Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 10,855 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for The Cutting.
Thursday afternoon (August 6th) is a non-starter. We’ve got 1.5m of SW swell, but it’s crossed up with a moderate breeze. The combined energy is weak at 1255. Not worth suiting up.
But Friday morning (August 7th) changes the game. The swell pumps to 3.0m from the SW, with a long 15-second period – that’s real groundswell energy (3815). A light offshore from the NNW keeps it clean. Only problem: that size is too big for most, so it’s for the experienced only. Friday afternoon is even cleaner: 2.5m from the SW, still a long 15-second period, and glassy N wind. That’s a beautiful, clean slot for experts.
Saturday (August 8th) stays solid with 2-2.4m from the SW, but the wind is a fresh offshore from the N and NNE. Clean, but the 30 km/h gusts will make it a workout. Combined energy is in the 2500-2700 range – solid.
Sunday (August 9th) drops to 1.9m in the morning and 1.3m in the afternoon, with a cross-offshore breeze keeping it clean. The afternoon has a nice 16-second period, but energy is moderate (around 1700). A fun session, not a epic one.
Now, from Monday (August 10th) through Saturday (August 15th), it turns ugly. Swells from 3.0m to 4.5m from the SW, long periods, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, creating lumpy, blown-out chaos. The energy numbers are huge (up to 10855), but it’s a mess. Only for kites or big-wave experts.
After that dry spell, things calm down. Sunday (August 16th) offers 2-2.5m SW swell, but the wind is light cross or onshore – marginal.
Look to Monday morning (August 17th) and Tuesday morning (August 18th): 1.9m to 2.2m of SW groundswell (14-second period) with light offshore or glassy N wind. Energy is around 1800-2000 – moderate but clean. Tuesday morning is glassy, making it a winner.
Wednesday morning (August 19th) holds the trend: 1.9m from the SW, 16-second period, gentle offshore from the N. Clean and good for the experienced. By August 20th-21st, the swell builds back to 2-3.0m from the SW with fresh offshore wind, but it’s pushing into the “too big for this break” zone.
The standout is Friday afternoon on August 7th: glassy, 2.5m, long-period SW groundswell, 3577 energy – an expert’s dream. Tuesday morning on August 18th is the calm, clean runner-up.
Water temp is 14°, right around average for the season.
Keep your eyes on Friday. That’s the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed morning). Mainly near gales. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1096 | 2741 | 3539 | 2717 | 3515 | 2668 | 2525 | 1972 | 1200 | 931 | 5465 | 6281 | 10855 | 6407 | 3446 | 2491 | 2300 | 7420 | 5607 | 9655 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:13AM0.70m | 2:06PM0.73m | 1:30PM0.79m | 1:10PM0.87m | 1:10PM0.93m | 1:19PM0.97m | 1:29PM0.97m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:44PM0.11m | 9:26AM0.60m | 10:01PM0.08m | 10:25PM0.07m | 11:00PM0.09m | 00:07AM0.15m | 4:13AM0.16m | |||||||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 1096 | 2741 | 3539 | 2717 | 3515 | 2668 | 2525 | 1972 | 1200 | 784 | 3043 | 6281 | 10855 | 6407 | 3446 | 2491 | 1548 | 7420 | 5607 | 9655 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 6 | SW 19 | S 6 | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SW 19 | — | SW 20 | — |
| kJ | 21 | 11 | 32 | 817 | 12 | — | — | — | 311 | 931 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 12 | 2300 | — | 2334 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 61 | 12 | 244 | 43 | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 3 | SW 14 | WSW 9 | — | — | NNW 4 | — | NNW 4 | SSW 6 | SW 8 | — |
| kJ | 77 | — | — | — | — | 27 | 12 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 5465 | 2564 | — | — | 16 | — | 28 | 173 | 756 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 130 | 130 | 2 | 128 | 605 | 605 | 80 | 35 | 57 | 80 | 128 | 482 | 369 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away
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