Lincoln City Surf Break

Lat Long: 44.94° N 124.03° W

Lincoln City Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lincoln City sea temperature is
9.8° C
5.0° 

Lincoln City surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lincoln City surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 446 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lincoln City this week:

The surf forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lincoln City in the next 16 days are 1.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Best Surf 2AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sat 11th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lincoln City over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Lincoln City. I gotta be straight with you, the next 16 days are lookin' pretty grim for a proper paddle. The water is absolutely frigid, sittin' at 50°F with a wild anomaly of 9°F below normal, which is way colder than it should be for this time of year. It’s a tough ask for a surf session when the elements are that raw.

The first bit of interest comes on Wednesday afternoon, July 8th, with a NW swell around 4ft, but it’s got a cross wind from the NNW at 16 mph. The combined energy is moderate (662), but it’s just not clean. It’s a marginal call at best. Thursday the 9th brings a drop in size to 3ft, but the swell direction switches to SW with a long period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, but with the NNW winds still blowin’ cross, it’s messy. Energy is moderate (910) but the quality is shot.

That pattern just keeps going. We see a bit of a bump on Saturday the 11th with that WNW swell pushin’ 4ft, and the period drops to 10 seconds. The wind is light from the SW, but it’s cross-on, so it’s not the clean stuff we’re after. We see a few days with that same story: small swell, cross or cross-on winds, and poor to marginal conditions. The energy numbers are all in the moderate range, but it’s never quite coming together.

The one standout in this whole outlook is a bit of a tease. On Thursday the 16th, we get a long period WNW swell at 18 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a solid 825 (moderate). The swell height is only 2ft, so it’s small, but that long period will give it some form. The problem is the 16 mph NNW cross wind. It’s gonna be choppy. Still, if you’re a patient soul, that might be the best looking wave shape of the whole run. For a moment on Friday the 17th, the energy is even higher at 935, but again, the wind is a problem.

Honestly, there’s no day here I’d call a true standout for a surfer. The wind is never right, and the swell is either too small or too messy. When the swell does get a bit of size, like on the 20th and 21st with 7ft to 7ft from the NNW, the period is short (6-7 seconds) and the wind is still cross. That’s a recipe for a lumpy, crumbly mess. It’s more of a kite-surfing set-up than a clean paddle session.

Bottom line: hold onto your boards. There’s a 16-day window, but the surf is a write-off. The forecasts can change, but right now, I’d save your energy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
1
2
0
0
2
2
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NW
9
1.3
WNW
9
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
1.3
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
10
1.5
NW
9
1.1
WNW
9
1.2
NW
8
1
NW
8
0.5
SW
14
0.5
SW
13
1.1
W
8
1
W
8
0.9
W
9
1.2
WNW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
275
272
310
254
251
221
215
284
339
446
332
365
190
206
129
91
87
157
111
119
288
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
15
NNE
15
NNW
20
NNW
10
N
10
NW
15
NW
5
NW
10
SW
15
NW
5
NE
15
NNW
20
NNW
5
NNE
10
NW
10
NW
5
ESE
10
W
10
WNW
5
S
15
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
cross
High Tide
7:22PM1.98m
8:53AM1.23m
8:12PM2.07m
10:19AM1.31m
9:07PM2.17m
11:27AM1.41m
10:04PM2.26m
12:23PM1.52m
11:02PM2.34m
1:11PM1.61m
11:57PM2.38m
1:56PM1.69m
00:51AM2.36m
Low Tide
3:02AM0.14m
2:00PM0.62m
4:05AM-0.03m
3:07PM0.71m
5:03AM-0.20m
4:16PM0.75m
5:58AM-0.34m
5:21PM0.73m
6:49AM-0.44m
6:21PM0.68m
7:38AM-0.48m
7:18PM0.61m
8:23AM-0.47m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:37
5:39
5:39
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:04
9:02
9:02
9:01
9:00
9:00
9:00
8:59
 mm
Temp °C
16
12
16
16
14
16
17
14
15
16
14
16
16
14
17
17
14
16
18
16
15
Feels °C
13
8
13
12
11
14
15
13
13
13
12
13
12
11
15
14
13
14
16
16
13
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lincoln City Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lincoln City provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lincoln City can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lincoln City surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lincoln City) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lincoln City may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lincoln City is 72 km (45 miles) from the city of McMinnville. If you plan a vacation in North Oregon, look for hotels and other accommodation in McMinnville. McMinnville has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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