Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, 'cause I’ll be straight with you. We’re looking at Le Moule here, a beach and reef setup on the exposed east coast, and it’s a tough stretch ahead. The water is sitting at 84°F which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

The problem is the wind. For the next few days, through the end of August and into early September, we’ve got a persistent moderate to fresh east-northeasterly breeze blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore. That’s kicking up a messy cross-chop and keeping the surface lumpy. The swell is hanging around 5ft to 6ft from the east, with short periods of 7 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak, wind-affected, and offering poor surf conditions. The combined energy sits around 227 to 459 (weak to moderate), but it’s just not organised. Nothing to get excited about here.

Then, on the 30th of August, Sunday afternoon, we see a shift: the swell drops to 3ft but the period jumps to 13 seconds from the east, pushing the combined energy to 648 (moderate). That’s a groundswell signal, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy, so it’s frustrating. The next morning, Monday the 31st, is the first hint of something better. Clear skies, gentle east breeze at 9 mph blowing cross-shore, and the swell is 6ft from the east with an 11-second period. The combined energy climbs to 746 (moderate), and the wave comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” This is the best we’ve seen so far, but it’s still not a standout.

Tuesday the 1st of September morning is a real tease. The wind turns cross-offshore from the southeast at 12 mph, and the surface cleans right up. The swell is only 3ft from the east with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is 266 (weak). It’s clean but small. That’s the only window of clean waves in the whole forecast.

After that, the rest of the first week of September is a repeat of the same old story: east wind, cross-shore, lumpy, short-period swell, and poor conditions. The swell picks up a little around the 5th and 6th of September to 6ft from the east-southeast, but with a fresh breeze of 19 to 22 mph, it’s going to be a windblown mess. The combined energy hits 438 (moderate), but it’s not worth paddling out for.

Honestly, this is a long stretch of nothing special. The only real standout, if you can call it that, is Monday the 31st of August morning at Le Moule. That’s your best bet. A 6ft east swell with an 11-second period, gentle cross-shore breeze, and moderate energy. It’s not perfect, but it’s the cleanest we’ll see. The swell direction is from the east, which is a bit off the optimum northeast, but it’s the best window. Crowds are possible here at times, but with conditions this marginal, you might have it to yourself.

For the rest of the 16 days, it’s a long gap of poor surf. If you’re a kitesurfer, the consistent east wind and lumpy chop might be more interesting than paddle surfing. But for a surfer, bring a longboard for the 31st and then wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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