
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 17,746 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Got a solid string of surf coming up at The Cutting starting Monday, July 6th, and it hangs around for a good stretch. This break is out in the open, so it catches any south swell that pushes through.
Water temp is 59°F, right where it should be for this time of year, so nothing special, just the usual rubber.
We kick off on Monday morning (July 6th) with a clean 8ft SSW swell rolling in. The wind is a light offshore from the north at 6 mph, and it’s looking excellent for the experienced crew. Wave energy is pumping at (2932). After midday, the wind goes a little cross-off, but it’s still a solid 7ft from the SSW – still looking clean.
Tuesday (July 7th) is a repeat. Morning has a long-period 7ft SW swell (16 seconds), with a light cross-off breeze. Clean and consistent. The afternoon gets a cross-on push from the SSE, making it a bit more marginal. That long period means those sets will have some real power and they’ll line up nicely here.
Now, the highlight. Wednesday morning (July 8th) is the one to lock in. An exceptional 8ft SSW groundswell with a super long period of 18 seconds and light cross-off winds. The wave energy is massive at (5863). This is proper deep-ocean swell for an exposed break. It’s expert-only at this size. The afternoon swells to 10ft, but the wind swings cross-shore, and it starts to look a bit too big for the spot to handle cleanly.
We get another clean run from Thursday (July 9th) through Friday (July 10th) – solid 7ft to 8ft SW swells with offshore or glassy conditions. Thursday afternoon is a beauty with glassy, clean 7ft waves.
Saturday (July 11th) starts with a fresh offshore wind at 22 mph and a dropping 6ft SW swell. It’s clean, but the wind is strong, making it a workout. By the afternoon, the wind is howling at 25 mph offshore, and while it’s clean, paddling out is going to be tough. The swell drops to 5ft.
Then it gets ugly. Sunday (July 12th) is a total loss with strong cross-shore winds and a messy 13ft swell later in the day. Wave energy is still high at (3975), but the quality is terrible.
Monday (July 13th) brings a monster – a 21ft SW swell hitting first thing. The wind is cross-off and the energy is off the charts (18760), but this is way too big for almost anyone. The rest of that week into the next is all giant swell, with 12ft to 16ft waves, but the winds are usually cross-on or just too strong to make it fun.
After the big stuff clears, Friday morning (July 17th) is a return to form with a clean 8ft SW swell and a moderate offshore breeze. Expert-level conditions again.
Saturday (July 18th) has a clean 12ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, but the wind is a strong offshore (16-19 mph). It’s clean, but it’s big and windy. That theme continues into Sunday (July 19th) .
Things finally start to settle toward the 21st of July, but those strong winds stick around, making it a battle.
So, call your shot for Wednesday morning (July 8th) – that 8ft SSW groundswell with the long period and light offshore wind is about as good as it gets for the experienced crew. Also keep an eye on that Friday (July 17th) for a return to cleaner, more manageable surf. Expect company on the good days – this spot draws a crowd.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, near gales from the WNW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 11 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2887 | 1949 | 1110 | 2201 | 2157 | 2437 | 4684 | 5720 | 3415 | 1941 | 1624 | 2948 | 2372 | 2238 | 1728 | 1267 | 907 | 815 | 1059 | 3758 | 11893 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:43PM0.83m | 3:48AM0.56m | 3:50PM0.75m | 4:46AM0.58m | 3:39PM0.69m | 6:13AM0.60m | 2:55PM0.66m | 1:17PM0.71m | 12:30PM0.82m | 12:45PM0.92m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:26PM0.33m | 9:13AM0.33m | 10:39PM0.30m | 9:39AM0.44m | 10:50PM0.26m | 9:49AM0.56m | 11:02PM0.21m | 11:24PM0.16m | 00:08AM0.12m | 1:32AM0.10m | |||||||||||
7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 10 | SSW 24 | SSW 21 |
2887 | 1949 | 1110 | 2201 | 2157 | 2437 | 4684 | 5720 | 3415 | 1941 | 1624 | 2948 | 2372 | 2238 | 1728 | 1267 | 907 | 815 | 1059 | 217 | 943 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | SSW 18 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 22 | SW 14 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | SW 12 | SSW 18 | — | — |
45 | 4 | 431 | 85 | 52 | 423 | 1179 | — | — | — | 259 | — | — | — | — | — | 97 | 599 | 31 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 26 | — | — |
— | — | 401 | — | — | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | N 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 10 | NNW 4 | WSW 11 | SW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 8 | 21 | 1287 | 22 | 3758 | 11893 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 123 | 489 | 389 | 482 | 633 | 158 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away










