
Surf Forecasts:
Ponto surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SSW swell with 980 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ponto this week:
The surf forecast for Ponto over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ponto in the next 16 days are 1.6m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ponto over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer at Ponto over the next couple of weeks.
It's a slow start, no doubt about it. The first few days are pretty flat and messy, but don't write it off just yet—there's a pulse of energy building into the second week that could make things interesting.
The standout by a long shot is going to be Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th of July. We've got some proper size rolling in. On Friday morning, we’re looking at a 7ft south swell with a solid 15-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 2704 (moderate wave energy). That's the biggest of the whole run, but at that size, it's only going to suit experienced surfers. Plus, the wind is a light cross-onshore in the morning, so it'll be a little bumpy. By Friday afternoon, the wind swings offshore, giving us clean conditions, with 7ft south swell and a bit less energy (2455). Early Saturday stays around 7ft south-southwest, but there’s some cloud cover and a cross-onshore breeze again—so it won’t be as clean.
Before that, Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th offer the first sniff of decent surf. Sunday morning we have 5ft from the south-southwest, period around 13 seconds, and clean offshore breezes. It’s not huge, but the energy is ramping up (974). By Sunday afternoon it’s 5ft from the south with a bit more energy (1182) but still clean. Monday stays smaller at 3ft to 3ft, but those offshore winds hold, keeping it glassy.
Now, a word about the water. Ponto’s water temperature is sitting at a very unusual 72°F—that’s nearly 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year. So you might not need the thickest wetsuit.
After the big days on the 24th and 25th, the swell backs down but stays rideable through the end of the month. From the 26th onwards, we’re back to 3ft to 4ft swells, mostly from the south-southwest, with periods getting nice and long again (up to 19 seconds). The wind stays offshore or light, so conditions should be clean even if the size is smaller.
One thing to note: this is a river mouth break, and that long-period groundswell can make it a bit straight at times. When the swell is over 5ft, it’s also not a great spot for beginners. And crowds? Ponto is often packed, so expect company, especially on those bigger, cleaner days.
Alright, that’s the picture. Keep your eye on that Friday/Saturday window for the real juice. The rest is small but clean.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
107 | 96 | 161 | 122 | 122 | 125 | 181 | 103 | 136 | 366 | 379 | 394 | 929 | 771 | 867 | 403 | 506 | 373 | 612 | 474 | 474 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:25AM1.71m | 10:28PM2.45m | 12:07PM1.76m | 11:16PM2.26m | 12:48PM1.80m | 00:05AM2.01m | 1:31PM1.84m | 00:58AM1.74m | 2:15PM1.86m | 2:03AM1.48m | 3:02PM1.87m | 3:37AM1.29m | 3:53PM1.88m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:18PM0.95m | 5:35AM-0.01m | 5:13PM0.93m | 6:15AM0.16m | 6:12PM0.94m | 6:52AM0.36m | 7:18PM0.95m | 7:28AM0.58m | 8:35PM0.94m | 8:03AM0.79m | 10:06PM0.88m | 8:41AM0.98m | 11:35PM0.77m | ||||||||
5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
— | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | W 7 | W 9 | W 8 | W 7 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
95 | 83 | 161 | 69 | 76 | 45 | 40 | 103 | 136 | 366 | 379 | 394 | 929 | 771 | 867 | 341 | 506 | 373 | 612 | 474 | 474 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 16 | S 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | W 7 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | W 5 | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | W 6 |
8 | 96 | 73 | 122 | 122 | 107 | 181 | 24 | 45 | 100 | 141 | 149 | 45 | 358 | 7 | 403 | 205 | 330 | 100 | 116 | 23 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | W 5 | W 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | W 6 | WSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | SSW 9 |
107 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 47 | 125 | 74 | 83 | 12 | 7 | 44 | 91 | — | 43 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 55 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 4 | SSW 4 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 54 | 54 | 31 | 109 | 109 | 2 | 122 | 101 | 6 | 101 | 54 | 31 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 53 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 54 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ponto Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ponto provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ponto can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ponto surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ponto) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ponto may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Ponto is 2 km (1 miles) from the city of Carlsbad. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carlsbad. Carlsbad has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










