
Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 447 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Rancho Santini are looking pretty grim. We’ve got a consistent line of small, mostly onshore swell, and the wind is just a pain in the arse for most of the run. The water’s sitting at 70°F which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing your nuts off.
We kick off on Wednesday, the 5th of August. There’s a bit of a south-west swell pushing through, with wave heights around 2ft, and a period of 14 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell, but it’s being blown out by a 9 mph onshore breeze from the WNW. The combined energy is moderate (201), but the report says “poor surf conditions,” and I’m not gonna argue with that. The break is exposed, so that onshore wind is just wrecking the shape.
Thursday morning, the 6th, is a bit of the same story: 2ft, south-west groundswell, 13-second period, but the wind is onshore at 6 mph. The combined energy drops to 138, which is weak. Afternoon improves a little with a bit more push (265), but the wind stays onshore from the west. Still poor.
Friday morning, the 7th, is the only time you might want to paddle out. We’ve got a 2ft groundswell from the south-south-west, but check out the period: 19 seconds! That’s very long-period energy, and the combined energy jumps to 519 (moderate). The wind is onshore from the west at 9 mph, but it’s a light breeze, and the report says “marginal surf forecast.” That’s the best you’re gonna get. It’s a beginner spot, so the waves are small, but that long period might make for some cleanish lines if the wind cooperates. It’s inconsistent though, so don’t expect a party.
From Friday afternoon right through to the end of the 16-day window, it’s a saga of “poor” or “marginal” surf. The swell hangs around 2ft to 4ft, mostly from the south-west, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore from the west, north-west, or south-west for the whole time. The wave energy varies from moderate to strong (like 672 on the 14th, or 828 on the afternoon of the 14th), but the quality is just not there. By the 18th of August, we get a shift to a short-period, 8-second swell from the west-north-west at 4ft – that’s windswell, and it’s messy. The combined energy is still moderate (417), but with a 12 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s a choppy, blown-out mess.
The best of a bad bunch is that Friday morning, the 7th of August. It’s not a standout by any stretch, but if you’re a beginner and you’re desperate, you might find a few long-period, south-south-west lines that are cleaner than the rest. The wind is onshore, but it’s light. After that, it’s a lot of waiting for something that never really shows up.
Hang in there, mates. The forecasts can change, but this run is a tough one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 22°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
125 | 189 | 109 | 138 | 157 | 329 | 218 | 390 | 278 | 326 | 397 | 272 | 272 | 261 | 229 | 154 | 236 | 114 | 307 | 249 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:17PM1.88m | 4:07AM1.15m | 3:26PM1.94m | 6:41AM1.21m | 4:43PM2.03m | 7:44AM1.33m | 5:54PM2.16m | 8:22AM1.45m | 6:55PM2.29m | 8:56AM1.56m | 7:48PM2.39m | 9:30AM1.65m | 8:37PM2.42m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:04PM0.73m | 7:46AM1.05m | 11:38PM0.55m | 9:18AM1.17m | 00:45AM0.34m | 11:12AM1.19m | 1:36AM0.15m | 12:32PM1.11m | 2:21AM0.01m | 1:32PM1.00m | 3:02AM-0.06m | 2:25PM0.88m | 3:39AM-0.06m | |||||||
— | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
7:40 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
Feels °C | 24 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
125 | 189 | 109 | 138 | 106 | 172 | 132 | 390 | 278 | 326 | 397 | 272 | 272 | 261 | 229 | 154 | 151 | 92 | 307 | 249 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | S 11 |
37 | 10 | 6 | 108 | 157 | 329 | 218 | 118 | 69 | 96 | 69 | 50 | 49 | 47 | 100 | 134 | 236 | 75 | 83 | 65 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | S 9 | SW 10 | S 9 | W 12 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 21 | W 4 | WNW 11 | SW 15 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
6 | 8 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 10 | 114 | 74 | 61 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
33 | — | — | 10 | — | 16 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 223 | 39 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.











