Surf Forecasts:
Les Conches surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, W swell with 70 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Les Conches this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Les Conches in the next 16 days are 0.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Les Conches over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’m gonna level with you: the La Manche region is flat out busted for the next 16 days. I’ve looked at every bit of the forecast, and there’s not a single session that’s worth a wet suit. Nothing. Zero. It’s one of those blank spells that just happens here – the swell and wind never get on the same page, and when they do, the size is laughable.
From Wednesday the 15th all the way through Saturday the 26th of July, it’s a dead zone. The swell stays tiny, mostly under 2 feet, and the wind is either onshore, cross-on, or just too strong to keep it clean. The combined energy stays well below 100 (weak), often in the single digits. The water is 72°, which is over 3° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s weird, but it won’t make the waves any better.
The only glimmer comes on Sunday the 26th of July, early morning at Les Conches. There’s a little 3ft WNW swell, period only 6 seconds, so it’s a weak, short-period windswell. The wind is light and cross-off from the NNW, which keeps it clean. The combined energy hits 62 (still weak). The report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – and that’s the best we get. It’s knee-high, inconsistent, and barely breaking. For a beginner, it might be a fun little splash, but it’s not a reason to load the boards.
After that, the rest of the month stays flat or messy. The wind goes back onshore, the swell drops under 2ft, and the energy is gone. Even the offshore wind days around the 20th produce nothing because the swell is literally 0.3ft to 0.6ft. The longer period swells (11-12 seconds) that show up mid-week are too weak to push any real shape.
So, bottom line: don’t bother. No swell, no quality, no standout. The forecasts can change, but right now, this stretch is a total goose egg. Hang the board up for a bit.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 17°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NE by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 8 | W 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | W 9 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 70 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:27PM4.68m | 6:59AM4.33m | 7:14PM4.67m | 7:44AM4.23m | 7:59PM4.55m | 8:28AM4.06m | 8:43PM4.32m | 9:13AM3.85m | 9:28PM4.01m | 10:00AM3.62m | 10:18PM3.69m | 10:59AM3.40m | 11:29PM3.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:04PM-0.08m | 00:35AM-0.31m | 12:52PM-0.15m | 1:22AM-0.29m | 1:38PM-0.10m | 2:08AM-0.15m | 2:23PM0.06m | 2:53AM0.09m | 3:09PM0.31m | 3:38AM0.41m | 3:56PM0.62m | 4:24AM0.74m | 4:45PM0.93m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:54 | — | — | 9:53 | — | — | 9:52 | — | — | 9:52 | — | — | 9:51 | — | — | 9:51 | — | — | 9:50 |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 29 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 30 | 30 | 21 | 29 | 29 | 23 | 30 | 31 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 4 | W 5 | — | W 4 | W 9 | W 8 | W 4 | SW 4 | W 8 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 9 | W 8 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 17 | 9 | 13 | — | 9 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | — | W 9 | W 9 | — | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | WNW 5 | — | W 8 | W 8 | NW 5 | W 10 | W 9 | W 12 | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 6 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 8 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 12 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 10 | WNW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | WSW 8 | NE 2 | E 3 | ENE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 3 | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 |
| kJ | — | 70 | 10 | 5 | 54 | — | 26 | 27 | — | — | 22 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 260 | 517 | 605 | 517 | 760 | 469 | 308 | 465 | 342 | 961 | 361 | 271 | 469 | 263 | 254 | 341 | 240 | 260 | 341 | 240 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Vendee | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in France | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Les Conches Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Les Conches provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Les Conches can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Les Conches surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Les Conches) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Les Conches may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Vendee? If you are looking for accommodation near Les Conches, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Vendee, consider staying in Les Sables-d'Olonne which is 27 km (17 miles) away. Other places in and around Vendee where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include La Pallice which is 32 km (20 miles) away, La Roche-sur-Yon, La Rochelle and Marans.
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