
Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 499 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.
The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and weak for our stretch of coast. We’ve got a run of small, mostly onshore swell that’s going to keep things small and pretty average. The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until the end of the first week, and even then, it’s a marginal call.
The water is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, 71°, which is noticeable but nothing wild.
If you’re desperate for a paddle, the first real sniff of life is on the Friday morning, the 7th. Swell drops to a small 2ft from the SSW, with a clean 19-second period. The wind is light and cross-on, which will put a few ripples on it, and the energy is moderate (506). It’s a marginal forecast, not a classic, and the break here is consistent, so it might just be worth a look if you’re frothing. Saturday the 8th morning is a similar story, 2ft from the SW, but with a slightly shorter 16-second period and a bit less energy (376). Still light cross-on winds.
Don’t get too excited, because through the middle of next week, it just stays small and poor. The energy stays in the 300-500 range, which is weak to moderate, and the swell just doesn’t have any push. There are periods with good period readings up to 18 seconds, but with only 2ft on tap, that’s a lot of water moving slowly, which can make things soft at a spot like this.
The first genuinely interesting window in the long range starts around the 14th. The energy starts to climb into the strong zone, with readings in the 500s and 600s. By the 15th, we see a bigger pulse of 3ft at 16 seconds from the SW, with the energy jumping to 579 on Saturday morning. The wind is still light and onshore, but this is the biggest swell of the period so far. It’s not huge, but it’s something.
Then on the 17th, things finally get a bit of life. A push of WNW swell arrives at 5ft, but the period crashes to just 8 seconds. That’s short-period windswell, and it’s cross-on with moderate to fresh winds. It’s going to be lumpy and pretty messy. The energy is high at 659, but for a paddle surfer, that’s a lot of chop. Honestly, with that short period and the cross-onshore wind, this setup looks far more interesting for the kite surfers than for us.
So, the bottom line is there’s nothing epic on the horizon. The conditions stay mediocre, and the swell direction from the SW is onshore, which is never a good look. The one day that might have been a glimmer, the 17th, gets chopped up by the wind and the short period. It’s a long wait for very little reward.
Keep the board in the car, but don’t rush to the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 21°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
82 | 127 | 125 | 112 | 107 | 169 | 128 | 125 | 189 | 109 | 138 | 157 | 329 | 218 | 390 | 278 | 326 | 397 | 272 | 272 | 261 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 12:47PM1.79m | 00:36AM1.48m | 1:26PM1.84m | 1:51AM1.27m | 2:17PM1.88m | 4:07AM1.15m | 3:26PM1.94m | 6:41AM1.21m | 4:43PM2.03m | 7:44AM1.33m | 5:54PM2.16m | 8:22AM1.45m | 6:55PM2.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:03PM0.87m | 6:35AM0.75m | 8:22PM0.83m | 7:04AM0.90m | 10:04PM0.73m | 7:46AM1.05m | 11:38PM0.55m | 9:18AM1.17m | 00:45AM0.34m | 11:12AM1.19m | 1:36AM0.15m | 12:32PM1.11m | 2:21AM0.01m | ||||||||
6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | SW 13 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
82 | 80 | 59 | 57 | 107 | 169 | 128 | 125 | 189 | 109 | 138 | 106 | 172 | 132 | 390 | 278 | 326 | 397 | 272 | 272 | 261 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | W 6 | W 5 | SW 12 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
80 | 127 | 75 | 112 | 64 | 17 | 14 | 37 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 157 | 329 | 218 | 92 | 94 | 116 | 114 | 50 | 49 | 47 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 12 | WNW 9 | S 11 | SSW 12 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 | SW 21 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | S 9 | SSW 10 | W 5 | W 12 | W 13 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WNW 11 |
67 | 23 | 125 | 77 | 8 | 9 | 56 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 108 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 9 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 5 | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 84 | — | — | 25 | — | — | 14 | 15 | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 78 | 9 | 0 | 194 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.











