Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. I’ve been staring at the charts for Le Moule and, well, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The next 16 days are looking pretty bleak for a proper paddle session. We’re looking at a long run of poor surf conditions, with only a brief window of "marginal" surf that might be worth a look if you're desperate.

The whole pattern is dominated by a persistent east-northeast wind regime. The swell is mostly short-period, around 6 to 8 seconds, which means weak, choppy waves. The water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is about normal for the time of year, so no need to worry about a wetsuit.

We’ve got a solid gap of no good surf right from the start. The first few days, from Thursday the 23rd through to Saturday the 26th of July, are a write-off. The wind is onshore or cross-shore strong, and the swell is messy. The "combined energy" is weak (147) to moderate (400), but it’s all blown out.

Things *might* get a little interesting on Sunday, the 26th of July. The morning session is the only time in the whole forecast that gets a "marginal" nod. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the east (moderate energy of 229), and the wind shifts to a light cross-offshore from the southeast, which is about as clean as it’s going to get. The period is still a short 8 seconds, so it won’t be a thing of beauty, but it’ll be the most surfable window. The afternoon on Sunday has a gentler breeze, but the swell drops a bit.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. From Monday the 27th of July right through to Friday the 7th of August, the forecast is all "poor surf conditions." The swell pops up a bit, hitting 7ft on the 30th and 31st, but it’s accompanied by fresh cross-shore winds that will make it a lumpy, bumpy mess. The "combined energy" gets up to 660 (moderate to strong), but with that wind, it’s not paddle-friendly. That size and wind setup at a beach and reef break like Le Moule looks more interesting for the kite surfers than us.

So, the honest truth? There are no standouts here. The best you’ll get is a very brief, marginal window on the morning of Sunday, July 26th. If you’re itching for a paddle, that’s your only real shot. Otherwise, the rest of the 16 days is a gap of poor quality. It’s a blank run, and in this area, that’s a pretty normal thing when the trade winds set in.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts. Things can change.

Rusty.

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