Rancho Santini Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.23° N 116.92° W

Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rancho Santini sea temperature is
21.8° C
1.9° 

Rancho Santini surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rancho Santini surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SSW swell with 966 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.6m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Wed 29th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Wed 29th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 30th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rancho Santini.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty flat start. The first few days of the forecast period are nothing to write home about. The swell is just too weak and the conditions are messy. We’ll see a bit of activity on Wednesday, July 29th, with a 4ft SSW groundswell rolling in, but the wave comment is calling it marginal. The wind is onshore at 6 mph, so it’s gonna be a bit bumpy. The combined swell energy is moderate at best (1129). Honestly, this is a case of "good news, bad news." The good news is the swell is long-period (16 seconds), which usually means better shape, but it’s also a groundswell coming straight from the SSW, which is the optimum direction for this break. The bad news is the onshore wind and the "marginal" tag. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so if you’re learning, you might get a few short, weak rides. Don't expect much.

The situation goes downhill from there. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st see the swell dropping to 4ft-5ft, with the period shortening. The combined energy drops to 904 and then 736, which is still moderate but weakening. The wind stays onshore, and the surf is marked as marginal or poor. Crowds are "sometimes" here, and with these conditions, the place should be quiet.

Then we hit a long, dry spell. From Saturday, August 1st, all the way through to Wednesday, August 13th, there’s nothing but poor or marginal surf with tiny waves. The numbers say it all – swell heights are 1ft to 3ft, with combined energy barely hitting 500. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the water is about average for the time of year. The only thing that changes is the swell direction, which stays SSW or SW, which is good for this break, but the size and wind kill it. This is a proper lull, and for a spot like this, it's actually pretty normal. It’s not a place that pumps consistently.

The only real glimmer of hope comes late in the second week. On Monday, August 10th, we get a pulse of 2ft swell from the SW with a very long period of 20 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 456. It’s still marginal, but that long-period swell from the optimum direction is a tease. A couple of days later, on Wednesday, August 12th afternoon, we see a 3ft swell with a 16-second period and combined energy of 519. It’s still marginal, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. The wind is light onshore, so it could be glassy.

If you have to pick a moment, the very best of a bad run is the Wednesday morning, July 29th. That's the only day with a swell over 3ft and a decent period. The rest of the forecast is a washout. For the intermediate and advanced crew, there’s no point coming. For a beginner, it’s a chance to get wet on tiny, cleanish waves. But honestly, don’t hold your breath. This is a long, quiet period for Rancho Santini.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
2
4
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
2
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SSW
15
1.5
SSW
14
1.6
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
13
1.4
SSW
13
1.2
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.9
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
9
0.5
SW
16
0.4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
864
788
666
558
551
862
874
703
613
482
189
215
88
113
135
110
106
127
90
Wind (km/h)
0
SW
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
SW
15
W
15
W
5
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
5
NW
15
W
15
W
5
WNW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
W
Wind State
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
High Tide
8:55PM2.19m
10:32AM1.55m
9:28PM2.18m
10:57AM1.59m
10:00PM2.13m
11:22AM1.63m
10:33PM2.02m
11:48AM1.68m
11:08PM1.87m
12:15PM1.74m
11:47PM1.68m
12:47PM1.79m
00:36AM1.48m
Low Tide
4:06AM0.18m
3:18PM0.98m
4:33AM0.20m
3:54PM0.94m
4:58AM0.25m
4:32PM0.92m
5:22AM0.34m
5:14PM0.90m
5:46AM0.46m
6:02PM0.89m
6:10AM0.60m
7:03PM0.87m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:44
7:43
 mm
Temp °C
21
24
25
20
26
25
22
27
27
24
27
27
23
26
26
22
25
26
22
Feels °C
23
25
25
22
26
25
24
27
27
25
28
28
25
27
26
24
26
27
24
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.

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