Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, 'cause things are looking a bit tricky around here for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, I’ve been staring at the charts and it’s a tough run. We’ve got a long stretch ahead with very little to get excited about.

Let’s start with Le Moule. This break is a beach-and-reef setup, consistently exposed to the swell, and it's normally a reliable spot. But the wind is the story here, and it’s not a good one. For the first week, from Tuesday the 11th right through to Sunday the 16th, we’re looking at a constant cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze, sometimes fresh, often clocking in at 15 to 22 mph. That’s gonna put a nasty lumpy chop on the surface. The swell is coming from the east, but the period is short – mostly 6 to 8 seconds – so it’s weak, wind-affected energy. The combined wave energy is moderate at best, but it’s all just messy. The water temp is sitting at 84°F with a tiny anomaly, so it’s about average for this time of year.

Honestly, through that whole first week, every single session is rated as poor surf conditions. The swell height builds from 5 ft up to 10 ft by Sunday the 16th, but it’s all blown out. For the bigger days, over 8 ft, that’s expert-only territory, but with that wind, even the experts are gonna be frustrated. It’s more of a kitesurfing scene than a clean wave day.

We do get a tiny glimmer of hope on Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th. The wind finally eases up a bit. Monday afternoon sees a gentle breeze turning cross-shore, giving us a slight chop, and the swell drops to 7 ft with a period of 9 seconds. The energy is moderate. Then Tuesday the 18th, the wind actually goes cross-offshore, which is a huge plus. The morning has a moderate breeze, but the afternoon is gentle and clean. Swell is 6 ft from the east, with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy is moderate. This is the best window in the whole 16-day run. It’s marginal, but it’s rideable. The waves won’t be world-class, but they’ll be clean, which is a luxury right now.

After that, it’s back to the same story. From Wednesday the 19th through to the end of the month, we’re back to cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, moderate to fresh, with lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell stays small, mostly 2 ft to 5 ft, and short period. There’s a brief spike on Wednesday the 26th with 7 ft east swell and 9-second period, but the wind is still cross-shore and messy – moderate energy, but it’s not clean.

So, the standout window is that Monday afternoon through Tuesday the 18th. If you can get out there, especially Tuesday afternoon, you’ll find the cleanest conditions of the whole outlook. The rest of it? You’re better off tuning the board or checking the wind for a kite session. The long gap at the start from now until the 17th is a real bummer, but that’s the way it’s shaping up.

Rusty.

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