The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.2° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 28,652 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 7.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 13s
Best Surf 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 10th Aug)25ft (7.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey, Rusty here, checkin' out the next couple of weeks for The Cutting. This spot is consistent and exposed, so it's gonna get a ton of swell, but a lot of it is gonna be way too big. The water's sittin' right around 57°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The week kicks off Monday the 3rd with a raw and messy 8ft SW groundswell. The period is a solid 15 seconds, which is good for shape, but a fresh 22 mph cross-wind is gonna have it all lumpy and chopped. The energy is pumpin' at 3976, but it's a real struggle to get a clean one. Not the day to get excited.

Tuesday the 4th is a write-off. The swell jumps up to 12ft, but it's all cross-onshore with a fresh breeze. It's just ugly. The same story continues into Wednesday the 5th with a 7ft SW swell, but again, cross-shore winds are makin' a mess of it. The energy is still strong at 2245, but the quality is low.

Thursday the 6th sees a drop in size to 4ft in the morning, and for the first time, we get a clean cross-offshore breeze. The period is a very long 16 seconds, but the energy is down to 957. It's a bit of a tease—clean but small.

Now, Friday the 7th is where it finally clicks. We've got a solid 8ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore out of the NW. The energy is ragin' at 3743, and the conditions are clean. This is the standout of the first week. The Cutting is exposed to the south, and this swell is straight in the zone. It's a bit big for beginners, but for any intermediate, this is the one to circle. The wind holds all day, so Friday afternoon is just as good.

Saturday the 8th stays clean with a fresh offshore breeze, but the swell drops a touch to 8ft. The energy is still strong at 3039, and it's a great option, but Friday has the edge for that extra bit of magic.

Then things get wild. From Sunday the 9th through to the 18th, the swell is consistently too big for The Cutting, regularly topping 10ft, 13ft, and even 21ft on the 10th. The combined energy goes through the roof, hittin' 21601 on the 10th. The winds are often favourable, with clean cross-offshore conditions, but the sheer size makes it an expert-only zone. Sunday the 9th has a 10ft W swell with a fresh offshore wind, but it's just too much. The 10th is a monster 21ft SW groundswell, and while the wind is light, it's a big, dangerous ocean. For a punt on something promising, Tuesday the 11th has an 12ft SW swell with a fresh offshore wind, but again, that's a big wave. The water is gonna be a washin' machine with all that energy.

In short, the first week has one absolute gem: Friday the 7th. After that, it's a run of huge, powerful swells that are best left to the big-wave chargers. The conditions are often clean, but the size rules out most. If you're not an expert, the window is narrow.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon morning, light winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night).

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
!
0
0
0
2
2
4
1
1
3
5
5
5
4
3
2
!
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
12
3.5
SW
10
2.4
SW
11
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2
SW
14
3
W
13
5
W
11
8
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2520
2155
3863
3319
2291
1326
1602
1233
623
636
1532
1344
3185
2754
3727
3039
2627
1594
3304
6124
24286
Wind (km/h)
35
W
35
W
25
W
35
SW
30
SW
20
WSW
20
W
20
W
15
NNW
25
NW
15
WSW
5
W
15
NW
10
NW
15
NNE
30
N
35
NNE
40
N
35
NNW
50
SW
25
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
2:47PM0.85m
3:01AM0.69m
2:54PM0.79m
3:38AM0.71m
2:51PM0.74m
4:19AM0.71m
2:36PM0.71m
5:13AM0.70m
2:06PM0.73m
1:30PM0.79m
1:10PM0.87m
Low Tide
9:11PM0.24m
8:44AM0.28m
9:21PM0.20m
9:10AM0.38m
9:31PM0.15m
9:28AM0.49m
9:44PM0.11m
9:26AM0.60m
10:01PM0.08m
10:25PM0.07m
11:00PM0.09m
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
 mm
2
2
4
2
1
4
2
2
2
Temp °C
11
11
11
12
12
12
11
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
13
14
14
11
12
11
12
Feels °C
2
3
4
4
5
6
6
7
7
7
10
10
9
10
10
7
7
1
5
0
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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