Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Jaguay over the next couple of weeks.

Right from the start, we’ve got a bit of a flat spell. The first real chance to get wet won’t come until Tuesday afternoon, 21 July, but honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for. The swell is only 3ft from the SW, period 11 seconds, and the wind is cross-on from the SW at 9 mph, making for poor surf conditions. The combined swell energy is weak (286). So, we’re looking at a gap of a few days with no real surf to recommend.

From Wednesday morning, 22 July, through to Friday afternoon, 24 July, we’re stuck in the same holding pattern. Swell heights hover around 2ft to 3ft, mostly SW with periods around 10-11 seconds, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, and the scores are all marginal at best. The water temperature is a notable 69°F—that’s a whopping 7°F warmer than usual, so it’s very unusual for this time of year. Still, not enough to make the surf worthwhile.

The outlook improves a touch from Saturday morning, 25 July, through to Monday afternoon, 27 July. The swell picks up to 2ft-4ft, still SW to WSW, with periods lengthening to 12-18 seconds, which is a long-period groundswell. That kind of period can produce better-shaped waves, but at a beach break setup, it can also break a bit too straight. The combined energy builds from moderate (266) to strong (627). The wind is light cross-onshore or onshore, but the conditions remain marginal, with scores of 1 out of 10. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have company, but no one’s rushing out for this.

The standout period comes around Tuesday, 28 July, through to Thursday, 30 July. Swell holds at 3ft-4ft from the WSW, periods 13-15 seconds, with combined energy in the strong range (336-483). The best morning session looks like Wednesday, 29 July, with a 4ft SW swell, 13-second period, and light cross-onshore wind from the WNW at 6 mph. It’s still marginal, but the size is there, and the wind is light. This is the pick of the bunch—a decent groundswell, clean-ish conditions, and the swell is just under 5ft, so it’s not too big for intermediates. For a beginner, 4ft is manageable if they’re confident.

From Friday, 31 July, through to the end of the forecast on Wednesday, 5 August, the surf drops off again. Swell backs down to 2ft-4ft, with periods 11-16 seconds, but the wind is often cross-on or onshore, and most sessions are rated poor or marginal. The best of this weak stretch is Monday morning, 3 August, with a 4ft SW swell, 13-second period, and light cross-onshore wind—still nothing to get excited about.

The real standout? If I had to pick one session, it’s Wednesday morning, 29 July. The swell is 4ft, period 13 seconds, combined energy 472, and the wind is light cross-onshore. It’s the biggest, most consistent option in the window. For a beginner plus break, it’s a solid wave, but if you’re a grom or just starting out, keep an eye on the tide and don’t go out when it’s too big.

Rusty.

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