Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 8,167 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, let’s break it down for The Cutting.
Straight up, we’ve got a solid run of swell coming in from the south, but this spot can get real mean when it’s big. Water temp is sitting around 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year.
The first look is Saturday afternoon, the 22nd. That 15-foot southwest swell is just getting hammered by a moderate cross-onshore wind. The energy is massive (9065), but it’s all chop and whitewater – no good.
Sunday the 23rd is where it gets interesting. Morning kicks off with an 12-foot SW swell, clean with a cross-offshore breeze from the NNW at 9 mph. The energy is still high (5564) but the swell is just too big for The Cutting. Same story in the afternoon – still too big, but light cross-shore winds.
Monday the 24th is the one to circle. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8 feet from the southwest, and the wind goes pure offshore from the north at 9 mph. It’s clean, punchy (energy at 2187), and the best on offer. This is for experienced surfers only – that 8 feet is solid. The afternoon holds with a 7-foot SW swell and light cross-offshore breeze. Clean lines, proper waves.
Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are messy – wind swings onshore, swell holds around 8 to 8 feet, but it’s choppy and lumpy. Not worth it.
Thursday the 27th morning has a smaller 5-foot SW swell with a clean cross-offshore wind, but the energy is lower (1279). The afternoon is weird – a 4-foot swell with a very long 21-second period. That’s groundswell, but it’s small and the wind is light cross-shore. Could be fun on a longboard, but not the highlight.
Then another big pulse hits Friday the 28th – 12-foot SW swell, cross-onshore, too big and messy. This pattern repeats through Saturday the 29th, Sunday the 30th, and into September. Even when the wind goes offshore, like on Monday the 31st with an 12-foot SW swell, it’s just too big for The Cutting.
Wednesday the 2nd of September has a moment – 10-foot SW swell with glassy conditions in the afternoon. Still huge, but if you’re an expert, that glassy surface is a dream. Thursday the 3rd has strong offshore winds (NNW at 16–19 mph) and 12 to 13-foot SW swell – big-wave territory only.
The real standout in the whole 16 days is Monday the 24th of August: 8-foot SW swell, clean offshore wind, good energy. It’s the only time the size, wind, and quality all line up. Crowds are possible, and on a day like that, expect some company.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
8760 | 6776 | 3901 | 5428 | 3377 | 2171 | 1657 | 1558 | 1972 | 2000 | 2895 | 2005 | 1778 | 1130 | 1033 | 1414 | 8081 | 6729 | 4412 | 3246 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:16PM0.77m | 12:51PM0.82m | 12:50PM0.87m | 00:11AM0.35m | 12:58PM0.90m | 00:10AM0.43m | 1:09PM0.92m | 00:29AM0.51m | 1:21PM0.92m | 00:52AM0.59m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:11PM0.16m | 10:26PM0.21m | 10:23PM0.27m | 9:23PM0.33m | 4:49AM0.27m | 8:29PM0.35m | 5:37AM0.21m | 8:04PM0.35m | 6:13AM0.17m | 7:54PM0.33m | ||||||||||
— | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
8760 | 6776 | 3901 | 5428 | 3377 | 2171 | 1657 | 1558 | 1972 | 2000 | 2895 | 2005 | 1778 | 1130 | 1033 | 1188 | 8081 | 6729 | 4412 | 3246 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | — | — | — | — |
305 | 872 | 1663 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 113 | 596 | 574 | — | 31 | 40 | 22 | 246 | 1414 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | — | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 228 | 76 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 24 | 76 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away











