Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple weeks at Rancho Santini.

Overall, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a lot of days with poor surf conditions and not one standout session that really screams “paddle out.” The forecast period starts now, and the first few days through to the end of the month are mostly a write-off. There’s a real gap of decent surf here – we’re talking over a week of mostly messy, cross-onshore wind and choppy water.

Starting Sunday the 16th and right through the week, we’ve got cross-onshore winds from the northwest, mostly 10 to 15 mph, with swell heights hovering around 2 ft to 3 ft. The swell is coming from the SW and SSW with moderate energy (values around 355 to 564). The period is long, 14 to 16 seconds, which points to groundswell, but with that constant cross-wind and the descriptor “poor surf conditions,” it’s not worth getting excited about. The water temp is sitting at 69° with a 0.9° anomaly – about average for the time of year.

Wednesday the 19th morning shows a brief moment with onshore wind from the west at 9 mph, but it’s still only a 3 ft SW swell with a 16 second period and a “marginal” call. The energy is moderate at 564, but the overall outlook is still poor.

From the 20th to the 22nd, we drop down to tiny 1 ft to 3 ft swell, still mostly cross-onshore, and the energy drops off into the low hundred and two hundred range (162 to 346). Still marginal at best. The morning of the 22nd has a 2 ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period and almost no wind, but that’s a tiny, inconsistent groundswell – fine for a longboard maybe, but hardly a standout.

After that, up until the end of the month, it’s more of the same: 2 ft to 4 ft swell, cross-onshore winds, and “poor surf conditions” stamped on most entries. The energy picks up a bit around the 29th and 30th, hitting 630 and 642, which is now strong wave energy, but it’s paired with those moderate cross breezes and choppy water. The swell on the 27th turns to a short 7-second period from the WNW at 4 ft – that’s weak, wind-driven slop.

Honestly, if you’re a kitesurfer, this stretch of consistent cross-onshore breeze and moderate swell might look interesting. For a paddle surfer, there’s just no clean, quality window here. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Stay patient, check back next week, and maybe the forecasts will shift.

Rusty.

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