Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 745 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get this straight. The next couple of weeks are going to be a bit of a wait. The surf is looking pretty flat and messy right now, and it’s going to stay that way for a while. We’re looking at a serious dry spell, so don’t be in a rush to get out there. The good news is, the ocean is alive, there’s some energy in the water, but it’s just not translating into anything rideable at the moment. We’ve got a stretch of days, from now until the end of next week, where it’s just not going to be worth the paddle. You’re looking at a solid ten to twelve days of junk surf.
The only spot we’re really looking at is Rancho Santini and it’s just not doing anything for us. The swell is tiny, mainly around 1ft to 3ft, and the winds are all over the place. For a spot that needs a clean west swell, the outlook is grim. This first week, the swell direction is mostly from the SSW, which isn't the right angle, and the period is sitting around 13-18 seconds. That long period energy is hitting, but there’s just not enough size to make it break properly. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 280 to 500 range, which tells you how little power there is in the water. It’s going to be a frustrating time for anyone looking for a wave.
Now, there is a slight shift as we get into the middle of next week. Around the 15th and 16th, the swell bumps up a little, hitting about 3ft, but it still carries that long period. Combine that with a cross-onshore breeze that’s going to chop things up, and it’s still not great. This is not a clean swell, guys. The energy is still moderate at best, and the wind is just going to ruin what little shape there is.
We don't see any real improvement until the very end of the forecast. On the 25th, there’s a hint of something a little better, with wave heights around 2ft and a period of 16 seconds. The wind, for the first time in a while, is a light cross-shore breeze. It’s still pretty small, but at least it’s something. The energy is moderate, around 575, so there’s a little more push to it. This is the only day that looks like it might offer a fun, small wave on a longboard, but it's a long way off, so keep those expectations in check.
It’s a tough outlook, friends. We’re in a waiting game. We just have to be patient and let the ocean sort itself out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 261 | 158 | 137 | 236 | 116 | 307 | 249 | 222 | 310 | 306 | 245 | 348 | 273 | 260 | 323 | 745 | 508 | 644 | 628 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:56AM1.56m | 7:48PM2.39m | 9:30AM1.65m | 8:37PM2.42m | 10:03AM1.74m | 9:22PM2.37m | 10:35AM1.82m | 10:06PM2.24m | 11:08AM1.87m | 10:50PM2.04m | 11:40AM1.90m | 11:33PM1.80m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:21AM0.01m | 1:32PM1.00m | 3:02AM-0.06m | 2:25PM0.88m | 3:39AM-0.06m | 3:13PM0.78m | 4:15AM0.02m | 4:01PM0.71m | 4:48AM0.15m | 4:49PM0.68m | 5:18AM0.33m | 5:39PM0.69m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Feels °C | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 261 | 158 | 137 | 151 | 92 | 307 | 249 | 222 | 310 | 306 | 245 | 348 | 273 | 255 | 251 | 745 | 508 | 644 | 628 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SW 13 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 4 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 8 | 39 | 134 | 236 | 74 | 85 | 43 | 64 | 61 | 60 | 59 | 58 | 48 | 260 | 323 | 8 | 83 | 14 | 20 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 15 | WNW 10 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 12 | WNW 9 | SW 12 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 11 |
| kJ | 24 | 101 | 80 | 10 | 116 | 74 | 61 | 61 | 45 | 16 | 23 | 42 | 186 | 55 | 43 | 18 | 22 | 9 | 20 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 4 | — | — | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | W 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | 31 | 16 | 22 | 33 | — | 27 | 24 | — | 26 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 39 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.
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