Alize Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for Alize.

Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of mostly poor conditions, with the surf quality just not coming together for clean, rideable waves for days on end. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until the 5th of September, and even then, it’s only marginal.

The pattern from now through the 4th is a write-off. Cross-shore winds from the east and east-southeast, a lot of them moderate to fresh, are going to keep the surface messy with a cross-chop. The swell is small, around 2 ft to 4 ft, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds – that’s weak, wind-affected stuff with no power. The combined energy is low, mostly in the 100s (153 to 195), and the reports are all “poor surf conditions.” This is a good time to leave the board in the shed.

Then we finally get a tiny glimmer on the 5th of September. Saturday morning and afternoon see a shift to a cross-offshore wind, which cleans things up nicely. The swell hangs around 3 ft from the east, with an 8-second period. The combined energy ticks up to 229 in the afternoon. The report calls it “marginal” – it’s only a score of 1 out of 10, so don’t expect much, but it’s the first window where the waves might actually look surfable. The water temperature is a warm 84°F, which is pretty much average for the time of year, so no worries there.

After that, it’s back to the grind. From the 6th through the 16th, the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell gets bigger – up to 8 ft by the 10th – but it’s still short period (7 to 8 seconds) and the wind keeps it lumpy or choppy. The combined energy climbs into the hundreds and even into the 700s (763) on the 10th, but with fresh cross-shore winds and a messy surface, it’s just not paddle-friendly. For a beach and reef setup like Alize, with that much onshore slant and short period, it’s looking more like a kiteboarding session than a clean surf day. The only other marginal mention is on the 13th of September, Sunday afternoon, when it cleans up again with a cross-offshore wind and 5 ft swell, but again, it’s just a 1 out of 10.

So, the standout? There isn’t one. That Saturday the 5th is the best on offer, but it’s still a marginal call. If you’re desperate, you might get a couple of fun ones, but don’t plan a trip around it. This is a lean period for Alize.

Rusty.

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