Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at this forecast for Jaguay. Let’s get into it.

Right out of the gate, the first week of this outlook is pretty frustrating. The waves are small, the winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, and the energy is just not there. For the first few days, from Sunday the 19th to the end of the week, you’re looking at weak, messy surf. The swell height sits around 3 ft to 4 ft, but it’s coming from the SW and WSW with periods mostly between 10 and 13 seconds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (332 to 420), but the wind is the killer – light cross-on breezes and onshore flow just chop everything up. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday the 23rd morning where the wind is light onshore and the swell is tiny (1 ft), but with a 24-second period, it’s not worth the paddle. That’s a long period groundswell, which can be tricky at a beach setup.

The real standout doesn’t come until Monday the 27th of July. That’s where we finally see some pulse. The swell jumps to 4 ft to 4 ft from the WSW, with a strong period of 16 to 18 seconds. The combined energy hits strong (767 to 949), and the wind is light onshore or light cross-on. The water temp is a very unusual 69°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly, feels like a tropical bath. The shape will be better with that long period, but at a beach break, it might be a little straight. Still, this is the best on offer for the whole window. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th follow with 4 ft to 4 ft WSW swell, but the energy starts to drop (509 to 559), and the wind stays light cross-on. It’s marginal, but still the best of the bunch.

After that, the second week fades out again. From Thursday the 30th of July through to Monday the 3rd of August, the swell drops back to 2 ft to 4 ft, periods shorten to 12-14 seconds, and the energy is weak to moderate (187 to 586). The wind is mostly light onshore, keeping conditions poor. Nothing worth getting excited about.

So, the only real window here is the 27th and 28th of July. The Monday morning on the 27th looks like the pick – 4 ft WSW swell, 18-second period, light onshore, and that wild water temp. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only pulse in an otherwise flat run. Jaguay is a beginner-plus spot, and it’s fairly consistent, but this stretch is a test of patience. The crowds can show up sometimes, so keep that in mind. For the rest of the time, you’re better off waiting for the next forecast.

Rusty.

Read more