The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie and let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for The Cutting. This is an exposed, consistent break that’s always in the mix, but the ocean’s going to be throwing some serious size at us before it settles down for a proper run of clean waves.

The water temp is sitting at 56.9° right now, which is about average for this time of year, so a good 4/3 will do you fine.

The Overall Picture

We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards. The first few days are going to be too big, a proper freight train of swell that will close the place out. But once that passes, there’s a beautiful window of cleaner, more manageable waves in the middle of the week. Then, the ocean fires up again with some proper size, but it might be too much again. The real sweet spot looks like the stretch from Monday the 17th into Thursday the 20th, and then again around the 26th and the 28th.

The Gritty Start

The forecast kicks off on Saturday the 15th with an 11.5 ft SW swell. There’s a bit of south wind, but honestly, the swell is just too big for this place. The energy is strong (5768), which tells you it’s got a lot of punch, but it's going to be a washing machine. Sunday the 16th is still in that zone – a 9.8 ft SW swell with a bit of east wind, and it remains too big. The energy is still big (3056).

The Window Opens

Monday morning, the 17th, is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to a much friendlier 5.2 ft from the SW, with a 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell. The wind is light and cross-offshore, and conditions look clean. This is the first real standout. It’s not huge, but it’s got that long-period push which just makes it feel so much better. The energy is still solid (2483). Monday afternoon picks up in size again to 8.2 ft, but the wind goes a bit cross-shore, so it’ll get a little lumpy.

Tuesday the 18th is a step back with 5.9 ft SW swell, but the wind is a bit stronger from the NE, keeping it clean but with a bit more push. It’s still good, but the magic of that long-period Monday morning is gone.

The Glassy Core

Now, Wednesday the 19th is looking like a bit of a write-off. The wind is howling offshore at 28 mph, which will make it clean but nearly impossible to paddle into. The swell drops to 3.9 ft, but that wind is just too strong. You’d be fighting it all session.

Then we get to Thursday the 20th. And this is the one. The swell is a modest 4.6 ft from the SW, but the wind goes dead glassy in the afternoon. Absolutely no wind, just clean lines rolling through. This is a session where the ocean feels like a mirror. It’s still got enough energy (1031) to be fun, and it’s the kind of day where you can get some really long, walled-up rides. This is the other standout of the whole window.

The Size Returns

Friday the 21st is a warning. The swell jumps back up to 8.2 ft in the morning, and by the afternoon it’s a solid 9.8 ft. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean, but it’s getting big again, and the energy is climbing (3806 and 4431). This is pushing the limit.

Then the ocean loses its mind. Saturday the 22nd sees a massive 21.3 ft SW swell rolling in with strong cross-onshore wind. The energy is astronomical (40549). This is totally unsurfable, a proper maelstrom. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are still huge, with 18 ft and 16.4 ft swells. It’s all just too much. The energy readings are through the roof (25425, 21706, 20971). This is a week of staying well clear of the water.

The Comeback

After that big blow, things finally start to settle down. Tuesday the 25th is still too big at 14.8 ft in the morning, dropping to 11.5 ft in the afternoon. It’s too much for The Cutting.

The first real sign of life comes on Wednesday morning, the 26th. The swell has dropped to a clean 7.9 ft from the S, with a light offshore

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