Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,536 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down The Cutting for the next couple weeks.
We’ve got a slow start right now. First decent look is Friday afternoon, July 31st: 2.0m SW swell, but a light crosswind from the WSW at 5 km/h keeps it a little messy. Water temp is 58°, right about average for this time of year.
The real standout for the whole run is Saturday morning, August 1st. We’re looking at a clean 1.7m SSW groundswell at 17 seconds, with a good 15 km/h offshore north wind. That’s glassy for experienced folks. Combined swell energy is moderate at 2462. The afternoon bumps to 3.0m SW, which is going to be too much for most at this break – still offshore, but big. Sunday morning, August 2nd, sees 3.0m SW again with a stiff 25 km/h offshore north wind. Expert territory, with energy at 3840.
Monday and Tuesday, August 3rd and 4th, are messy: rain, cross-shore winds, and lumpy surface. Not worth it.
Thursday, August 6th, offers a nice clean window: morning has a 1.1m SW swell at 16 seconds with a light 10 km/h offshore N wind. Combined energy is a weak 938. Good for a quiet session. Thursday afternoon jumps to 1.8m SW at 17 seconds with glassy conditions (5 km/h southerly). That’s a smooth, long-period groundswell; fun and clean.
Another highlight is Friday afternoon, August 7th: a 2.4m SW swell at an excellent 18 seconds, with a cross-offshore NNE wind at 15 km/h. Energy is a solid 4712 (moderate to strong). That’s the kind of long-period groundswell that holds shape well – one of the best windows all trip for experienced hands.
From August 8th through the 9th, it’s rough: strong winds, rain, and lumpy conditions. Then, Monday, August 10th, brings absolute monster swell – 5.5m to 6.5m – with near-gale winds. Energy readings are huge (21172 to 30714). That’s not for paddle surfing; that’s for kites or the brave.
Wednesday, August 12th, is still big (3.0m to 3.5m) and cross-shore. Not ideal. Thursday morning, August 13th, is more manageable at 2.4m SW, with a 30 km/h offshore N wind – clean but windy, energy at 2890.
The very end, around Saturday, August 15th, throws up another massive 4.5m to 5.5m SW swell, but with lighter winds. Again, expert only.
Best bets: Saturday morning, August 1st – clean, manageable 1.7m with offshore wind. And Friday afternoon, August 7th – top-shelf 2.4m groundswell with cross-offshore breeze. Both for experienced surfers. Lots of big and messy in between, but those two windows are the ones to chase.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon afternoon, calm by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1111 | 925 | 1796 | 4938 | 5469 | 3840 | 3357 | 2449 | 2662 | 2285 | 4234 | 2525 | 1739 | 1035 | 1155 | 947 | 728 | 636 | 1915 | 2229 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:17AM0.55m | 2:21PM0.95m | 1:52AM0.60m | 2:36PM0.91m | 2:26AM0.65m | 2:47PM0.85m | 3:01AM0.69m | 2:54PM0.79m | 3:38AM0.71m | 2:51PM0.74m | 4:19AM0.71m | 2:36PM0.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:46PM0.36m | 7:14AM0.12m | 8:52PM0.32m | 7:46AM0.15m | 9:01PM0.28m | 8:16AM0.20m | 9:11PM0.24m | 8:44AM0.28m | 9:21PM0.20m | 9:10AM0.38m | 9:31PM0.15m | 9:28AM0.49m | 9:44PM0.11m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1111 | 925 | 1796 | 4938 | 5469 | 3840 | 3357 | 2449 | 2662 | 2285 | 390 | 2525 | 1739 | 1035 | 1155 | 947 | 563 | 636 | 1915 | 2229 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | W 10 | WSW 16 | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 12 | S 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 388 | 559 | 666 | — | — | — | — | 615 | 875 | — | — | 322 | 335 | 428 | 766 | 752 | 728 | 268 | 21 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | — | S 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 18 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 493 | — | 15 | 55 | 34 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 10 | WSW 6 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 22 | 489 | 361 | 4234 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 35 | 35 | 120 | 80 | 128 | 145 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away
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