The Bar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a look at the swell window for The Bar. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Sunday the 2nd has some surfable waves, but they’re weak and ordinary. The break is picking up a WNW swell direction, which is what it likes, but the swell is small and the energy is low at 146. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year. Not a huge deal, but it’s nice.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 3rd right through to Thursday the 7th, the conditions are just poor. The swell is tiny, the wind is wrong, and there’s nothing to get excited about. On Wednesday the 5th, the swell jumps up to 8 ft and 10 ft, with a ton of energy in the water (724 and 1396), but it’s coming in with strong onshore wind from the NW. That’s a messy, blown-out mess. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Friday the 7th sees a little improvement, but the surf is still poor. The swell is around 3 ft to 4 ft and the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but the wave quality isn’t there. The energy is moderate at 148 and 250. Nothing to call home about.

The weekend of the 8th and 9th is still poor. The swell is up to 5 ft but the wind is onshore, ruining any chance of a good wave. The energy is moderate (324) but it’s wasted.

After that, it’s another gap of poor conditions from Monday the 10th to Wednesday the 12th. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-on, and the energy is weak. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 13th has a bit of life. The morning shows 4 ft swell from the W with a 10-second period, and glassy, offshore wind from the SSE. The energy is moderate at 260, and it’s clean. The afternoon bumps up to 6 ft, but the wind switches to a cross-on, so it’s not as good.

The standout is Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. This is the best on offer. Friday morning, you’ve got an 8 ft WNW swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is glassy calm. The energy is strong at 1225. This is an advanced-level day, not for beginners. The swell is big, the period is solid, and the conditions are perfect. The afternoon is still good, but the wind picks up to a light cross-on, which takes the edge off. Saturday morning is just as good, with another 8 ft WNW swell, glassy conditions, and strong energy at 1208. The wind is calm, so it’ll be clean. The afternoon sees the wind turn onshore, so get out early.

Sunday the 16th is still decent, with a 6 ft WNW swell and offshore wind in the morning. The energy is moderate at 523. It’s clean and should be fun. After that, the swell drops off and we’re back to poor conditions on Monday the 17th.

So, the play is clear: if you’re an experienced surfer, mark your calendar for Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. The Bar will be firing with clean, powerful waves. The rest of the window is a write-off or just average.

Rusty.

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