
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 18,901 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your wettie, let’s see what the ocean’s got cookin’ for The Cutting. This is a solid, exposed spot that knows how to handle a good SW groundswell, and boy, do we have a bit of everything over the next couple of weeks.
We start with a clean, moderate offshore breeze on Monday the 27th of July. The swell is sitting around 8ft from the SW with a period of 11 seconds, and combined wave energy is moderate. The water temp is about average for this time of year. This is solid, powerful surf that will have the more experienced surfers amongst us drooling. That NNW wind keeps it clean all day.
Heading into Tuesday the 28th, things get a bit tricky. The swell jumps up, especially in the afternoon hitting 10ft with a crazy long 15-second period, but the wind swings around and gets ugly, ruining the shape completely. It’s a write-off.
Wednesday the 29th sees the swell absolutely detonate. We’re talking 18ft from the SW with a period of 16 seconds and very strong wave energy. The wind is cross-onshore, and honestly, this is a dangerous, unmanageable wall of water. Only the absolute lunatics (and I mean that with respect) should even look at it. Thursday follows the same messy, oversized theme.
Finally, by Friday the 31st, we get a reprieve. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft from the SW, the wind turns light and variable, and conditions clean up nicely. The wave energy is still moderate. This is where you want to be for a solid session.
Saturday the 1st of August is the standout of the entire run. Morning brings a beautiful 4ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period and a gentle offshore breeze. Wave energy is good. The conditions are glassy and perfect. The afternoon stays clean with a 7ft SW swell. But that morning window is the one to circle.
Sunday the 2nd is also fantastic. A solid 8ft to 10ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, but the morning has a clean offshore breeze. It’s a touch big, so this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon gets too strong.
The first week of August turns into a mixed bag. There’s a big, clean but oversized swell on Monday the 3rd (12ft), but then the wind turns onshore and makes a mess of things from Tuesday through Thursday. You’ll want to sit those days out.
Friday the 7th of August brings a return to form. A clean 6ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the afternoon is about as good as it gets: glassy, offshore conditions. This will be a classic, smooth session. Crowds are possible at The Cutting, but with conditions this good, it’ll be worth sharing the peak.
Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th stay clean with offshore winds, but the wind gets strong. You’ll have clean waves, but paddling out will be a workout. The swell is a manageable 5ft to 6ft.
The outlook closes out with a return of messy onshore wind after the 10th, ruining what could have been another good swell. The gap between surfable days is noticeable, with a long stretch of poor conditions in the early part of August.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun night, near gales from the W by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
963 | 1310 | 1626 | 2462 | 2200 | 3271 | 12954 | 15877 | 9563 | 4302 | 2561 | 1886 | 1341 | 1180 | 1092 | 1010 | 798 | 2270 | 4133 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | glassy | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:55PM0.88m | 1:12PM0.92m | 1:30PM0.95m | 00:00AM0.43m | 1:48PM0.97m | 00:41AM0.49m | 2:05PM0.97m | 1:17AM0.55m | 2:21PM0.95m | 1:52AM0.60m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 1:58AM0.23m | 4:17AM0.21m | 5:21AM0.17m | 9:02PM0.39m | 6:05AM0.13m | 8:47PM0.38m | 6:41AM0.11m | 8:46PM0.36m | 7:14AM0.12m | 8:52PM0.32m | |||||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 14 | W 11 | SSW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
963 | 1310 | 1626 | 2462 | 1527 | 3271 | — | 15877 | 9563 | 4302 | 2561 | 1886 | 1341 | 1180 | 1092 | 1010 | 710 | 2270 | 4133 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 21 | — |
181 | 145 | 6 | 1 | 2200 | — | — | — | 46 | 810 | 432 | 251 | 94 | 117 | 485 | 559 | 798 | 428 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | — | S 9 | — | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — |
31 | — | 6 | — | 471 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 13 | 6 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | W 10 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
— | 7 | 9 | 22 | 34 | 2702 | 12954 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 489 | 482 | 650 | 566 | 145 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away










