Alize Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. The forecast for Alize (beach and reef) shows a real dry spell coming up. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the first proper surf recommendation doesn't kick in until the 15th of July, and even then, it’s a struggle.

From Wednesday morning through to the end of the month, the wind is a constant problem. It’s locked in from the east, blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore at 12 to 18 mph nearly every day. That’s creating a lot of chop and lumpy conditions, which is why the wave comment is a consistent “poor surf conditions.” The combined swell energy is there, but it’s mostly moderate – a reading of 181 to 383 – but it’s not translating into clean, rideable waves. The swell is short-period, around 7 to 8 seconds, which doesn’t help.

The swell size fluctuates, starting around 4 ft and building to 6 ft by the 18th, but it’s always accompanied by that messy wind. Even when the swell hits 6 ft on the Saturday morning of the 18th, the cross-shore wind with a cross-chop makes it a write-off. For a beginner-friendly spot, anything over 5 ft can be a handful, and with the wind, it’s just not fun.

The 20th of July offers a slight downturn in wind, with a gentle breeze on the Tuesday morning, but the swell is dropping and the cross-shore wind still leaves a slight cross-chop. The best chance you’d get is probably the 26th of July, a Sunday morning, where the swell is 6 ft from the east with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy peaks at 383. But again, the wind is cross-shore, and the surf quality is still rated poor. There’s no standout, no glorious day to chase.

The water temperature anomaly is not provided, so we can’t comment on that.

Given the consistent cross-to-onshore wind and the beach-and-reef setup, this forecast looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The wind is strong enough and the swell is there, but it won’t be a classic surf session.

If you’re a paddler, it’s a good time to wax the longboard and wait for a better forecast. The area is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long, but this run is a blank one. Hang in there.

Rusty

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