
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 30,246 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look ahead.
We’ve got one spot on the radar for this entire 16-day window: The Cutting. And honestly, for most of that time, it’s going to be a handful. The whole stretch is dominated by a massive, powerful swell train that’s just too big for this place until we get well into the second week. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about average for this time of year.
The first real chance to get wet without getting absolutely smashed looks like Tuesday morning, the 8th of September. The swell drops back to a manageable 7ft from the SW with a very long 18-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. You’ll get those long lulls between sets, making the paddle out a bit easier, but that long period can make beach breaks wall up. At The Cutting, a reef/point setup, it should be a thing of beauty. With a light 6 mph W cross-off breeze and a combined wave energy of 4073 (moderate), it’s looking excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the whole run if you’ve got the skills.
The next call is for Saturday morning, the 12th of September. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the SSW, with a 15-second period. It’s still big by normal standards, but it’s the best we get after Tuesday. A light offshore NE breeze at 6 mph should keep the faces clean (combined energy of 3326). Again, that’s one for the experienced crew.
We then hit a dry spell until Monday morning, the 14th of September, where we get smaller waves in the 6ft range. The energy drops right off (down to 1221), but it stays clean with a fresh N offshore breeze. It’s not the standout, but it’s a solid option if you’re keen.
Looking into the second week, things get massive again. Wednesday the 16th of September morning sees a 15ft WSW swell return with a glassy 3 mph NNE wind – truly beautiful conditions on paper, but that swell size is for experts only, and the energy is pumping at 9124. After that, it’s back to a prolonged run of huge, powerful, and dangerous surf all the way through to the 19th.
So, to wrap it up: if you’re an experienced surfer, make the most of that Tuesday the 8th. That’s the best balance of power and clean conditions. The Saturday the 12th is also a solid second pick. The rest of the window is either too small or too big.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the WSW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
11527 | 10494 | 8064 | 6000 | 8656 | 4888 | 4974 | 3318 | 1912 | 1525 | 1545 | 1535 | 2402 | 5141 | 6207 | 11305 | 30246 | 27524 | 20146 | 13931 | 5113 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:41PM0.73m | 4:32AM0.75m | 1:26PM0.77m | 5:49AM0.67m | 1:10PM0.82m | 1:00PM0.86m | 12:55PM0.88m | 12:53PM0.88m | 11:50PM0.40m | 12:54PM0.86m | 00:05AM0.53m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:56PM0.01m | 8:53AM0.63m | 9:17PM0.02m | 7:33AM0.67m | 9:41PM0.06m | 10:05PM0.15m | 10:14PM0.26m | 8:56PM0.37m | 5:13AM0.24m | 7:39PM0.40m | |||||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 16 |
11527 | 10494 | 8064 | 6000 | — | — | 4974 | 3318 | 1912 | 1525 | 1545 | 1451 | 1671 | 5141 | 6207 | 11305 | 30246 | 27524 | 20146 | 13931 | 5113 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 15 | — | S 24 | SW 22 | SSW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | SSW 26 | SSW 21 | — | — | — | — | S 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 155 | — | 11 | 118 | 283 | 1535 | 2402 | — | 132 | 7447 | — | — | — | — | 3770 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 338 | 305 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 729 | 8656 | 4888 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 80 | 72 | 35 | 452 | 635 | 369 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 477 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 76 | 670 | 1076 | 623 | 76 | 76 | 76 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away










