
Surf Forecasts:
Tairua Bar surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, NNE swell with 354 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 18 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tairua Bar this week:
The surf forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tairua Bar in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming up for Tairua Bar.
To be straight with you, the next week and a bit is a bit of a tough watch. The swell is tiny, mostly hanging around 0.7ft to 1ft from the NE or ENE for days on end. The energy is weak, often below 50 (combined energy of all swells directed here). Winds are mainly cross-off or glassy, which would be perfect if there was any wave to ride, but with heights that small it’s just not doing anything. We’ve got a run of poor surf conditions that stretches from Saturday the 12th right through to Friday the 18th. That’s a solid gap of seven days where there’s nothing worth paddling out for.
Things start to look a bit more interesting on Saturday the 19th. The swell steps up to 4ft from the NNE, with a period of 10 seconds and moderate energy (350). That’s a proper pulse of power. The wind is cross-off from the SW at 16 mph in the morning, which should keep it reasonably clean. This is the standout of the whole forecast—the first real push of size and it lines up with the preferred NE direction for Tairua Bar. It’s an advanced break, so that 4ft on a beach/bar setup will be pushing it for beginners; it’ll be better suited to those who know the bank. Crowds are possible here.
After that, Sunday the 20th dips back down to 1ft to 2ft from the ENE and NE, with offshore winds from the WSW and W. Surfable but ordinary, energy dropping back to 66-83. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd are back to poor, tiny conditions again. Then we get another small spike on Saturday the 26th: a short-period 3ft from the ENE with 5-second period, and offshore wind from the west at 12 mph. The energy is only 84, and with that tiny period, the waves will be fat and weak. More of a novelty than a session.
For water temp, on the first day of any real surf, the ocean is sitting at 59°F, which is only 0.5° above the long-term average—pretty standard for this time of year.
So, bottom line: your best bet is Saturday the 19th. That 4ft NNE swell with clean cross-off wind is the one to circle. The rest of the 16-day window is mostly small and uninspiring.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ENE 13 | NE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | E 15 | N 6 | NNE 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
43 | 44 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 41 | 15 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 102 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 8:03PM1.92m | 8:31AM1.88m | 8:50PM1.89m | 9:16AM1.88m | 9:36PM1.85m | 10:01AM1.86m | 10:21PM1.83m | 10:45AM1.82m | 11:03PM1.79m | 11:30AM1.78m | 11:44PM1.75m | 12:16PM1.75m | 00:25AM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:16AM0.36m | 2:32PM0.39m | 3:02AM0.34m | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:45AM0.35m | 4:03PM0.43m | 4:28AM0.38m | 4:45PM0.49m | 5:09AM0.44m | 5:28PM0.56m | 5:49AM0.51m | 6:15PM0.63m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ENE 13 | NE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | N 5 | N 6 | NNE 7 |
43 | 44 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 41 | 15 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 102 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 4 | E 4 | E 9 | ENE 13 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | — | N 11 | E 10 | E 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 |
15 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | — | — | — | N 14 | N 13 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 14 | — | ENE 11 | E 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 10 | N 11 | N 10 | E 15 | E 14 | E 12 |
2 | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | — | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | — | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | NE 4 | NNW 4 | N 5 | — | — | — |
— | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 97 | 188 | 177 | 177 | 188 | 125 | 129 | 215 | 224 | 215 | 262 | 177 | 128 | 121 | 45 | 112 | 112 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tairua Bar Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tairua Bar provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tairua Bar can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tairua Bar surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tairua Bar) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tairua Bar may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tairua Bar is 79 km (49 miles) from Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










