Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this Le Moule forecast is a tough one to swallow right now. The entire 16-day window is a frustrating stretch of messy, wind-whipped conditions, and there’s a big ugly gap of no surf to speak of right at the start. The first chance to even think about paddling out doesn’t come until Thursday afternoon, 20 August. The swell is coming from the east, but the wind has been a nightmare, blowing strong cross and cross-onshore, wrecking the surface. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so nothing special there.

Let’s run through the pain. Thursday morning, 13 August, kicks off with a clean 6 ft east swell, but that 30 km/h cross-shore wind makes it lumpy and poor. This pattern holds for days – Friday and Saturday see the swell actually building up, hitting 8 ft and even 12 ft, but the wind stays foul, ramping up to 40 km/h on Saturday with a risk of thunderstorms. The combined energy climbs to 1039 and even 1949, which is strong wave energy, but it’s all for nothing with that onshore mess. It’s just blown-out, lumpy junk. On Saturday, with that 12 ft swell and strong cross-onshore wind, this beach-and-reef setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday, 16 August, is still a write-off with strong winds and messy cross-chop, though the swell settles a bit by the afternoon. Monday through Wednesday, 17-19 August, the energy drops into the 200-400 range (moderate), but the wind is still a moderate cross-shore, keeping the surface chopped up. Not worth your time.

Then, finally, a glimmer. On Thursday afternoon, 20 August, the wind flips to a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the southwest, and the wave comment says “clean.” The swell is a modest 5 ft from the east-northeast, period is 8 seconds, and the combined energy is 334 (moderate). This is the only true standout in the whole period. The break is consistent, but check your crowd – it can get busy here. It’s the best you’ll get, but it’s a small window.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions. Friday, 21 August, has a clean morning with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 4 ft, and the period is a short 7 seconds. The energy is low (227). The rest of the second week, from 22 August onward, is a repeat of the same story – moderate cross-shore winds, chop, and swell in the 4 ft to 6 ft range. The energy stays below 500, and the wind just won’t cooperate. The last chance for a clean session is Tuesday morning, 25 August, with a 5 ft east swell and a cross-offshore breeze, but the period is only 7 seconds, and the energy is low (271). It’s a tease.

Honestly, for the next couple of weeks, it’s a blank run. The forecast can change, but right now, if you’re not waiting for that Thursday afternoon window on 20 August, you’re looking at a lot of blown-out, lumpy days. The break is consistent, so it tends not to stay poor forever, but this stretch is a real test of patience.

Rusty.

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