Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SSW swell with 1,704 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a bit of a frustrating window ahead, so manage your expectations.
The whole 16-day run is centred on Rancho Santini, and honestly, it’s a tough stretch. The wind is just never right. It’s a constant cross-on situation, which is going to keep things choppy and messy. There’s swell in the water, but it’s not going to look like it should. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort in a less-than-stellar forecast.
It kicks off with nothing on Thursday the 3rd – the swell is there with a 3ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds, and the energy is moderate (420), but it’s totally ruined by a 9 mph cross-on wind. Choppy and poor. Friday the 4th is similar, just a bit more size. The best of a bad bunch looks like Saturday the 5th. The swell drops back a touch, but the wind goes light, with a 6 mph cross-on. We’re looking at a 4ft to 5ft S/SW swell, with moderate to strong energy (790 to 1187). It’s still not clean, but it’s the most ridable we’ll see, so if you’re desperate, that’s your window.
Sunday the 6th sees a bigger pulse of 7ft SSW swell, with strong energy (1600+), but it’s a steep, short-period swell (13 seconds) and that wind is still cross-on. It’s going to be a messy, lumpy mess. Strong enough for a bigger board, but not pleasant. After that, it’s a long, slow decline. The swell drops back under 5ft by the 8th, and the wind stays stubborn, ruining any chance of clean waves. There’s a moment on the 12th where the wind goes straight onshore, but that’s not a win. The 13th and beyond is just ankle-biters with no quality.
The one standout, if you can call it that, is Rancho Santini itself on the morning of Saturday the 5th. The swell is 4ft from the SW, which is a good direction for the spot, and with a light 6 mph cross-on wind, it’ll be the least choppy it gets. It’s consistent, so there will be waves, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot. Just know that even this “best” option is still marginal. For the rest of the run, you’re looking at a lot of days with no real recommendation. There’s a solid gap of poor conditions from the 8th right through to the end of the 16th, with only a few very marginal moments.
Stay patient, keep an eye on the charts, but don’t get your hopes up for this one. It’s a dud.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 23°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 273 | 334 | 600 | 540 | 776 | 565 | 641 | 683 | 1533 | 1558 | 1339 | 799 | 1294 | 1155 | 1060 | 739 | 711 | 475 | 204 | 267 | 408 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:33PM1.93m | 3:00PM1.91m | 7:11AM1.33m | 4:37PM1.96m | 7:34AM1.46m | 5:54PM2.07m | 8:01AM1.59m | 6:53PM2.18m | 8:28AM1.71m | 7:43PM2.23m | 8:56AM1.83m | 8:29PM2.22m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:56PM0.59m | 11:30PM0.45m | 9:49AM1.29m | 00:33AM0.30m | 11:42AM1.20m | 1:20AM0.17m | 12:48PM1.04m | 1:59AM0.10m | 1:39PM0.86m | 2:34AM0.09m | 2:25PM0.70m | 3:06AM0.15m | |||||||||
 | |  | | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 22 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 273 | 164 | 600 | 540 | 776 | 565 | 641 | 683 | 1533 | 1558 | 1339 | 799 | 1294 | 1155 | 1060 | 739 | 711 | 475 | 204 | 160 | 408 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | SW 18 | W 5 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 13 | SW 16 | SW 13 | WNW 11 | SW 11 | S 12 | WNW 6 | WSW 10 | WNW 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 36 | 334 | 21 | 140 | 173 | 104 | 420 | 502 | 88 | 11 | 31 | 480 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 111 | 109 | 21 | 23 | 267 | 94 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SW 15 | SSW 11 | WNW 6 | WNW 10 | S 15 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 15 | — | WNW 12 | SW 11 | NW 11 | W 11 | SW 18 | SW 21 | W 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 6 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 56 | 176 | 78 | 18 | 11 | 157 | 40 | 38 | 54 | — | 14 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 167 | 163 | 25 | 82 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 12 | — | — | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | — | — |
| kJ | 55 | 41 | 34 | — | 25 | 18 | — | 93 | — | — | 15 | 14 | 21 | 20 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 45 | 44 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 57 | 2 | 57 | 57 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.
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