The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 31 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.2° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with 7,164 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 31st Jul)7ft (2.1m) 12s
Best Surf 4PM (Sat 1st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is sitting at 57°F which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary there.

Alright, we kick things off on Friday the 31st of July. It's not huge, but there's a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a nice 12-second period rolling in. The combined energy is a strong 1350, and the wind is a light cross-off, keeping things clean. This is proper intermediate territory. It's a consistent break, so you should get plenty of waves. Expect some company though, as it can get crowded here.

Things really start to hum on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning has a 6ft SSW groundswell, but the period jumps up to a very long 17 seconds. That’s a serious groundswell with heaps of energy (2462) and clean offshore winds from the north. This is a standout. That long period will mean nice, lined-up sets, but it might throw in a few rights and lefts that peel a bit straight at the beach. In the afternoon, the swell pumps up to 10ft from the SW with the same long period, and the wave energy goes through the roof (4938). The wind goes cross-off, but that size is getting into expert-only territory. It’s a solid day for the experienced crew.

Sunday the 2nd keeps the energy high. We’ve got 10ft SW swell again with a 16-second period (3840 energy) and brisk offshore winds. This is still big, clean, and powerful, but it's only for the guys who know what they're doing. The afternoon drops to 8ft, still with a long period and offshore wind, but the quality drops a notch.

Monday the 3rd is a write-off for The Cutting. The wind is howling from the NW at 19 mph, and the morning swell is already showing signs of being ragged, despite the size. By the afternoon, we’ve got a massive 15ft WSW swell (7164 energy) with a cross-onshore wind. It’s messy, blown out, and way too big for this spot.

After a couple of average days, things clean up again on Wednesday the 5th of August. The swell drops back to a manageable 6ft from the SW with a 14-second period (2018 energy). Light cross-off winds from the WNW make for a clean, fun session for the intermediate surfer.

The next best window looks like Friday the 7th of August. The morning shows 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period (4062 energy) and clean offshore winds. That is a massive, powerful, clean swell. The afternoon is even better for expert surfers: 8ft SW swell, a 17-second period, and light offshore breezes. This is another true standout.

The second week gets wild. From Saturday the 8th through Tuesday the 11th, we’re looking at a run of solid 10ft to 16ft SW swells with very long periods. The combined energy readings are hitting huge numbers (up to 14075). The winds are mostly offshore or cross-off, keeping it clean, but at those sizes – over 8ft and often over 10ft – this is strictly for experts. It's big, powerful, and not for the faint of heart. The 10th of August in particular is an absolute monster with a 16ft SW swell and a very long 18-second period, and the energy is massive (14075). That is a session for the brave only.

After that big run, the end of the period from the 12th gets messy. Strong cross-shore and cross-onshore winds ruin the quality, turning the big, powerful swell into a lumpy, choppy mess. The 14th of August is particularly grim with 16ft SW swell and strong onshore winds.

So, to wrap it up: The standout days are Saturday the 1st of August in the morning and Friday the 7th of August for the afternoon. Both offer clean, powerful, long-period groundswell with good winds. The first week has some fantastic, albeit large, windows. The second week is a big, clean, gnarly affair for the experts only.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Mon morning, calm by Mon night).

Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
!
!
!
4
3
3
!
!
!
0
1
4
3
4
4
3
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
12
2
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
1.7
SSW
17
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
4.5
WSW
13
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.3
SW
12
1.9
SW
11
1.7
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.3
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
2
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1200
1111
925
1796
4938
5200
3840
3314
2449
2390
7164
3931
2190
1488
866
1163
999
865
1392
1622
2393
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
5
WSW
10
NNE
15
N
15
NW
20
NNE
25
N
25
NNW
30
NW
30
NW
20
SW
15
WSW
10
S
25
SW
20
WSW
10
WNW
10
W
10
WNW
10
NNW
10
W
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:05PM0.97m
1:17AM0.55m
2:21PM0.95m
1:52AM0.60m
2:36PM0.91m
2:26AM0.65m
2:47PM0.85m
3:01AM0.69m
2:54PM0.79m
3:38AM0.71m
2:51PM0.74m
4:19AM0.71m
2:36PM0.71m
Low Tide
8:46PM0.36m
7:14AM0.12m
8:52PM0.32m
7:46AM0.15m
9:01PM0.28m
8:16AM0.20m
9:11PM0.24m
8:44AM0.28m
9:21PM0.20m
9:10AM0.38m
9:31PM0.15m
9:28AM0.49m
9:44PM0.11m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
 mm
1
4
3
1
Temp °C
11
12
12
13
14
12
14
14
11
11
11
11
13
12
11
11
12
12
12
13
12
Feels °C
9
10
9
9
10
7
7
7
5
5
7
6
9
7
8
8
10
10
9
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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