Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a slow dance coming up at Jaguay. The first real surfable window hits on Monday afternoon the 17th of August. The water’s a balmy 68°, which is a solid 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual, you’ll be sweating in your wettie.

Monday afternoon the 17th kicks things off with a clean 3 ft swell from the WSW, with a long 13-second period. The wind is glassy, dead calm from the south at just 3 mph. This is a great little window for a beginner-plus spot like Jaguay, with the combined energy sitting at 263 (moderate). The swell direction is SW, which is exactly what this break likes to see. It’s fairly consistent, but you might share the water with a few others since crowds are sometimes a thing here.

Tuesday morning the 18th is the real standout. The swell jumps to 5 ft from the SW, still that lovely 13-second period, and again glassy wind from the SSW at 3 mph. The combined energy hits 734 (strong). That’s the best of the whole 16-day run. For a beginner-plus spot, 5 ft is still manageable, and with those conditions, it’s going to be fun. Don’t sleep on it.

Tuesday afternoon the 18th gets ruined. Wind picks up to 12 mph from the SSW, cross-on, and the swell gets a little wonky. From there, we hit a serious dry spell. From Wednesday the 19th right through to the end of August, it’s a mix of poor and marginal conditions with tiny swells. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy drops to weak levels (between 59 and 162). There’s one morning on Monday the 24th with glassy conditions but only 1 ft of swell – you could paddle around but it’s not worth the drive.

The end of the first week of September sees a bit of a pulse again. On Friday the 28th of August, the swell returns to 3 ft to 3 ft from the WSW, with a very long 17-18 second period. The combined energy is back up to 602-645 (moderate). That long period is a groundswell, and for a beach break like Jaguay, it might close out a bit, but it’ll still be a lot better than what we’ve had. The wind is onshore at 6 mph, so it’s not perfect. Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th hold similar 4 ft to 4 ft swell from the WSW, still with onshore wind. These are marginal, but for the desperate surfer, you’ll find something.

The real long-range promise is from Friday the 28th into the weekend of the 29th and 30th of August. If you can wait, that’s the most consistent energy in the second week. But it’s not clean, so keep your expectations in check.

After that, it drops off again into the start of September. There’s no standout second week option that beats Tuesday morning the 18th.

So, the call is simple: Tuesday morning the 18th of August is the best on offer. Get on it early. The rest of the run is mostly waiting for the next pulse.

Rusty out.

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