
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 15,113 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 5.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down The Cutting.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a massive pulse of swell hitting, but here’s the thing – for almost the whole first week and into early August, the waves are just too big for this break. We’re talking serious energy, with the combined swell energy hitting 12558 on Friday the 24th morning, and staying huge for days. That’s strong to very strong energy, but when the waves are over 8ft and hitting 18ft at times, that’s expert-only or just straight-up closing out. The wind is mostly cross or side-shore, fresh at times, so it’s lumpy.
The first real shot at a good session doesn’t come until Thursday the 30th of July. Thursday morning, the swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft from the SW with a 12-second period. The energy is moderate (2171), and we’ve got a light breeze from the NNW: that’s cross-offshore – clean conditions, and it’s rated for experienced surfers. This is a standout window. The Cutting is consistent, exposed to the S swell, so this SW direction is perfect. Look for some power in the sets, but the period is long enough to shape up. Crowds can show up here sometimes, so expect some company.
Moving into Friday the 31st of July, the afternoon has a special one. The swell drops to 5ft from the SSW with a very long period of 19 seconds. That’s groundswell, and for a setup like The Cutting, it’ll be clean with a gentle cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (2641). This is another excellent window for experienced surfers – the waves will have that deep-water push and nice lines, but with such a long period, the sets will be more spaced out. It’s quality, not quantity.
Then we get into August, and the swell jumps back up. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd have 10ft to 13ft SW swell with very long periods (16-18 seconds) and clean winds, but it’s just too big again at 10ft for anything but the brave. By Tuesday the 4th of August morning, it drops back to a manageable 7ft from the SSW with a 15-second period. The energy is moderate (4245), and with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE, it’s clean. That’s another good call for experienced surfers, and it might be a touch more doable for a strong intermediate.
After that, it’s a lot of big swell again, with 10ft to 13ft plus on the cards, and some offshore winds, but the size keeps it out of reach for most. The pattern stays active right through to the 8th of August, with a final drop to 6ft on the Saturday morning, but the energy is lower and the wind is side-shore, so it’s more of a marginal day.
So, to sum it up: The best bets are Thursday morning the 30th of July and Friday afternoon the 31st of July for clean, powerful but not oversized waves. Tuesday the 4th of August morning is also a very solid option. The rest of the time, it’s either too big or just not clean enough. If you’re an experienced surfer with a big-wave gun, you might find some fun on the 1st and 2nd, but it’s not for everyone.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
13304 | 12558 | 9242 | 6399 | 4861 | 3671 | 2797 | 1868 | 1717 | 1762 | 1500 | 1613 | 2290 | 5341 | 3909 | 5845 | 7782 | 6337 | 3264 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:20PM0.72m | 1:03PM0.76m | 12:45PM0.82m | 12:55PM0.88m | 1:12PM0.92m | 1:30PM0.95m | 00:00AM0.43m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:56PM0.15m | 11:26PM0.17m | 00:07AM0.21m | 1:58AM0.23m | 4:17AM0.21m | 5:21AM0.17m | 9:02PM0.39m | ||||||||||||
— | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSE 11 | S 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
— | 12558 | 9242 | 6399 | 4861 | 3671 | 24 | 83 | 1717 | 1487 | 1500 | 1613 | 2290 | 5341 | 3909 | 5845 | 7782 | 6337 | 3264 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | S 10 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | W 12 | SW 22 | S 13 | S 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 74 | 141 | 149 | 350 | — | — | — | 980 | 73 | 586 | 711 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 93 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 12 | SW 11 | — | SW 11 | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — |
13304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2797 | 1868 | — | 1762 | — | — | 7 | 67 | 3275 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 158 | 145 | 129 | 108 | 145 | 108 | 76 | 24 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 121 | 466 | 695 | 128 | 76 | 24 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away










