The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.5° C
0.5° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,611 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 17th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 17th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, with the outlook for The Cutting.

We've got a big window of surf coming our way, but it's not all for the faint-hearted. Get ready for a solid run of SW groundswell, but the size and consistency will sort the men from the boys.

The combined swell energy is strong, hitting four-digit figures for most of the period, peaking at a massive 9178 (moderate to very strong energy). Water temp is sitting around 58°F, which is pretty average for the time of year, so no major shock to the system there.

The real standout is Saturday the 18th. We’ve got a solid 8ft SW swell (14-second period) fading a touch on Saturday afternoon to 7ft (13 seconds) with glassy conditions. That morning the wind is a light offshore from the NNW, and by afternoon it goes glassy from the W. That's about as clean as it gets. This is the pick of the bunch – a proper day for experienced surfers to get some smooth, lined-up waves, though be mindful the longer period will focus the energy on the take-off zone. Crowds are possible, so get in early.

Sunday the 19th is another good one, with the swell dropping to a more manageable 5ft WSW groundswell (12 seconds) and clean offshore winds from the N and NNW all day. It eases off through the day, but it'll still be fun for a bigger board.

Monday the 20th sees the swell bump back up to 6ft (SW, 15-16 seconds) with clean offshore to cross-off winds. Still very good surf for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 21st has a bigger pulse of 8ft SW (13-second period) in the morning, dropping slightly in the afternoon, but with clean cross-off winds. It's big, but still manageable for the advanced surfer.

Now, there’s a bit of a gap after that. From Wednesday the 22nd, the wheels come off for a few days. The wind goes onshore and the swell gets massive and messy. On Thursday the 23rd, it's a dangerous 13ft with a cross-off wind, but the sheer size makes it a no-go zone. This big, lumpy, wind-affected swell pattern lasts until about the end of July, with lumpy cross-onshore conditions and rain for much of that time. It’s a write-off for paddle surfing—looks more interesting for kitesurfing given the strong winds and open beach setup.

After that period of poor conditions, things clean up again around Friday the 31st of July. The morning is still on the big side at 10ft, but by Friday afternoon it drops to a cleaner 8ft with a light, clean cross-off breeze from the NNE. That’s the second standout window – still a big swell for the experienced, but manageable and clean.

Heading into August, Saturday the 1st has a solid 8ft swell (15-16 seconds) but with fresh offshore winds from the N and NNE. It’s clean, but the wind is strong. It’s a decent option for the brave, but the raw power and wind make it a grind.

Stay safe out there, and don't be a hero on the big days.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Fri
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
3
0
0
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
1.6
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.2
WSW
12
1
SW
17
1.7
WSW
16
1.7
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.2
WSW
12
1.6
SW
12
2.3
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
4
SW
15
5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4490
2985
2080
1684
848
563
412
536
1433
1208
1042
2200
1874
1384
666
1783
5191
5729
6428
12083
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
NW
10
NNW
5
W
15
NNE
10
N
15
NNW
15
N
20
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
30
WSW
25
SW
20
WSW
20
NW
35
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:05AM0.58m
2:38PM0.89m
2:04AM0.64m
2:50PM0.85m
2:58AM0.67m
3:02PM0.81m
3:51AM0.68m
3:10PM0.78m
4:45AM0.67m
3:13PM0.75m
5:51AM0.65m
3:03PM0.72m
Low Tide
8:53PM0.44m
7:29AM0.09m
8:57PM0.35m
8:08AM0.17m
9:14PM0.27m
8:43AM0.27m
9:37PM0.19m
9:14AM0.38m
10:02PM0.15m
9:39AM0.48m
10:29PM0.14m
9:53AM0.57m
10:56PM0.15m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
 mm
2
1
4
Temp °C
12
11
12
14
13
13
14
13
13
14
13
14
14
13
13
13
12
11
12
13
Feels °C
10
9
10
13
10
9
11
9
8
11
10
10
11
9
8
7
7
6
7
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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