Surf Forecasts:
Mitchell's Cove surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with 865 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mitchell's Cove this week:
The surf forecast for Mitchell's Cove over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mitchell's Cove in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 17s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mitchell's Cove over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and ordinary for Mitchell's Cove. This is a sheltered reef and point setup, so it needs a specific window to work, and that window isn't really opening. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell and wonky winds, so don't get your hopes up for anything epic.
The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for is on Saturday, September 12th. The morning will see a bit of a bump from the SW at 0.9m (about 3 ft), but the period is a long 14 seconds, which is nice for a groundswell but the energy is moderate (438). The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. It’s really only a marginal call for the advanced crew. That afternoon gets messy with a 15 mph cross-shore, so forget it.
Sunday, September 13th is where we might get a small window. The morning turns glassy with a light WSW breeze, and there’s a little 1.2m (about 4 ft) swell from the WNW. The energy is still moderate (157) and the period is short at 7 seconds, so it won't be powerful, but it’ll be clean. For a sheltered spot, that glassy surface is a major positive. It’s a small, clean wave for the advanced guys who know the rock.
The next noteworthy pulse comes in the second week. On Monday, September 21st in the afternoon, we see a long-period groundswell from the SW pushing 0.9m (about 3 ft) with a 17-second period and moderate energy (421). That’s a very long period, which means it’ll wrap in nicely here at the point, but it’s a long way out. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s a marginal call but one to watch as the date gets closer. That’s about as good as it gets in this forecast.
The rest of the time? It’s all poor surf conditions. Small waves from 0.6 ft to 3 ft, short periods, and mostly cross-onshore or onshore winds. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Honestly, it’s a bleak 16 days for Mitchell’s Cove. The energy readings are mostly in the double digits or low triple digits, which is weak to moderate at best. No standouts here, just a couple of small, clean windows for the patient and the dedicated.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | NW 7 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WNW 5 | SW 14 | WNW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 6 | 68 | 78 | 99 | 79 | 309 | 301 | 80 | 158 | 123 | 137 | 339 | 326 | 523 | 766 | 304 | 197 | 116 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:49PM1.71m | 11:09AM1.50m | 10:42PM1.62m | 11:37AM1.54m | 11:33PM1.51m | 12:04PM1.56m | 00:23AM1.38m | 12:30PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.26m | 12:56PM1.57m | 2:16AM1.15m | 1:24PM1.56m | 3:35AM1.08m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:18AM-0.13m | 4:32PM0.36m | 4:54AM-0.02m | 5:17PM0.24m | 5:28AM0.15m | 6:01PM0.17m | 6:01AM0.34m | 6:44PM0.15m | 6:33AM0.55m | 7:29PM0.16m | 7:04AM0.75m | 8:19PM0.21m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 27 | 28 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 23 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 267 | 368 | 432 | 430 | 425 | 403 | 106 | 301 | 211 | 158 | 120 | 118 | 339 | 326 | 107 | 449 | 304 | 197 | 116 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 61 | 75 | 111 | 78 | 99 | 36 | 309 | 35 | 34 | 29 | 24 | 23 | 85 | 67 | 42 | 107 | 127 | 64 | 62 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | S 9 | NW 12 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WNW 12 | S 10 | NW 11 | WNW 10 | SSW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 20 |
| kJ | 7 | 39 | 68 | 39 | 18 | 51 | 85 | 14 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 37 | 92 | 78 | 2 | 38 | 23 | 23 | 75 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 3 | — | — | NW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 5 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 6 | — | — | WNW 9 | NW 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 6 | 8 | — | — | 79 | 227 | 88 | 80 | 131 | 123 | 137 | — | — | 523 | 766 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 87 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Cruz | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mitchell's Cove Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mitchell's Cove provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mitchell's Cove can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mitchell's Cove surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mitchell's Cove) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mitchell's Cove may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mitchell's Cove is 3 km (2 miles) from Santa Cruz. If you plan a vacation in Santa Cruz, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Cruz. Santa Cruz has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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