The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

Issued: 3 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.9° C

Slightly warmer than usual

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 8,335 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 6th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 18s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about what’s coming up at The Cutting. This spot is consistent and exposed to the south, so when the swell lines up, it’s game on for the experienced crew. Water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises on that front.

The week kicks off Monday 6 July with a solid pulse of SSW groundswell, a tidy 8ft on the morning and 7ft in the arvo. That combined energy is pumping at 2945 (moderate to strong), and the 14-second period is long enough to get some proper shape. Wind is light and offshore to cross-off both sessions – that’s clean waves with no chop. This is for experienced surfers though; that size is gnarly for beginners. Tuesday 7 July keeps the momentum with 7ft SW swell and a 16-second period—proper groundswell with serious grunt. Morning winds are light cross-off, clean as a whistle. The arvo gets a bit bumpy with a cross-onner, so aim for the early. Wednesday 8 July is the standout of the whole run. Morning has 8ft SSW swell, 18-second period (super long, groundswell), and light cross-off wind. The combined energy is a massive 5863 (strong), and it’s clean. The afternoon glassed off with 10ft SW and glassy conditions, but that 10ft is big – expert territory. The long period means it’ll hold up well at this point break setup, with longer lulls between sets making paddling easier. Thursday 9 and Friday 10 July are both clean and solid: 7ft to 8ft SW swell, offshore winds, and that time-tested consistency. Not as huge as Wednesday, but still excellent waves for the experienced surfer. Saturday 11 July drops off a bit—6ft to 5ft, and while the wind stays offshore, it’s a fresh 22 mph breeze. Gets a bit gusty, but still clean enough for a session if you’re keen. Sunday 12 July gets messy, cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. From Monday 13 July through to the end of the week, it’s a write-off. Swell jumps up to 15ft, winds are strong cross-onshore or onshore, and it’s raining or cloudy. The energy figures are huge (6454 to 9754, strong to very strong) but the quality is poor—strong cross-onshore and messy. That kind of power and chop is more for kite surfing than paddling.

After that rough patch, things start to shape up again. Saturday 18 July is a beauty: morning has 6ft SW, 16-second groundswell, and light cross-off wind, clean. The afternoon glass off with 0 mph and 6ft WSW swell—absolutely glassy, no wind at all. That’s a real treat. Then Sunday 19 July through to Tuesday 21 July sees another big swell pulse, 10ft to 18ft, but the wind stays offshore, fresh out of the north. The energy numbers are through the roof (up to 24914 on the Tuesday arvo). The forecast says wind and tide are favorable, but that size is strictly for experts only—over 8ft at this break is big. Could be the best swell of the run for the experienced crew if it cleans up. Keep an eye on it, but remember, anything beyond the first week is less certain.

Best bet? Easy: Wednesday 8 July morning. You’ve got 8ft SSW, that 18-second period, light offshore wind, and clean conditions. It’s the standout. If you want glassy perfection, Saturday 18 July afternoon is your backup.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night).

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
4
6
!
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
0
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
14
2.2
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SSW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
14
2.4
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.9
WSW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
12
1.6
W
10
2.2
WSW
16
4.5
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2887
1949
1110
2160
2157
2437
4684
5720
3415
1941
1624
2985
2404
2168
1542
1368
961
599
474
2386
8129
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
NNE
10
NNE
5
NE
10
SSE
10
NE
10
NE
5
SE
10
NNE
10
NNE
5
N
10
N
15
NNE
15
NNW
20
NNE
35
NNE
35
N
35
NNW
30
NW
35
W
45
WSW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
3:43PM0.83m
3:48AM0.56m
3:50PM0.75m
4:46AM0.58m
3:39PM0.69m
6:13AM0.60m
2:55PM0.66m
1:17PM0.71m
12:30PM0.82m
12:45PM0.92m
Low Tide
10:26PM0.33m
9:13AM0.33m
10:39PM0.30m
9:39AM0.44m
10:50PM0.26m
9:49AM0.56m
11:02PM0.21m
11:24PM0.16m
00:08AM0.12m
1:32AM0.10m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
mod rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
 mm
9
2
8
7
Temp °C
12
13
11
11
12
11
12
12
11
11
12
11
12
14
10
14
15
14
10
11
10
Feels °C
9
11
9
9
10
8
10
10
8
9
10
8
8
10
5
6
7
4
3
3
1
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
14
2.2
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SSW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
14
2.4
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.9
WSW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
12
1.6
W
10
2.2
WSW
16
0.7
SSW
21
Energy kJ
2887
1949
1110
2160
2157
2437
4684
5720
3415
1941
1624
2985
2404
2168
1542
1368
961
599
474
2386
400
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ESE
7
0.2
ESE
6
0.8
SSW
18
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
9
0.7
SSW
22
1.7
SW
14
0.4
ESE
6
0.7
SSW
20
1
WNW
7
0.8
W
9
1.3
SW
12
0.2
SSW
24
Energy kJ
58
4
431
71
52
423
1179
10
336
114
99
463
54
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
18
0.5
SSE
8
0.3
ESE
5
0.4
SW
18
0.3
SSW
11
Energy kJ
401
38
5
81
24
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NNW
3
0.7
N
4
0.7
NNW
5
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
W
10
4.5
WSW
15
Energy kJ
6
14
21
749
518
8129
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
2
4
6
7
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
Distance (km)
0
0
0
0
98
0
0
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
120
130
318
389
674
129
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
2
4
7
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
8
7
4
5
7
8
6
4
4
5
4
4
4
2
2
8
6
5
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
6
5
8
5
5
8
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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