Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 9,750 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what The Cutting is serving up.
We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards, but the story changes fast. The early action starts off clean and inviting, but then the ocean goes into beast mode for a long stretch, and it’s only right at the tail end of the outlook that things settle back into something manageable for most of us.
Thursday morning kicks it off with a sweet 3ft groundswell from the SW, with a long 15-second period. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The wind is blowing offshore from the NNW at 9 mph, leaving the surface glassy and clean. Energy is moderate (662). This is the sort of session where you get long, grunty lines without the crowd chaos – absolutely perfect.
By Thursday afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft and the wind shifts cross-shore. It’ll still have some push, but it’s not as clean.
Friday morning things get serious. The swell hits 10ft from the SW with a 17-second period. Combined energy is strong (5786). It’s a clean cross-shore wind, but honestly, this is getting into expert territory. Beginners should sit this one out. The same goes for Friday afternoon – 10ft, clean-ish, but big.
From Saturday the 29th right through to Monday the 7th of September, the swell stays over 8ft, often pushing 12ft, 13ft, even 20ft. The combined energy is off the charts (peak at 24192). Winds are mostly offshore or cross-off, so it’s clean, but these are serious, powerful waves. Only the best-equipped, most experienced surfers should even consider paddling out. For everyone else, it’s a spectator sport. The Cutting is a reef setup, so that long-period groundswell is going to bend and jack, making it hollow and demanding.
After that monster stretch, Thursday the 10th of September morning brings a welcome reprieve. Swell drops to 8ft from the SW, with a 12-second period. Combined energy is moderate (2121). Wind is offshore from the NNE at 9 mph – clean as a whistle. This is the standout session for experienced surfers who are still hungry after the big stuff. The sets will have plenty of power without trying to kill you.
Then Friday the 11th of September offers the true highlight of the whole outlook. Morning brings 7ft of SW groundswell with a 14-second period. The wind is a solid offshore from the NNE at 16 mph. Clean, powerful, and manageable. This is the day to circle on your calendar – that sweet spot where size, period, and wind line up for a memorable session. The afternoon holds similar, just a touch smaller.
So, to nail it down: the real gems are the first Thursday morning for the small-wave crew and Friday the 11th for that perfect, clean, solid swell. The rest of the window is either too small, too big, or just okay.
Stay safe in the water, and remember – sometimes the best surf is the one you walk away from.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
255 | 969 | 1710 | 5786 | 4762 | 3650 | 2509 | 2006 | 1834 | 2170 | 2483 | 4471 | 3659 | 6702 | 4645 | 3439 | 2326 | 4168 | 5158 | 5247 | 4332 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:09PM0.92m | 00:29AM0.51m | 1:21PM0.92m | 00:52AM0.59m | 1:33PM0.90m | 1:18AM0.68m | 1:44PM0.86m | 1:45AM0.75m | 1:52PM0.81m | 2:13AM0.81m | 1:57PM0.76m | 2:43AM0.84m | 1:57PM0.72m | 3:15AM0.85m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:04PM0.35m | 6:13AM0.17m | 7:54PM0.33m | 6:45AM0.15m | 7:52PM0.29m | 7:15AM0.16m | 7:55PM0.24m | 7:44AM0.20m | 8:01PM0.18m | 8:12AM0.26m | 8:11PM0.12m | 8:36AM0.34m | 8:23PM0.07m | ||||||||
7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
— | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
234 | 969 | 1710 | 5786 | 4762 | 3650 | 2509 | 2006 | 1834 | 2170 | 2483 | 4471 | 3659 | 6702 | 4645 | 3439 | 2326 | 4168 | 5158 | 4395 | 4332 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | SW 21 | SW 18 | — | S 10 | — | — | SW 23 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | SW 22 | SSW 20 | — | — | — | S 12 | S 11 | — | — | — |
173 | 416 | 1606 | — | 8 | — | — | 21 | 180 | 339 | 259 | 169 | 1171 | — | — | — | 12 | 9 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 10 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
255 | 104 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 7 | — | — | WSW 14 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 132 | — | — | 5247 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 76 | 24 | 24 | 76 | 4 | 24 | 76 | 24 | 17 | 24 | 35 | 656 | 547 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away











