Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

This outlook is a bit of a slow roll. We’ve got a promising little window in the first week, but don’t expect a lot of fireworks. The best bet for a good session is a single standout morning, but you’ll need to be patient.

We start off with a bit of a rough patch. From Tuesday the 14th right through to Saturday the 18th, the surf is pretty marginal. The swell is small, mostly around 2ft to 3ft, and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, keeping things bumpy. The combined wave energy is weak, bouncing between 147 and 319 (weak to moderate). It’s a real struggle to get excited about anything here. The water temp is a notable 67°F with a huge anomaly of 5°F warmer than usual, which is really unusual for this time of year.

Then, Sunday morning the 19th is our moment. The forecast shows a clean 3ft swell from the SW with a period of 12 seconds, but the real gold is the glassy conditions – a light WSW breeze of just 5 km/h (3 mph). That will make for some clean, peelable lines at Jaguay. The combined energy is a moderate 284, so there’s a bit of punch. The rating is a solid 4/5, and for a beginner-plus spot, this is a solid chance to get some easy, fun rides. The water is still much warmer than normal, so you won’t need a thick suit. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect to have it all to yourself.

After that, the forecast drops back into marginal territory. Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 28th looks like a mix of small, weak swells and onshore winds. The swell stays tiny, mostly between 1ft and 4ft, and the energy is often weak. There are a few moments with longer period (12-16 seconds) but they’re paired with poor conditions, so it’s hard to recommend. The best of the rest might be a few mornings with lighter winds, but nothing really stands out. The last few days into the end of the month have a long period groundswell (16 seconds on the 28th) but the swell is too small at 2ft and the wind is cross-on, so it’s a pass.

In short, the only real standout is Sunday morning the 19th. Get out there early for a clean, small wave session. The rest of the 16-day stretch is a long, slow grind. It’s not a total blank, but you’ll be scraping for waves unless you’re content with a knee-high dribble.

Rusty.

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