The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and we’re lookin’ at a tale of two halves for the next couple of weeks at The Cutting. This break is fully exposed to the south, so it grabs a ton of energy, but for the first ten days or so, it’s gonna be a wild beast. The combined swell energy is in the thousands (8712 to 13345), which is some seriously powerful, heavy water moving through. We’re talkin’ South West groundswell with periods of 14 to 18 seconds—proper long-period juice that loves a reef or point, but at The Cutting, that size is gonna be a handful. The water temp is about average for the season, so no surprises there.

For the first week, it’s basically a washout for anyone who isn’t a maniac. Saturday the 22nd is a total loss with a 4.5m SW swell and a cross-onshore wind, makin’ poor, choppy slop. Sunday the 23rd looks cleaner with a cross-offshore or light cross-wind, but the swell is still a huge 3.5m. The data says it’s just too big for this spot, so unless you’re a tow-in crew huntin’ a bomb, give it a miss. The combined energy is still strong (5428 to 5564). Monday the 24th is the first real standout. Swell drops to a still-chunky 2.2m to 2.4m from the SW, but we get a gentle offshore wind from the north in the mornin’ and clean conditions all day. The energy is moderate (1717 to 2309). This is the pick of the week for any experienced surfer who wants a test on a powerful, clean wave. It’s a consistent spot that can get busy, so expect some company.

From Tuesday the 25th through to Saturday the 30th, it’s a messy mix of onshore wind and either too-big or marginal swells. Not worth paddlin’. Then, on Monday the 31st, we get a glassy mornin’ with 3.5m SW swell—temptin’, but still too big for comfortable surfin’ here at The Cutting. The first week of September looks a little quieter but still full-on. Tuesday the 1st is blown out with onshore winds, and Thursday the 3rd has a decent 2.5m SW swell with a clean offshore wind—excellent for experienced surfers, with moderate combined energy (2671). That’s a solid session.

The true highlight, the one to circle on the calendar, is Saturday the 5th of September. We got a 2.4m to 2.5m SW swell droppin’ to a modest combined energy (1715 to 2362), and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. That’s a rare combo of manageable size and perfect conditions. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook: clean, offshore or glassy conditions with a solid, well-shaped wave. It’s a consistent break so crowds are possible, but for that quality, it’s worth the company. The Cutting is the only break on the menu, so that’s your lot. A rough start but a sweet finish for the patient surfer.

Rusty.

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