The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.2° C
0.3° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 17,912 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 29th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 29th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 29th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here for a look at The Cutting. We've got a solid run coming up, but you're gonna have to be patient and pick your days. The real standout stretch is from Friday July 31st through Saturday August 8th, but even then, you gotta play it smart. The water temp is about normal for the season at 58°F, nothing weird going on there.

Let's start with Wednesday July 29th – forget about it. We've got a massive 20-foot SW groundswell with a 16-second period slamming in, and a 22 mph cross-onshore wind. The wave energy is at an insane 17912. This is for big-wave chargers or kite surfers only, not a paddle session. The same goes for Wednesday afternoon, still a 16-foot swell and 16 mph wind.

Thursday July 30th is still a no-go for a normal surf. Morning has a 10-foot swell, too big for a comfortable paddle, with a cross-shore breeze. The afternoon drops to 8 feet, but the wind and tide are messy, and quality is poor.

Then, Friday July 31st, we start to cook. The morning is your first proper window. Clean 7-foot SW swell with a 12-second period, light 6 mph offshore wind from the NNW. The wave energy is moderate at 1350, and conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon drops to 6 feet with a cross-onshore wind, so stick to the morning.

Saturday August 1st is another ripper. Morning has a 6-foot SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, and a gentle 9 mph offshore breeze. The water will be glassy, and those long lines are going to be smooth. The energy is moderate at 2306. The afternoon jumps to 10 feet with the same 17-second period, so only for the big-wave crew.

Sunday August 2nd is big. Morning has a 10-foot SW swell with a fresh 19 mph offshore wind. Clean, but solid. The afternoon drops to 8 feet with a 22 mph offshore, so windy but clean.

Monday August 3rd and Tuesday August 4th are blown out. Onshore winds and lumpy conditions all day.

Wednesday August 5th is a little beauty. Morning has a clean 6-foot SW swell with a 14-second period and a light cross-off breeze. Excellent conditions. Thursday August 6th is the absolute pick of the bunch. The afternoon has a 6-foot swell, but the period is a massive 21 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-off. That's going to produce the most perfect, lined-up waves of the whole forecast.

Friday August 7th is for the experts. Morning has a 10-foot SW swell with an 18-second period, but the wind is light offshore. It's clean, but heavy. The afternoon drops to 8 feet with the same light offshore breeze – still a heavy session.

Saturday August 8th is still surfable, but the wind picks up to 19 mph offshore. The swell is 6 feet, so it gets a bit bumpy. From Sunday August 9th onward, it's all big, powerful, and dangerous for the next week, with swells over 10 feet and strong winds.

My best call on the whole board is Thursday August 6th afternoon. That 6-foot swell with a 21-second period and light cross-off wind is about as clean and classy as it gets. For an earlier, smaller session, Friday July 31st morning with the 7-foot swell and light offshore is your best introductory wave.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
0
0
!
3
4
4
3
4
4
!
!
!
4
3
0
0
0
!
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
SW
16
5
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.3
SW
12
2.1
SW
12
1.9
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
1.7
SSW
17
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
3.5
WSW
16
5
SW
14
4
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.5
SW
12
1.1
SSW
20
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
17912
10002
4533
2692
1886
1550
1200
1025
925
1570
5160
5200
3840
3271
2391
5965
9309
5013
2441
1739
942
Wind (km/h)
35
SW
25
SW
20
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
WNW
10
NNW
5
SW
10
NNE
15
N
15
NNW
20
N
30
N
35
NNW
30
WNW
25
WSW
35
WSW
30
SW
20
SW
20
SW
10
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:30PM0.95m
00:00AM0.43m
1:48PM0.97m
00:41AM0.49m
2:05PM0.97m
1:17AM0.55m
2:21PM0.95m
1:52AM0.60m
2:36PM0.91m
2:26AM0.65m
2:47PM0.85m
3:01AM0.69m
2:54PM0.79m
3:38AM0.71m
Low Tide
9:02PM0.39m
6:05AM0.13m
8:47PM0.38m
6:41AM0.11m
8:46PM0.36m
7:14AM0.12m
8:52PM0.32m
7:46AM0.15m
9:01PM0.28m
8:16AM0.20m
9:11PM0.24m
8:44AM0.28m
9:21PM0.20m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
 mm
1
3
5
1
Temp °C
11
11
11
11
12
11
12
12
11
13
14
12
14
15
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
Feels °C
2
5
5
6
8
9
11
10
8
9
10
7
6
7
3
5
3
3
6
6
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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