The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer at The Cutting for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, we’ve got a real mixed bag of a forecast coming our way. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for a good paddle, but if you’re a strong, experienced surfer, the second half of the week looks like it could be something special. The water temp is sitting at 58° which is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Tuesday 21st July kicks off with a 7ft WSW swell, but with a 12 mph cross-offshore wind, it’s a bit of a fight. The energy is strong though, at 1673. Not a great day to make a plan.

Wednesday 22nd sees a bit more size, hitting 8ft on the afternoon, but the wind swings onshore and gets messy. The morning is cleaner with a 7ft swell and that cross-off, but it’s still a marginal call.

Thursday 23rd is where things get interesting. A big 15ft SW swell rolls in with a 14-second period. The energy is massive, 14711, but that’s way too much size for any sane paddle surfer. The cross wind on the morning is no good either. This is a kite surfer’s day, not a surfer’s.

Friday 24th is similar. A 16ft SSW swell with a 15-second period and energy of 12150. It’s a monster. The wind is cross, but the swell is just too big for The Cutting. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a survival mission.

Saturday 25th is still way too big. A 13ft SW swell with 4564 energy. The wind is cross-on in the afternoon, making it a total mess. The morning is not much better.

Sunday 26th is the first real glimmer of hope. The swell drops to a clean 8ft from the SW with a 11-second period, and the wind is a light 6 mph cross-offshore. The energy is 1461. This is the best session of the week. The waves will have some nice shape and be clean. It’s solid intermediate territory, but still a bit of a handful for the faint-hearted.

Monday 27th starts with a manageable 6ft SW swell and clean conditions, but the afternoon sees a jump back up to 15ft. That afternoon swell is just too big again.

Tuesday 28th is a big day. A 13ft SW swell, but the morning is clean with a light cross-off. The real standout is the afternoon: a 16ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a glassy, dead calm wind. The energy is 17026. If you’re an expert, this is the one. The sets will be massive, long, and perfectly clean. For anyone else, it’s a no-go.

Wednesday 29th is similar. A 16ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and a gentle offshore wind in the morning. Glassy conditions again in the afternoon. Expert-only, but the quality is there.

Thursday 30th starts with a 10ft SSW swell, clean, but still big. The afternoon is the real treat: a 8ft SW swell, 12-second period, and a light cross-off wind. The energy is 3165. This is the best all-round session for experienced surfers. Clean, solid, and not too crazy.

Friday 31st backs off to 6ft S swell with a 13-second period. The morning is clean, but the afternoon gets a cross-chop. Still a fun, manageable day.

Saturday 1st August and Sunday 2nd August offer cleaner, smaller swells. 6ft to 5ft from the SW, with offshore winds. The energy is moderate, around 1200-1700. These are great days for intermediates looking for a clean, fun wave without the chaos.

Monday 3rd is a bit smaller, 5ft SW, but the wind is clean in the morning. The afternoon gets a cross-on breeze, making it choppy.

Tuesday 4th and Wednesday 5th look like a return to poor conditions. Onshore winds from the south and messy swell. The energy is moderate, but the quality is gone. Not worth a look.

Overall, the standout sessions are Sunday 26th for the first clean, solid swell, and Thursday 30th afternoon for the best combination of size, clean conditions, and manageable energy for experienced surfers. The big days from the 23rd to the 29th are for experts only, and honestly, for most of us, it’s just a show.

Rusty.

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