Alize Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me be straight with you about what’s coming up over the next couple of weeks. I’ve had a good look at the charts for Alize, and to be honest, it’s shaping up to be a real quiet stretch. We’ve got a long gap of nothing much worth paddling out for.

The Outlook for Alize

The opening run is a tough one. From Tuesday the 8th right through to the end of the first week, we’re dealing with a persistent east wind blowing across the break at 12 to 19 mph, with swell hanging around 2 ft to 7 ft. But here’s the kicker – the wave comment for every single session in that first week says “poor surf conditions,” and the scores are all zeros. The combined energy of all swells is mostly weak, ranging from 112 to 586, but that’s meaningless when the wind has got the surface all lumpy and chopped up. It’s a beach and reef setup, but the cross-shore breeze is ruining any chance of a clean face. Honestly, this looks more like a session for the kite surfers than a paddle surfer.

That blank run stretches all the way through until Monday the 22nd of September. That’s a solid two-week gap with no worthwhile surf to recommend. For a spot that’s normally consistent, this is a long, flat, and windy stretch.

A Glimmer at the End

Right at the tail end of the forecast, things finally perk up a little. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd show some promise, but it’s still a week and a half away. The swell picks up noticeably: Tuesday afternoon sees a 7 ft easterly swell with a period of 8 seconds and combined energy climbing to 648, moderate to strong energy. By Wednesday morning, we’re looking at 7 ft from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy jumps to 762. That’s starting to get some push behind it.

But here’s the catch: the wind is still a cross-shore at 16 to 22 mph. The wave comments still read “poor surf conditions.” So even though the ocean has more juice, the surface will be lumpy and difficult. For an expert surfer who can handle a messy 7 ft wave with a stiff sideshore wind, there might be something there. For the rest of us, it’s still a no-go. The swell is over 5 ft, so beginners take note – this is too much.

So the bottom line: we’ve got a long, dry spell until the last few days of the outlook, and even then, conditions aren’t clean. I’m not calling any standouts here. It’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, but for now, keep the board in the car and bide your time.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Read more