The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 25 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
13.9°C
0.3° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 6,450 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 26th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 13s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 30th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here again, but I’ll switch over to imperial for you.

Same story, just one spot on the menu: The Cutting. The first couple of days are rough. Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and sloppy. Swell is around 8ft from the SW. Water temp is about 57°, nothing weird for this time of year. Don't bother paddling out yet.

Thursday the 27th morning improves. You get a clean cross-offshore wind from the NW, and the swell drops to a nicer 4ft from the WSW. The wave energy is moderate (894) and the surface is clean. Small, but rideable.

The real standout is Sunday morning, August 30th. Glassy. Dead calm wind from the ESE. Solid 8ft SW groundswell. Wave energy is strong (3183), and it’s described as “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s your session. The water will have some push, so bring your A-game.

From Sunday afternoon through the first week of September, the swell easily tops 10ft, hitting 12ft and beyond on several days. Winds are often good—offshore, cross-off, or glassy—but the swell is just too big for The Cutting. That kind of power with clean wind? It’s more of a kite surfing setup than a paddle surfing one.

Then from September 7th onward, it goes bad. Strong cross-onshore winds over 25 mph, lumpy and messy. A couple days hit 40 km/h (25 mph) winds. Unrideable.

Bottom line: out of the whole 16 days, Sunday morning, August 30th is your one gold star session at The Cutting. The rest is either small and choppy, or huge and messy. That Sunday is worth the wait.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
4
3
3
4
!
!
!
3
1
4
5
!
!
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.2
SW
12
1.2
WSW
12
1.7
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2399
2895
2005
1915
1427
405
984
2036
5853
4523
3650
2383
1837
1319
1762
6270
5303
4938
4704
4288
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
20
SW
15
SW
15
SW
10
NNW
15
NW
10
W
15
NW
10
W
10
S
5
W
10
W
20
SW
5
SW
5
ESE
10
S
10
NNE
10
N
15
NW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
on
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
00:11AM0.35m
12:58PM0.90m
00:10AM0.43m
1:09PM0.92m
00:29AM0.51m
1:21PM0.92m
00:52AM0.59m
1:33PM0.90m
1:18AM0.68m
1:44PM0.86m
1:45AM0.75m
1:52PM0.81m
2:13AM0.81m
Low Tide
9:23PM0.33m
4:49AM0.27m
8:29PM0.35m
5:37AM0.21m
8:04PM0.35m
6:13AM0.17m
7:54PM0.33m
6:45AM0.15m
7:52PM0.29m
7:15AM0.16m
7:55PM0.24m
7:44AM0.20m
8:01PM0.18m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
 mm
Temp °C
13
12
12
11
10
13
13
11
12
12
10
11
11
9
11
11
10
15
17
14
Feels °C
10
8
8
8
8
10
10
8
10
10
9
7
7
6
9
8
9
13
14
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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