
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,611 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, with the outlook for The Cutting.
We've got a big window of surf coming our way, but it's not all for the faint-hearted. Get ready for a solid run of SW groundswell, but the size and consistency will sort the men from the boys.
The combined swell energy is strong, hitting four-digit figures for most of the period, peaking at a massive 9178 (moderate to very strong energy). Water temp is sitting around 58°F, which is pretty average for the time of year, so no major shock to the system there.
The real standout is Saturday the 18th. We’ve got a solid 8ft SW swell (14-second period) fading a touch on Saturday afternoon to 7ft (13 seconds) with glassy conditions. That morning the wind is a light offshore from the NNW, and by afternoon it goes glassy from the W. That's about as clean as it gets. This is the pick of the bunch – a proper day for experienced surfers to get some smooth, lined-up waves, though be mindful the longer period will focus the energy on the take-off zone. Crowds are possible, so get in early.
Sunday the 19th is another good one, with the swell dropping to a more manageable 5ft WSW groundswell (12 seconds) and clean offshore winds from the N and NNW all day. It eases off through the day, but it'll still be fun for a bigger board.
Monday the 20th sees the swell bump back up to 6ft (SW, 15-16 seconds) with clean offshore to cross-off winds. Still very good surf for the experienced crew.
Tuesday the 21st has a bigger pulse of 8ft SW (13-second period) in the morning, dropping slightly in the afternoon, but with clean cross-off winds. It's big, but still manageable for the advanced surfer.
Now, there’s a bit of a gap after that. From Wednesday the 22nd, the wheels come off for a few days. The wind goes onshore and the swell gets massive and messy. On Thursday the 23rd, it's a dangerous 13ft with a cross-off wind, but the sheer size makes it a no-go zone. This big, lumpy, wind-affected swell pattern lasts until about the end of July, with lumpy cross-onshore conditions and rain for much of that time. It’s a write-off for paddle surfing—looks more interesting for kitesurfing given the strong winds and open beach setup.
After that period of poor conditions, things clean up again around Friday the 31st of July. The morning is still on the big side at 10ft, but by Friday afternoon it drops to a cleaner 8ft with a light, clean cross-off breeze from the NNE. That’s the second standout window – still a big swell for the experienced, but manageable and clean.
Heading into August, Saturday the 1st has a solid 8ft swell (15-16 seconds) but with fresh offshore winds from the N and NNE. It’s clean, but the wind is strong. It’s a decent option for the brave, but the raw power and wind make it a grind.
Stay safe out there, and don't be a hero on the big days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
4490 | 2985 | 2080 | 1684 | 848 | 563 | 412 | 536 | 1433 | 1208 | 1042 | 2200 | 1874 | 1384 | 666 | 1783 | 5191 | 5729 | 6428 | 12083 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:05AM0.58m | 2:38PM0.89m | 2:04AM0.64m | 2:50PM0.85m | 2:58AM0.67m | 3:02PM0.81m | 3:51AM0.68m | 3:10PM0.78m | 4:45AM0.67m | 3:13PM0.75m | 5:51AM0.65m | 3:03PM0.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:53PM0.44m | 7:29AM0.09m | 8:57PM0.35m | 8:08AM0.17m | 9:14PM0.27m | 8:43AM0.27m | 9:37PM0.19m | 9:14AM0.38m | 10:02PM0.15m | 9:39AM0.48m | 10:29PM0.14m | 9:53AM0.57m | 10:56PM0.15m | |||||||
— | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | |
5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | W 8 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
4490 | 2985 | 2080 | 1684 | 848 | 563 | 412 | 361 | 1433 | 1208 | 1042 | 2200 | 1874 | 1384 | 310 | — | 5191 | 5729 | 6428 | 9299 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 17 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | SW 18 | — |
— | — | — | 45 | 213 | 247 | 247 | 536 | 50 | 30 | 2 | — | — | — | 666 | — | — | — | 1518 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SSW 20 | SW 19 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 18 | 151 | 278 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 9 | — | — | NNW 4 | — | W 7 | SW 13 | — | — | W 5 | SW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 11 | 2 | 220 | — | — | 4 | — | 330 | 1783 | — | — | 92 | 12083 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 108 | 76 | 76 | 24 | 467 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away










