Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty slim. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf, and a lot of sessions are going to be a bust. There’s one window that looks like it might deliver, but other than that, you’ll be scratching for waves.

Right out of the gate, the swell has no power. We’re talking combined energy readings in the 300s at best, which is on the weak side of moderate. Nothing has any punch. Water temps are pretty much normal for this time of year.

Friday, August 14 starts things off with a small 3ft swell from the WSW with a long 16-second period, and a light westerly breeze. It’s marginal, but it’s the cleanest start we have. The direction is a bit off the ideal, but the long period gives it some push.

Saturday, August 15 is a touch smaller, 3ft, with a 14-second period. Morning conditions are clean with a light offshore breeze. Still marginal, but not a total write-off.

Sunday, August 16 has the same size, but the morning wind is more cross-on, which messes up the surface. The period is still okay at 13 seconds. Monday is similar, but the afternoon gets blown out with a stronger cross-onshore wind.

Then we get to Tuesday, August 18. This is the one. Swell bumps up to 4ft in the morning, pushing to 5ft in the afternoon, with energy jumping to over 600. The period is a solid 13-14 seconds, and it’s coming from the SW, which is ideal for the break. Morning is clean with a light offshore wind. This is the best combo of size, period, and wind in the whole stretch. It’s still not huge, but it’s the one to go for.

After that, it all fades. From Wednesday, August 19 onward, the swell drops off a cliff. By the 21st, we’re down to 1ft of slop, with energy under 100 – that’s weak, weak stuff. The weekend of August 22-23 is flat, with 0.7ft waves and energy in the double digits. Dead zone.

We stay in that rut for the entire next week. From August 24 through August 29, it’s a constant stream of 0.7ft to 2ft waves, with energy mostly under 100. There’s a tiny blip on August 27 where the energy jumps back to around 150-180 and the period gets long again, but the swell is still only 1-2ft. It’s a tease. Not rideable.

So, bottom line: the only real opportunity is that Tuesday, August 18 window. Make your plans for that. Otherwise, it’s going to be a flat, frustrating stretch. Might be time to check the kite gear, because there’s nothing doing for the paddle crew.

Rusty out.

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