The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s break this down. We got one main spot to talk about for this whole run, and she's a beaut, but she's got a mean streak. The big story is a whole lot of southwest groundswell filling in, but for the first week, it's mostly just going to be too damn big and messy. We gotta be patient and find the windows.

Kicking off this Saturday the 5th, the swell is already cranking. We're looking at waves around 11.5ft with a 15-second period, and the energy is strong, reading 6854. It's a cross-offshore wind but blowing a solid 25 mph, which will keep it a bit rough. It's simply too big for this break. Same story on Sunday the 6th. Still around 10ft, cross-shore winds, and the energy is strong, in the 3200-4500 range. Not the day for a paddle, unless you're looking to get spat out and rag-dolled.

Monday the 7th, the swell drops, but so does the quality. The size is down to about 5.5ft, but the period is shorter at 12 seconds, and it gets jumbled. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and turns it into a closeout. That kicks off a bit of a lull. Tuesday the 8th is a tease. The morning has a clean 6.5ft swell on a nice 18-second period, but the energy is only moderate at 3996, and it just doesn't feel right. The afternoon is back to 10ft, and it's too big again.

And then, things go off the rails. From Wednesday the 9th into Thursday the 10th, the ocean explodes. We're talking serious, XXL swell, hitting 16 to 20ft with energy readings in the 12,000 to 28,000 range. Periods are long, 16-18 seconds. This is as big as it gets, and it’s way, way beyond this spot's limit. Winds are cross-onshore, and it's just a churning, angry ocean. This is strictly for the chargers with a ski, and even then, it's risky.

Now, here’s the first window we're looking for. Friday the 11th, morning session. The swell settles to a still-hefty 11.5ft on a 14-second pulse, but the wind drops to a dead flat calm, a light southerly. The energy is strong at 5534. The direction is SSW, which is perfect for this break. For a few hours, we're going to have a big, powerful, glassy freight train. It will still be heavy, but it will be clean. This is the standout of the first week, no doubt. The afternoon gets a bit of a sea breeze, so the morning is the call.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th stays active. Saturday the 12th has 10ft of swell on a 15-second period, with the wind going offshore from the NNW at around 9 mph in the morning. The energy holds strong at 4650. Still big, but much cleaner. Sunday the 13th is a touch smaller, around 7.5-8ft, but the wind is offshore again. The afternoon on Sunday looks great: moderate offshore wind, clean faces, and a decent size. That's a good call for the experienced surfers.

Monday the 14th, the swell backs off to a fun size of about 4.5ft with a clean cross-offshore breeze. It's a low-energy day though, down at 1181, so it's more of a longboard or groveler session.

Then we hit a wall. From Tuesday the 15th through Wednesday the 16th, the surf is up again, but it's a complete write-off. Strong onshore winds, stormy 13 to 18ft swell, and awful conditions. The energy readings are high, 6536 to 9126, but it's all just bone-breaking mess. This might be more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys.

The final stretch, from Thursday the 17th to Saturday the 19th, is all about smaller, cleaner options. Nothing like the earlier bombs. The swell drops to around 6-7ft, the period shortens, and it becomes a much more manageable size. The standout here is Saturday morning, the 19th. A clean 6.8ft of southwest swell on a 15-second period, with light, cross-offshore winds. The energy is moderate at 2619, but it should be glassy and offer some long, punchy walls. This is a great one for the average surfer.

Then Sunday the 20th shows another pulse of 10ft swell with a long-period, and the wind is offshore. It's big and powerful again, with a strong energy reading of 6640. That looks promising for the experts, but it's a long way out, so we'll keep an eye on it.

In short, it's a fortnight of extremes. The two true standouts are Friday the 11th morning for the big-wave crew, and

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