Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up about Jaguay.

First things first, the water is running way warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 68° with a big anomaly. That’s a proper surprise for your rubber.

The overall pattern over the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag. We start with a tiny pulse on Thursday the 27th, some weak 1ft WSW slop, but honestly, it’s poor. The real story kicks off Friday the 28th. A solid long-period groundswell arrives from the WSW with a 16-second period, building to 4ft in the morning and 5ft by the afternoon. The wave energy is moderate to strong (929 in the morning, cracking 1014 in the afternoon). The wind is light and offshore. This is the standout window. That kind of period and size with clean offshore wind is your best shot. It’s a pretty consistent spot, so you’ll get waves, but with a good rating, it's a friendly wave for intermediates. Crowds are possible here at Jaguay, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

Saturday the 29th sees the swell back off a touch to 5ft and the period drop to 14 seconds, but the wind goes cross-onshore, putting a bit of bump on it. The surf is still surfable but that clean morning on Friday is the real pick. Sunday the 30th drops further to 4ft with a 13-second period, again cross-on wind. From Monday the 31st right through to the end of the first week of September, we’re in a slump. Swell drops to under 3ft and the conditions are mostly poor. There is a gap of no real recommendations from the 30th of August all the way to the 3rd of September.

On Tuesday the 3rd of September, there’s a small uptick in swell energy (557) from the WSW with a long 18-second period, but the swell height is only 3ft. The wind is cross-on, so it’s marginal. Thursday the 4th is also marginal at 3ft and 15 seconds. Then we hit another poor patch. The next time the energy gets interesting is Tuesday the 8th of September. The swell period jumps back up to a very long 18 seconds from the WSW, with solid wave energy (625-649). However, the swell height is only 3-3ft, and the wind is a bit stronger. That long-period groundswell at that height will just be fat lines at a beach break. Not great.

Wednesday the 9th of September is your second-best call. The swell builds to 4ft from the WSW, with a 16-second period and moderate energy (672). The wind is light but cross-on in the afternoon. Still, compared to the rest of the run, it’s the best of the second week, but it's a long-range call, so keep it in the back of your mind. After that, it fades back into small, poor surf for the final days.

So, to wrap it up: if you want the best waves, point your car at Jaguay for Friday morning the 28th of August. Offshore wind, building 5ft groundswell, and warm water. For the second week, Wednesday the 9th of September has a pulse of energy, but it’s a long way out.

Rusty.

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