Lincoln City Surf Break

Lat Long: 44.94° N 124.03° W

Lincoln City Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lincoln City sea temperature is
11.5° C
3.6° 

Lincoln City surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lincoln City surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, WNW swell with 478 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lincoln City this week:

The surf forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lincoln City in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Tue 18th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 13s
Best Surf 8AM (Wed 19th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 12s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 20th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: looking at this whole window for Lincoln City, we’re not exactly spoiled for choice. The next week and a half is mostly a write-off—cross-shore winds, choppy conditions, and not much push.

The water is a big story early. It’s sitting at 53°, which is a massive 7° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s not a little cooler; that’s straight-up bone-chilling. Suit up properly, or you’ll be out after one wave.

We’ve got a rough patch ahead. From Monday morning through Saturday afternoon, it’s basically poor. The swell stays tiny, and the wind is all over the place—cross-onshore and cross. You’ll see some energy readings around 228 to 670 (moderate) but it’s not doing anyone any favors with the chop. Tuesday morning is marginal at best, with a light cross-on breeze and a 2ft swell, but it’s not worth getting wet for.

Now, Sunday the 21st – that’s our one real keeper. Friday morning, actually. I’m getting ahead of myself. Let’s rewind.

Thursday the 20th is still mostly junk, but the energy is building – up to 670 (moderate) with a 5ft swell from the WNW. The wind is light, but still cross-onshore, so it’s messy.

Then comes Friday morning, the 21st. This is the standout. Glassy conditions, light W wind, and a clean 3ft WNW swell at 10 seconds. The energy is 405 (moderate). It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and that’s everything. The period is still on the shorter side, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but it’s the best we’ve got. Get out early; the afternoon turns marginal.

After that brief flash, we slide back into the mundane. Saturday the 22nd brings a short, weak NW swell at 7 seconds. The energy drops, and the wind picks up again. It’s poor. Sunday the 23rd is worse, with a strong cross-shore wind and a tiny, jumbled sea.

The following week is pretty flat. There’s a hint on Tuesday the 25th afternoon of a 5ft NNW swell, but it’s only 6 seconds of period and light cross-on wind. That’s just mush. The energy is there (502 – moderate), but it’s not going to hold up. A couple of other marginal windows pop up, like the 26th and the 1st of September, but they’re all plagued by cross-onshore winds and weak, short-period swell. The energy readings stay in the moderate range, but wave quality is the problem.

So there you have it. One solidly glassy morning on the 21st, surrounded by a lot of choppy, weak surf. If you’re desperate, that’s the one to chase. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain. We’ll see what happens.

Stay warm.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.9
WNW
12
1
WNW
12
1.1
WNW
12
1.1
WNW
12
1.4
WNW
11
1.2
WNW
11
0.9
WNW
11
1.1
NW
8
0.8
WNW
10
0.7
WNW
10
1
NW
7
1.1
NW
7
1
NW
7
0.9
NW
6
0.4
SW
19
1.5
NNW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
167
167
169
167
153
267
303
337
343
478
308
187
147
131
96
104
115
88
52
95
144
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
20
NNW
10
N
10
NW
15
NNW
10
NNE
10
NNW
20
NNW
10
NNE
10
NNW
15
NNW
5
NE
5
W
10
W
10
S
10
SSW
10
NNW
10
N
20
NNW
25
NNW
15
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
4:24PM1.96m
5:09AM1.45m
5:01PM1.90m
6:21AM1.32m
5:43PM1.83m
7:53AM1.25m
6:35PM1.77m
9:33AM1.27m
7:39PM1.74m
10:44AM1.34m
8:47PM1.75m
11:28AM1.41m
9:47PM1.80m
Low Tide
10:26AM0.32m
11:28PM0.23m
11:02AM0.51m
00:27AM0.24m
11:42AM0.68m
1:33AM0.25m
12:33PM0.81m
2:45AM0.24m
1:48PM0.89m
3:53AM0.20m
3:13PM0.90m
4:49AM0.13m
4:22PM0.86m
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clear
clear
clear
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clear
clear
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:20
6:22
6:22
6:24
6:24
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:19
8:17
8:15
8:14
8:13
8:10
8:08
 mm
Temp °C
17
16
14
17
17
15
17
17
14
17
17
14
16
17
15
16
17
15
17
17
14
Feels °C
16
14
13
16
15
13
16
15
13
15
15
13
16
16
14
15
16
14
14
13
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lincoln City Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lincoln City provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lincoln City can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lincoln City surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lincoln City) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lincoln City may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lincoln City is 72 km (45 miles) from the city of McMinnville. If you plan a vacation in North Oregon, look for hotels and other accommodation in McMinnville. McMinnville has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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