Rancho Santini Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.23° N 116.92° W

Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rancho Santini sea temperature is
21.6°C
1.1° 

Rancho Santini surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rancho Santini surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 539 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 10th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 17s
Best Surf 2AM (Thu 10th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 17s
Most Powerful 5AM (Fri 11th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew through the next couple of weeks.

We’re stuck in a long, drawn-out patch of small, clean-ish swell, but the truth is, it’s a tough outlook. The waves are there, but mostly in the knee-to-waist high range, and the wind is always a bit on it. It’s not a total write-off, but you’ll need to be patient and pick your moments. The first week is pretty marginal, with a lot of "maybe" days. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 71°.

The main spot on the radar is Rancho Santini. It’s a consistent, beginner-friendly break, exposed to the west. For the first few days, starting Wednesday September 9th, we’re looking at small 2ft to 3ft of long-period SW groundswell (16 seconds), but the wind is cross-onshore or onshore, putting a bit of a ruffle on the surface. The combined energy is moderate, around 438 to 551. It’s not terrible, but it’s not clean. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so don't expect to have it to yourself.

Thursday the 10th is a bit of a repeat – 3ft of SW swell, still with that cross-onshore wind. The energy bumps up a little, but it’s still a marginal session. Friday the 11th is similar, with the wind going more cross-shore, which might clean it up a fraction, but that’s about it.

The weekend isn't great. Saturday the 12th sees the swell drop to 2ft - 3ft, and we’re onshore with a gentle breeze. It’s a write-off. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th bring a shift to a shorter-period WNW swell (8-9 seconds), which is weaker and more jumbled. Still small, still a bit bumpy.

The second week is a real grind. From Tuesday the 15th up to the 24th, the swell is small – 2ft to 4ft – and it’s mostly from the SW. The wind is a persistent cross-onshore breeze, which kills the quality. The combined energy does get into the moderate range (500-699) during the tail end of the forecast, but the wind is always there, keeping it choppy. There is a bit of a pulse around the 18th and 19th with a very long-period swell (19 seconds) and a moderate energy reading (651), but again, the wind is on it. That long-period groundswell would be better at a point or reef, but at a beach break, it’s going to be a bit straight and crumbly.

The absolute best of a bad bunch? Look at the morning of Thursday, September 17th. The swell is 3ft from the SW, the wind is light and onshore, but the energy is moderate (501). It’s not great, but it’s the most consistent window. The other potential window is around the 18th and 19th, where the energy is higher (over 600), but the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a bumpy, powerful wave. There’s no real standout winner here; it’s all about finding the least-choppy wave.

To be honest, with this setup and the persistent onshore wind, this is looking more like a kite-surfing window than a premium paddle-surfing one. The swell is there, but the wind is always going to be a factor.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
17
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
1.1
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
0.5
SW
19
1.1
WNW
9
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
260
326
403
504
480
468
438
410
355
248
200
155
159
176
177
225
216
188
161
155
157
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
10
W
5
S
10
SSW
10
SSW
10
S
15
SSW
10
SW
5
WSW
10
W
15
WNW
5
WNW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
W
10
SW
10
WSW
0
WSW
10
WSW
10
WNW
5
NW
Wind State
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
High Tide
8:56AM1.83m
8:29PM2.22m
9:23AM1.92m
9:12PM2.14m
9:51AM2.00m
9:53PM2.01m
10:18AM2.04m
10:35PM1.83m
10:45AM2.04m
11:17PM1.64m
11:12AM2.00m
00:03AM1.44m
11:40AM1.93m
1:04AM1.27m
Low Tide
2:25PM0.70m
3:06AM0.15m
3:08PM0.58m
3:36AM0.26m
3:50PM0.49m
4:04AM0.41m
4:32PM0.46m
4:29AM0.58m
5:15PM0.48m
4:52AM0.75m
6:00PM0.54m
5:10AM0.92m
6:53PM0.63m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:28
6:28
6:28
6:30
6:30
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:01
7:00
6:59
6:58
6:55
6:54
6:53
 mm
Temp °C
30
30
26
27
27
24
24
25
22
24
24
20
23
23
20
22
23
20
22
23
20
Feels °C
33
32
28
28
28
26
24
26
25
24
24
21
24
23
22
22
23
21
22
23
21
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.

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