Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,064 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s get into it. This outlook covers The Cutting, a consistent intermediate spot that’s exposed to south swells. The water temperature is 57°, which is pretty much average for this time of year – no surprises there.
The big story here is that for the first week and a half, the swell is just pumping. We’re talking a solid run of swell from the SSW and SW, with a very long period of 15-16 seconds, and combined wave energy readings in the thousands to over 12000 (11980). That’s serious groundswell energy. The problem? The swell size is mostly between 10ft and 18ft, which means it’s strictly for experienced surfers only. For the first few days, the winds are cross-on or onshore, which will mess up the shape.
Thursday the 10th is big but messy – 16ft SSW with cross-on winds. Friday the 11th morning is the first real standout. The swell drops to 12ft from the SSW, but the wind goes glassy. That’s a long-period groundswell with perfect offshore conditions. It’ll be clean, powerful, and barreling at the right tide. This is the one to circle. After that, Saturday the 12th morning has an 12ft SW swell with a light offshore N wind, so that’s clean too.
From Sunday the 13th through Monday the 14th, the swell drops to a more manageable 5ft to 7ft, with fresh offshore winds. It’s still good, clean surf, but the energy drops off noticeably (energy values around 1100 to 2226). It’s a good window for intermediates.
Then Tuesday the 15th, the swell cranks back up to 15ft, but the wind is cross-on and strong, making it a choppy mess. Not worth it.
There’s another window late in the period. Monday the 21st morning has a small 4ft SSW swell with glassy conditions – calm, clean, but small. The real gem in the second week is Tuesday the 22nd morning. You get a 7ft SW swell, a very long 18-second period, and light offshore NNW wind. The energy is moderate (3338), but that period and wind combo will produce some beautiful, groomed lines at The Cutting. It won’t be huge, but it will be perfect.
After that, from Wednesday the 23rd onward, the swell stays around 8ft to 12ft, but the wind turns onshore and the conditions deteriorate. The last few days look poor.
So, the standout is Friday the 11th morning – glassy, 12ft SSW groundswell. The backup is Tuesday the 22nd morning – clean, glassy, 7ft long-period swell.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon morning, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 11980 | 9163 | 5940 | 5343 | 7330 | 7262 | 4874 | 4032 | 2959 | 2226 | 1602 | 1382 | 947 | 1246 | 3388 | 8950 | 7327 | 6847 | 8995 | 8282 | 5846 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | off |
High Tide | 12:54PM0.86m | 00:05AM0.53m | 12:56PM0.82m | 00:33AM0.67m | 1:01PM0.79m | 1:03AM0.78m | 1:07PM0.77m | 1:33AM0.86m | 1:16PM0.75m | 2:02AM0.90m | 1:26PM0.74m | 2:31AM0.91m | 1:36PM0.73m | 2:59AM0.88m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:39PM0.40m | 6:00AM0.21m | 7:09PM0.34m | 6:37AM0.20m | 7:04PM0.26m | 7:08AM0.22m | 7:12PM0.17m | 7:37AM0.25m | 7:26PM0.09m | 8:02AM0.30m | 7:45PM0.03m | 8:25AM0.36m | 8:05PM0.01m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 11980 | 9163 | 5940 | 5343 | 7330 | 7262 | 4874 | 4032 | 2959 | 2226 | 1602 | 1382 | 947 | 1246 | 2601 | 8950 | 7327 | 6847 | 8995 | 8282 | 5846 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 18 | 97 | 84 | 249 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 4 | — | WSW 5 | W 7 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 20 | — | 42 | 347 | 3388 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 76 | 35 | 24 | 219 | 35 | 24 | 17 | 0 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 24 | 108 | 76 | 566 | 346 | 24 | 76 | 76 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away
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