Alize Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s cookin’ at Alize. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but it ain’t a pretty picture for paddle surfing. The wind is a real bastard for most of it, and that’s what’s killin’ the vibe.

The first proper look at the surf starts on the morning of Monday, July 27th. We’ve got a 4 ft swell pushing in from the ENE with a short, punchless period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak, sitting at 168. But the real problem is the howling cross-shore wind from the East at 16 mph. It’s making a mess of things, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The water temp is a warm 84°F, which is about average for the time of year, but you won’t care about that when you’re getting blown off your line. The surf is a no-go through the rest of the week and into the next. The wind stays strong, mostly cross-shore from the East or ESE, and the surf quality is just plain poor. The swell builds a bit, hitting 7 ft on Thursday the 30th, but with that same nasty cross-wind, it’s just a bigger mess. The energy jumps to moderate (583), but it’s wasted.

We roll through the first week of August with more of the same. The swell dips and rises but the wind remains a constant, fresh cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze. There’s a small window on the morning of Wednesday, August 5th, where the wind shifts to a cross-off from the SE at 12 mph, and the conditions are reported as “clean.” The swell is tiny though, only 3 ft from the ESE, and the energy is weak (110). It’s a fleeting moment of glass, but there’s almost no power to ride.

The second week looks a bit more promising for size, but the wind is still the enemy. By Saturday, August 8th, the swell is pushing 6 ft to 7 ft from the East, with moderate energy (466). But the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, turning it into a lumpy, choppy mess. This is the kind of setup that looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The wind is strong enough to hold a kite, and the waves are too blown out for a clean paddle session.

Honestly, for the whole 16 days, there’s no standout. Not a single day where the stars align for a quality surf. The wind just won’t let up, and the swell direction is never quite right for the optimum NE direction that Alize really wants to see. It’s a long, frustrating stretch for anyone hoping to get a decent wave. Stay patient, keep an eye on the forecasts, because it can’t stay this bad forever.

Rusty.

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