Nusa dua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next sixteen days.

Alright, first up, this is all about Nusa Dua. We’ve got a solid, consistent pulse of SSW swell running through the whole period, but the wind is the story here. Most of the time we’re dealing with a cross-onshore breeze, which is gonna put a chop on the surface. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothin’ wild there. The wave energy is moderate to strong, with values in the hundreds and hitting four-digit figures when the swell kicks.

Through this Wednesday and Thursday, we’re seeing chest-high waves around 5 ft to 6 ft, but those cross-onshore winds from the SE and ESE are messin’ with the face. It’s going to be bumpy and a bit of a battle for a clean line. The swell period is a solid 14 to 15 seconds, so there’s some good groundswell energy in there (combined energy around 1085 to 1533), but the surface texture is the letdown. These days are for the diehards only.

Friday and Saturday look weaker. The swell drops to about 4 ft to 5 ft, and the wind stays cross-onshore. The wave comment says “poor surf conditions” and scores are low. Honestly, this is a write-off.

Now, Sunday the 20th is where we start to see a bit of life again. Swell bumps up to 6 ft to 6 ft from the SSW with a longer period of 16 seconds. This is a nice clean groundswell (combined energy of 1585 to 1781), but the catch is that cross-onshore wind is still hanging around. It’s not glassy, but the extra size and period mean there’s more push and shape. This is the first little standout of the period. It’s still a bit rough around the edges, but the best on offer so far.

Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd slip back into marginal or poor conditions with smaller swell and choppy winds. Not worth paddling out for.

Then Wednesday the 23rd brings another pulse: 6 ft to 6 ft, 15-16 second SSW swell. Strong moderate energy (1700-1715). But again, wind is cross-onshore. This break rarely sees perfect glass. It’s a consistent reef break for advanced surfers, and the crowds can be there. If you’re an experienced local who can handle the chop, you’ll find a wave.

The long-range look gets interesting. By Sunday the 27th of September, we’ve got a serious pulse arriving: 8 ft SSW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy jumps way up to 4687 – that’s strong wave energy. This is for experts only. Anything over 8 ft on a reef at Nusa Dua is heavy, and with that long period, it’ll be a freight train. The wind is still a cross-onshore breeze, so it won’t be perfect, but the power will be undeniable. This is the biggest window of the whole outlook, but it’s a real handful. For the crew who can handle it, this is the one to watch, but it’s a long-range call, so don’t bet the farm on it.

That big swell tapers off into the start of October, with a 7 ft, 18-second SSW groundswell on Thursday the 1st of October still showing some solid potential (combined energy 4080), but the wind stays in the same cross-onshore pattern.

Honestly, for the whole sixteen days, the wind never really goes offshore. It’s a consistent reef break that delivers swell, but the conditions are always a bit lumpy. If you’re a true charger, the 27th of September is your best shot for pure size and power, but bring your big-wave board and a whole lot of respect.

Rusty, out.

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