
Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 15s period, SSW swell with 608 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.2m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a bit at Rancho Santini is pretty quiet. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and messy surf before anything really gets going. There’s a gap of about ten days where the recommendations are just not there, but stick with me because the back end of the outlook has a genuine standout.
The water temp is sitting around 68°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Thursday July 23rd in the afternoon. That’s when we see a jump in size with a 5ft swell out of the south, and the wind goes light and cross-offshore, which is a big deal for this spot. The conditions are described as “clean,” and the combined energy hits 1044, so there’s some proper juice in the water. The swell period is 14 seconds, so it’s got decent groundswell character. This is the best on offer for the whole run – if you can wait it out, this is the session to aim for.
Now, Friday July 24th morning looks clean with offshore wind and a 5ft SSW swell, but the energy is massive at 1887, which might make it a bit more powerful than it looks. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft, but the wind goes cross-on, so it’ll get messy. That size is getting into expert territory, but the wind isn’t doing it any favours.
Saturday July 25th is still big, with 8ft in the morning, but the wind is onshore and choppy. That’s more of a kite surfing setup than a paddle session, if I’m being honest.
After that, the swell drops back down, and we’re looking at small, clean but weak waves for the last few days of the month. Tuesday July 28th afternoon has a 4ft SSW swell with light cross-shore wind, which is the best of that late period, but it’s nothing to write home about.
So, to sum it up: if you’re a beginner, the small stuff on the 23rd morning might be okay, but the real highlight is Thursday July 23rd afternoon for the cleaner, more powerful waves. After that, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
183 | 249 | 190 | 129 | 206 | 203 | 158 | 227 | 181 | 132 | 137 | 432 | 307 | 232 | 456 | 487 | 344 | 406 | 496 | 502 | 471 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:31PM2.49m | 11:15AM1.65m | 10:19PM2.38m | 11:56AM1.70m | 11:06PM2.20m | 12:37PM1.74m | 11:55PM1.96m | 1:19PM1.78m | 00:46AM1.69m | 2:03PM1.80m | 1:49AM1.43m | 2:50PM1.81m | 3:23AM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:15PM0.94m | 4:45AM-0.11m | 4:08PM0.90m | 5:26AM-0.01m | 5:02PM0.89m | 6:04AM0.15m | 6:00PM0.90m | 6:41AM0.35m | 7:06PM0.92m | 7:16AM0.56m | 8:23PM0.92m | 7:51AM0.76m | 9:55PM0.87m | 8:27AM0.95m | |||||||
— | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | |
7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | 7:52 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
183 | 249 | 190 | 129 | 42 | 113 | 158 | 126 | 127 | 113 | 51 | 432 | 184 | 149 | 456 | 357 | 313 | 233 | 496 | 502 | 471 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | S 12 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 |
154 | 98 | 64 | 83 | 206 | 203 | 155 | 227 | 132 | 132 | 137 | 98 | 307 | 232 | 413 | 487 | 344 | 406 | 122 | 81 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | WNW 4 | W 14 | W 5 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | WNW 18 | S 11 | W 8 | W 7 | W 16 | W 16 | W 15 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | W 5 | SSW 9 |
38 | 5 | 36 | 14 | 82 | 47 | 46 | 103 | 181 | 62 | 41 | 33 | 26 | 127 | 124 | 116 | 74 | 71 | 69 | 14 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | W 7 | — | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | — | WNW 5 |
7 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 8 | 18 | — | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 9 | 9 | 282 | 0 | 194 | 194 | 0 | 223 | 5 | 11 | 194 | 223 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 57 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.











