — | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 136 | 44 | 59 | 37 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | WNW 7 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 5 | 19 | 295 | 4038 | 8174 | 9427 | 12450 | 17806 | 21474 | 21190 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 130 | 302 | 389 | 625 | 625 | 684 | 482 | 665 | 650 | 76 | 76 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away











