Les Conches Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this forecast for Les Conches is a tough one. We’re looking at a real dry spell for the next 16 days. The models are shoving a consistent, but small, pulse of west-northwest swell at us, but the wind is almost always in the wrong place. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Thursday afternoon kicks off with a weak 3-foot cross-on mess from the WNW, with a period of just 4 seconds. That’s barely a ripple, and the 19 mph cross-onshore wind is just going to make it lumpy. The combined energy is a paltry 22 (weak). Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday – all the same story. We’re seeing tiny waves, mostly 0.3 feet to 2 feet, and the wind is either onshore, cross-onshore, or just plain wrong. There’s a moment of glassy conditions on Tuesday the 11th morning, but the swell is only 0.7 feet – you’d be floating, not surfing.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t come until Thursday the 13th. The morning session shows a 2-foot swell from the west with a 9-second period, and a light NNE wind keeping it clean. The combined energy is 73 (still weak). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The same goes for the morning of Friday the 14th – a 2-foot west swell with glassy conditions from a light easterly. The energy is 96 (weak). These are the only two true standouts in the entire window, and they’re barely a paddle. The best call is to hit Les Conches on the morning of Friday the 14th. That 2-foot swell, with glassy conditions, is your cleanest option. The swell direction is WSW, which is close to the optimum swell direction of WSW, so it’s filtering in alright.

From Saturday the 15th onwards, it’s back to the same old grind. Afternoon winds pick up hard out of the west and north-west, making it choppy and lumpy. The swell tries to push a little bit, hitting 4 feet on the 14th afternoon, but the onshore wind kills it. The combined energy on that one hits 184 (moderate), but the conditions are poor. The 3 feet on the 13th afternoon also has moderate energy (351), but again, it’s a moderate cross-onshore and choppy.

For the second week, it’s slim pickings. The morning of Monday the 18th shows a 2-foot west swell with a light offshore from the SE, keeping it clean. The energy is 41 (weak). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. The rest of the week is just more of the same – tiny, short-period swell and strong cross-onshore winds.

Honestly, for this stretch, if you’re a beginner, the 2 feet on the 14th morning is your best bet – it’s small and clean. For anyone else, it’s a frustrating wait. The consistent swell is there, but the wind just won’t cooperate. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, I’d be polishing the board and waiting for a better window.

Rusty.

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