The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.2° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,689 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 10s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Imperial Version

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at The Cutting.

The first real swell of the window hits on Sunday morning, August 2nd. We’ve got a solid south-west groundswell running at 10ft with a 16-second period. The combined energy is a hefty 3792 (moderate to strong). The wind is off the land and clean, which is perfect. This is a genuine standout for the experienced crew, but it’s way too big for beginners. That’s a heavy, powerful wave with long waits between sets.

Sunday afternoon drops to 8ft, but the wind picks up and the quality goes south.

Monday the 3rd is a mess with cross-shore winds and rain, making it lumpy and choppy. Not worth it.

Tuesday the 4th is a total write-off with strong onshore winds and a big, ugly 10ft swell. Poor conditions.

Wednesday the 5th is smaller, but still cross-shore and marginal.

Thursday morning, August 6th, offers a little calm. The swell drops to 4ft, and the wind goes glassy. The energy is down to 936 (weak), but it’s clean. A good little window for a groveler.

Friday morning, August 7th, is another standout. The swell jumps back to 8ft from the south-west, with a 16-second period, and we get a light offshore. The energy is back up to 4444 (strong). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Clean, powerful, and punchy.

Saturday the 8th is solid with moderate offshore winds and clean 7ft to 8ft waves. Sunday the 9th gets windy again.

Now, from Monday, August 10th, through to Saturday, August 16th, the swell goes absolutely ballistic. We’re talking 10ft to 15ft of south-west swell, with periods from 13 to 18 seconds. The energy readings are huge – hitting 7797, 8050, and even 10478 (very strong). The wind is often clean, but the size is just too big for this break. It’s experts only, and honestly, it looks more interesting for a kite surfer for most of that week.

Finally, Monday, August 17th, offers a bit of relief. The swell drops to 5ft from the south-south-west, with a shorter 10-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. The energy is down to 913 (weak). It’s clean and looks like a fun, manageable session.

The two best bets are Sunday morning, August 2nd, and Friday morning, August 7th. Both are clean, powerful, and for the experienced crew. The rest is either blown out, too big, or just average.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
4
3
2
!
!
0
0
1
3
2
3
3
2
4
5
3
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
WSW
13
3
SW
12
3
SW
11
2.2
SW
11
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
18
2.5
SW
16
2
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5469
3792
3357
2449
2662
3614
3149
2798
2039
1141
1382
961
663
636
1060
2557
2963
2312
3116
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
25
N
30
NNW
30
NNW
30
W
30
W
25
WSW
30
SW
25
WSW
15
WSW
10
W
15
WSW
10
WSW
5
SW
10
SW
5
N
5
NNE
10
SSE
15
NE
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
1:52AM0.60m
2:36PM0.91m
2:26AM0.65m
2:47PM0.85m
3:01AM0.69m
2:54PM0.79m
3:38AM0.71m
2:51PM0.74m
4:19AM0.71m
2:36PM0.71m
5:13AM0.70m
2:06PM0.73m
Low Tide
7:46AM0.15m
9:01PM0.28m
8:16AM0.20m
9:11PM0.24m
8:44AM0.28m
9:21PM0.20m
9:10AM0.38m
9:31PM0.15m
9:28AM0.49m
9:44PM0.11m
9:26AM0.60m
10:01PM0.08m
clear
clear
clear
light rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
 mm
3
2
5
1
1
Temp °C
12
14
14
10
12
11
11
12
12
11
12
12
11
13
12
11
12
13
11
Feels °C
8
7
7
3
5
4
5
6
6
7
9
9
8
10
9
10
10
10
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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