Le Petit Minou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s on the cards for our local stretch.

For the next couple of weeks, don’t hold your breath for anything epic. We’re in a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions. The first solid session isn’t until Saturday the 4th of July, and after that, it turns quiet again for a long, long time. There's a significant gap of several days with no real recommendations, especially from the afternoon of the 5th right through to the 14th of July.

Your best bet, and really the standout of the whole forecast, is a short window on the morning of Saturday the 4th of July. The spot is Le Petit Minou. We’ve got a clean, cross-off breeze coming out of the north at just 6 mph, so the surface will be nice and smooth. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the west, with a 10-second period – those are proper waves with some pushing power behind them, and the energy is ticking over at a solid moderate level (267). The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s feeling much warmer than normal for early July. It’s a fairly consistent spot, so expect to find a few.

Heads up though – Le Petit Minou can see crowds often, so get there early if you want a clean set to yourself. This is an exposed, southwest-facing setup, so that west swell will wrap in well.

After that Saturday morning high, things drop off quickly. The Sunday morning (5th July) offers a tiny 2 ft wave with a light offshore, but it's unremarkable. From there, the wind turns onshore or stays cross-shore, the swell drops or gets messy, and we’re staring at a long run of ‘poor’ labels. The combined energy is weak, often sitting below 100, with the odd spike in the second week but accompanied by clean winds that are few and far between.

By Tuesday the 14th of July, we see a faint hope – a morning with clean, cross-offshore wind and a 4 ft west-northwest swell, giving a moderate energy (305) – but the forecast flags it as marginal. After that, it’s back to lumpy cross-shore winds and tiny, weak waves through to the end of the 16-day run.

So, circle that Saturday the 4th of July morning. It’s not huge, but it might just be the only moment worth paddling out. For the rest of it... I’d have a board ready for a quick dash if conditions suddenly change, but keep your expectations measured.

Stay loose,
Rusty

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