The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Well, the next couple of weeks are gonna keep us on our toes at The Cutting, that’s for sure. We’ve got some serious size coming through, and you’ll need to pick your moments. For now, the water’s sitting right about 57°, which is normal for this time of year.

The first real option is this Friday afternoon, the 14th. We’ve got a solid 15ft SW groundswell moving in with a 15-second period. But honestly, it’s just too much juice for this place. The energy is cranking at 8454, which is strong, but it’s going to be a washing machine. Saturday the 15th is still oversized in the morning with 13ft, backing off to 12ft by the afternoon. You’d want to be a local to even think about it.

Sunday the 16th, the swell drops a touch to 10ft in the morning, and we get a bit of East wind, so it’ll be cross-shore and a bit messy. By the afternoon it’s down to 8ft but the SE wind picks up and chops it out.

Here’s where it gets interesting. Monday morning, the 17th. The swell drops right down to a clean 5ft, and it’s a long-period SW groundswell at 17 seconds. With a light ENE cross-offshore breeze, it’s going to be clean as a whistle. This is your window for the experienced crew—that’s the standout of the first week.

Tuesday the 18th has some clean, smaller options around 6ft, but the wind is up, so it’ll be a bit more work. Wednesday the 19th is small and clean in the arvo, but the wind is strong and offshore, making it hard to get into the waves. Then Thursday the 20th looks good—4ft to 6ft, light WNW winds, and clean conditions. That’s another sweet spot for some fun, lined-up waves.

The weekend of the 21st and 22nd sees the swell jump back up and the onshore winds ruin it. It’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess at the beach, better for kites than paddling. We get a bit of a lull Sunday the 23rd, still big at 10ft to 12ft, but the winds are light.

Now, for the big one. Monday the 24th of August, a week from Monday. The models are pointing to a massive SSW groundswell peaking at 18ft. The energy is off the charts at 14874. This is a big, powerful, expert-only swell. The winds are light and offshore in the morning, but this is for the brave or the foolish. It will be too big for this break, you’ve been warned.

After that, the month winds down. The 25th has a solid 10ft but drops quickly. The 26th turns windy and horrible. The 27th is big and onshore and poor again.

Looking into the second week, things get less reliable. The 28th and 29th are smaller, around 5ft to 8ft, but the onshore winds are back. There are some small windows, but nothing that’s screaming at you. Overall, the standout by far is Monday the 17th, with the smaller, clean groundswell. That’s your go-to. Keep an eye on that Monday the 24th if you’re a pro, but for everyone else, it's a watch-and-wonder day.

Rusty, signing off.

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