Surf Forecasts:
Lincoln City surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NW swell with 528 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lincoln City this week:
The surf forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lincoln City in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, giving you the straight talk on the next 16 days for Lincoln City.
Honestly, it’s a rough stretch. The wind is a constant headache, and the water is absolutely freezing. The water temp is *51°F*, which is a massive 7°F colder than normal for this time of year. You’ll be layering up big time.
The first few days are a waste. Thursday through Saturday (16th–18th) are all cross-onshore winds with small, weak surf. The energy is low to moderate (473 to 775). Saturday afternoon sees a spike to 5ft from the NW, but it’s short period (9 seconds) and the wind is a straight cross-shore, so it’s just a chop fest. The energy picks up (1007), but it’s not clean.
Sunday and Monday (19th–20th) are ugly. The swell is 5ft to 6ft from the NW, but the period is short (8 seconds) and the wind is cross or cross-onshore. It’s bumpy, ugly, and hard to paddle in.
The one bright spot is Tuesday, 21st July. Tuesday morning is still a bit cross-onshore, but by Tuesday afternoon, the wind goes *glassy*. That’s our only chance. We’ve got a 5ft NW swell (8 seconds), and with flat calm conditions, it’ll be the cleanest we get all week. The energy is moderate (446). It’s not big, but for a beach and reef setup, glassy conditions will make it look way better than the numbers say. Crowds are possible, but on a Tuesday you might get lucky.
After that, the wind turns back onshore through the 22nd and 23rd, and the swell drops to 3ft or less. It’s back to marginal. We get a tease of very long period swell on the 25th and 26th (a 22-second and 20-second period from the SW), but the swell is tiny (2ft to 3ft) and the wind is cross-onshore or onshore. That long period won’t save a small, blown-out wave. The energy is moderate (316 to 563), but it’s not surfable.
The final week is a slow death. From the 24th to the 31st, we’re looking at small, weak swell (2ft to 3ft) with persistent cross-onshore winds. The water stays cold, and there’s no real quality window. The energy drops to weak levels (198 to 245) by the end.
Bottom line: Tuesday, 21st July afternoon is the only honest-to-goodness window. Don’t miss it, because the rest of this forecast is a long, cold, flat, windy mess.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | NW 11 | WNW 16 | NW 9 | WNW 15 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 201 | 249 | 419 | 486 | 371 | 423 | 353 | 402 | 339 | 257 | 414 | 458 | 423 | 408 | 299 | 299 | 264 | 239 | 294 | 173 | 206 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 3:20PM1.81m | 2:35AM2.12m | 4:01PM1.86m | 3:29AM1.91m | 4:42PM1.90m | 4:25AM1.68m | 5:22PM1.91m | 5:29AM1.46m | 6:04PM1.91m | 6:44AM1.29m | 6:47PM1.89m | 8:16AM1.21m | 7:34PM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:07AM-0.40m | 9:09PM0.48m | 9:49AM-0.28m | 10:06PM0.43m | 10:30AM-0.11m | 11:06PM0.39m | 11:09AM0.09m | 00:09AM0.35m | 11:49AM0.30m | 1:15AM0.31m | 12:32PM0.50m | 2:24AM0.25m | 1:21PM0.67m | 3:30AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — |
 | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | NW 11 | NW 10 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
| kJ | 147 | 126 | 88 | 486 | 371 | 423 | 348 | 344 | 339 | 218 | 163 | 458 | 423 | 408 | 299 | 299 | 264 | 239 | 294 | 173 | 206 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | NW 7 | NW 12 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NW 8 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 201 | 249 | 419 | 57 | 140 | 362 | 353 | 243 | 48 | 40 | 121 | 241 | 177 | 163 | 155 | 201 | 153 | 128 | 167 | 78 | 127 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WSW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 19 | WNW 14 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | W 21 | SW 21 | SW 14 | S 10 |
| kJ | 125 | 124 | 122 | 36 | 145 | 74 | 74 | 18 | 155 | 27 | 15 | 160 | 102 | 57 | 56 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 18 | 132 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | — | — | NW 9 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 2 | SSW 3 | SSW 3 | SSW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 121 | — | — | 402 | 192 | 257 | 414 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 181 | 219 | 1 | 181 | 384 | 1 | 148 | 547 | 22 | 148 | 353 | 22 | 148 | 351 | 22 | 214 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 219 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Oregon | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lincoln City Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lincoln City provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lincoln City can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lincoln City surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lincoln City) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lincoln City may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lincoln City is 72 km (45 miles) from the city of McMinnville. If you plan a vacation in North Oregon, look for hotels and other accommodation in McMinnville. McMinnville has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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