Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into what’s going on for Le Moule for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this isn’t one of those weeks where you’re scrambling for your board. The pattern is pretty grim for a while with onshore and cross-shore winds messing up what would otherwise be a solid run of waves. The water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We kick things off on Sunday the 26th of July, and already it’s a struggle. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the ENE with a short period of 8 seconds, but the cross-shore wind from the ESE at 9 mph is just adding a slight chop to an already messy situation. The combined wave energy is only 212 (moderate), but the “poor surf conditions” tag tells the real story. That’s the theme for the entire first week.

Monday the 27th through to the end of July is more of the same. We see the swell size bump up a little, peaking on Wednesday the 29th of July with a 7ft swell in the morning and 7ft in the afternoon from the E. The period stays short (8 seconds), so it’s not really a clean groundswell. The wind is fresh and cross-shore at 19-22 mph. The energy jumps into the strong range – 572 and 639 – but with the wind and chop, it’s just a lumpy, messy paddle. This size is getting into intermediate territory, but anyone under 5ft is fine for beginners; when it pushes over 7ft, you want to be on your game.

Thursday the 30th has 7ft dropping to 6ft, still from the E with short period. The cross-shore wind sticks around. By Friday the 31st, it's still around 6ft to 6ft. The first weekend of August (1st and 2nd) sees the swell drop back to a more manageable 4ft to 5ft, but the wind refuses to cooperate, staying cross-shore and keeping the surface lumpy.

There is a gap right through this whole first eight to nine days with no surf worth paddling out for. It’s poor, poor, poor. Not a single standout option in sight.

Then, right at the end of the run, on Wednesday the 5th of August, we finally get a tiny shift. The wind goes cross-offshore from the SE at 12 mph, and the ocean goes clean. But the swell has dropped right off to just 2ft from the E, period a limp 6 seconds. The combined energy is pathetic at 57 (weak). Thursday the 6th is similar – clean, cross-off wind from the SE at 16 mph, but still only 3ft of weak, short-period slop. That’s the closest thing to a glassy morning we get, but there’s just not enough push.

After that, it looks like we’re heading back into more cross-shore wind and building back up to 4ft on the 9th and 10th of August, but the pattern is consistent: poor conditions with cross-winds spoiling the party.

So where does that leave us? Honestly, this is a blank run. Le Moule is an exposed beach and reef setup, and with this much cross-shore wind and short-period chop, it’s not doing anyone any favours. This is the kind of setup that looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing when the wind picks up and the surf is messy. There’s no real standout here, not one. If you’re desperate, maybe line up a session on Wednesday the 5th or Thursday the 6th for the cleanest water, but bring a longboard and low expectations. The forecasts can always change, but for now, I’d leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

Read more