Alize Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and let's get straight into it. The 16-day outlook for Alize is a bit of a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions before a little window of interest shows up.

The water temp is sitting around 84°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

For the first week, from Sunday the 23rd of August right through to Saturday the 29th, it's a write-off. We've got a constant cross-shore or cross-onshore wind, mostly from the E or ESE, blowing between 12 and 22 mph, keeping the surf lumpy and choppy. The swell is small, mostly 4ft to 6ft from the east, with a short period of just 7 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best (212 to 452). It's just not worth paddling out for. The wave comment is "poor surf conditions" across the board.

Then we hit Sunday the 30th of August. The morning brings a 5ft, 15-second period swell from the east, and the combined energy jumps to a very strong 1204 (strong wave energy). The wind is still a cross-shore from the ESE at 12 mph, which leaves a bit of a cross-chop, but that long period is a sign of some real groundswell. The afternoon sees it build to 6ft with a 14-second period and energy of 1417. It's classed as a "marginal surf forecast" due to questionable tide conditions, but this is the best wave energy we'll see all week. The break is a beach and reef setup, so that long period might make it a bit straight at times, but it's still the standout.

Monday the 31st of August is another day to look at. Morning swell is 7ft from the ENE with an 11-second period, energy is 945 (strong wave energy). The wind eases to a gentle 9 mph cross-shore in the afternoon, with a 6ft, 10-second swell. It's still a "marginal" call, but the conditions are the cleanest we'll see.

After that, from Tuesday the 1st of September through to Monday the 7th of September, we slide back into poor surf. The wind picks up again, the swell goes back to short period and weak energy, and the "poor surf conditions" tag returns. The last day on the 7th does see a 7ft to 8ft swell from the east with 8-9 second period, but it's still marred by poor conditions and cross-shore winds.

So, the best run is that Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st. The Sunday morning has the best quality groundswell, but the Monday afternoon with the lightest wind might be the cleanest. If you're a beginner, be wary of the 7ft+ swell on Monday – that's getting into too-big territory. This spot is consistent, so it's not a total loss, but you'll have to wait for that one good window.

Rusty, signing off.

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