Ensenada Beaches Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the Ensenada Beaches over the next couple of weeks.

Look, I'm gonna be straight with you – this is a pretty grim stretch. We've got a solid 16-day window here, and honestly, there's not a single day that’s offering anything worth getting excited about. The first few days are a total write-off, and the pattern just doesn't improve. We're looking at a long, blank run with no real standouts at all.

The entire forecast is dominated by small, weak swells and persistent cross-onshore to onshore winds. The wave energy is mostly moderate, with combined energy readings bouncing around in the 200s and 300s, and even a few in the 400s and 500s, but that doesn't translate to quality because the wind is always messing things up. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Let's break it down. Starting on Monday, August 3rd, we've got a weak 3 ft swell from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, but that 9 mph cross-onshore wind turns it into a choppy mess. The combined energy is only 286, and the score is a flat zero. It's poor. Tuesday the 4th is even smaller, with a 2 ft SW swell, and we're back to onshore winds. That pattern of small, wind-affected surf just carries on and on.

The swell direction does shift around a bit, but it's always coming from the SW or SSW, and the wind is consistently from the W or WNW. Even when the swell period gets long, like that 18-second groundswell on Friday the 7th, the cross-onshore wind and the 2 ft to 2 ft size just kills it. The combined energy hits 506, but the wave comment says it all: "poor surf conditions".

We get a tiny uptick in the score to a 1 out of 10 on Friday afternoon the 7th, and then again on Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th, but it's still considered "marginal" at best. The swell stays small, around 3 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is always on it. There's one brief moment on Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th where the wind goes light and onshore, but the swell is still minimal and the quality is "marginal" or "poor".

The second week is more of the same. From Wednesday the 12th all the way through to Tuesday the 18th, it's the same story: small SW swells, light to gentle cross-onshore winds, and combined energy that never gets high enough to overcome the wind. The scores are all 0s and 1s. The "best" of the bunch is probably the afternoon of Wednesday the 12th with a 3 ft swell and a 16-second period, but with a light onshore wind, it's not going to be anything to write home about.

Honestly, this is a tough one. The forecast is pretty consistent for this area – it tends to go through these flat, wind-affected runs. For a beginner, the swell is small enough to be safe, but the choppy, onshore conditions won't be fun. For anyone else, it's a solid two weeks to save the petrol and do something else. The wind is never truly offshore, so the conditions are just never clean. With the constant onshore flow, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Keep an eye on the charts, but for now, I'd say don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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