The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about what’s coming up at The Cutting. This spot is consistent and exposed to the south, so when the swell lines up, it’s game on for the experienced crew. Water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises on that front.

The week kicks off Monday 6 July with a solid pulse of SSW groundswell, a tidy 8ft on the morning and 7ft in the arvo. That combined energy is pumping at 2945 (moderate to strong), and the 14-second period is long enough to get some proper shape. Wind is light and offshore to cross-off both sessions – that’s clean waves with no chop. This is for experienced surfers though; that size is gnarly for beginners. Tuesday 7 July keeps the momentum with 7ft SW swell and a 16-second period—proper groundswell with serious grunt. Morning winds are light cross-off, clean as a whistle. The arvo gets a bit bumpy with a cross-onner, so aim for the early. Wednesday 8 July is the standout of the whole run. Morning has 8ft SSW swell, 18-second period (super long, groundswell), and light cross-off wind. The combined energy is a massive 5863 (strong), and it’s clean. The afternoon glassed off with 10ft SW and glassy conditions, but that 10ft is big – expert territory. The long period means it’ll hold up well at this point break setup, with longer lulls between sets making paddling easier. Thursday 9 and Friday 10 July are both clean and solid: 7ft to 8ft SW swell, offshore winds, and that time-tested consistency. Not as huge as Wednesday, but still excellent waves for the experienced surfer. Saturday 11 July drops off a bit—6ft to 5ft, and while the wind stays offshore, it’s a fresh 22 mph breeze. Gets a bit gusty, but still clean enough for a session if you’re keen. Sunday 12 July gets messy, cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. From Monday 13 July through to the end of the week, it’s a write-off. Swell jumps up to 15ft, winds are strong cross-onshore or onshore, and it’s raining or cloudy. The energy figures are huge (6454 to 9754, strong to very strong) but the quality is poor—strong cross-onshore and messy. That kind of power and chop is more for kite surfing than paddling.

After that rough patch, things start to shape up again. Saturday 18 July is a beauty: morning has 6ft SW, 16-second groundswell, and light cross-off wind, clean. The afternoon glass off with 0 mph and 6ft WSW swell—absolutely glassy, no wind at all. That’s a real treat. Then Sunday 19 July through to Tuesday 21 July sees another big swell pulse, 10ft to 18ft, but the wind stays offshore, fresh out of the north. The energy numbers are through the roof (up to 24914 on the Tuesday arvo). The forecast says wind and tide are favorable, but that size is strictly for experts only—over 8ft at this break is big. Could be the best swell of the run for the experienced crew if it cleans up. Keep an eye on it, but remember, anything beyond the first week is less certain.

Best bet? Easy: Wednesday 8 July morning. You’ve got 8ft SSW, that 18-second period, light offshore wind, and clean conditions. It’s the standout. If you want glassy perfection, Saturday 18 July afternoon is your backup.

Rusty.

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