Surf Forecasts:
Tairua Bar surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NNW swell with 620 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tairua Bar this week:
The surf forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tairua Bar in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. I’ve sifted through the charts for our local zone, Tairua Bar, and it’s a tale of two halves with a lot of blank pages in between. Let's get into it.
Right now, the surf is tiny and not worth your time. The water temp is right around the seasonal average, so nothing weird there. We’ve got a long stretch of weak energy ahead.
Our first flicker of life is Monday morning, July 27th. It’s a laughable 0.6ft of east swell with a nice 12-second period, so it’s got some legs, but the combined energy is weak at 124. The wind is clean off the land from the southwest, making for some knee-high shapes for the advanced crew.
The absolute standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday morning, July 29th. We get a bump to 0.8ft from the ESE, a 13-second period, and the combined energy climbs to a moderate 227. The wind goes glassy – a tiny SSE breeze. That’s your ticket. Tairua Bar can get crowded sometimes, and it’s an advanced wave, but with those clean conditions, the early session will be epic. That northeast quadrant is our magic window, and this ESE swell will wrap in nicely.
We slide through a few more ordinary days – Thursday the 30th has a clean 0.7ft morning, but it’s not a standout.
Then the big one hits on Friday, July 31st. A solid north swell pushes in at 2ft in the morning, but the period is a weak, short 7 seconds. That makes it expert territory only – the bar will be a closeout mess. The combined energy hits a strong 618, so the power is there, but it’s a chop-fest. The afternoon is similar at 2ft with a cross-off wind. Honestly, with that much wind and short-period swell at a beach/bar setup, this screams kite surfing, not paddle surfing.
After that, it’s a barren wasteland. From August 1st right through to August 9th, the combined energy drops to pathetic numbers (36-67). We’re talking 0.2ft days on the 3rd, and days of cross-onshore wind and chopped-out conditions through the 4th, 5th, and 6th. You could dry your wetsuit in that time.
There's a tiny glimmer on Sunday afternoon, August 9th – a glassy 1.0ft from the NE, but with only a 5-second period, it's gonna be a soft, weak roller. The next day, Monday the 10th, it blows out again.
So, for the love of all that is holy, don’t sleep on that Wednesday the 29th. It’s your one clear window. The rest is a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 11 | E 13 | E 12 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | N 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | N 8 | N 7 | E 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 86 | 83 | 123 | 112 | 121 | 121 | 85 | 126 | 181 | 225 | 222 | 187 | 139 | 134 | 86 | 529 | 438 | 135 | 115 | 49 | 22 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on |
High Tide | 5:09PM1.73m | 5:07AM1.67m | 6:01PM1.75m | 5:58AM1.69m | 6:46PM1.78m | 6:46AM1.72m | 7:27PM1.80m | 7:30AM1.75m | 8:06PM1.82m | 8:11AM1.77m | 8:43PM1.84m | 8:50AM1.78m | 9:22PM1.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:36AM0.64m | 11:03PM0.75m | 11:27AM0.64m | 11:53PM0.73m | 12:13PM0.61m | 00:39AM0.69m | 12:55PM0.57m | 1:23AM0.64m | 1:36PM0.52m | 2:05AM0.58m | 2:15PM0.47m | 2:47AM0.52m | 2:55PM0.43m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | |
 | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | — | — | — | — | 17 |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 11 | E 13 | E 12 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | N 7 | E 11 | N 8 | N 7 | N 6 |
| kJ | 86 | 83 | 123 | 112 | 121 | 121 | 85 | 126 | 181 | 225 | 222 | 187 | 139 | 134 | 86 | 62 | 243 | 65 | 115 | 49 | 19 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | NW 6 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | — | E 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 18 | E 12 | ENE 17 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 70 | 27 | 63 | 44 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | — | — | NNW 6 | N 6 | — | NE 11 | N 10 | — | — | E 13 | E 12 | — | — | E 19 | E 14 | NE 18 | NE 11 | ENE 17 | ENE 17 | ENE 15 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 7 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | SSW 3 | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 5 | N 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | — | — | SSE 2 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 61 | 529 | 438 | 135 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 254 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 74 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tairua Bar Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tairua Bar provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tairua Bar can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tairua Bar surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tairua Bar) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tairua Bar may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tairua Bar is 79 km (49 miles) from Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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