K-38 Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what K-38 has got cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks. The water's sitting at about 68°, which is pretty spot-on for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

Right off the bat, for the first week and a half, we’re in a bit of a flat spell. From Thursday the 2nd all the way through to Wednesday the 8th, it’s pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly around 2ft to 4ft, and the wind is just ruining it. It’s coming from the WNW and NW, mostly cross-onshore, and that combo with a punchy west-southwest wind just makes for choppy, poor surf. The energy is there in the water, moderate readings around (425 to 833), but the quality is zero. It’s a real bummer.

Now, we finally get a little glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 8th afternoon. Still small, mind you – 4ft of SW swell at a long 16 seconds – but the wind finally drops. We’re looking at a light 6 mph breeze that’s offshore (from the W). That’s going to clean it right up. The crowd profile is “sometimes” so don’t be surprised to see a few other patient souls out there. It’s still marginal, but it’s the best we’ve seen. The energy is moderate (784). It’s not a standout, but it’s a start.

Thursday the 9th into Friday the 10th is a similar story: small SW/SSW swell, 3ft, but the wind stays light from the SSW. The cross-offshore wind means the surface should be pretty tidy with just small wind ripples. It’s still only a 2/10 or 1/10 on paper, so don’t expect perfection, but for a longboard or a funboard, there’ll be the odd clean one. The energy stays moderate (495-701).

Then, the weekend of the 11th and 12th, we slip back into the doldrums. The swell drops, the wind picks up again from the WNW, and it’s back to choppy, poor conditions. That carries on through to Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, with the wind going cross-onshore again. Not much to write home about.

The final few days, Friday the 17th, the wind finally looks offshore (from the W and WNW) but the swell is a tiny 2ft. The energy is still weak (422-484). It’s clean but basically flat. A real tease.

So, the bottom line: This is not a classic two-week stretch for K-38. The only real window for a decent session is the period from Wednesday the 8th afternoon to Friday the 10th. It’s small, clean, and long-period, which means those long rides on a point break or reef are possible. For the true standout, I’d aim for Wednesday afternoon the 8th. The offshore light wind and that 4ft, 16-second groundswell is the best the forecast has to offer. Don't expect a barrel, but for a clean, glassy session, that’s your one.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change. But for now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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