Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Rancho Santini. It’s a bit of a slow start, so don’t be in a rush to grab your board just yet.

The first real chance of anything rideable doesn’t show up until Friday morning, August 14th. Even then, it’s marginal at best with a 2 ft swell from the southwest, but the wind is blowing onshore from the west at 9 mph. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so that’s one small win. The combined energy is weak (593), so it’s going to be a tough paddle for very little reward. Through the weekend and into the following week, it’s a real struggle. The wind keeps swinging cross-onshore, mainly from the west-northwest and northwest, picking up to 12-16 mph. The swell stays small, bouncing between 2 ft and 4 ft, but the period is short, and those cross-onshore breezes will make it lumpy and choppy. This stretch from Friday the 14th right through to around Sunday the 23rd is a long, flat, and blown-out run. Forget about it.

Now, there’s a glimmer of hope if you’re patient. Around Tuesday morning, August 25th, we get a bit of a pulse. The southwest swell ticks up to 3 ft with a period of 17 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell energy. The wind is light and onshore from the west at just 6 mph, which is better than what we’ve been seeing. The conditions are still labelled as marginal, but with 591 combined energy, it’s the most promising moment in the whole window. The catch is that long period like this tends to break straight and fat on a beach break, and Rancho Santini is an exposed beach setup, so the shape might be a bit walled. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so if you’re just looking for a push, it could be worth a paddle.

The absolute standout, however, looks to be early on Wednesday, August 26th. The morning shows a clean, clear sky with a gentle 3 ft southwest swell, a 16-second period, and light onshore wind from the west at 6 mph. The combined energy hits 608, which is the highest we’ve seen. It’s still not a massive day, but for this stretch, it’s the best on offer. Because it’s a consistent break and the wind is clean, it’s your best bet for a few fun ones. Just keep in mind, crowds are possible here.

To sum it up: the next week and a half is a write-off. The only real window to keep an eye on is the final few days of the forecast, from the 25th into the 26th of August. That’s a long way out, so it’s not a lock, but if you’re hankering for a surf, that’s where your hope lies.

Rusty.

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