The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

Issued: 9 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.9° C

Slightly warmer than usual

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 19,694 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 7th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 18s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the table for The Cutting over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a wild ride, so let’s get into it.

The first real action we’ve got is this Tuesday morning. The Cutting is seeing some clean 7 ft SW groundswell with a nice 16 second period, making for some proper energy moving through (2286). Water temp is sitting at 59°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The wind is light NE at 3 mph, a nice cross-off, so conditions are clean. This one’s for the experienced crew.

Wednesday morning the swell picks up to 8 ft from the SSW with a longer 18 second period and a massive energy reading (5863). The wind is still a clean cross-off from the NE. That’s a standout session for confident surfers, but the power and size make it a bit much for beginners. If you’ve got the skills, get out there.

Thursday looks fun too. The morning has 7 ft SW swell, 15 second period, with a light NNE cross-off. Then Thursday afternoon it goes glassy with a 3 mph NE wind. The waves hold at 7 ft, but that glassy surface will be a treat. That afternoon is a real standout for clean, lined-up waves.

Friday morning the swell sits around 8 ft from the SW, 15 second period, with a clean 9 mph offshore from the N. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers once again.

Now, things get heavy. Saturday morning the wind howls from the N at 25 mph, making it hard to paddle into the 6 ft swell. By Saturday afternoon it gets even messier. Then Sunday and Monday bring massive, dangerous swell. We’re talking 18 ft to 21 ft of SW groundswell with crazy high energy (19195, 15713, 37272). The wind is strong and mostly cross or cross-off. This size is maxed out – experts only, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. Honestly, these days look more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The swell backs down a bit through the middle of the following week, but still sits at 15 ft with strong winds and cross-chop. Poor quality for surfing.

There’s a light at the end of the tunnel. On Thursday the 16th of July morning, the wind goes glassy with the swell dropping to 10 ft. That afternoon, the swell eases to 8 ft from the SW, 14 second period, with glassy conditions again. This is an excellent, clean window for experienced surfers.

Friday the 17th of July keeps the good vibes with 7 ft SW swell, a 9 mph offshore from the N, and clean conditions. A solid option to wrap up the week.

After that, it gets big again from Saturday the 18th of July onward, with 12 ft to 16 ft of SW groundswell and strong offshore winds. Clean but huge – experts only territory again. The 21st of July Tuesday looks particularly potent, with 16 ft SW swell and 17 second period, producing massive energy (13597). That’s a long-range standout to keep an eye on, though it’s a bit far out so don’t lock it in just yet.

Overall, the best bets are Wednesday morning the 8th, Thursday afternoon the 9th, and the window on Thursday the 16th into Friday the 17th. The big stuff in between is more for the thrill-seekers or the kite crew.

Stay safe, keep an eye on the sky.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri morning, strong winds from the W by Sat night).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
5
6
!
5
4
4
5
4
3
3
2
1
0
!
0
0
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SSW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
2.1
WSW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
4.5
WSW
11
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
SW
14
5.5
SW
16
6.5
SW
16
5
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2201
2157
2437
4684
5946
3415
1941
1760
3222
2559
2111
1809
1147
743
5035
10654
10102
11721
15713
19694
15802
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
10
SSE
15
NE
15
NE
5
ENE
15
NNE
10
NNE
5
NE
15
NNE
15
N
20
NNW
25
N
40
N
40
W
45
W
45
WNW
45
W
40
W
45
WNW
45
WSW
25
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
3:50PM0.75m
4:46AM0.58m
3:39PM0.69m
6:13AM0.60m
2:55PM0.66m
1:17PM0.71m
12:30PM0.82m
12:45PM0.92m
1:09PM0.98m
Low Tide
10:39PM0.30m
9:39AM0.44m
10:50PM0.26m
9:49AM0.56m
11:02PM0.21m
11:24PM0.16m
00:08AM0.12m
1:32AM0.10m
3:28AM0.08m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
 mm
5
2
4
2
2
4
2
1
Temp °C
11
12
11
11
13
10
11
13
11
13
14
11
12
10
11
13
13
12
13
13
11
Feels °C
10
10
8
8
11
7
9
12
8
9
10
6
3
1
1
3
4
3
3
4
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SSW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
2.1
WSW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
5
SW
13
5.5
SW
16
6
SW
16
5
SW
17
Energy kJ
2201
2157
2437
4684
5946
3415
1941
1760
3222
2559
2111
1809
1147
743
8541
15713
17578
15802
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
10
0.7
SSW
22
1.7
SW
14
0.9
SSW
19
1.4
SW
10
Energy kJ
85
65
423
1179
657
441
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
22
Energy kJ
233
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SE
8
0.6
NW
4
1.4
NW
5
1.4
NW
7
2.3
W
8
4.5
WSW
11
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
SW
14
6.5
SW
16
Energy kJ
42
9
102
188
686
5035
10654
10102
11721
19694
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
6
6
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
1
4
1
1
1
9
2
2
9
Distance (km)
0
94
0
0
17
0
0
0
0
0
4
35
482
128
482
661
931
128
650
633
76
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
7
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
9
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
7
7
8
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
9
9
7
5
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
7
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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