The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.0°C
0.4° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 6,155 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 3.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 23rd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 23rd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s talk about The Cutting in feet and miles.

The water temp is 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so no major surprises there.

The first real standout is Sunday, August 23rd. The Cutting is absolutely pumping with a solid 12-foot southerly groundswell at a massive 16 seconds. That’s a huge, long-period swell with massive energy (5428). The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW, which will keep the faces clean, but let’s be honest – this is an 12-foot swell, it’s going to be too big for most. This is expert territory only. If you’re experienced and hungry, go for it, but don’t expect a mellow session.

The conditions clean up nicely from Monday morning through to Thursday afternoon. Monday morning the 24th, the swell drops to a still very solid 8 feet from the SW with a 14-second period, and we’ve got a 9 mph offshore wind from the north. The energy is still strong (2187), and the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Monday afternoon sees a similar setup with 7 feet and a cross-off breeze, still very good.

Thursday morning the 27th, the swell eases back to 4 feet from the SSW, but the period is a bit shorter at 12 seconds. The energy drops to 835, but the wind is a clean cross-off from the NNW. This will be a much more manageable size, good for intermediates, and the waves will be clean. Thursday afternoon the swell builds back to 5 feet, still clean, and the wind stays light.

Now, the big one. Friday, August 28th, we see a massive 10-foot SW groundswell with a period of 17 seconds – that’s very long period, big energy (5804). The wind is light cross-off on Friday morning, so the waves will be clean, but again, this is 10 feet. It’s huge, it’s powerful, and it’s only for the most experienced. Saturday the 29th, the swell holds at 8 feet with a cross-off wind, still excellent but big.

The pattern for the first week is clear: consistent, powerful SW groundswells, and mostly clean wind conditions. The best bets are the Monday morning 24th, Thursday 27th, and Friday 28th, but everything is on the bigger side.

From the 30th of August onward, the swell stays big, often over 8 feet, and the wind turns more cross or cross-on. The quality drops off. There’s a lot of energy in the water, but it’s getting messy. The standout in the second week is Tuesday, September 1st. The swell is 10 feet from the SW, period of 15 seconds, and the wind is a clean 12-15 mph cross-off from the NNW. The energy is massive (4251), and the waves will be clean and powerful. This is a promising one, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

The end of the run gets gnarly. From the 4th of September, the wind cranks up to 28-31 mph, and the swell gets even bigger – up to 15 feet. The energy readings are off the charts (11902 on the 4th afternoon). This is not surfable for paddling; it’s more of a big-wave tow-in or kite situation. The wind is so strong it’s borderline dangerous. From the 6th onward, the wind is still howling, and the swell stays big, but it’s all blown out and messy.

Honestly, the best two windows are the Monday morning of the 24th, and the Friday morning of the 28th. Both offer clean, powerful, and well-shaped waves for the experienced. The 28th is the bigger, more powerful standout, but it’s a serious wave.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
4
4
3
3
0
1
2
1
4
3
4
5
!
!
5
4
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
1.3
SSW
12
1.6
SW
13
1.9
SW
19
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5428
3377
2171
1544
1583
2241
2283
2895
2005
1915
1313
456
919
2584
5786
4282
3090
2201
1708
1619
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
NNE
15
N
15
NW
5
E
5
ESE
20
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
15
SW
10
N
15
NNW
10
NW
10
NNW
10
NW
5
WSW
10
NNW
15
WNW
15
WSW
5
W
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
12:51PM0.82m
12:50PM0.87m
00:11AM0.35m
12:58PM0.90m
00:10AM0.43m
1:09PM0.92m
00:29AM0.51m
1:21PM0.92m
00:52AM0.59m
1:33PM0.90m
1:18AM0.68m
Low Tide
10:26PM0.21m
10:23PM0.27m
9:23PM0.33m
4:49AM0.27m
8:29PM0.35m
5:37AM0.21m
8:04PM0.35m
6:13AM0.17m
7:54PM0.33m
6:45AM0.15m
7:52PM0.29m
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:03
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
 mm
2
8
3
1
Temp °C
14
14
14
15
13
12
12
11
12
12
11
13
15
12
15
16
14
15
15
13
Feels °C
11
11
12
12
10
12
8
6
8
8
10
10
13
10
13
14
12
11
12
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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