Nusa dua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you—this outlook’s a tough one. We’re looking at Nusa dua, a reef setup that’s advanced and very consistent, but the wind’s just not playing ball for most of the 16 days. That’s Bali for you sometimes.

Right now, the forecast kicks off on Thursday the 23rd of July, and honestly, it’s a write-off. The swell’s there—3 ft to 4 ft from the SSW—but that wind’s howling out of the SE at 30 km/h, cross-on, and it’s making a mess of things. The water’s a warm 80°, pretty normal for this time of year, but the surface is lumpy and poor. The combined energy’s moderate (571 to 681), but it’s not worth paddling out in that chop. That’s the same story all day Thursday, and into Friday the 24th, with similar cross-on wind and swell around 3 ft to 3 ft. The energy picks up a bit (718 to 795), but still poor conditions.

Saturday the 25th doesn’t get any better. Swell’s up to 4 ft from the SSW, period’s a decent 15 seconds, but that cross-on wind from the ESE at 25 km/h keeps it choppy. Energy’s strong (839 to 999), but it’s wasted. Sunday the 26th sees a change—swell jumps to 8 ft to 8 ft from the SE, but with a short period of 9 seconds and wind cranking at 35 km/h, it’s messy and too big for most. That’s expert territory, but the wind kills it. Energy’s very strong (1116 to 1254). Monday and Tuesday follow the same pattern: 6 ft to 7 ft SE swell, short period, fresh cross-onshore wind at 30 to 35 km/h. Just lumpy and poor.

We’ve got a real gap here. From Thursday the 23rd right through to the end of July, it’s all poor surf conditions—nothing to recommend. The wind stays cross-on, mostly from the SE or ESE, and the swell’s either too small, too short-period, or blown out. Even when the swell gets bigger toward the end of July, the wind’s still ruining it. The combined energy climbs into the strong range (1066 to 1313), but it’s not surfable.

Then we hit Saturday the 1st of August. Finally, a bit of light. The swell’s 5 ft to 6 ft from the SSW with a very long period of 17 seconds—that’s proper groundswell. The wind drops to 20 to 25 km/h, still cross-on, but it’s marginal. The energy’s strong (1397 to 1557), but the conditions are still choppy. It’s the best we’ve seen, but it’s only a “marginal surf forecast” call, so don’t get your hopes up. Sunday the 2nd of August looks a bit better: 6 ft to 6 ft SSW swell, 17 seconds, and lighter wind at 20 km/h, with periods of offshore in the morning. That’s clean—the wind’s onshore from the east, so it’s offshore at Nusa dua. The energy’s very strong (2744 to 2673). This could be the standout, but it’s a week and a half away, so fingers crossed.

Monday the 3rd of August keeps the swell going at 6 ft from the SSW, 15 seconds, but the wind’s back cross-on at 20 km/h. Energy’s still strong (1949 to 2338), but it’s choppy. Tuesday the 4th of August might be the real pick: 7 ft to 7 ft SSW swell, 15 to 16 seconds, with gentle breeze at 15 km/h and offshore in the morning. That’s clean, glassy even. The energy’s through the roof (2706 to 2490). But at over 7 ft, this is only for experts—it’s big. The rest of the first week of August stays marginal, with 4 ft to 6 ft SSW swell and gentle cross-onshore wind, keeping the surf fairly choppy.

So, if you’re a strong surfer, keep an eye on Sunday the 2nd of August and Tuesday the 4th of August. Those are the only real standouts, with longer period groundswell and a chance of clean conditions. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. The break is very consistent, so it’s not a dead period normally—this wind is just a stubborn one. Forecasts can change, so don’t give up.

Rusty.

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