Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. It’s Rusty here. We’re looking at a 16-day stretch for Jaguay, and I’m not gonna lie, I’m a bit choked. This is going to be a tough run. The whole period is looking pretty meager, with no real standout quality surf. The first few days are a write-off, and while there’s some swell energy showing up, it’s constantly messed up by the wind direction. We’re basically looking at a long wait for a very marginal window.

The first real chance to paddle out comes on Saturday the 18th. The swell is a tiny 3 ft from the SW with a period of 11 seconds. The wind is onshore from the W at 5 mph in the morning, which is our only clean-ish moment. The combined energy is moderate at 221 (weak energy). It’s not exciting, but it’s the best we’ve got for the first week. The water is a huge story here – it’s running 69°, which is a massive 7° above normal. That’s seriously unusual, it’s like the ocean forgot what season it is.

Sunday the 19th picks up a touch. The swell lifts to 4 ft from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds. The morning has that light 5 mph wind, making it the best-looking session of the entire forecast. The combined energy climbs to 418 (moderate wave energy). It’s still marginal, but for a break that’s fairly consistent, this is the one to circle. The swell direction is SW, which matches the optimum for Jaguay.

Monday the 20th afternoon has a spike in energy to 536 (moderate wave energy) with a 4 ft SW swell, but the wind is onshore. It’s frustrating, because the energy is there, but the quality won’t be.

The second week is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops back to ankle-to-knee high, with a few pulses of very long-period swell (20-22 seconds) arriving around the 26th and 27th. That long period is a groundswell, but at 2 ft to 2 ft, it’s just too small to do anything with, and the wind is never fully clean. The energy readings are still moderate (392-445), but the wave height just isn’t there. The crowds can be a problem here sometimes, but honestly, with this outlook, I don’t think you’ll have to worry about many people out.

The short story is: there’s no standout surf in this window. If you’re desperate, try Sunday morning, July 19th. It’s the best of a bad lot. The rest of the time, conditions are just too poor to recommend. Even the normally consistent nature of Jaguay can’t save this one. It’s a blank run for the most part, and for this area, that’s a bit more normal than we’d like.

Rusty.

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