Nusa dua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, sit down. Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on your local patch.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag, I’m not gonna lie. We’ve got a solid groundswell pulse coming through, but the wind is the villain in this story for most of the run. The real challenge is finding a window where the breeze lets this reef do its thing.

Let’s start with the first session worth paddling out for. Sunday, July 5th, morning – there’s some hope. The swell is a proper 6ft from the SSW, with a long 14-second period, pumping in a serious amount of energy. This is a powerful, clean ocean swell. The problem is the wind is ESE at 12 mph, which is technically onshore for this break. The report calls it “marginal,” and I’d agree—the conditions are chunky but rideable if you’re an advanced surfer. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit dramas.

However, the standout moment in this whole outlook, and it’s a long way off, is Monday, July 20th, morning. This is one for the diary. We’ve got a beast of a swell hitting: 8ft from the SSW, with a monster 20-second period. The combined energy is massive, which is proper strong. This is a deep-water, long-period groundswell that will wrap perfectly into Nusa Dua. It’s an advanced-only zone on a good day, and with this size (over 8ft), it’s strictly for the experts. The wind, unfortunately, is still SE at 16 mph, coming cross-onshore, which will make it lumpy. Even so, the power of that swell is undeniable, and for a crew of experienced locals, it could be the session of the month. The crowds are “often” here, and on a swell like that, you can bet it will be busy.

The rest of the period is a write-off. The wind is relentless. From Sunday afternoon right through to Monday, July 20th, it’s a parade of moderate to fresh cross-onshore breezes. The swell height fluctuates between 2ft and 6ft, and the period is generally long (12-19 seconds), which means there’s plenty of energy out there, but the surface is going to be blown out, choppy, and lumpy. There are a few mornings (July 12th and July 15th) where the wind is “on” but still a fresh breeze, so the conditions are questionable at best. For most of this run, you’re better off staying home or looking for a protected corner. This is a reef break that needs glass or offshore wind to shine, and it’s just not getting it.

So, the takeaway: This week is a battle with the wind. If you’re an expert, pencil in Monday, July 20th for a serious, heavy swell session. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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