Surf Forecasts:
Tairua Bar surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, NE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, NNE swell with 309 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tairua Bar this week:
The surf forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tairua Bar in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a half is a tough watch for Tairua Bar. This is a real flat spell, and the window for any decent waves is a long way off.
We’re looking at a solid 10-day gap from the start of the forecast right through to the 10th of September where you’d be wasting your time paddling out. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, with weak energy readings (as low as 8 to 61 in the combined energy slot). The winds are offshore or cross-off a lot of the time, which is nice, but when there’s no swell, clean conditions don’t mean a thing.
The only real flicker of hope comes with a couple of late-week pulses. The first one arrives on Friday the 4th of September in the afternoon. We see a jump to 5ft from the NNW, but the period is a short, choppy 7 seconds and the energy is 382 – moderate, but it’s a windswell. The score is marginal, and the conditions are “clean” but with that short period, it’s going to be a messy, lumpy wall. Not the one to get excited about.
Then, on Saturday the 5th of September, the morning has a clean 2ft from the north with a 6-second period and gentle offshore winds, but the energy is only 29. It’s tiny.
The real standout, the one worth circling on your calendar, is the 10th of September. Thursday morning we get 5ft from the north, 7-second period, and a solid 275 energy reading. The wind is offshore from the WSW, blowing clean, and the forecast says “good surf conditions.” The afternoon holds at 5ft from the same direction, with a 286 energy, still offshore. The break is a beach/bar setup, so it won’t hold that size perfectly, but for Tairua Bar, this is the best looking pulse in the whole 16 days. The swell direction is NNE, which is a good match for the optimum NE direction. Given the long gap, this is your target.
The 11th of September morning still has 5ft from the NNW, but the wind turns a bit cross-off. The afternoon on the 11th pushes up to 7ft from the NNW, which is getting into the expert-only zone with a 784 energy reading, but the wind is a fresh offshore from the WNW, so it’s clean. It’s a bit marginal for the bar, but if you’re a local and know the sandbanks, it could be a session.
Water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the W by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | N 6 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 429 | 241 | 112 | 32 | 35 | 58 | 61 | 44 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 97 | 55 | 80 | 48 | 20 | 11 | 10 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 8:48PM1.85m | 9:05AM1.79m | 9:29PM1.84m | 9:47AM1.81m | 10:14PM1.82m | 10:32AM1.81m | 11:01PM1.80m | 11:21AM1.81m | 11:49PM1.80m | 12:14PM1.80m | 00:40AM1.80m | 1:13PM1.78m | 1:34AM1.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:26PM0.41m | 2:59AM0.37m | 3:10PM0.40m | 3:41AM0.34m | 3:55PM0.41m | 4:24AM0.33m | 4:41PM0.43m | 5:08AM0.35m | 5:30PM0.47m | 5:57AM0.39m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:49AM0.44m | 7:22PM0.56m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NNW 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NNW 7 | N 6 | N 6 | NNW 6 |
| kJ | 429 | 241 | 112 | 32 | 35 | 58 | 61 | 44 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 10 | 10 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | W 6 | — | NNE 9 | ENE 9 | — | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 5 | — | — | — | N 11 | N 11 | ENE 10 | — | E 15 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | — | 32 | 8 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 20 | — | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 7 | — | NW 6 | — | — | NW 4 | N 11 | — | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 3 | W 3 | W 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | — | WNW 4 | NW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | W 3 | WSW 2 | W 4 | — |
| kJ | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — | 5 | 10 | 40 | 64 | 97 | 55 | 80 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 78 | 148 | 6 | 16 | 138 | 6 | 6 | 138 | 156 | 224 | 246 | 156 | 246 | 188 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 104 | 148 | 260 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tairua Bar Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tairua Bar provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tairua Bar can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tairua Bar surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tairua Bar) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tairua Bar may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tairua Bar is 79 km (49 miles) from Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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