Nusa dua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

First up, the honest truth – Nusa dua ain’t really looking like a winner for the next sixteen days. We’ve got a solid swell train rolling in from the SSW, with some serious energy behind it on many days, but the wind is the real problem. For almost the whole period, it’s howling from the ESE and SE, smashing across the reef and making things lumpy, choppy, and frankly, a bit of a mess. The water temp is sitting around 81° which is bang on average for July, so that’s not the issue.

From the start on Wednesday morning, July 8th, there’s already a decent 6ft SSW swell rolling in with a long 15-second period and a big chunk of energy (1775). But with that 19 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s a write-off. That same story repeats right through the first week. The swell size stays mostly between 5ft and 6ft, with a few smaller days dropping under 3ft on Sunday and Monday, but the wind never cleans up. Thursday the 9th has the wind blowing straight onshore at 19 mph in the morning, which is just ugly. By Friday the 10th, same deal – 6ft SSW swell, 16-second period, but 22 mph rain squalls and still cross-on.

The weekend doesn’t offer any relief. Saturday the 11th drops to 5ft, but it’s still lumpy. By Sunday and Monday the 12th and 13th, the swell fades right out to 3ft and 3ft, so even if the wind was good, you’d be struggling. Tuesday the 14th sees a bit of a spike back up to 5ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon with a long 18-second period and strong energy (2321 in the arvo), but the cross-onshore wind is still there, so no dice.

The second week looks similar. From Wednesday the 15th right through to Wednesday the 22nd, we keep seeing that 4ft to 7ft SSW swell with that same frustrating cross-onshore wind. The energy gets very serious on Tuesday the 21st – 7ft in the morning (1958 energy) and 7ft in the afternoon (2896 energy) – but it’s still cross-on. That kind of size and period is only for experts anyway, and with the wind making it lumpy, it’s more of a kiteboarding show than a surfing day.

There is a tiny glimmer right at the end. On Thursday the 23rd of July, the wind eases to only 9 mph from the ESE. We’ve still got a solid 6ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, and while it’s still technically cross-onshore, it’s a gentle breeze. The energy is moderate (1496 in the morning). It’s only marked as marginal, but it’s the best looking session in the whole outlook. If the wind lays down a bit more, Thursday morning might actually give you a few clean lines on that reef.

Other than that one Thursday a couple weeks out, it’s a long stretch of no real recommendations. When a break like Nusa dua is this consistent but the wind never plays ball, it’s a rough one.

Rusty.

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