Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SW swell with 823 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s ahead at Rancho Santini. I gotta be straight with you – we’re in for a long, frustrating stretch before anything worth paddling for shows up.
The next ten days or so are mostly a write-off. We’ve got a constant stream of swell from the SW, but the wind is a killer. The first week is plagued by cross-onshore breezes, mostly from the WNW and NW, turning what could be alright waves into choppy, bumpy messes. The surf quality is just poor day after day. You’ll see waves in the 2ft to 5ft range, but it’s all pretty ugly. The combined swell energy stays moderate, bouncing around between about 319 and 1172, but with that wind, it just doesn’t matter.
The real kicker is the wind. From Friday the 28th of August all the way through to Tuesday the 8th of September, it’s almost constantly cross-onshore. There are a few mornings where the wind goes “on” from the WNW, but even then the reports say “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th have some low-energy SW groundswell (period around 13-14 seconds) with lighter winds, but the wave heights are only around 3ft to 4ft. It might be worth a look if you’re desperate, but you won’t catch me getting in the water for that.
The one standout in this whole 16-day window is Thursday the 10th of September. Finally, the planets align. We’ve got a long-period SW groundswell rolling in – 17 seconds! That’s proper groundswell, with good energy (combined energy of 536). The swell height is a clean 3ft, and here’s the magic: the wind swings to a light SW at just 3 mph, going glassy. I don’t use that word lightly. It’ll be mirror-smooth. The report even says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is your window. It’s a beginner-friendly break, consistent, and exposed to the SW swell, which matches the optimum direction. Crowds can show up sometimes, so get there early. The water temp is 70°F, which is about normal for this time of year.
After that, Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th go back to the same old story – poor surf and bumpy winds. So, if you want a real go, mark your calendar for Thursday the 10th. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 22°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 874 | 602 | 587 | 693 | 496 | 431 | 357 | 236 | 221 | 196 | 185 | 138 | 343 | 440 | 322 | 317 | 313 | 499 | 781 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:43PM2.04m | 10:28AM1.85m | 10:19PM1.92m | 10:52AM1.92m | 10:58PM1.75m | 11:20AM1.96m | 11:43PM1.56m | 11:53AM1.98m | 00:41AM1.35m | 12:34PM1.97m | 2:20AM1.18m | 1:33PM1.93m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:13AM0.35m | 4:19PM0.66m | 4:35AM0.46m | 5:01PM0.62m | 4:58AM0.60m | 5:49PM0.61m | 5:21AM0.75m | 6:48PM0.62m | 5:44AM0.90m | 8:08PM0.64m | 6:07AM1.05m | 9:56PM0.59m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 29 | 32 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 874 | 602 | 587 | 693 | 181 | 176 | 143 | 94 | 221 | 196 | 185 | 138 | 343 | 440 | 322 | 317 | 265 | 499 | 781 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 12 | WNW 7 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 12 | SW 14 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 42 | 37 | 71 | 94 | 496 | 431 | 357 | 236 | 189 | 26 | 147 | 133 | 68 | 167 | 211 | 314 | 313 | 265 | 231 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 14 | WSW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 5 | SW 20 | W 12 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 33 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 109 | 206 | 35 | 118 | 50 | 50 | 150 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 101 | 11 | 20 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 91 | 157 | 270 | 270 | — | — | 64 | 56 | 17 | 17 | 133 | 24 | 16 | 32 | 13 | 18 | 32 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 9 | 57 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 2 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 57 | 57 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.
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