The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.0° C
0.4° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 11,707 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 19s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Mon 10th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 19s
Best Surf 4AM (Mon 10th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 19s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 12th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let's have a look at what's on the cards for The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.

The water temperature feels about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary there.

We've got a classic winter groundswell pattern setting up. The first few days are a bit of a write-off with small, messy surf and average conditions. Sunday the 9th is a no-go with a 6ft SW swell (1498 energy) and a fresh cross-off breeze making it choppy and marginal. The real action kicks off on Monday the 10th with a solid 10ft SW groundswell (5721 energy) rolling in. The morning is looking magic with a light offshore from the NNW and clean conditions. The only catch is that 10ft swell is getting up there, pushing it into the too-big-for-beginners category. It's a proper expert-only session.

Tuesday the 11th keeps the size up at 10ft (3206 energy), again with a clean offshore breeze in the morning. The swell period drops a touch to 14 seconds, but it's still quality. The Cutting is an exposed S-facing break, and this SW groundswell is hitting it perfectly. The afternoon cleans up but the wind swings cross-off, making it a bit less clean.

The middle of the week gets absolutely thumping. Wednesday the 12th sees a massive 13ft SW swell (8558 energy) and 15ft on Thursday (8200 energy). The combined energy is through the roof. These are only for the brave, and even then, the morning windows on both days are the go with cross-off winds. The afternoons are blown out. This is big, powerful, and experienced crew only.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are a write-off with onshore winds and lumpy conditions on 15ft and 12ft swell respectively. The clean-up begins on Sunday the 16th with an 8ft SW swell (3638 energy) and a light cross-shore breeze, but it's still marginal.

Now, the standout window. Monday the 17th is the pick of the bunch. We've got an 8ft SW groundswell (2826 energy) with a light offshore from the ENE. The conditions are clean, the size is solid but manageable for strong intermediates, and the period is a nice 15 seconds. This is the best on offer for the second week. The previous day, Sunday the 16th, is a close second with a similar size and clean conditions, but the wind is a little more cross-shore.

Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th offer a drop in size to 6ft and 6ft, with clean offshore winds, ideal for a smaller board. The energy drops too, but it's still fun.

The final few days of the outlook see a return to smaller, cleaner conditions. Saturday the 22nd has a 6ft SW swell (1539 energy) with a clean cross-off breeze, a nice way to finish the fortnight. The following Sunday the 23rd sees a 10ft swell (4075 energy) and clean offshore winds, but it's a long way out and the confidence is lower.

To sum it up: Monday the 10th morning is the absolute standout for the first week, with a big, clean groundswell for the experienced. Monday the 17th is the pick for the second week, offering a solid, clean swell for the strong intermediate crew. The rest of the time is either too big, too small, or blown out.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 9°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
4
!
0
2
!
3
2
!
!
!
!
!
!
0
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
1.3
SW
16
1.8
SW
19
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
3
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
4
SW
16
4.5
SW
17
4.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1972
1299
823
2509
5682
4766
2925
3067
2350
3216
7812
11517
9908
8200
8805
9209
11079
9565
6909
Wind (km/h)
30
NNE
35
NE
35
NNE
10
E
15
NNW
35
SW
30
W
20
NNW
35
NNW
35
NW
35
WNW
40
WSW
30
WSW
20
WNW
25
W
25
W
20
SW
15
WSW
10
SW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross
off
cross-on
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:10PM0.87m
1:10PM0.93m
1:19PM0.97m
1:29PM0.97m
1:37PM0.94m
00:01AM0.50m
1:44PM0.91m
00:52AM0.62m
Low Tide
10:25PM0.07m
11:00PM0.09m
00:07AM0.15m
4:13AM0.16m
5:32AM0.12m
8:37PM0.44m
6:22AM0.11m
8:06PM0.39m
part cloud
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:51
 mm
3
2
18
3
2
9
1
2
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
14
11
12
12
13
13
12
13
12
13
11
12
12
14
13
13
12
13
12
Feels °C
8
4
5
9
7
6
5
6
5
5
3
3
5
8
7
8
7
9
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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