Rancho Santini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve got a sobering look at what’s ahead for Rancho Santini. Honestly, the next sixteen days are a tough stretch. We’ve got small, messy swells and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds messing things up. There’s no real standout session here, just a couple of barely-rideable windows if you’re desperate for a paddle. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – sitting at 71°F – which is nice, but not enough to save the surf.

Starting now, on Sunday the 2nd of August, we’re in trouble. Tiny 2ft swell from the SW with a 13-second period, but it’s coming in with a 9 mph offshore wind. Sounds good, right? Wrong. The wave comment calls it “poor surf conditions” and the energy is weak at 237. This is just not happening. That poor run carries straight through Sunday afternoon, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. The swell hangs around 2ft to 2ft, period bounces from 9 to 16 seconds, but the wind stays onshore and the energy stays low – never breaking 312. There’s nothing to recommend.

Friday the 7th of August morning gives us the first real flicker. A 2ft SSW swell with a very long 19-second period, combined energy of 429 – moderate now – and a light 6 mph cross-onshore breeze. The comment says “marginal.” It’s not clean, the period is so long it’ll likely break straight and close out at this beach, but the energy is there for a moment. Still, I can’t in good conscience call it good.

Friday afternoon drops back to poor, and Saturday the 8th of August afternoon gets another marginal nod: 3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, 454 energy, still light cross-onshore. It’s a little more size, but still not clean. Sunday the 9th through to Wednesday the 13th of August is a desert of poor surf conditions with light cross-onshore or onshore wind. The swell sits tiny, and the energy drops off again.

The first real hint of something better comes on Friday the 14th of August afternoon. The swell lifts to 4ft from the SW with a 17-second period, energy jumps to 770 – that’s moderate, getting strong – and the wind is 9 mph offshore from the WNW. The comment says “marginal,” but this is the best looking slot in the whole run. 4ft at a long period with clean offshore wind could offer some fun, lined-up waves at this exposed break, especially if you’re a beginner given the size. It’s a long-range call, so less certain, but it’s the one to watch.

Saturday the 15th of August holds similar with 3ft SW swell and a 16-second period, 556 to 568 energy, still offshore from the WNW. Again, marginal, but the best of a bad lot. Then it falls apart again Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th with moderate cross-onshore winds at 12 mph making things choppy and poor.

So, look – if you’re itching, point your board at Friday the 14th afternoon or Saturday the 15th. Otherwise, it’s a long, flat, frustrating wait. The area’s not offering anything consistent, so a blank run like this isn’t unusual. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s tough. Rusty.

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