
Surf Forecasts:
Ponto surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 553 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ponto this week:
The surf forecast for Ponto over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ponto in the next 16 days are 1.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Mon 21st Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ponto over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. We got a long stretch ahead, so let's talk about Ponto over these next couple weeks.
Straight up, it’s going to be a quiet period. We're looking at small, weak surf, nothing really over waist-high, and for the most part, it's going to be a battle against the wind. The energy is stuck in the moderate range, with that combined swell energy mostly living in the 300s and 400s. To be honest, it's not a lot of juice behind these waves, and the river mouth is going to struggle to put together anything with real form.
For the first four days, Wednesday through Saturday the 16th through the 19th, we have some inconsistent south-southwest swell at 0.6m to 0.8m. The period is good, hanging in that 16-19 second range, so there’s some west in the water. But the wind is on it and messy. Onshore and cross-onshore winds are going to make it bumpy and uninviting. We're looking at poor to borderline conditions, with the south wind just chopping it all up. It's one of those times where you're better off just watching the horizon and waiting for something better.
Sunday and Monday, the 20th and 21st, we see a little bump in size. The swell pushes up to around 0.9m to 1.0m, still from the south-southwest but with a bit more size. The period has backed off slightly to 17-18 seconds, but it’s still carrying some shape. The early mornings are where it's at. Light winds, cleaner surfaces, and that tiny bit of extra size might just open up a couple of corners. It's still marginal, but Sunday morning and Monday morning are the standouts here. It’s the best of the run and the only time you’ll see a glimpse of something that resembles a rideable wave. This is your chance to get a few.
But it doesn’t last. From Tuesday the 22nd and through the rest of the week, the swell starts to fade and the wind turns more westerly. We get a cross-onshore flow that makes things choppy and messy. The wave heights hover around that 0.8m to 0.9m mark for a bit, but the period starts to drop, so the waves lose their shape and meaning. By the 26th and 27th, it's back to small, weak, and onshore, with a cross-onshore breeze making it a bit of a mess.
The very end of the period, from the 28th to the 1st of October, doesn't offer much reprieve. It's more small surf, occasionally dropping back down to 0.5m and 0.6m, with a shorter period and a cross-onshore wind that will put the final nail in the coffin. There’s very little to get excited about.
So, the long and short of it is this: the window is Sunday morning the 21st and Monday morning the 22nd. That's your best chance. Don't bother with the rest. It’s small, a bit raw, but it’s the only time the ocean is giving up anything. The rest is a right-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
114 | 390 | 347 | 366 | 288 | 275 | 405 | 303 | 303 | 234 | 379 | 375 | 375 | 522 | 522 | 499 | 470 | 547 | 443 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 1:22AM1.32m | 12:27PM1.89m | 3:51AM1.22m | 1:13PM1.79m | 2:35PM1.72m | 8:13AM1.44m | 4:22PM1.72m | 7:53AM1.50m | 5:36PM1.80m | 8:00AM1.57m | 6:27PM1.89m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:36AM1.11m | 8:22PM0.72m | 5:03AM1.22m | 10:05PM0.73m | 11:35PM0.67m | 10:11AM1.43m | 00:29AM0.57m | 11:54AM1.34m | 1:06AM0.48m | 12:41PM1.21m | 1:35AM0.42m | ||||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:46 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
88 | 390 | 347 | 366 | 288 | 275 | 405 | 183 | 303 | 139 | 379 | 375 | 375 | 522 | 522 | 499 | 470 | 547 | 443 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 6 | W 5 | SSW 9 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 |
21 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 160 | 162 | 156 | 303 | 141 | 234 | 99 | 96 | 85 | 16 | 24 | 33 | 37 | 26 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | S 9 | S 9 | S 13 | SSW 8 | S 12 | NW 11 | W 5 | S 11 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
114 | 15 | 14 | 30 | 14 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 56 | 75 | 51 | 49 | 47 | 45 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 8 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 122 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 53 | 0 | 53 | 54 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 54 | 53 | 0 | 54 | 54 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ponto Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ponto provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ponto can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ponto surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ponto) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ponto may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Ponto is 2 km (1 miles) from the city of Carlsbad. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carlsbad. Carlsbad has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










