The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.9° C
0.9° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 24,613 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 7.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 15th Jul)25ft (7.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the outlook for The Cutting. We’ve got a solid run of southwest groundswell on the cards, but it’s a tale of two extremes – either too big for most of us, or just right for the experienced crew. The water temp is sitting around 59°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real action kicks off Wednesday morning, July 8th. We’re looking at a 10ft SW swell, with a very long 18 second period. That’s a serious amount of energy coming in, but the word is it’s probably going to be too big for this break. If you’re an expert and you’ve got the quiver, it could be a wild one with clean conditions from a light NNE cross-off. Don’t get too excited about the glassy afternoon, though – it's still a 10ft beast.

Thursday and Friday, the 9th and 10th, are where the experienced surfers should be circling. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft, still from the SW with a nice, long period of 15 seconds. This is excellent, clean surf. Thursday morning has a light offshore NNE wind, and Friday morning offers clean conditions with a gentle offshore N wind. The wave energy is still moderate. This is the window for the advanced crew to get some quality waves. The swell direction is spot on for The Cutting being exposed to the south.

Saturday the 11th gets messy. The morning has a strong 25 mph N offshore that will make it clean but very hard to paddle into with a 5ft swell. The afternoon sees a jump in size to 11ft from the WSW with a shorter 10 second period and onshore winds. It's looking like a write-off.

Things take a turn for the big and wild from Sunday the 12th through the middle of the following week. We’re seeing massive swell – 16ft, 20ft, even 21ft – with energy readings going through the roof. This is strong to very strong energy. The wind is howling from the west and southwest, creating nasty cross-shore and onshore conditions. This is not a paddle-out situation for anyone. If you’ve got a kite, this setup might be more your style than a surfboard.

After that big blow, things settle down nicely on Friday the 17th. The swell drops back to a clean 7ft SW groundswell with a 15 second period. The wind is a light WNW cross-off, and we’ve got an "excellent" call for experienced surfers. This is your second standout window.

Saturday the 18th continues the trend with 8ft SW swell and clean cross-off winds. Still a great option for the experienced surfer.

Into the final stretch, we’ve got wind and size issues again. Sunday the 19th has a 19 mph offshore that flattens the 10ft swell, and the week after looks marginal at best until Wednesday the 22nd, when another massive 18ft SW swell shows up, but with cross-onshore wind. And then Thursday the 23rd might clean up with a 13ft SW swell and gentle offshore winds, but that's a long way off and uncertain.

So to sum it up: the standout windows are Thursday 9th and Friday 10th for the experienced crew in the 7ft range, and then Friday 17th and Saturday 18th when it drops back to a similar size after the big swell passes. Don't bother paddling out when it's over 10ft and blown out.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly near gales.

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
5
4
4
5
4
3
4
2
!
0
!
0
!
!
!
!
!
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
2
WSW
15
1.6
SW
14
3.5
WSW
10
5.5
WSW
11
5
WSW
13
5.5
WSW
12
6
WSW
13
6
WSW
15
6.5
SW
16
5.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
5
SW
15
7.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5169
5946
3415
1941
1760
3222
2404
2083
1714
992
2122
8077
9078
9880
12280
16968
18848
13513
9844
11576
21008
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
0
NE
15
NNE
10
NNE
5
NE
10
N
15
N
20
NNW
25
N
40
N
25
NW
50
WSW
35
NW
45
W
40
WNW
50
W
40
WSW
25
WNW
40
NW
50
W
50
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
High Tide
3:39PM0.69m
6:13AM0.60m
2:55PM0.66m
1:17PM0.71m
12:30PM0.82m
12:45PM0.92m
1:09PM0.98m
1:33PM1.01m
Low Tide
10:50PM0.26m
9:49AM0.56m
11:02PM0.21m
11:24PM0.16m
00:08AM0.12m
1:32AM0.10m
3:28AM0.08m
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
 mm
3
5
4
2
2
2
3
1
2
4
Temp °C
10
12
11
12
13
11
14
14
11
12
9
11
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
12
11
Feels °C
8
11
8
10
11
8
10
10
5
4
0
0
4
4
4
3
4
5
5
1
-1
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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