Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down in feet and miles per hour. The picture is still grim. We’re looking at a 16-day window with nothing to recommend. There’s a big, empty gap for the whole period. No good surf on the horizon.

The wind is the main culprit. A steady east-northeast trade wind is blowing, mostly cross-shore or cross-offshore, but the swell is just not showing up. The wave energy is weak to moderate, with numbers like 167 (Friday morning) and 220 (Sunday morning), but it’s all short-period, 8-second or less windswell. That’s just mushy, choppy junk. The water temp is 84°, which is about 0.5° warmer than normal, so nothing unusual there. It’s just a frustrating pattern.

The only break in the mix is Le Moule, a beach and reef setup. It’s a consistent spot, which normally would be a positive, but the conditions are just stubborn. The wind is mostly a cross-shore breeze, 12 to 19 mph, making a mess of the surface. Even when it turns cross-offshore on the 6th, the swell is still too weak and short. We see a bit of a bump in size mid-week, with the 9th of September showing 7ft swell from the east, but with a 19 mph cross-shore wind, it’s going to be lumpy and blown out – not worth paddling out for. The energy climbs to 687 (Wednesday morning), but it’s all bad. There’s a slight improvement in the very last few days, with the 18th and 19th showing cleaner, cross-offshore winds, but the swell is tiny, 3ft to 4ft, and the period is still short. It’s just not enough to get excited about. For a spot that’s exposed to the east, we need that east swell to have some punch, and it just doesn’t.

So, the bottom line: there’s no standout. Not a single day I’d point to and say, “Go, that’s the one.” The setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer at this point, given the consistent wind and poor wave quality. It’s a tough one to swallow, but sometimes the forecast just gives you a blank. Hang tight, things can change.

Rusty.

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