Les Conches Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – looking at the forecast for Les Conches over the next couple of weeks, and it's a tough one. We're starting off with pretty much nothing. The first couple of days are flat and choppy, so don't even bother waxing up until at least mid-week.

The story is pretty grim right through. We've got tiny, short-period slop for days. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th offer up a measly 1 foot of swell with weak energy readings (around 14-32 range) and onshore or cross-onshore winds. Monday the 13th bumps up to 2 feet, but with a period of only 6 seconds and a "fairly choppy" description, it's not going to be any fun. This pattern of small, wind-affected surf continues all the way through the end of the week.

Now, by Tuesday the 21st of July, we start to see a bit more life. The afternoon shows a 2 foot swell from the WNW with a much longer 11-second period, pushing the combined energy up to a moderate 102. That's a step in the right direction, and the longer period means better shaped waves, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, so it'll still be a bit bumpy.

The real interest, and I say this with a heavy heart, comes in the final week. Around Thursday the 23rd of July, the swell jumps to 4-4 feet from the WNW with a moderate period, and the combined energy hits a strong 264-265. This is the biggest swell of the forecast, but every single update still says "poor surf conditions" due to onshore winds. The waves will be there, but they're going to be a messy, closed-out wall. For the experienced guys who can handle a beatdown, there might be a few corners, but for the average punter, it's going to be a frustrating paddle.

For a standout, you'd have to look at Friday the 24th of July. We see 4 feet of swell from the W, moderate 102 energy, but the wind is howling onshore at 25 mph. That's not surf, that's a washing machine. The setup at Les Conches, being an exposed beach, is just going to be a whitewater mess. Honestly, if the swell gets over 5 feet on the 25th of July with those onshores, this is looking more like a kite-surfing spot than a paddle-surfing one.

The water temperature is a notable 72°F with a massive anomaly of 5°F, meaning it's *much warmer* than usual for the time of year. That's the only thing in our favour – the water will be pleasant while you get rinsed.

Long story short, there's no clean swell on offer. The entire 16-day window is a write-off for quality surf. These long blank runs happen here, and forecasts can change, but based on what I'm seeing, leave the boards at home for a while.

Rusty.

Read more