Surf Forecasts:
Tairua Bar surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period, E swell with 139 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tairua Bar this week:
The surf forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tairua Bar in the next 16 days are 0.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tairua Bar over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here for the Tairua Bar forecast.
Mate, this is a rough stretch. For days on end, there’s just nothing doing. From the 16th right up to the 26th of July, the surf is flat out tiny – 0.6ft to 2ft of weak, swirling stuff with almost no push. The combined swell energy stays in the single digits or low 30s for most of that. There’s some nice glassy or light offshore wind in the early mornings, like on the 16th and 17th, but the ocean’s got no pulse. The bar needs a proper easterly punch, but it’s just not getting any.
When we get a 16-second groundswell on the 17th, it’s only 2ft. On a beach/bar break, that long-period energy at that size doesn't fire. It’s too drawn out, doesn’t stand up. So forget it.
The one and only highlight comes on Friday the 31st of July – early morning. That’s when the stars finally line up a bit. South wind, glassy conditions, and a little 2ft swell from the east with an 11-second period. The combined energy climbs to 104, which is finally moderate. It’s still small, but for a bar that’s been dead, those little clean lines will be rideable. Crowds show up here *sometimes*, so don’t be shocked if a few other keen locals are out, but most will have forgotten about surfing by then.
After that, it’s back to flat and onshore junk through the weekend.
Hang tight. That Friday the 31st is the only real bet in this whole forecast. It’s nothing huge, but after weeks of nothing, it’s a win.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 18 | E 16 | E 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 29 | 25 | 61 | 139 | 129 | 121 | 68 | 67 | 38 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 8:16AM2.01m | 8:51PM2.17m | 9:09AM1.99m | 9:41PM2.13m | 10:00AM1.96m | 10:32PM2.06m | 10:52AM1.92m | 11:22PM1.99m | 11:44AM1.87m | 00:11AM1.92m | 12:37PM1.81m | 00:59AM1.86m | 1:29PM1.77m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:07AM0.53m | 2:19PM0.35m | 3:01AM0.48m | 3:11PM0.36m | 3:52AM0.45m | 4:03PM0.40m | 4:43AM0.43m | 4:54PM0.45m | 5:32AM0.43m | 5:44PM0.50m | 6:20AM0.46m | 6:33PM0.56m | 7:08AM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — |
 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 | E 16 | E 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 4 | E 11 | E 10 |
| kJ | 19 | 29 | 25 | 35 | 139 | 129 | 121 | 68 | 67 | 38 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | N 4 | E 15 | ESE 18 | NE 10 | NW 5 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | — | — | N 8 | E 3 | — | N 8 | ESE 3 | N 8 | ESE 11 | E 4 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 17 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 5 | NE 10 | NE 10 | — | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | — | N 8 | — | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | SW 2 | WSW 3 | — | WSW 2 | WSW 3 | SW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 177 | 104 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 138 | 138 | 88 | 88 | 88 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 125 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tairua Bar Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tairua Bar provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tairua Bar can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tairua Bar surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tairua Bar) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tairua Bar may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tairua Bar is 79 km (49 miles) from Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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