The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.1°C
0.7° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,783 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking.

The short version? We’ve got a lot of big, powerful swell on the way, but for The Cutting, a lot of it is going to be just too much to handle. The windows of good, clean, rideable surf are pretty narrow over the next sixteen days, so you’ve got to pick your moments.

The waters are sitting around 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

The real standout, and the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Saturday the 19th of September. That afternoon, we’ve got a clean 8ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period (861 energy). The wind is a light offshore breeze from the NW. That’s the recipe for smooth, lined-up waves. This is the pick of the forecast. It’s still got some size to it, so it’s more for experienced surfers.

Before that, Friday the 18th of September is worth a look, too. The morning is a bit on the smaller side at 6ft from the SSW, but with a very long 17-second period and a clean NW cross-offshore wind (3493 energy). Nicely shaped but those long-period swells might wall up a bit at this spot. The afternoon steps up to 8ft from the SW, still clean, still good energy (3573).

Now, the rest... from the 14th to the 16th, it's messy with onshore winds and a lot of power. The 17th is clean but the swell is predicted to be too big for the break. The 20th has a strong and messy cross-shore wind. Then we get into another big, clean swell pulse from the 21st to the 22nd of September, around 12ft to 13ft from the SW, with offshores and glassy conditions—but again, it’s simply too big for The Cutting. That’s expert-only territory if you try it, and even then it’s dicey.

After that, the 23rd of September morning brings it back into a more manageable 6ft SSW groundswell with a light offshore, which should be excellent for experienced surfers (1274 energy). The 24th of September morning drops right down to 3ft from the SSW with a very long 17-second period, clean and offshore. It’ll be super weak and inconsistent, but for a longboard on a point break, that’s a dream. The 29th of September morning looks like another solid, clean option: 7ft from the SW with a 17-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE (4817 energy), but come the afternoon it’s back up to 10ft and too big.

So, there you have it. It’s not a complete write-off, but you need to watch the size. The 19th is your best bet, then pick your windows around the 18th, the 23rd, and the 29th morning. The rest is either messy or too thumping for this spot.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the SW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
3
4
2
!
4
4
2
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1
SW
12
4.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
3
SSW
14
1.9
SSW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
3
WSW
13
2.5
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
12
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
4
WSW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
704
545
287
6767
8498
8400
8665
8680
6756
4100
2847
2948
2041
3573
2763
2737
2164
861
2982
2252
3807
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
25
WSW
30
WSW
40
SW
35
SW
30
S
20
S
20
SSW
10
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
NNW
25
NW
20
NW
25
NNW
25
NW
10
NW
20
N
40
NW
40
W
20
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
1:16PM0.75m
2:02AM0.90m
1:26PM0.74m
2:31AM0.91m
1:36PM0.73m
2:59AM0.88m
1:45PM0.72m
3:28AM0.83m
1:49PM0.72m
3:59AM0.76m
1:43PM0.71m
4:38AM0.67m
1:21PM0.71m
Low Tide
7:26PM0.09m
8:02AM0.30m
7:45PM0.03m
8:25AM0.36m
8:05PM0.01m
8:44AM0.42m
8:25PM0.02m
8:58AM0.48m
8:45PM0.05m
9:03AM0.54m
9:02PM0.10m
8:38AM0.60m
9:14PM0.16m
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:24
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:17
6:19
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
 mm
2
Temp °C
15
15
13
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
9
17
20
15
21
22
19
20
15
12
Feels °C
11
10
8
2
2
3
5
5
6
6
6
6
11
16
9
17
19
14
11
7
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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