Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. It’s Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for our stretch of coast, and I’ve got to be straight with you: it’s a bit of a shocker for the next couple of weeks. The short version is, don’t get your hopes up for any proper sessions.

Looking at the whole run, we’ve got a solid two-week stretch of messy, cross-shore winds and lumpy, poor-quality surf. The wind is mostly coming out of the east, and it’s just chopping everything up. The swell is there, but it’s not doing us any favors. It’s all short-period, wind-driven stuff, and the conditions are just ugly.

We start off this Tuesday morning, the 8th, with about 5ft of east swell, but that’s riding a fresh 30 km/h cross-shore wind. The energy is weak, only 360. It’s a classic “look at it from the beach and don’t bother” kind of day. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so that’s one small positive.

The middle of the week sees the swell pump up a bit. Wednesday the 9th has 7ft of east swell, and the energy builds to a moderate 567. Thursday the 10th is similar, with 7ft and energy at 603. But that wind is still a solid 30 km/h cross-shore, keeping everything lumpy and cross-chop. It’s just a mess. It’s a bit more size, but it’s all quality-less.

We roll into the weekend, the 13th and 14th, and the swell drops back to around 4ft and then 3ft. The wind eases a little to 20-25 km/h, but it’s still cross-shore. It’s less energy, down in the 200s. The surf is still poor. There’s just no let-up in the wind direction.

Early the following week, the 15th through the 17th, we’re down to knee-high dribble. The swell drops to around 3ft on the Monday, and the energy falls to a weak 162. By Wednesday, it picks up a bit to 3ft with energy around 238-369, but it’s still cross-shore and breaking poorly. This is the low point of the whole run.

We get a slight tease on the 22nd. That’s a Tuesday. The swell builds from 6ft in the morning to 8ft in the afternoon. That’s proper size, and the energy jumps to 680, which is solidly in the moderate range. But again, it’s coming with an east-southeast cross-shore wind at 25-30 km/h. It’s too big for the beginners, and the conditions will be rough. It’s only really for the experienced crew, and even then, it’ll be a battle.

Honestly, looking through the whole 16 days, there is not one standout moment, not one window where the wind cleans up. Every single session is marked as “poor surf conditions.” The only thing that changes is the size of the swell and the amount of chop. The break at Le Moule (le-moule) is a beach and reef set-up, and with that constant cross-shore breeze, the surface is going to be ugly. For anyone thinking of a paddle, it’s going to be tough. With this much wind and chop, if you’ve got a kite, that’s where your interest should be, because for a surfboard, it’s a write-off.

There’s a bit of a jump in swell right at the end of the run on the 22nd and 23rd, but the quality is still poor. It’s promising for size, but the wind is still going to ruin it. It’s a long-range call, so we can hope the wind switches, but I wouldn’t plan a trip around it. Until then, keep the board in the car and maybe find something else to do. The ocean will turn it on eventually, but this run looks like a complete blank. Rusty out.

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