Ponto Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, checking in on the local surf scene for this stretch ahead. Alright, I’ll be straight with you—this is a weird one. The next week and a half is looking pretty grim for a proper paddle, with only a very narrow window of something worthwhile. The water is sitting at a balmy 77°, which is a massive 9° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real oddity, but it won’t help the waves for a while.

We start off with a long, dry spell. From Tuesday the 1st right through to around Friday the 4th, it’s just poor surf conditions. Tiny swell around 2ft to 2ft, mixed with onshore or cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best (242 to 829), and the wave comment is either “poor” or “marginal.” Honestly, don’t bother suiting up for those days.

The first real glimmer comes on Saturday the 5th. The morning is still marginal with a 3ft SSW swell and a 16-second period, but the energy is starting to build (1059). Then the afternoon, that’s where it gets interesting. A light rain clears, and we get a glassy, 5ft swell from the south, with a 15-second period. The energy jumps to 1562, and the wind is glass. That’s a standout for clean, fun waves, but it’s solid enough that it’s best for experienced surfers.

Sunday the 6th is the real highlight. The morning brings a solid 8ft south swell, 15-second period, and a clean cross-offshore wind from the NNE. The energy is pumping at 3067. The wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the best on offer—big, clean, and powerful. But by the afternoon, it’s hitting 10ft, and the forecast says it’s too big for this break. That’s expert territory only, and even then, it might be a handful. Monday the 7th morning still has a 10ft swell, but it’s a bit shorter period (13 seconds), and the wind is still clean cross-off. Still, it’s massive.

After that, the quality drops hard. Monday afternoon the 7th sees a 15ft monster with a 12-second period and a cross-onshore wind—that’s pure chaos. The rest of the week from Tuesday the 8th onward is a write-off. Small swell (1ft to 3ft), cross-onshore winds, and poor surf conditions. The energy drops to below 1000, and the wave comments are all “poor” or “marginal.” There’s a long gap of nothing from the 8th to the 16th.

So, to sum it up: your best bet is the Saturday afternoon the 5th for a clean, glassy session, and the Sunday morning the 6th for the biggest, cleanest swell of the period. After that, it’s a long wait. The setup is a river break, so it’s fairly consistent when the swell is there, but this run is mostly a dud. For the big days, it’s too much for beginners, and even the Sunday morning 8ft will be a challenge for most.

Rusty.

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