Alize Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a straight-up look at what’s on offer at Alize over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’ve got to be real with you – this is a tough stretch. The forecast is pretty much wall-to-wall “poor surf conditions” with not a single decent score popping up. The wind is almost always cross or cross-onshore, blowing at 12 to 18 mph, and it’s going to keep the ocean lumpy and choppy all the way through. For a break that’s exposed and open, that’s a real killer.

We start off on Friday 17 July with a clean 5 ft swell from the east, but that ENE wind at 18 mph is cross-on and fresh, turning it into a messy, lumpy mess. Saturday 18 July sees a bit more size – 7 ft – but the wind is cross-shore and fresh, so the surface is just cross-chop. Not what you want to paddle into.

The pattern doesn’t let up. Through Sunday 19 and Monday 20 July, it’s still cross-on and choppy, with swells hanging around 5 ft to 6 ft. The energy is moderate (around 200-450 range), but with that wind, it’s just not coming together. By Tuesday 21 July, the swell drops to 3 ft from the ESE and the wind goes cross-offshore, which cleans things up a bit, but the wave is tiny and weak (energy only 102). Not worth a paddle.

From Wednesday 22 July right through to August 1, it’s the same story. Swells bob between 3 ft and 6 ft, mostly from the east, with an 8-second period. That’s short-period, wind-driven stuff, not the kind of groundswell that gives you a proper wall. The wind stays stubbornly cross or cross-on, and the water temps are sitting around 83°, which is about normal for the time of year.

Bottom line: there’s not a single standout day in this 16-day window. The surf is there, but the quality is just not there. It’s a long stretch of mediocrity. If you’re desperate, maybe Tuesday 21 July morning gives you the cleanest water, but it’s tiny. Otherwise, I’d say give it a miss and keep an eye on the next forecast cycle.

Rusty.

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