Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 874 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the forecast for our little corner of the world. Let’s be real: the next couple of weeks are a bit of a slow burn, but there’s a window or two worth paddling out for.
Straight up, the first day we’ve got any surf on offer is Tuesday, August 25th, and it’s a mixed bag. The water is sitting at 70°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
The run from Tuesday the 25th right through to early September is mostly a waiting game. We’re looking at a lot of days with marginal, poor, or just plain flat conditions. The swell is small, running between 2ft and 4ft, and while the periods are solid (swell energy is moderate, in the 400-700 range), the wind is often a bit messy – cross-onshore or just not clean enough to make it worth your while. The standout in this early stretch is Wednesday, August 26th. The morning shows a 5ft swell from the south with a 12-second period, and the wind is light cross-shore from the SSW. That’s not glassy, but it’s far from blown out. The combined energy is a solid 813, which is the most we’ll see for a while, and it’s the biggest swell of the week. Rancho Santini is a consistent, exposed beginner spot, so the crowds might be around, but the conditions are just promising enough for a fun, manageable session.
After that, it gets pretty grim. From Friday the 28th right through to the start of September, the forecasts are all poor or marginal. The wind strengthens, gets choppy, and the swell drops. There’s a gap of nearly a week here where I wouldn’t bother.
Now, if you’re looking further ahead, things get a little more interesting for the patient surfer. Come Thursday, September 4th, we start to see a better pattern. The swell picks up to a consistent 4ft-4ft from the southwest, with a long 16-17 second period. The combined energy is back up in the 700-800 range, which is moderate but promising. The wind is offshore and light, which is a huge positive. The wind state is ‘on’ for the mornings, meaning clean, glassy conditions. The best of this run looks like Friday, September 4th morning: 4ft of SW swell, 17 seconds, and a light offshore wind. That’s a classic combo for a long, clean session at Rancho Santini.
The real highlight, though, is looking at Saturday, September 6th and then into the following week. It’s a long-range call, so take it with a grain of salt, but the models are hinting at a run of solid, clean conditions. The swell stays around 3ft to 4ft from the SSW, with periods between 15 and 18 seconds. The wind remains light and offshore for the mornings. If that holds, we’ll have clean lines and consistent waves. The best on offer is likely the morning of Wednesday, September 9th: a 3ft SW swell at 18 seconds, with a light cross-onshore breeze, but the energy is a solid 730. It’s not the biggest, but the quality and consistency could be there.
Don’t get too excited about the big numbers – the swell never gets above 5ft, so it’s fine for intermediates and beginners. The long period (over 15 seconds) means the waves will have plenty of push and shape, but at a beach break like Rancho Santini, they might break a little straight. It’s still better than the flat spells we’ve been dealing with.
So, to sum it up: the pick of the litter is Wednesday, August 26th morning for the biggest swell, and Friday, September 4th morning for the cleanest conditions. The long-range potential for the first week of September is worth keeping an eye on, but it’s not a lock. For now, keep your board waxed and your ears open.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
260 | 350 | 760 | 547 | 426 | 290 | 357 | 269 | 224 | 208 | 161 | 874 | 602 | 748 | 693 | 496 | 437 | 357 | 250 | 229 | 206 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:06AM1.56m | 8:02PM2.11m | 9:25AM1.63m | 8:35PM2.14m | 9:44AM1.70m | 9:09PM2.12m | 10:05AM1.78m | 9:43PM2.04m | 10:28AM1.85m | 10:19PM1.92m | 10:52AM1.92m | 10:58PM1.75m | 11:20AM1.96m | 11:43PM1.56m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:57PM1.00m | 3:02AM0.23m | 2:31PM0.90m | 3:26AM0.23m | 3:05PM0.80m | 3:50AM0.27m | 3:41PM0.72m | 4:13AM0.35m | 4:19PM0.66m | 4:35AM0.46m | 5:01PM0.62m | 4:58AM0.60m | 5:49PM0.61m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | S 11 |
184 | 350 | 760 | 547 | 426 | 290 | 357 | 269 | 148 | 76 | 51 | 874 | 602 | 748 | 693 | 155 | 437 | 114 | 94 | 229 | 206 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | S 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 8 | WNW 7 | SW 15 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 12 | WNW 7 |
260 | 206 | 248 | 245 | 193 | 209 | 171 | 167 | 224 | 208 | 50 | 60 | 102 | 11 | 111 | 496 | 74 | 357 | 250 | 136 | 62 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | SSE 11 | WNW 6 | W 6 | W 14 | W 7 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | SSW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | S 8 | SW 12 | S 10 | S 7 | SSE 13 | SW 20 | S 12 | S 12 | WSW 19 | SW 13 |
10 | 40 | 12 | 20 | 37 | 23 | 121 | 15 | 211 | 109 | 161 | 32 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 53 | 16 | 110 | 136 | 35 | 183 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 6 | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 7 | — |
— | 17 | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 155 | 120 | 177 | — | 163 | — | — | 89 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 194 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 77 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 9 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.











