Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for Le Moule is a total washout. I’ve looked at every single session from now right through to the 28th of July, and there’s not a single recommendation worth paddling out for. The pattern is grim: persistent cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the E or ESE, with a fresh breeze that just won’t let up. The swell is there, bouncing between 4 ft and 6 ft, but it’s all short-period E windswell (7 to 8 seconds) that’s being chopped to pieces by the wind.

The combined energy of all swells directed here stays in the moderate range (values between 197 and 464), but it doesn’t matter because the conditions are poor across the board. The water temperature is sitting at 82°, with a tiny anomaly of 0.2° – so it’s just about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

We start the 13th and 14th with lumpy cross-chop and 19 mph winds, and it just doesn’t get better. By the 18th, the swell picks up to 6 ft, but the wind remains cross or cross-on, and the period is still short. You might think a bigger day would offer something, but with that messy wind and short period, it’s just a crumbly, choppy mess. Even the 23rd, where the combined energy jumps to 453 and 464, is still plagued by cross-onshore wind and a lumpy surface.

There is no standout here. No clean window. No glassy morning. No long-period groundswell sneaking in. For a beach-and-reef setup like Le Moule, which is exposed to the NE swell but needs clean conditions, this is a total bust. Honestly, if you’re looking at this setup with these winds, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The whole 16 days is a blank run – and for this area, that’s not unusual when the trade winds lock in like this.

Stick to the flat water, or wait for the next forecast change. Stay optimistic, because it never stays poor forever.

Rusty.

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