Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a slow burn, but there’s a real heavy pulse late in the game if you can sit tight.

Your first real chance to paddle out is Wednesday morning at Rancho Santini. Swell is about 3ft from the SW with a long 16-second period, so there’s proper groundswell power (combined energy of 1098). The wind is offshore from the WNW at 9 mph, keeping things clean. This is a beginner-friendly spot, and it breaks consistently, so don’t sweat the “marginal” tag – it’s your best bet for a peaceful session. Just know that crowds can show up sometimes. Water temp is 67°, about average for this time of year.

After that Wednesday morning, things go flat and funky. Wind turns cross-shore or cross-onshore, and the swell drops. From Thursday all the way through the following weekend, it’s a poor run. Swell stays around 3ft but the period drops, and the energy (combined energy from 762 down to 381) just isn’t there. Sunday the 12th has a brief offshore window from the W, but the swell is weak and the forecast is poor. Honestly, from Thursday the 9th to Monday the 14th, there’s nothing to get excited about.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Tuesday the 15th through Saturday the 19th of July, the swell is tiny, often under 3ft, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. The energy (combined energy as low as 257) is barely a ripple. This is a normal lull for this area, so don’t panic – it won’t stay poor forever.

Here’s the big one. Sunday the 19th of July morning looks like a proper standout – a solid 6ft of S swell, with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 1921. That’s serious power. The wind is offshore from the W at 6 mph, glassy. This is for experienced surfers only – over 8ft at any other break would be expert territory, but at 6ft in this setup, it’s still a heavy wave. The long period means it’ll be better shaped, with longer lulls between sets, but at a beach break like this, it can be a bit straight. Still, for a surfer who knows the ropes, Sunday morning is the absolute pick of the forecast. The afternoon holds at 6ft from the SSW, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so get out there early.

After that, the swell fades through the next week, with only marginal conditions from Monday the 20th to Thursday the 23rd. Wind picks up to 12-15 mph, making it choppy and messy. By Thursday the 23rd, there’s a possible last gasp with 4ft to 5ft S swell and light offshore winds, but it’s a long way out and less certain. Keep an eye on it.

So, the bottom line: Wednesday morning is your quiet, clean start. Sunday the 19th morning is the one to circle on the calendar – don’t sleep on it. Everything else is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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