Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are looking like a real struggle for waves around here. We’ve only got one spot in the forecast window that’s even worth paddling out for, and even then, it’s more of a "hail Mary" than a sure thing. Let’s break it down.

First thing you should know: the water temp is sitting at 84°F, which is only 0.5°F off the norm for this time of year, so nothing wild there. But the real story is the lack of any decent swell with favorable wind.

We’re looking at Le Moule, a beach and reef set-up that’s exposed to the swell. The entire first week, from Wednesday the 2nd of September right through to Monday the 7th, is a total write-off. The wind is mostly cross-shore, gusty, and it’s just kicking up a messy cross-chop. The swell is tiny – we’re talking 2ft to 4ft – and the period is short (7 to 8 seconds), which means weak, mushy waves with no push. The combined energy is low, ranging from 106 to 201, which tells you there’s barely any power in the water. The forecast is calling it "poor surf conditions" across the board, and I’m not gonna argue with that.

The middle of the week, from the 8th of September (Tuesday) through to the 11th (Friday), the swell starts to bump up a bit, hitting 5ft to 7ft, and the energy climbs into the moderate range (265 to 683). But here’s the kicker: the wind stays stubbornly cross-shore, and the period is still short. For a beach and reef break like Le Moule, that short-period swell just doesn’t wrap in with any quality. It’s gonna be lumpy, bumpy, and frustrating. The only day that gets a hint of a chance is Wednesday the 9th afternoon, with a marginal "1" score, but even then, the wind is a moderate cross-shore breeze. You’d be fighting the chop more than riding the wave.

Then we hit the weekend of the 12th and 13th of September, and things get worse. Swell drops back to 4ft to 6ft, and the wind turns cross-onshore, which is just a recipe for choppy, blown-out surf. The combined energy starts to fade again (294 to 405). Not worth your time.

The final push comes on the 16th and 17th of September, with the swell building back up to 6ft to 7ft. The energy gets strong (477 to 623). But again, the wind is mostly cross-shore or even cross-off on the 17th morning, which gives a "clean" look. That’s the only real standout moment in the whole 16 days. The morning of Thursday the 17th of September, with a 6ft swell from the east, an 8-second period, and a clean cross-off breeze, might actually offer a few workable waves. But it’s still a short-period swell, so it’s not going to be a classic. It’s a long way out, though, so keep an eye on it.

Honestly, there’s a massive gap from the start of the forecast right up until the 17th where there’s nothing worth recommending. For a spot that’s generally consistent, this is a real dry spell. I’d say leave the boards in the car and go for a swim. The wind is just too strong and too cross-shore for paddle surfing here – honestly, if you’ve got a kite, this might be more your scene.

Rusty.

Read more