Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here.

Alright, let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Jaguay area. It's a bit of a slow start, but there's a light at the end of the tunnel if you're patient.

The first few days are a write-off, honestly. We're looking at small, weak swell with cross-onshore winds messing things up. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are just poor conditions with tiny waves, nothing to get excited about. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are a bit better in size, but the wind is still not helping, and the tide is a concern. The combined wave energy is moderate (350 to 413), but the quality just isn't there.

Then things start to get interesting. From Monday the 27th, a solid groundswell starts to build. The swell height pushes up to 4 ft from the WSW, with a nice long period of 16 to 17 seconds. The combined energy jumps into the strong range (523 to 643). This is a proper groundswell, so it'll have better shape and power, but it might be a bit too straight for a beach break. The mornings are looking clean with glassy or light offshore winds, which is a massive plus. The water is a very unusual 69°, a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year.

The standout window is definitely Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th. The best bet is Jaguay itself, with the biggest swell and the best wind. Monday morning, the 27th, is the pick: a 3 ft groundswell from the WSW with a 17-second period, combined energy of 523, and glassy conditions. That's a session with real grunt. Tuesday the 28th morning is also a good call, with 4 ft of swell and a 15-second period, again clean. The swell is reaching 4 ft, which is a solid size, but it's still okay for most intermediate surfers; it's only when it pushes over 8 ft that it's expert-only. It's a fairly consistent spot, so you'll get waves.

After that, the size drops off through the end of July and into August. The swell gets smaller, and the winds become more onshore, leading to poorer conditions. The combined energy drops back to moderate (197 to 307). There's a flash of hope on Sunday the 2nd of August and Monday the 3rd, with a glassy morning and 3 ft to 3 ft of swell, so if you're desperate, you might get a few fun ones.

The following week (August 4th onwards) is looking pretty slim. The swell is tiny and the conditions are poor. The combined energy is weak, down to 84. It's a flat spell, but that's not unusual for this area. The forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

So, don't waste your time on the first weekend. Aim for the Monday the 27th to Wednesday the 29th, especially the mornings. That's the best surf on offer.

Rusty.

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