Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this stretch ain’t looking too flash. We’ve got a long quiet spell ahead, but there’s a little light at the end of the tunnel if you’re patient. The main show is at Jaguay, a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent. The water temp is sitting at 67.8°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice surprise if you’re paddling out.

We kick things off on Wednesday the 12th, but honestly, it’s a no-go. Swell is tiny, around 2ft from the SW, and conditions are poor. Thursday the 13th morning shows a bit of life with 2.3ft of WSW swell, but that cross-on breeze messes with the surface. The energy is starting to build though – moderate wave energy in the water (365). Friday the 14th morning is your first real peek: 3.3ft of WSW groundswell with a long period of 16 seconds, and light offshore winds from the WSW. The combined energy is strong (513). The tide might make it tricky, but that’s the best we’ve seen so far.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are more of the same – marginal at best, with cross-on winds and choppy conditions. The swell drops a little. Monday the 17th morning gives us 3.6ft from the SW, with a slight air and offshore wind, but again, it’s a marginal call.

Then we hit Tuesday morning, the 18th – and this is the standout. The wind goes glassy, absolutely still, with 3ft of SW groundswell at a nice 14 seconds. The energy is moderate (322), and the report says “expect good surf conditions.” This is your window. Get out there early. It’s small but clean, and for a beginner spot, that’s pure gold. Crowds are possible, so keep that in mind.

After that, it’s a slow fade. Wednesday the 19th drops off, and from Thursday the 20th all the way through to the end of the month, the swell just fizzles. We’re talking 0.7ft to 1.6ft with very weak energy – some days barely hitting 35. There’s a tiny bump on the 26th and 27th, with 2ft to 3ft of WSW swell and longer periods up to 18 seconds, but it’s all marginal and the wind stays onshore. Not worth getting excited about, honestly.

So to sum it up: the first week is a write-off, then Tuesday the 18th morning is your best bet – glassy, clean, small but surfable. After that, we’re looking at a solid week-plus of flatness. It’s a tough run, but that Tuesday morning could surprise you.

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