Surf Forecasts:
Lincoln City surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, WNW swell with 499 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lincoln City this week:
The surf forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lincoln City in the next 16 days are 1.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about Lincoln City. It’s a beach and reef setup, and honestly, it’s looking pretty bleak for the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 52°F, which is a massive 7°F colder than usual for this time of year. That’s not just a chilly morning; that’s a whole different season. You’re gonna need the thickest suit you own, and even then, it’s gonna be a battle.
The surf itself is just... flat. We’re looking at a solid run of days with nothing on offer. From now through the 18th, it’s all small, weak, and messy. Swell heights are hovering around 2ft to 2ft from the southwest with periods around 14 seconds, but the energy is weak, reading between 247 and 385. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or cross, which is just chopping up an already tiny wave. It’s the kind of surf that has you driving home wondering why you bothered. Honestly, for a stretch like this, it might be more interesting to look at kite surfing, because paddle surfing is a write-off.
There’s a slight pulse starting on the 19th. Wednesday morning sees the swell bump to 3ft from the WNW with a 12-second period, and the energy starts building to 442. Still, it’s not enough to get excited about. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. The 20th is a bit better, with the swell pushing 4ft to 5ft from the WNW, and energy climbing to 579. This is the first time I’d even consider paddling out. The wind is light, which is a plus, but the period has dropped to 11 seconds. It’s still marginal, and the tide is a question mark.
Then it fades again. The 21st and 22nd drop back down to 3ft, with the energy bleeding off to 215-357. The wind stays messy. Not good.
The 23rd offers a glimpse of something, with 4ft surf from the NW, but the period is a short, crumbly 7 seconds. That’s just windswell junk, and the cross-shore breeze will make it a chore.
We get a brief break with tiny 2ft swell from the SW on the 24th, but with a long 18-second period. That energy is there, but the size is not.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The 26th and 27th see a real push. Swell heights jump to 6ft to 6ft from the NNW and NW, with periods in the 7-8 second range. The energy is moderate to strong, hitting 424-485. This is still short-period stuff, so it’ll be lumpy and probably closing out at the beach breaks. The wind is cross-shore, which isn't helping.
The 30th is the standout. The swell is 6ft from the NW with an 8-second period, but the energy is the strongest we’ve seen, hitting 653. It’s still short-period, so it’s not the cleanest, but there’s finally some push. The wind is cross, so expect some chop on the surface.
Look, realistically, this is a rough outlook. The whole 16-day window is poor. The only days that even approach being rideable are the 20th, and maybe the 30th. The 20th has cleaner 11-second swell from the WNW at 5ft. The 30th has the most energy. But both are compromised by cross winds and short periods.
There’s nothing here for beginners. The 6ft+ days are too big and messy for that. And even for the experts, it’s not going to be pretty. It’s a classic case of an exposed beach and reef setup that’s just getting battered by cross-shore winds.
We’ve got a blank run on our hands. For this area, that’s not uncommon. Don’t get too down, forecasts can flip, but as it stands, you might want to find something else to do for a couple of weeks.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 9 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
130 | 251 | 129 | 125 | 284 | 169 | 167 | 169 | 167 | 153 | 267 | 308 | 349 | 343 | 319 | 433 | 198 | 189 | 191 | 246 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:14PM1.98m | 3:16AM1.82m | 3:49PM1.98m | 4:09AM1.63m | 4:24PM1.96m | 5:09AM1.45m | 5:01PM1.90m | 6:21AM1.32m | 5:43PM1.83m | 7:53AM1.25m | 6:35PM1.77m | 9:33AM1.27m | 7:39PM1.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:43PM0.24m | 9:50AM0.12m | 10:34PM0.22m | 10:26AM0.32m | 11:28PM0.23m | 11:02AM0.51m | 00:27AM0.24m | 11:42AM0.68m | 1:33AM0.25m | 12:33PM0.81m | 2:45AM0.24m | 1:48PM0.89m | 3:53AM0.20m | |||||||
— | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | |
8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | SW 16 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 9 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 |
74 | 251 | 61 | 42 | 284 | 169 | 167 | 40 | 64 | 91 | 105 | 308 | 349 | 343 | 319 | 433 | 198 | 189 | 191 | 246 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | W 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | NW 6 | SW 16 | NW 6 | NW 7 | SSW 14 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | SW 13 |
43 | 70 | 88 | 87 | 41 | 39 | 36 | 169 | 167 | 141 | 267 | 46 | 87 | 85 | 89 | 138 | 91 | 53 | 69 | 85 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | NW 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 12 | S 8 | NW 13 | W 8 | WNW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | NNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 |
130 | 23 | 129 | 125 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 71 | 153 | 91 | 88 | 44 | 167 | 171 | 6 | 97 | 97 | 97 | 49 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 12 | 35 | 44 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 293 | 1 | 353 | 353 | 1 | 148 | 353 | 1 | 91 | 378 | 1 | 113 | 358 | 22 | 214 | 222 | 1 | 219 | 293 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Oregon | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Lincoln City Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lincoln City provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lincoln City can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lincoln City surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lincoln City) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lincoln City may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lincoln City is 72 km (45 miles) from the city of McMinnville. If you plan a vacation in North Oregon, look for hotels and other accommodation in McMinnville. McMinnville has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











