Nusa dua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've been staring at the charts for your local stretch. Let's get into it.

Straight up, this is a tough run. The whole 16-day window is looking like a battle against the wind. The swell is there, but it's almost always coming in with a cross-onshore breeze that's going to chop it up. The water temp is sitting right around 79°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real pulse of energy you'd want to look at is kicking off on the morning of Thursday, August 13th. We've got a solid 8ft S swell rolling in with a very long 17s period. That's proper groundswell with a heap of energy behind it (3463). The problem is that ESE wind is howling at 25 km/h, cross-on, making it a mess. It's an advanced-level reef break, Nusa dua, and with that size, it's only for the experienced crew. The period is so long that it might be better suited to a point or reef, but the wind is the killer here. The wave comment says it all: "poor surf conditions". It's a tough one to recommend.

As we move through the first week, the pattern is consistent. The swell sticks around, dropping from 8ft to 7ft and then 7ft over Friday and Saturday, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-on from the SE or ESE. The period, however, remains impressive, often in the 15-17s range, which means the energy is real (often in the 2000-3000 range). But with that constant wind, the surf is always "marginal" or "poor". Thursday morning, August 13th, is the standout, but only because it's the biggest and most powerful. It's not clean, but it's the most powerful chunk of ocean we've got.

The second week doesn't offer much relief. From Monday, August 17th, the swell drops down to 5ft and smaller, and the wind just keeps blowing. The energy drops off, too, with the combined energy falling below 1000 for many periods. The wave comments are consistently "poor surf conditions". There's a tiny uptick on Wednesday, August 19th, with a 8ft SSW swell and an 18s period, combined energy of 3305, but again, the wind is cross-on. It's a tease.

To be honest, for the next 16 days, the only break that's even on the radar is Nusa dua. It's very consistent, but the wind is a constant problem. If you're an expert and you're desperate, the morning of Thursday, August 13th, is your best bet for the biggest, most powerful waves. But don't expect anything clean. For the rest of us, this is a dry spell. The forecasts can change, but right now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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