The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and here’s the lowdown for The Cutting over the next 16 days. There’s plenty of swell coming, but you gotta pick your moments. The first few days are a wash, but once we get past mid-next week, there’s some serious potential for those who know what they’re doing.

We start Sunday the 2nd with a clean 8ft SW swell rolling in, period a solid 15 seconds, and the wind is fresh offshore from the NNW. The water temp is 57°F, which is pretty average for this time of year. That morning could be alright for an intermediate, but the afternoon has that "marginal" tag on it. Monday and Tuesday are a complete mess – strong winds, rain, and the swell jumps to 12ft with cross and cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is up there, but the quality is poor. Stay home.

Wednesday the 5th sees the swell drop to 6ft SW, period still a long 14 seconds, but the wind is cross-shore and light. The conditions are clean enough, but nothing special. Thursday the 6th is similar, with a 5ft SW swell and clean cross-off winds, but still marginal.

Now, Friday the 7th morning is the first real standout. We’ve got a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period – proper groundswell – and the wind is light offshore from the N. The combined energy is pumping. The file says the swell might be too big for this break, but for experienced surfers, the conditions are excellent. This is the one to circle if you’ve got the skills. The afternoon is cleaner with a 8ft SW swell and light cross-off winds, but the morning is the pick.

Saturday the 8th is a write-off – strong offshore winds at 22 mph make it hard to paddle into, and the conditions are marginal. Sunday the 9th is messy with cross-shore winds and a 13ft swell in the afternoon, so skip it.

Then we hit Monday the 10th and things get serious – but not in a good way. The swell jumps to 21ft SW, period 16 seconds, and the combined energy is massive. The wind is fresh offshore in the morning, so it’s clean, but this is only for experts. The afternoon turns cross-onshore and lumpy. Tuesday the 11th is similar, with a 18ft SW swell and cross-shore winds. These days are all marked as too big for the break, so unless you’re charging, give it a miss.

Wednesday the 12th sees the swell drop to 10ft with clean cross-off winds – finally something more manageable. Still on the big side, but cleaner. Thursday the 13th morning is a beauty – 6ft SW swell, 13-second period, light cross-off winds, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a solid session for the intermediate crew.

Friday the 14th is another huge day – 20ft SW swell in the morning with glassy conditions. The combined energy is massive. It’s too big for most, but if you’re an expert and the tide lines up, that morning glass-off is a dream. The afternoon is onshore and messy.

The following weekend is still big – Saturday the 15th has a 16ft SSW swell with clean cross-off winds, and Sunday the 16th has a 13ft SW swell with light winds. Both are too big for the average surfer, but the conditions are clean.

The last few days, Monday the 17th, we’re still looking at 12-13ft SW swells with light winds. The combined energy is still strong. Again, expert territory.

Overall, the best on offer is Friday the 7th morning for the experienced crew, and Thursday the 13th morning for intermediates. The rest of the window is either too big, too windy, or just marginal. Crowds are possible at The Cutting, but with this much swell, it might thin out the pack. Signing off, Rusty.

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