
Surf Forecasts:
San Miguel surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with 568 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Miguel this week:
The surf forecast for San Miguel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Miguel in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 12s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Miguel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the region.
Alright, let’s be straight with you. This is a tough 16-day outlook for the San Miguel area. We’ve got a long stretch of not much to get excited about mate. We are looking at over a week where the surf is just not cooperating; the first few days are a total write-off. It’s only around Sunday the 9th that we start seeing hints of something that might be worth a look, but even then it's marginal.
Honestly, the real issue is the persistent onshore and cross-onshore winds that are just wrecking what little swell there is. A lot of the smaller swells are coming in from the SSW, but with a period of around 13-14 seconds, they just don’t have the juice, and the wind is making them messy.
San Miguel is the only game in town, and it’s getting a consistent, but small, amount of swell energy, but the quality is the problem. The water temperature is sitting at 70° which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
The one period that shows the most promise is the stretch from Thursday the 14th through to Saturday the 16th of August. The swell really builds, and we see the combined energy values jump up to over 700 (722) on Friday the 14th. That’s a solid amount of moderate wave energy moving in, and those longer-period SSW groundswells at 18 seconds and 16 seconds should mean long, clean lines wrapping into the point. The wind is still a problem on Saturday the 15th when it goes cross-onshore again, but the Thursday before and the Friday look pretty solid. The swell direction is SSW, which is pretty close to the optimum WNW, meaning there will be some good refraction.
So, if you have to pick one, target Friday the 14th into Saturday the 15th. The swell peaks on Friday with a 3 ft SSW swell at 18 seconds, which has great energy. Be warned though, Saturday will be messy, but with the big period at a point break like San Miguel, the sets will be well-defined and make the paddle out easier. However, these groundswells can sometimes make the waves a bit straight at the wrong spot, but a point like San Miguel is perfect for that.
Given the consistent nature of the break, and the fact that we do see that energy spike, things will turn around. It tends not to stay this poor for long.
For the rest of the run, I wouldn't paddle out. It’s just not worth it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 21 | SW 13 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
162 | 123 | 114 | 111 | 138 | 136 | 329 | 209 | 438 | 302 | 366 | 568 | 246 | 405 | 293 | 204 | 201 | 184 | 159 | 319 | 316 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:14PM1.87m | 4:02AM1.14m | 3:22PM1.92m | 6:37AM1.20m | 4:40PM2.01m | 7:41AM1.32m | 5:52PM2.14m | 8:19AM1.44m | 6:53PM2.28m | 8:54AM1.55m | 7:46PM2.38m | 9:27AM1.65m | 8:34PM2.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:59PM0.73m | 7:43AM1.03m | 11:34PM0.55m | 9:15AM1.16m | 00:42AM0.34m | 11:10AM1.18m | 1:34AM0.15m | 12:30PM1.10m | 2:18AM0.01m | 1:30PM0.99m | 2:59AM-0.06m | 2:22PM0.87m | 3:37AM-0.06m | ||||||||
6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
162 | 53 | 114 | 111 | 138 | 136 | 172 | 130 | 438 | 302 | 366 | 568 | 246 | 405 | 293 | 204 | 201 | 135 | 121 | 319 | 316 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 14 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | WNW 13 | SSW 11 | WNW 4 | SW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | S 12 |
41 | 123 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 126 | 329 | 209 | 63 | 69 | 81 | 34 | 50 | 6 | 30 | 45 | 68 | 184 | 159 | 83 | 71 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 21 | WNW 5 | W 16 | S 9 | SW 12 | S 8 | WNW 14 | S 9 | WNW 4 | SW 21 | WNW 4 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WNW 10 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 |
28 | 34 | 25 | 23 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 4 | 100 | 186 | 60 | 75 | 75 | 62 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 97 | 12 | 97 | 97 | 12 | 262 | 97 | 0 | 49 | 38 | 0 | 118 | 262 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Miguel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Miguel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Miguel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Miguel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Miguel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Miguel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Miguel is 13 km (8 miles) from Ensenada. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ensenada. Ensenada has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











