The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking like a bit of a rollercoaster, to be honest. There’s plenty of swell on the cards, but for the most part, it’s going to be just too much for The Cutting to handle. This spot can’t handle anything too solid, and we’ve got a run of plus-sized surf that will have it shutting down and backing off. The water temp is sitting around 57°F which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so a good full suit is still the go.

Your first real chance to get wet is this Saturday morning, the 12th. There’s some good energy in the water, about 12ft of southwest swell with a solid 15-second period, and the wind is light offshore. But, here’s the thing, that wave height is going to be too much for The Cutting. It’ll be a washing machine, not a wave. The afternoon isn’t much better, dropping to 10ft but still just too big for this break to work properly.

Now, heading into Sunday the 13th, the swell eases a bit to around 7ft in the morning. There’s a fresh offshore wind that will keep things clean, but the size is still on the edge for this spot. It’s a bit marginal, but it could be worth a look if you’re an experienced surfer. The afternoon cleans up nicely, with a 7ft swell and a moderate offshore breeze. It’s a better option, but still not a classic.

Monday the 14th sees the swell drop down to 5ft, but the wind swings around to a cross-offshore, and the quality suffers. It’s a low-key day with weak energy, nothing to get too excited about.

Then we get a proper pulse of big, stormy swell from Tuesday the 15th through Wednesday the 16th. We’re talking 15ft of southwest groundswell with fresh cross-onshore winds. It’s going to be big, lumpy, and messy – a total right-off at this break. The combined energy is pumping at around 8000, but it’s all for nothing. Don’t even bother. This looks more like a kite-surfing day if you’re into that, or just stay on the beach.

Thursday the 17th, the swell backs down to 10ft, but that’s still too big for The Cutting. Light winds will make it look inviting, but the size is just too much.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Friday the 18th. The swell eases to around 8ft, but the period jumps up to 17 seconds, which is a proper long-period groundswell. A light cross-offshore wind should keep it reasonably clean, but it’s still on the bigger side and the tide could be tricky. It’s a bit of a gamble.

By the weekend of the 19th and 20th, the swell is still in the 8ft range, but the winds turn unfavourable, making things choppy and messy. Not looking great.

The following week starts with more of the same. Monday the 21st has some decent energy, but it's too big again. Tuesday the 22nd brings another massive 15ft swell with onshore winds, another write-off. Wednesday the 23rd drops to 10ft and goes glassy, but it's still too big. Thursday the 24th is similar, with glassy conditions but 10ft of swell.

Now, the standout window, if you’re a proper charger, looks to be Friday the 25th of September. It's a massive long-period swell, 15ft at 19 seconds, with light offshore winds. The energy reading is huge, over 13000, which tells you this is a serious, powerful groundswell. But don’t be fooled – this is a big-wave day for experts only. The Cutting just can't hold that size. It’ll be dangerous and unsurfable for most of us.

The 26th keeps the size at 10ft with a serious offshore gale, making it incredibly hard to paddle out. Too big and too wild. The 27th just cranks it all up again, with 21ft to 25ft of swell. That’s a pure novelty day, and not for surfing.

So, look. There’s a lot of swell in the forecast, but it’s a case of too much of a good thing. Right now, there are no truly epic, clean days at The Cutting on the cards. It’s either too small and weak, or way too big and messy. I’d say the closest thing to a good option is the Sunday morning session on the 13th, but even that is pretty marginal. The long-range stuff on the 25th is promising in terms of size and power, but it’s a far from certain call at this range, and it’s going to be a handful if it comes off. It’s a waiting game, as always.

Rusty.

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