The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.3° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 19,149 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 6th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 7th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 10th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, grab a coffee and let's have a look at what's on the table for The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.

First up, we've got a bit of a wait. The surf is pretty average on Thursday the 6th of August, with a weak 4ft SW groundswell and a moderate cross-off breeze from the NW. The energy is low, only about 900, so it's not doing much. Don't bother paddling out yet.

Friday the 7th of August is where it kicks off. The swell jumps to a solid 10ft from the SW early, and with a clean offshore N wind at 6 mph, this is going to be pumping. The energy is massive at 3813. Now, this is a big swell, over 8ft, so it's strictly for experienced surfers only. The wave period is 15 seconds, a proper groundswell, which at a point break like The Cutting should wrap in beautifully. Friday afternoon goes glassy with NW wind at 0 mph and 8ft swell – still on the bigger side, but clean as a whistle. Friday is the standout, no question.

Saturday the 8th of August sees the swell hanging around 8-8ft, but the wind is up, a fresh 19 mph cross-off or offshore, so it’ll be choppy and less inviting. Sunday the 9th is similar, swell dropping to 4-6ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-shore, with fresh 19 mph gusts and some light rain. Not your day.

Monday the 10th of August brings another big pulse, 10-13ft from the SW, with a very long 17-18 second period. That’s some serious groundswell energy, reaching 9208. The wind is cross-off, so it might be clean, but at 13ft it's massive and way too big for anyone but the most hardcore. The same story runs through to about the 16th of August – wave heights consistently over 10ft, often 13-16ft, with very high energy (four and five-figure numbers). This is a period of solid, powerful SW swell but it's all in the 'too big' category for most, with winds often shifting to cross-shore or onshore, churning it up. This stretch is more for the tow-in crew or kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Look ahead to Monday the 17th of August. The swell eases to a more manageable 7ft from the SW, with a light offshore NE breeze at 6 mph. The energy is still decent at 1647. This is a great window for experienced surfers, with excellent conditions reported. Tuesday the 18th of August is even better for the intermediate crowd, with the swell down to 5-6ft and a clean offshore NNE wind at 12 mph. That's a fantastic, surfable size with good shape. Wednesday the 19th of August sees a fresher offshore 22 mph wind and 8ft swell, but it's on the edge of getting big again.

The water temperature here is about average for this time of year. No major anomalies to report.

So, if you're an experienced surfer looking for a real hit, Friday the 7th of August is your day. For the rest of us, mark down Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th of August. The period from the 10th to the 16th is just too big and messy. Crowds are possible at The Cutting when it's good, so expect a few others in the water on those days.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the NW by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
3
3
!
5
5
2
3
2
3
1
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
17
2.4
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.4
WSW
14
1.9
SW
13
1.3
SW
16
4
SW
20
3
SW
18
4
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
14
3
SW
13
3
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
671
644
1467
2741
3539
2717
3927
2839
2358
2313
1218
834
12299
6223
9208
4853
3234
2641
3145
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
W
10
N
0
NW
25
NNE
30
NNE
30
N
40
NNE
30
N
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
NW
20
WNW
25
NNW
35
NNW
30
NNW
25
NW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
glassy
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:19AM0.71m
2:36PM0.71m
5:13AM0.70m
2:06PM0.73m
1:30PM0.79m
1:10PM0.87m
1:10PM0.93m
1:19PM0.97m
Low Tide
9:28AM0.49m
9:44PM0.11m
9:26AM0.60m
10:01PM0.08m
10:25PM0.07m
11:00PM0.09m
00:07AM0.15m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
 mm
5
6
11
4
1
2
2
Temp °C
11
11
12
11
14
15
12
16
14
11
12
11
10
11
12
11
16
15
11
Feels °C
9
6
8
8
12
14
7
9
7
3
6
4
3
5
9
6
9
8
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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