
Surf Forecasts:
The Cutting surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 21,278 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:
The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 6.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what we've got cooking at The Cutting.
We're looking at a classic case of "too much of a good thing" to kick things off. The first week is all about massive, powerful groundswell, and I mean massive. From Monday the 13th to Sunday the 19th, we're staring down the barrel of some serious, heavy-duty energy. The swell's coming from the south-west, and those wave heights are just huge – we're talking 18ft to 21ft. The combined energy numbers are astronomical, like 35,820 and 19,418 for the first couple of days. That's not just big, that's "you better be a pro or a complete madman" territory. The winds are mostly cross or cross-off, strong to fresh breezes. Honestly, for the first five or six days, you'd be a fool to even look at the water for a paddle. This is kite-surfing conditions all the way.
Now, things start to settle down towards the weekend. Saturday the 18th is where we see the first real window. Swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft from the SW, and the wind swings offshore from the north with a gentle breeze. The combined energy is down to 1,762 – still moderate, but a world away from the chaos. It's still big and powerful, so it's for experienced surfers only. Sunday the 19th gets even cleaner, with a moderate offshore breeze and a smaller 5ft swell from the WSW. The crowd factor says "sometimes," so you might get a few out, but with clean, offshore conditions and perfect size, this is the standout window of the entire outlook. The water temp is 58°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The period is long at 12 to 16 seconds, meaning these are proper, drawn-out groundswell lines, so keep that in mind for the take-off zone.
The middle of the week starting Monday 20th gets a bit messy again, with wind and questionable tides. But then Tuesday the 21st is another beauty. Morning has a light cross-off breeze, and the afternoon turns glassy with a 7ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The combined energy is around 1,600 to 1,900. That afternoon session on Tuesday the 21st is the other standout. Small, glassy, clean lines.
After that, we get into a bit of a lull around the 22nd and 23rd of July – the swell drops under 7ft but the wind is a fresh breeze, making it a bit less inviting. Then, just as we get into the far end of the window, the 24th of July through to the 28th, the ocean starts to roar again. Another big pulse of SW swell, hitting 12ft to 15ft with very strong combined energy (4,400 to 12,887). So that second week is promising but less certain, as it's a long-range call, but the potential is there for another week of massive, offshore-whipped waves for the crew who can handle it.
Signing off, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
19832 | 19418 | 17657 | 13251 | 11378 | 7998 | 5571 | 4309 | 4021 | 4436 | 4621 | 4192 | 5284 | 4357 | 2801 | 1762 | 1346 | 848 | 566 | 477 | 760 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:09PM0.98m | 1:33PM1.01m | 1:54PM1.01m | 2:11PM0.98m | 11:46PM0.51m | 2:25PM0.94m | 1:05AM0.58m | 2:38PM0.89m | 2:04AM0.64m | 2:50PM0.85m | 2:58AM0.67m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:28AM0.08m | 4:53AM0.04m | 5:55AM0.03m | 9:20PM0.49m | 6:46AM0.04m | 8:53PM0.44m | 7:29AM0.09m | 8:57PM0.35m | 8:08AM0.17m | 9:14PM0.27m | |||||||||||
7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | |
— | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 |
15988 | — | 17657 | 13251 | 10474 | 7998 | 5571 | 4309 | 4021 | 4436 | 4621 | 4192 | 5284 | 4357 | 2801 | 1762 | 1346 | 848 | 566 | 477 | 424 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | — | S 10 | S 9 | — | S 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 17 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 69 | 37 | 18 | — | 8 | 2 | — | 46 | 152 | 167 | 161 | 760 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 11 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 102 | 303 | 112 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | — | N 4 |
19832 | 19418 | — | — | 11378 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 482 | 633 | 128 | 129 | 145 | 80 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away










