Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the surf outlook for Le Moule. Straight up, I gotta be real with you — this stretch does not look good for paddle surfing. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the whole thing is a write-off for clean, quality waves. The pattern is basically the same from start to finish: onshore or cross-shore wind, short-period, choppy, and messy.

There’s actually no surf worth recommending in the entire forecast. The first entries start on Thursday, 30 July, with swell around 6ft at 8 seconds from the east, but the wind is howling at 16 mph from the east, blowing cross-onshore. That’s a recipe for chop and poor conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 428, but it’s all for nothing with that wind. It’s the same story for Friday, Saturday, Sunday… all the way through. The wind barely lets up, and when it does, it’s still cross-shore, and the swell period stays short — under 8 seconds — so the waves are weak and crumbly.

The water temperature is sitting at 84°F, which is right around normal for this time of year, but that’s small comfort when the ocean’s a mess.

We see a little tease on Saturday morning, 1 August. The wind swings to cross-offshore from the southeast at 9 mph, and the swell is 5ft from the east. The combined energy drops to 341 (moderate), and the wave comment says “clean.” But the score is still a 1 out of 10, and it’s only a marginal call. The period is still 8 seconds, so it’s not gonna have any real power. That’s the closest we get to a glassy moment, but it’s not enough to get me in the water.

After that, from 2 August onwards, it’s just a long, boring grind. The swell slowly fades from 4ft down to 2ft by 5 August, with energy dropping to weak levels (57 to 91). The wind stays up, and the wave state is constantly “moderate cross-shore with a cross-chop” or “moderate cross-onshore and choppy.” Even when the swell picks back up to 6ft on 7 August, the period is still 8 seconds and the wind is strong, so it’s lumpy and ugly.

Later in the second week, from 8 August onward, the swell stays around 5ft to 6ft, but the wind never lets up. We’re talking 16 to 22 mph winds from the east, making it fresh cross-onshore and lumpy. The combined energy climbs back into the 300s and 400s (moderate to strong), but it’s all wind-affected junk. This setup is honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The beach and reef setup at Le Moule is exposed to the east, and the optimum swell direction is from the northeast, but we’re getting short-period east windswell — not the kind of groundswell that makes this place sing.

There are no standout days. Not a single one. The crowds are rated as “sometimes,” but with conditions this poor, you’ll have the place to yourself, and that’s about the only upside. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual in this season. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say leave the board at home and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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