
Surf Forecasts:
Ponto surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,221 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ponto this week:
The surf forecast for Ponto over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ponto in the next 16 days are 1.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ponto over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.
We’re startin’ with a bit of a patchy run at Ponto (river mouth). The first few days offer waves, but they’re nothin’ to write home about – the setup is deliverin’ marginal conditions with a pretty choppy feel, especially through Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning. The water’s runnin’ exceptionally warm at 75°, which is about 8° above normal for this time of year – that’s real unusual, almost like we’re in the tropics. The swell energy is gettin’ up there – moderate to strong range (626-649) – but the cross-onshore wind and short, weaker swell periods keep things pretty average. The real standout window creeps in around Monday the 27th through Tuesday the 28th of July. South-southwest and southwest swell lines push in around 4ft to 5ft, with a period of 17-18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, with good shape and energy behind it. The wind turns clean, blowin’ straight offshore from the southwest and west-southwest at 6-9 mph. That’s the best combo you’ll see: well-shaped, clean waves with combined energy of 1104 to 1315 – strong stuff. Ponto prefers that western quarter wind, and we’re gettin’ it. The swell direction is south-southwest, which isn’t the optimum southwest, but close enough – the offshore wind will tidy up any angles.
After Tuesday the 28th, the size drops back a bit and stays in the 4ft to 4ft range with periods droppin’ out of groundswell territory. The wind stays mostly offshore through the mornings, but days like Thursday the 30th and beyond get a little cross-onshore again, and the combined energy drops below 600 into weak to moderate range. Friday July 31st is a write-off with poor surf conditions – you’re better off sittin’ this one out. From around Saturday the 1st of August all the way through Wednesday the 6th, it’s a slow dry spell. Swell sizes drop below 3ft, periods shorten, and the combined energy barely sniffs 400. There’s a few light onshores and gentles, but nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. The whole second week looks flat out poor.
So, if you want the good stuff: Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th of July are your standouts. S swell around 4-5ft, 17-18 second period, offshore WSW-SW winds – that's as good as it gets in this window. The river mouth should handle that groundswell nicely, just be mindful it’s a beginner-friendly spot and can get busy. Keep your eyes on those days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 21°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | SW 24 | SSW 24 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
394 | 400 | 475 | 339 | 350 | 563 | 368 | 664 | 799 | 527 | 1100 | 863 | 743 | 799 | 1056 | 874 | 762 | 1221 | 1094 | 938 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:47PM1.90m | 7:36AM1.30m | 5:41PM1.94m | 8:29AM1.38m | 6:30PM2.00m | 9:02AM1.44m | 7:14PM2.07m | 9:28AM1.49m | 7:53PM2.15m | 9:53AM1.52m | 8:29PM2.22m | 10:18AM1.56m | 9:04PM2.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:42AM0.64m | 10:46AM1.22m | 1:31AM0.51m | 12:00PM1.25m | 2:10AM0.40m | 12:56PM1.23m | 2:45AM0.31m | 1:39PM1.18m | 3:16AM0.24m | 2:17PM1.12m | 3:47AM0.20m | 2:52PM1.07m | 4:15AM0.19m | |||||||
— | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | W 7 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
394 | 114 | 475 | 339 | 350 | 304 | 220 | 664 | 799 | 527 | 1100 | 863 | 743 | 799 | 1056 | 874 | 762 | 1221 | 1094 | 938 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | SSW 14 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | W 6 | SSW 12 | W 7 | W 7 | SSW 11 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | S 10 | W 7 | W 7 |
203 | 400 | 123 | 73 | 99 | 80 | 46 | 128 | 111 | 30 | 107 | 46 | 34 | 66 | 23 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | S 13 | SW 18 | SW 26 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SSW 24 | W 7 | W 7 | S 10 | W 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | W 7 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SSW 21 | S 10 | SW 10 |
20 | 272 | 51 | 171 | 105 | 563 | 368 | 32 | 31 | 49 | 21 | 59 | 64 | 22 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 85 | 8 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 54 | 0 | 54 | 53 | 0 | 109 | 54 | 54 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 109 | 31 | 0 | 101 | 101 | 0 | 109 | 195 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ponto Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ponto provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ponto can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ponto surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ponto) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ponto may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Ponto is 2 km (1 miles) from the city of Carlsbad. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carlsbad. Carlsbad has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










