The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.3° C
0.4° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 7,004 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 31st Jul)7ft (2.2m) 12s
Best Surf 4PM (Sat 1st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey, Rusty here again. Let’s talk The Cutting in feet and knots.

For the next two weeks, this spot is all about raw power. It’s wide open to the south, and the swell is pouring in from the ideal southwest direction. The water energy numbers are huge – 3071 (strong) on Thursday the 30th, and they only climb from there. Water temp is 58°F, right where you’d expect it for this time of year.

First up, Thursday morning, July 30th, it’s not your day. The swell is 10 feet from the SW at 13 seconds, but it’s cross-shore and choppy. That’s kite territory, not paddle. Too big for beginners, and messy for everyone else.

The real standout is Friday morning, July 31st. Swell drops to 7 feet from the SW, period at 12 seconds – solid groundswell with good shape. The wind is NW at 6 mph, nice and cross-offshore, so the lineup is clean. The wave energy is moderate at 1350, but the quality is there. If you’re intermediate or above, that’s your session.

Saturday morning, August 1st, is another beauty. Offshore N wind at 9 mph, clean, with 6 feet of swell from the SSW at a long 17-second period. That long period packs a punch (2532 energy) and gives you long lulls between sets. It’ll be a bit drawn out, but clean and powerful – one for the experienced crew.

Sunday the 2nd has 8 feet of clean, offshore swell, but it’s only for the hard-core. Monday through Tuesday is blown out with onshore winds and lumpy junk. Wednesday and Thursday of the second week see 10-foot swells in clean winds again, but still too big for most.

If you’re picking one day, make it Friday, July 31st – that’s the best balance of size and clean conditions. Saturday morning August 1st is a close, clean second. After that, it’s big, clean, and expert-only all the way.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon morning, light winds from the WSW by Tue night).

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
1
3
4
3
4
4
!
!
4
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.2
SW
12
2.1
SW
12
2
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
1.7
SSW
17
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
13
4
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.4
SW
12
2
SW
11
1.7
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2692
1886
1450
1200
1111
925
1796
5128
5200
3579
3178
2232
2925
7004
3654
2375
1572
915
1029
969
1065
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
20
WSW
10
W
10
NW
10
W
10
NNE
15
N
15
NNW
20
NNE
30
N
30
NNW
25
WNW
50
WSW
35
SW
25
SW
25
SW
20
SW
20
WSW
10
W
20
W
20
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:48PM0.97m
00:41AM0.49m
2:05PM0.97m
1:17AM0.55m
2:21PM0.95m
1:52AM0.60m
2:36PM0.91m
2:26AM0.65m
2:47PM0.85m
3:01AM0.69m
2:54PM0.79m
3:38AM0.71m
2:51PM0.74m
Low Tide
8:47PM0.38m
6:41AM0.11m
8:46PM0.36m
7:14AM0.12m
8:52PM0.32m
7:46AM0.15m
9:01PM0.28m
8:16AM0.20m
9:11PM0.24m
8:44AM0.28m
9:21PM0.20m
9:10AM0.38m
9:31PM0.15m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
 mm
5
3
2
Temp °C
12
12
11
11
12
12
13
14
12
14
14
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
12
11
Feels °C
7
7
8
9
9
10
9
10
7
7
7
2
0
3
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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