Le Moule Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about the surf, yeah? I’ve been staring at the charts for this stretch, and honestly, it’s a bit of a heartbreaking run. We’ve got a solid 15-day window here, but the ocean isn't playing nice. There are no days in this entire period that I’d tell you to drop everything and paddle out. Not one. It’s a flat, choppy, and cross-windy mess for the vast majority of it, so if you were hoping for a hero session, you might want to bookmark this page and check back later.

The only spot we have info for is Le Moule. It’s a beach and reef set-up, so it can have its moments, but it’s exposed to the east and the swell is coming from the east-northeast, which is not its optimum direction. The water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least the air and water will feel nice even if the waves are rubbish.

The whole first week, from Thursday the 10th through to Wednesday the 16th, is a write-off. We’re looking at swell heights around 4ft to 6ft, but the period is short—around 8 seconds—so it's all junky, short-period windswell. The wind is a constant cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze at 12 to 18 mph, putting an ugly chop on everything. Wave energy is moderate, but it’s messy energy. It's surfable for someone on a groveler, but it's not going to be pretty.

The second week isn't any better. From Thursday the 17th to Sunday the 20th, we get a bit more energy, but the wind is fresher and lumpier, and the swell stays short-period. Even the few clear mornings are ruined by that cross-shore breeze. It’s just not clean.

The last few days, from Monday the 21st through to Wednesday the 23rd, the swell starts to fade out, dropping to 2ft to 3ft. The energy is weak. It's barely breaking, and the wind is still cross. By Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th, we see a tiny pulse back up to 3ft to 5ft, but the period is still short and the winds are still onshore or cross. It’s a classic “looks better on paper” scenario, but in the water, it’s likely to be a bumpy, closed-out mess.

Because the swell is over 5ft at times but with terrible quality and strong cross-winds, and the break is a beach and reef setup, this stretch honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The waves just aren't going to have any shape or power to them.

Look, a 15-day blank is not uncommon for this area when the trade winds just blow relentlessly onshore. It happens. The one upside is that the swell energy is present, just not organized. Forecasts can change, but if you're keen, this isn't the window. Keep the board in the car and wait for the wind to swing.

Rusty.

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