The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what we've got cooking at The Cutting.

We're looking at a classic case of "too much of a good thing" to kick things off. The first week is all about massive, powerful groundswell, and I mean massive. From Monday the 13th to Sunday the 19th, we're staring down the barrel of some serious, heavy-duty energy. The swell's coming from the south-west, and those wave heights are just huge – we're talking 18ft to 21ft. The combined energy numbers are astronomical, like 35,820 and 19,418 for the first couple of days. That's not just big, that's "you better be a pro or a complete madman" territory. The winds are mostly cross or cross-off, strong to fresh breezes. Honestly, for the first five or six days, you'd be a fool to even look at the water for a paddle. This is kite-surfing conditions all the way.

Now, things start to settle down towards the weekend. Saturday the 18th is where we see the first real window. Swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft from the SW, and the wind swings offshore from the north with a gentle breeze. The combined energy is down to 1,762 – still moderate, but a world away from the chaos. It's still big and powerful, so it's for experienced surfers only. Sunday the 19th gets even cleaner, with a moderate offshore breeze and a smaller 5ft swell from the WSW. The crowd factor says "sometimes," so you might get a few out, but with clean, offshore conditions and perfect size, this is the standout window of the entire outlook. The water temp is 58°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The period is long at 12 to 16 seconds, meaning these are proper, drawn-out groundswell lines, so keep that in mind for the take-off zone.

The middle of the week starting Monday 20th gets a bit messy again, with wind and questionable tides. But then Tuesday the 21st is another beauty. Morning has a light cross-off breeze, and the afternoon turns glassy with a 7ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The combined energy is around 1,600 to 1,900. That afternoon session on Tuesday the 21st is the other standout. Small, glassy, clean lines.

After that, we get into a bit of a lull around the 22nd and 23rd of July – the swell drops under 7ft but the wind is a fresh breeze, making it a bit less inviting. Then, just as we get into the far end of the window, the 24th of July through to the 28th, the ocean starts to roar again. Another big pulse of SW swell, hitting 12ft to 15ft with very strong combined energy (4,400 to 12,887). So that second week is promising but less certain, as it's a long-range call, but the potential is there for another week of massive, offshore-whipped waves for the crew who can handle it.

Signing off, Rusty.

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