The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.0°C
0.4° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 21,142 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 5.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 8th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 12s
Best Surf 1PM (Tue 8th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 9th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at The Cutting over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a quiet start. Monday afternoon, the 7th, is a total dud. The first real chance to get wet comes Tuesday morning, the 8th.

Tuesday morning, the 8th, is the one to set your alarm for. We’re looking at a 7ft groundswell from the SW with a long 18-second period. That’s proper energy, reading 3996. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW at 10 km/h, keeping things clean. The water temp is about 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. This is the highlight of the whole forecast. The afternoon on the 8th jumps to 10ft, but the wind gets cross-shore and stronger, making it choppy and a big boys’ wave.

Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are for the die-hards only. The swell explodes to 16ft to 18ft with crazy energy readings over 19,000. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore and strong. This is a beast of a swell, and The Cutting will be a mess. Honestly, this is kite-surfing territory, not for a paddle board.

Friday the 11th is a mixed bag. The morning is glassy with a 10ft SW swell. The calm wind is a huge plus, but that size is still only for experts. The afternoon brings a light onshore breeze.

Saturday the 12th is a beauty. Both morning and afternoon are glassy or with a light offshore breeze, and a clean 10ft swell from the SW. The energy is strong (over 3,000), and the waves will have some punch. Crowds are possible, so get there early to claim your spot.

The next week gets messy. Sunday the 13th has a fresh offshore wind with a 7ft to 7ft swell, which is a better size, but the quality is a bit iffy. Monday the 14th is a write-off with rain and strong cross-onshore wind. Tuesday the 15th through Thursday the 17th is all big, lumpy, and cross-onshore – not worth the paddle out.

The next real opportunity comes on Friday the 18th morning. A moderate offshore wind from the NNW with a 6ft SW swell at 14 seconds. That’s clean and a much more manageable size for a solid session.

The final few days of the window, from the 20th onward, look like they’re building again. Sunday the 20th has a clean 10ft swell with light offshore winds, but that’s big again. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd show some offshore wind options with 8ft swell, but the quality is a bit uncertain.

Bottom line: Tuesday morning, the 8th, is your top pick – a clean, long-period groundswell with good energy. Saturday the 12th is the other standout for a glassy, clean session. The rest of the run is either too big, too windy, or just average.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning).

Mon
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
5
5
!
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
4
3
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
9
2.3
SW
12
2
SW
18
3
SW
17
4
SW
16
5.5
SW
19
5.5
SSW
17
5.5
SSW
17
5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
3
SW
14
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
772
1451
2402
5019
8072
21142
19020
19050
12833
9400
5688
4281
5766
6747
4189
3241
2722
2241
1919
1220
Wind (km/h)
20
S
5
NNE
10
WNW
25
WSW
40
SW
35
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
5
S
0
S
10
S
10
NNE
10
NNW
5
NNW
15
N
30
N
25
NNW
15
NNW
Wind State
on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
off
off
off
High Tide
12:55PM0.88m
12:53PM0.88m
11:50PM0.40m
12:54PM0.86m
00:05AM0.53m
12:56PM0.82m
00:33AM0.67m
1:01PM0.79m
1:03AM0.78m
1:07PM0.77m
1:33AM0.86m
Low Tide
10:05PM0.15m
10:14PM0.26m
8:56PM0.37m
5:13AM0.24m
7:39PM0.40m
6:00AM0.21m
7:09PM0.34m
6:37AM0.20m
7:04PM0.26m
7:08AM0.22m
7:12PM0.17m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
 mm
Temp °C
10
9
10
12
11
11
11
10
11
11
11
12
12
11
17
19
17
20
21
19
Feels °C
5
7
6
6
4
3
4
5
7
7
9
9
9
8
15
18
15
14
16
16
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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