Nusa dua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the Nusa Dua stretch over the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, it's a tough run ahead. We've got a decent amount of swell in the water, but the wind is just not playing ball. For the rest of July and into the first week of August, it's a constant battle with a strong cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the ESE and SE. This is going to leave the surface lumpy and choppy, making it a real struggle to get a clean ride. Even though we've got some serious groundswell energy—check out the numbers, like 2267 (moderate to strong energy) on the 20th and 2058 that afternoon—it’s all blown out by the wind. The water's sitting at a warm 81°F, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're getting frustrated.

The swell is mostly from the SSW, which is actually the sweet spot for this break, and the periods are long, often 14-17 seconds, which means proper groundswell with good shape. But it's all academic when the wind is howling. The first few days, from the 20th to the 24th, are a write-off with every session marked as "poor surf conditions." On the 25th, we get a brief moment of offshore wind (ESE) in the morning, but the swell is a bit small at 4ft, and the energy is still moderate (1143). It's a glimmer, but not a standout.

The pattern continues: a mix of moderate to fresh cross-onshore winds, with the swell dropping and then rebuilding. The 26th sees a shift to a shorter period SE swell (8 seconds), which is going to be weaker and more disorganized. The best chance for a decent session looks like the 27th of July, with the wind going offshore (ESE) again in the morning, but the swell is still a short-period 5ft from the SE. It's a possibility, but not a guarantee.

Looking further out, the 2nd of August morning shows a similar pattern: a 6ft SSW swell with offshore wind, but it's a one-off in a long stretch of lumpy conditions. The 30th of July afternoon has a long period 18-second swell with a good energy reading of 1047, but the cross-onshore wind will ruin it. Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there isn't a single day I'd confidently call a standout. The wind is just too persistent.

So, the bottom line: Nusa Dua is going to be a frustrating watch. The swell is there, the direction is right, but the wind is going to be a spoiler. If you're desperate, keep an eye on those mornings when the wind hints at turning offshore, but don't get your hopes up. This is a period for the kite surfers, not the paddle surfers.

Rusty.

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