The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a long window ahead at The Cutting, and it’s a mixed bag of truly epic potential and some real lumpy, blown-out chaos. The first real call comes on Friday the 7th.

This place is exposed to the south swell, and we’re starting off with a bang. Friday afternoon, The Cutting is seeing a solid 8 ft south-west groundswell. The period is a very long 15 seconds, which means proper power, long lulls, and sets that will grind. The water temp is sitting at 57°, and the anomaly is just 0.5°, so pretty average for this time of year. The wind is glassy, light from the south, making for some of the cleanest conditions you’ll get. The combined energy is reading moderate at 3579. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but that size and long period will have it breaking straight at a beach setup—it’s a one or two standout session for the confident crew. Crowds are possible here.

Then we hit a rough patch. Saturday the 8th sees the swell staying solid at 8 ft, but a fresh NNE wind at 16 mph comes in offshore. By the afternoon it drops a little to 8 ft, but the wind cranks up. Sunday the 9th is a write-off, with stronger winds and lumpy conditions dropping the quality fast. By Monday the 10th, we’ve got 10 ft of south-west groundswell but cross-onshore winds at 19 to 22 mph. That’s a no-go—nasty chop and poor shapes. The combined energy jumps to 5636, but it’s a mess.

We get a brief clean-up on Tuesday the 11th. The swell is still a solid 8 ft with a 14-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the north at 19 mph. Fresh and clean, but still big for intermediates. Wednesday the 12th morning is a red flag: a massive 15 ft south-west swell hits with a combined energy of 21709. Way too big for this break, experts only if they’re brave, but the wind is cross-off. The afternoon nosedives with a near gale. The rest of that week into the 15th and 16th is just too big, with waves over 13 ft and poor winds. This break just can’t handle that size.

After the dust settles, Monday the 17th looks promising again. The swell drops to a manageable 5 ft from the south-west with a 13-second period. The wind goes glassy from the ENE, and the combined energy is moderate at 2035. Beautiful conditions for a session, still better for experienced surfers but a huge step down in danger. Tuesday the 18th is clean with a light offshore, and we get another good run on Wednesday the 19th through Friday the 21st. Swell sizes sit between 5 ft and 7 ft with consistent 15-second periods and offshore winds. The combined energy sits in the moderate 1200 to 2000 range. The best of the second week is Wednesday the 19th morning, with a 7 ft south-west swell and a fresh offshore north wind at 16 mph. That’s clean, powerful, and classy.

By the 21st afternoon and into the 22nd, the swell starts building again to 10 ft with offshore winds. It’s getting big, but the conditions are cleaner than the earlier big swell. Still, that’s experts-only territory.

The standout call for the whole window is Friday the 7th afternoon. Glassy, long-period groundswell, and solid power. That’s the one to circle. A close runner-up is Wednesday the 19th morning for the clean offshore wind on a smaller but still punchy swell.

So, a few days of absolute chaos to sit out, but bookend that with some absolute gems. Eyes on the 7th and the 19th.

– Rusty

Read more