Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 874 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch of the forecast is a rough one for the paddle crew. The only break in the game is Rancho Santini, a beginner-friendly, consistent spot, but the conditions are just not playing ball. The whole 16-day run is one long, grim gap of poor surf quality and so-so recommendations. We’re looking at a run of days where the score is mostly zeroes, and the few moments that are even marginal are still a tough sell.
Let’s start with the first bit of action, which is really just a flicker. Friday morning, August 28th, we have a small 2 ft swell out of the SW with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, which means energy, but the combined energy is weak (393). The wind is cross-on from the WSW at 6 mph, and the water temp is 70°, which is about normal for this time of year. The surf is marginal at best – it’s there, but the conditions are questionable. The wind is light, but it’s onshore, so it’s small and a bit bumpy. This is really only for the beginner crew who just want to get wet, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty.
After that, the outlook turns bleak. From Friday afternoon, August 28th, all the way through to Saturday, September 12th, it’s a total write-off. The swell builds a bit – we see 4 ft to 4 ft from the SW and SSW in the first week, with combined energy climbing into the moderate range (662 to 826), but it’s all for nothing. The wind is a constant cross-on or onshore from the WNW or NW, blowing at 9 to 19 mph. The surf is described as poor, choppy, and lumpy. There’s a few mornings where the wind is offshore, but the surf is still “poor” or “marginal” – the tide or the swell shape just isn’t lining up. The period drops to 10-14 seconds in the second week, but the wind and chop ruin any chance of a clean wave.
Now, there is one moment that stands out, and I mean *barely*. On Friday morning, September 4th, we have a 3 ft SW swell with a 17-second period. That’s a long period groundswell, and the combined energy jumps to 936 (moderate-high). The wind is offshore from the WNW at 9 mph. It’s the only time in the whole run where the wind is clean and the swell has some serious weight. But the surf is still called “marginal” – the tide or the break’s character might be fighting it. If you’re dead set on getting a wave, this is your best bet, but it’s a gamble. The long period could make it wall up at Rancho Santini, which is a consistent spot, but it’s not a reef or point, so it might be a bit fast and straight. Still, for a surfer who knows the bank, there could be a sneaky clean one.
The rest of the period is a blank. Saturday morning, September 5th, through to Saturday, September 12th, it’s all poor conditions. The swell size stays around 3 ft to 4 ft, but the wind is consistently cross-on, and the energy is weak to moderate. There’s no standout, no hidden gem. Honestly, if you’re looking at this and you’re a paddle surfer, I’d say save your energy. The kite crew might find some fun in the choppy cross-on wind, but for a regular surfer, this is a tough slog.
The forecast is a bit more reliable in the first week, but the whole thing is a long, dry spell. It’s one of those runs where the area just doesn’t have the right setup. Keep an eye on the charts – it tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 22°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
208 | 161 | 874 | 602 | 587 | 693 | 496 | 431 | 542 | 261 | 232 | 156 | 94 | 136 | 206 | 261 | 292 | 322 | 269 | 269 | 600 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:05AM1.78m | 9:43PM2.04m | 10:28AM1.85m | 10:19PM1.92m | 10:52AM1.92m | 10:58PM1.75m | 11:20AM1.96m | 11:43PM1.56m | 11:53AM1.98m | 00:41AM1.35m | 12:34PM1.97m | 2:20AM1.18m | 1:33PM1.93m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:41PM0.72m | 4:13AM0.35m | 4:19PM0.66m | 4:35AM0.46m | 5:01PM0.62m | 4:58AM0.60m | 5:49PM0.61m | 5:21AM0.75m | 6:48PM0.62m | 5:44AM0.90m | 8:08PM0.64m | 6:07AM1.05m | 9:56PM0.59m | ||||||||
6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 24 |
Feels °C | 30 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
76 | 50 | 874 | 602 | 587 | 693 | 211 | 431 | 542 | 91 | 174 | 149 | 94 | 136 | 206 | 261 | 292 | 265 | 265 | 265 | 320 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 12 | WNW 7 | SW 15 | S 12 | WNW 8 | S 12 | SSW 14 | WNW 6 | SW 14 | S 10 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 |
208 | 161 | 42 | 40 | 71 | 114 | 496 | 71 | 143 | 233 | 232 | 36 | 91 | 65 | 20 | 167 | 211 | 322 | 269 | 269 | 600 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 12 | SW 20 | S 13 | SSW 14 | WSW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | WNW 5 | SW 20 | SW 18 | WNW 5 |
109 | 108 | 33 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 229 | 261 | 35 | 156 | 49 | 49 | 34 | 43 | 25 | 13 | 101 | 269 | 20 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 |
— | — | — | — | 97 | — | — | 172 | — | — | 64 | 58 | 18 | 25 | 32 | 15 | 22 | — | 9 | 23 | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 2 | 57 | 29 | 2 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.











