Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the lowdown in feet and miles per hour.

This Jaguay forecast is a tough one to call. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a grind, and we kick off with nothing really worth paddling for. The first chance at a wave shows up on Monday, August 10th, but it's a real tease.

Monday morning the 10th brings a small 2ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a moderate 321. The wind is light offshore from the W at 6 mph, which is good, but the report says marginal. The water is a very unusual 68°, a lot warmer than normal for this time of year. That afternoon is more of the same with a 2ft SW swell.

Tuesday the 11th is a total washout with 2 to 3ft swells but marked as poor. The wind stays offshore, but it's just not working. Wednesday the 12th is even smaller, with 2ft to 2ft and the energy drops to a weak 108. Stay on the beach.

Now, Thursday the 13th is the only real standout in the whole outlook, and it's still just a flicker. We've got a 3ft swell from the WSW, but the period jumps to 19 seconds in the morning and 18 seconds in the afternoon. That's proper, long-period groundswell. The combined energy hits 516 in the afternoon, which is moderate to strong. The wind is light cross-onshore at 6 mph, so it won't be glassy, but that long period means the waves will have some real push and shape, especially if there's a point or reef. This is the best of a pretty average bunch. Friday the 14th has a 3ft swell with decent period, but the forecast says poor conditions. Saturday the 15th with the 3ft swell is also a no-go.

After that, it's a long, dry spell. From the 16th through to the 25th, it's a stretch of poor surf with small waves, mostly cross-onshore breezes, and low energy readings. A few days have a longer period, like Sunday the 23rd with a 1ft swell and a 16-second period, but it's just too small and messy. The combined energy rarely gets above 300 for the rest of the run.

So, your honest best bet? Keep an eye on Thursday the 13th. That long-period groundswell from the WSW at 3ft could offer a few clean lines if you get the tide right. For the rest of it? You're waiting. Sometimes this area just goes blank. The forecasts can change, though, so don't give up hope completely.

Rusty.

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