The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

The Cutting Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.7° 

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 22,036 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 7.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 11th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 11th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s break it down for The Cutting. This is a consistent intermediate spot, open to the south, and we’ve got a solid run of southwest swell coming in.

Right now, on Saturday the 11th, the morning’s looking clean with a north wind at 22 mph keeping things offshore. There’s a 6ft, 14-second WSW groundswell rolling in. Water temp is a normal 59°. The energy is solid at 1111. It’s a decent session, but by afternoon the wind swings west, picks up to 25 mph, and brings cross-shore chop and some moderate rain. The surf quality tanks for the rest of the day.

Sunday the 12th is a write-off. We’ve got 18ft of WSW swell, but with a strong westerly cross-shore wind at 25-28 mph and light rain, it’s just a messy, dangerous mess. The energy is huge – 8709 to 9178 – but this is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

Monday the 13th is massive and expert-only. The morning sees a 21ft WSW swell with a 15-second period, and a cross-off northwesterly at 22 mph keeping the faces clean. Energy’s at 33891. That’s for very experienced surfers only. Tuesday the 14th drops to 16-18ft from the SW, but the wind goes cross-onshore, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. Still huge, still not for most.

Wednesday the 15th is still big, with 10-12ft, 14-second SW swell. Morning has clean cross-off winds from the NW at only 9 mph, but at 12ft, that’s expert territory. Afternoon goes light cross-shore and a bit choppy.

Now, the real standout: Thursday the 16th. You’ve got clean, 8ft SW groundswell, 14-second period, with light cross-off winds from the NW in the morning, turning glassy in the afternoon. Energy sits at 3044-3108 – moderate but punchy. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are possible here sometimes, but with waves this good, expect company.

Friday the 17th is still very good but bigger – 12ft, 16-second SW swell, with light offshore or glassy winds from the north. Clean and powerful, but expert-level again.

Into the second week, Saturday the 18th offers a 7ft SW swell in the morning with a gentle offshore north wind at 9 mph, and by afternoon it’s 6ft with a moderate offshore. Both are clean and excellent for experienced surfers. Sunday the 19th is tricky – a really long 19-second SW groundswell at 5ft in the morning, but with a fresh offshore, the waves might be fat and close out. Afternoon has a 7ft, 18-second swell, still with fresh offshore wind, but that super long period can make for weird sections at this beach break.

From Monday the 20th onward, it’s marginal. Winds go cross or cross-onshore, energy drops, and the swell sticks around 7-8ft but with poor wind. Wednesday the 22nd morning has a brief clean window with 8ft SW swell and a moderate offshore, but then another big pulse hits on the 23rd and 24th – 13-16ft SW swells with offshore winds – too big for this spot again.

Bottom line: Thursday the 16th and Saturday the 18th are your best bets. Thursday is the highlight with that clean, glassy 8ft SW groundswell and perfect light winds. Saturday is a smaller, cleaner follow-up. The rest is mostly too big, too windy, or too messy. Pick your window if you’re experienced.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly near gales.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
0
0
!
!
!
4
5
5
!
!
!
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
WSW
14
1.4
SW
14
5.5
WSW
11
5.5
WSW
12
5.5
WSW
12
6
WSW
14
6.5
WSW
15
6.5
WSW
16
6.5
SW
15
5.5
SW
15
5
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
17
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1111
754
7674
8709
9130
12117
18322
20129
18941
13137
10372
7327
4904
3622
2785
2927
2822
6015
6207
5157
2598
Wind (km/h)
35
N
40
W
50
W
45
W
40
W
40
WNW
35
NW
40
WNW
35
W
35
WSW
25
WSW
15
W
15
NW
15
W
15
NW
15
NW
5
WNW
10
NNW
10
N
5
NNW
15
N
Wind State
off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
off
High Tide
12:30PM0.82m
12:45PM0.92m
1:09PM0.98m
1:33PM1.01m
1:54PM1.01m
2:11PM0.98m
11:46PM0.51m
2:25PM0.94m
1:05AM0.58m
Low Tide
00:08AM0.12m
1:32AM0.10m
3:28AM0.08m
4:53AM0.04m
5:55AM0.03m
9:20PM0.49m
6:46AM0.04m
8:53PM0.44m
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:28
 mm
8
8
2
2
4
1
4
3
Temp °C
14
10
11
12
12
13
13
13
13
12
13
12
13
14
14
13
14
13
12
14
12
Feels °C
6
2
0
3
3
5
6
5
6
4
7
8
9
11
11
10
12
11
10
12
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for The Cutting:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Cutting surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

Nearest locationNearest