Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Jaguay over the next couple of weeks.

The overall picture is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid, consistent SW groundswell running through the whole period, with energy building from moderate into strong territory by the end of the first week and into the second. The problem is the wind. For most of the run, it’s blowing onshore or cross-onshore, messing up what would otherwise be some decent little waves. It’s a frustrating pattern, but there are a couple of windows where it all comes together.

The first real standout is on Friday morning, August 11th. The wind goes glassy, light from the south, and we’ve got a clean 2ft SW swell with a 12-second period. The combined energy is a solid 343 (moderate), and the conditions are described as "good surf conditions." This is your best bet for a proper session—clean, lined-up waves from the southwest, and with that glassy surface, it’ll be beautiful. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The morning of Sunday, August 2nd, is worth a mention too. It’s glassy again, with a slightly smaller 2ft SW swell (10-second period), and a combined energy of 169 (weak to moderate). The call is "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," which is a bit of a downer, but with the glassy wind, it’ll be cleaner than most other days. It’s a beginner-friendly size, so if you’re looking for a mellow, uncrowded paddle, this could be your window.

For the rest of the first week and into the second, it’s mostly onshore wind and poor conditions. The swell size does build, with a peak around 3ft to 4ft from the SW on August 7th and 12th, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and unattractive. The combined energy hits 409 (moderate to strong) on the morning of August 7th, but it’s a waste with that wind. The swell periods get longer too, up to 14-17 seconds at times, which would normally mean better shaped waves, but with the wind in the wrong direction, it’s just messy.

The morning of Tuesday, August 11th, is your clear highlight. After that, the pattern stays similar—smaller, wind-affected swells. The morning of Friday, August 14th, has a 1ft WSW swell with a very long 16-second period and combined energy of 227 (moderate), but it’s onshore again. It’s a real shame.

So, to sum it up: if you can only surf one day, make it Friday morning, August 11th. That’s the cleanest, most promising window. The rest of the run is mostly for the dedicated or the desperate.

Rusty.

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