
Surf Forecasts:
Rancho Santini surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with 522 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho Santini this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho Santini in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho Santini over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here again, but in feet. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Rancho Santini over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this isn't a classic stretch for this spot. The whole 16-day window is a grind, with nothing that you'd paddle out for, but there’s a bit of a pulse trying to show itself right at the tail end.
Right now, and for most of the run, the water is sitting at a toasty 73°, which is a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a notable little anomaly.
We've got a long gap of poor conditions to start. From Sunday the 13th through to the end of the first week, it's a lot of nothing. The swell is there, tiny dribbles of 1 ft to 3 ft from the SW, but the problem is the wind. It's almost always a cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the WNW or NW, and that's just ruining whatever small bumps exist. The wave energy is all over the place, with moderate readings early on (258) jumping up to stronger readings by the 20th (681), but it's all "gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy" or "moderate cross-onshore and choppy." Not worth the paddle.
Mid-week, from the 23rd to the 26th, we’re still in the same boat. The swell stays weak, barely hitting 3 ft on the 25th, with a short period dropping to 13 seconds. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. The energy levels are moderate (304 to 453), but the quality just isn't there. Most of the entries are marked as poor surf.
Now, here's the only glimmer of hope. Towards the very end of the forecast, around the 27th of September and into the morning of the 28th, things might just change. The wind picks up a little, but more importantly, it swings onshore from the W. For Rancho Santini, with its exposed W-facing orientation, that’s the key. We’re looking at a 2 ft to 2 ft groundswell from the SW, with a long period – 16 to 19 seconds. That’s real energy, and the combined swell energy readings hit strong values of 515 and 733. The wind is ‘on’ (offshore) and gentle, which is actually the cleanest window we've seen all run. The waves will be small though, so you're looking at a long-period groundswell for beginners. It's a marginal call, and the small size means it won't be outstanding, but it's the only time it could be surfable.
As for crowds, Rancho Santini is "sometimes" busy, but with this outlook, I doubt many will be out.
So, truth be told, the whole 16 days are a bust for decent surf. That one little window on the 28th is the only thing that looks half-interesting, but it's a long way off and the signs are marginal. This kind of blank run is pretty normal here when the trade winds blow cross-shore.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | W 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
96 | 203 | 281 | 248 | 188 | 161 | 155 | 157 | 245 | 264 | 447 | 232 | 272 | 268 | 369 | 369 | 231 | 442 | 437 | 442 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:17PM1.64m | 11:12AM2.00m | 00:03AM1.44m | 11:40AM1.93m | 1:04AM1.27m | 12:11PM1.84m | 3:40AM1.16m | 12:55PM1.74m | 2:17PM1.65m | 8:27AM1.40m | 4:14PM1.65m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 5:15PM0.48m | 4:52AM0.75m | 6:00PM0.54m | 5:10AM0.92m | 6:53PM0.63m | 5:20AM1.06m | 8:07PM0.71m | 9:57PM0.73m | 11:31PM0.66m | 10:00AM1.39m | 00:24AM0.56m | |||||||||
— | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
6:55 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:51 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 21 |
Feels °C | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | W 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | W 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 6 |
75 | 203 | 281 | 248 | 158 | 132 | 106 | 77 | 245 | 264 | 447 | 232 | 272 | 268 | 369 | 369 | 31 | 442 | 437 | 66 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SW 18 |
87 | 85 | 150 | 192 | 188 | 161 | 155 | 157 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 71 | 133 | 158 | 154 | 40 | 93 | 442 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | S 9 | S 10 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | S 8 | S 11 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SSW 12 |
96 | 177 | 83 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 149 | 126 | 178 | 26 | 28 | 160 | 160 | 148 | 23 | 20 | 231 | 98 | 18 | 85 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 12 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 81 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 60 | 73 | 55 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 194 | 77 | 0 | 77 | 57 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 2 | 57 | 57 | 2 | 57 | 57 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho Santini Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho Santini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho Santini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho Santini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho Santini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho Santini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho Santini is 16 km (10 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.










