Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, SSW swell with 1,229 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 12s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Rancho Santini over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. We're looking at a long stretch of small, marginal waves, and the wind is gonna be a real pain for a lot of it. The water is sitting at a warm 70°, which is a touch warmer than you'd normally expect for this time of year, so that's a nice little bonus if you're paddling out.
The first real chance of anything decent shapes up on Saturday, July 19th. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the SSW, with a moderate combined energy of 1461. That's a bit of a bump in size, but the period is a short 13 seconds, so it's gonna be a bit lumpy and disorganized. The wind is light and cross-on from the WSW, which isn't terrible, but it won't be glassy. It’s still a bit marginal, but this is probably the best we're going to see for a while. For the more experienced crew, this could be a window.
The swell keeps a bit of size through the next week, but the wind is a real problem. From Monday, July 20th, through to Friday, July 24th, we're looking at onshore and cross-on winds from the NW and WNW, blowing at 12 to 16 mph. That's going to chop up whatever wave is there, making it pretty hard work. The swell is there, but the quality is poor. This stretch is more likely to be interesting for the kite surfers than for paddle surfers, honestly.
There's a bit of a reprieve around the 26th and 27th of July. The swell is still around 3ft to 4ft from the SW, but the period stretches out to 18-19 seconds. That's a proper groundswell, which will mean better shaped waves, but long gaps between sets. The wind is forecast to be light and onshore from the W, which is a bit of a bummer, but at least it's light. The energy is strong, with values like 1301 and 1243. This could be a worthwhile session for those who are patient.
The last few days of the month and into the 31st, the swell drops off again, and the wind stays tricky. It's all a bit of a struggle.
So, if you're looking for the best bet, that Saturday, July 19th, is your best shot for a bit of size, but don't expect perfection. Keep an eye on the 26th and 27th for that long-period groundswell, but be ready for the onshore wind.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 203 | 155 | 227 | 181 | 132 | 174 | 432 | 307 | 824 | 1042 | 1127 | 558 | 456 | 526 | 653 | 471 | 441 | 429 | 362 | 357 | 284 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:56AM1.70m | 11:06PM2.20m | 12:37PM1.74m | 11:55PM1.96m | 1:19PM1.78m | 00:46AM1.69m | 2:03PM1.80m | 1:49AM1.43m | 2:50PM1.81m | 3:23AM1.24m | 3:42PM1.81m | 5:42AM1.18m | 4:38PM1.83m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:02PM0.89m | 6:04AM0.15m | 6:00PM0.90m | 6:41AM0.35m | 7:06PM0.92m | 7:16AM0.56m | 8:23PM0.92m | 7:51AM0.76m | 9:55PM0.87m | 8:27AM0.95m | 11:27PM0.76m | 9:17AM1.10m | 00:36AM0.63m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 81 | 112 | 101 | 118 | 90 | 68 | 432 | 134 | 824 | 1042 | 1127 | 411 | 349 | 526 | 653 | 471 | 441 | 429 | 362 | 357 | 284 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | S 12 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 8 | SW 8 | SSE 12 | S 13 |
| kJ | 203 | 155 | 227 | 132 | 132 | 174 | 100 | 307 | 127 | 297 | 155 | 558 | 456 | 299 | 128 | 73 | 39 | 21 | 20 | 44 | 117 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | WNW 18 | S 11 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 7 | W 16 | W 15 | WNW 15 | W 15 | WNW 14 | W 14 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 8 | SSW 8 | SW 7 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 47 | 46 | 103 | 181 | 61 | 41 | 28 | 26 | 18 | 122 | 119 | 74 | 155 | 118 | 104 | 28 | 39 | 24 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 15 | — | 10 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 23 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 194 | 194 | 0 | 223 | 11 | 0 | 77 | 57 | 0 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 57 | 57 | 2 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 57 | 9 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.
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