Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell ya what’s in store for us. Honestly, this whole stretch is pretty lackluster. We’ve got a long, drawn-out run of small, weak surf with mostly onshore breezes. There are a few brief moments when the wind might go near-glass, and the swell direction is what this spot likes, but the size is tiny. The best of it is really just one short window where conditions align, and even then, it’s not exactly firing. The rest is marginal at best, with a lot of “poor” days scattered in between, so don’t get your hopes up for any big sessions.

There’s a gap of absolutely nothing worthwhile right from the start. From Friday 3rd July through to late Sunday 5th July, the swell is weak and wind is messy. The first real blip of interest comes up on Monday 6th July morning. It’s not great, with cross-onshore wind, 2ft SW swell at 17 seconds, and combined energy of 638 – moderate energy – but the long period means the waves will have some shape. Still, it’s not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate.

The standout moment in this whole outlook is Tuesday 7th July morning at Jaguay. The wind goes glassy – dead calm, offshore from the W at 3 mph – and that’s a big deal. Swell is 3ft from the SW with a 16-second period, combined energy of 400. It’s small but clean, and with a long period groundswell like that, the waves will have some push and form. The optimum swell direction here is SW, so it’s hitting right. Water temp is about average for this time of year, which is pleasant enough. Keep in mind, crowds are sometimes here, so you might have a few others out. This is your best shot for a decent, glassy surf.

After that, it fades fast. Wednesday 8th July morning drops to 2ft and poor conditions. From there through Thursday 16th July, it’s a real grind: mostly 2ft to 2ft, poor or marginal surf, with onshore or cross-onshore winds. The week of the 13th to 17th is particularly dead, with combined energy dropping into the low 100s and 200s – weak stuff.

Saturday 18th July morning at least sees a slight bump in period at 15 seconds and 2ft SW swell, combined energy of 207, but the wind is cross-onshore again. Barely worth a mention.

If you’re a beginner, nothing here gets over 5ft, so it’s safe. But honestly, for most of us, it’s a waiting game. The only true standout is Tuesday 7th July morning – that glassy window is the pick.

Rusty.

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