Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s on offer for Le Moule over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a bit of a mixed bag, and there are some seriously long gaps where you’re better off doing something else. We’re looking at a 16-day run, but the first real surf worth paddling for doesn’t pop up for a while.

The overall pattern for Le Moule is a long stretch of poor conditions driven by strong cross-shore and cross-onshore winds. The swell energy is often there, but the wind just wrecks it. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84° which is pretty standard for this time of year, so you won’t need the steamer.

We kick things off on Friday the 14th of August, but honestly, you don’t want to be out there. We’ve got a 7ft east swell, but it’s a short period (8 seconds), and the wind is a fresh 30 km/h cross-onshore making it lumpy mess. The combined energy is moderate at 569. This stays poor right through the first weekend, with a peak of 12ft east swell on Saturday the 15th (energy a whopping 2265-2392), but that’s accompanied by a strong 45 km/h cross-onshore wind and risk of thunderstorms. That’s kite-surf territory, not paddle surfing. The waves are huge and messy.

The wind stays cross or cross-on, and the swell ebbs and flows, but the quality is just not there. From the 14th all the way to the morning of Thursday the 20th, it’s a long stretch of poor surf conditions.

Now, here’s a glimmer. On Thursday the 20th of August, we finally get a shift. The morning brings a 4ft swell from the ENE with a 9-second period, but the wind swings to a gentle SSE cross-offshore. That’s clean. The conditions are described as “clean” for the first time, and the combined energy is a moderate 324. Thursday afternoon gets even better: the swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE, still with that cross-off wind (SE at 20 km/h), and the energy increases to 449. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions”, but with clean lines, this is where you want to be. It’s not huge, but it’s rideable and the best we’ve seen by a mile.

After that Thursday, it goes back into a bit of a lull. Friday the 21st drops down to a 3ft swell with a short period, and the winds go cross again. Not great.

The next real standout is a week later, on Tuesday the 25th of August. The morning starts poor with a 7ft ENE swell and cross-on wind, but the afternoon is where the magic could happen. The wind shifts to a gentle SE cross-offshore, and a 6ft swell from the ENE rolls in with a solid 10-second period. The combined energy is 792, which is moderate. The wave comment for that afternoon is “expect very good surf conditions”. That is the pick of the entire forecast. If you can wait, that Tuesday afternoon session on the 25th looks like the cleanest, most fun you’re going to get, with that cross-off wind cleaning up the lines nicely.

After that, the forecast fades back into wind-affected stuff for the rest of the window. Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th look like more of the usual cross-shore chop.

So to sum it up: there’s a massive slow start. Don’t bother until Thursday the 20th for a session, but the real one to circle on your calendar is Tuesday afternoon on the 25th of August. That’s your standout. Otherwise, you’re looking at a lot of windy, lumpy days.

Rusty.

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