The Cutting Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.41° S 142.52° E

Issued: 9 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Cutting sea temperature is
14.9° C

Slightly warmer than usual

The Cutting surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Cutting surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 21,160 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Cutting this week:

The surf forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Cutting in the next 16 days are 7.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Tue 7th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 17s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 18s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Cutting over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid run of swell coming up at The Cutting. This spot is an exposed, consistent intermediate zone that loves a south swell. Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The week starts with a proper long-period groundswell from the SW, energy readings are strong, hitting over 2000, and that’s the theme for a while – a lot of power in the water.

Tuesday morning (7 July) is a beauty. Clear skies, glassy 3 mph NE wind, and a clean 7 ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 2286, which is substantial. Light winds and that long period mean the waves will have real push, shape up nicely, and the paddle out won’t be a fight.

Wednesday morning (8 July) is where it gets dangerous for anyone who isn’t solid. A 8 ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period – that’s long-period juice at 5863 energy – and clean with a light offshore. This is the standout session for the week for experienced surfers. The lines will be long and powerful.

Wednesday afternoon (8 July) sees the swell jump to 10 ft, and that’s just too big for The Cutting. Still clean, but it’s expert territory only. Thursday morning and Friday morning (9 & 10 July) offer more clean 7 ft to 8 ft SW swell with offshore or glassy wind. Solid, but not as intense as Wednesday morning.

Then things start to get messy. From Saturday afternoon (11 July) through the middle of the next week, the wind kicks up hard – strong onshores and cross-shore winds, and the swell gets huge, hitting 21 ft by Monday (13 July). The energy readings go through the roof (19816 on Monday morning), but with that wind and the size, it’s a miss for paddle surfing. It’s more of a kite-surfing setup during that stretch – too lumpy and blown out for a clean wave.

There’s a gap of a few days where conditions are poor. Then Thursday afternoon (16 July) brings a reprieve – glassy conditions and 8 ft SW swell at 14 seconds, clean waves for experienced surfers.

Friday morning (17 July) looks promising too: clean 6 ft SW swell with a 12 mph offshore wind. Not huge, but clean and rideable. Saturday morning (18 July) is blown out by a 22 mph offshore, but that swell is still 7 ft. The long-range stuff from 19 July onward is just too big again, with 13 ft+ and strong cross winds. Not the one unless you’re an absolute charger.

Best on offer? Wednesday morning (8 July) is the standout – 8 ft of 18-second groundswell, light offshore, clean, and consistent. Get on it if you can handle it. Thursday morning (9 July) and Friday morning (10 July) are the next best bets for clean, solid waves.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu night, strong winds from the W by Sun morning).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
4
6
!
5
4
4
5
4
3
3
2
0
!
!
0
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SSW
13
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SSW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
3.5
SW
11
4
SW
12
5
SW
14
6.5
SW
14
6.5
SW
16
6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1110
2201
2157
2437
4684
5720
3415
1941
1760
3263
2627
2390
1602
1325
1069
3107
4458
9883
17879
19816
17870
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
5
NE
10
SSE
15
NE
10
NE
5
E
15
NE
10
NNE
5
NE
10
NNE
15
N
20
NNW
30
NNW
35
NW
35
WSW
25
NW
40
NW
45
W
40
WSW
25
WSW
30
W
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
3:48AM0.56m
3:50PM0.75m
4:46AM0.58m
3:39PM0.69m
6:13AM0.60m
2:55PM0.66m
1:17PM0.71m
12:30PM0.82m
12:45PM0.92m
1:09PM0.98m
Low Tide
10:26PM0.33m
9:13AM0.33m
10:39PM0.30m
9:39AM0.44m
10:50PM0.26m
9:49AM0.56m
11:02PM0.21m
11:24PM0.16m
00:08AM0.12m
1:32AM0.10m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
 mm
5
3
1
2
2
3
1
Temp °C
11
11
12
11
11
13
10
11
13
11
13
14
12
13
11
11
13
13
12
13
14
Feels °C
8
9
10
9
8
11
7
9
11
8
9
9
7
6
3
4
4
3
2
6
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SSW
13
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SSW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
3.5
SW
11
4
SW
12
0.1
SW
24
6.5
SW
16
6
SW
16
Energy kJ
1110
2201
2157
2437
4684
5720
3415
1941
1760
3263
2627
2390
1602
1325
1069
3107
4458
22
19816
17870
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
18
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
10
0.7
SSW
22
1.7
SW
14
0.1
SW
22
0.9
SSW
20
0.9
W
7
Energy kJ
431
85
65
423
1179
18
664
82
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
18
0.6
SSE
8
Energy kJ
401
45
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NW
4
0.5
NNW
4
1.5
WNW
7
2.5
WSW
9
5
SW
14
6.5
SW
14
Energy kJ
14
8
231
1024
9883
17879
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
6
6
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
1
2
4
1
1
1
9
5
Distance (km)
0
0
94
0
0
17
0
0
0
0
0
4
35
482
108
80
482
684
650
158
158
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
7
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
7
8
6
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
2
5
5
9
9
9
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Cutting Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Cutting provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Cutting can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Cutting surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Cutting) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Cutting may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near The Cutting, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Warrnambool which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Portland which is 80 km (50 miles) away

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