Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me have a look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a pretty quiet stretch ahead. The first real chance of a surfable wave comes in on Friday the 10th of July, but it's nothing to write home about. We've got a tiny 3 ft, 15-second period SSW groundswell rolling in, with a decent amount of energy (485) for such a small height, but the wind is a cross-on from the SSW at 9 mph. That’s going to mess up the surface, making it choppy and bumpy. The water here is 67°, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year. It's a poor outlook, and the waves are small, so it’s really only for the absolute beginners who just want to get wet, and even then, it’s not great.

Saturday and Sunday aren't any better. The swell stays around the 3 ft to 3 ft mark, but it's still under that same cross-on wind with a 15-second period, keeping the surface ugly. The combined energy drops a bit, but it's still not enough to get excited about. The wind flickers around to the WSW, but it’s still onshore or cross-on, so the ride quality is going to be poor.

Into the next week, Monday through Thursday, we see the swell drop off even more. By Tuesday and Wednesday, we’re down to 2 ft to 3 ft waves with a mix of short and long period swells. The energy is fading (under 400), and the wind is still onshore or cross-on. It’s a real dead zone. You’d be better off checking the kite forecast with this setup.

We do get a small spike in size on the 16th of July with a 4 ft WNW swell, but the period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s going to be weak and messy. The wind is cross-shore, which is a slight improvement, but it’s not enough to make it a good session. It’s a marginal call at best.

The second week, from the 18th to the 25th, is a bit of a mixed bag. There’s a bit more energy in the water, with the combined swell energy climbing back into the 500s and even hitting 752 on the 19th, but the swell is still small (3 ft to 3 ft) and the wind is nearly always onshore or cross-on. The 18th and 20th see a moderate breeze, making it choppy. The 25th of July sees the biggest swell of the period, 5 ft from the S with a 14-second period, but the wind is howling from the NW at 16 mph, which is a direct cross-on that will completely ruin the shape. The energy is massive (1144), but it's going to be a washing machine. This is one for experts only, and even they will hate the wind.

The standout, if you can call it that, is probably the morning of the 16th of July. The 4 ft WNW swell, even with the short period, at least has a cross-shore wind, so it might offer a few cleanish, if weak, waves. The other one to look at is the 25th of July for the bigger swell, but only if you're a seasoned surfer and can handle the messy, windy conditions. The crowds are always a possibility here, so you won't be alone.

All in all, it's a pretty flat and windy outlook. There's a long gap from the 10th to the 16th with very little going on. Don't get your hopes up.

Rusty.

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