Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got one spot in the mix, and it’s a bit of a slow burn. The forecast kicks off with a few days that are more about watching the horizon than charging it. The first call from the data is Saturday, the 29th of August, with a WSW swell around 5 ft and a period of 14 seconds. It’s a groundswell, which is a positive for wave shape, but the wind is a cross-on 9 mph in the morning, making things a bit messy. The combined energy is moderate at 710. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

Saturday afternoon sees the swell drop a touch to 4 ft, wind backing off to a 6 mph onshore breeze, and the energy dropping to 553. It’s still marginal, but the wind is lighter. Sunday the 30th is a write-off with poor conditions and a drop to 4 ft.

The best chance of a decent session looks like it’ll be on Friday, the 4th of September. The swell bumps back up to 4 ft from the WSW, with a 16-second period (very long groundswell). The combined energy is strong at 768. Morning wind is clean onshore at 6 mph, and the break is fairly consistent. The direction is almost bang on the optimum SW swell direction for Jaguay. This is the standout. The swell is under 5 ft, so it’s fine for intermediate surfers, but the long period means it’s best suited to the point and reef setups here. Crowds are possible, so keep an eye out.

The following weekend, Saturday the 5th of September, has slightly smaller surf at 4 ft, with a 14-second period and lighter winds. It’s marginal, but not a total loss. After that, the swell fades into the 3 ft range for the rest of the second week, with mostly onshore or cross-on winds and weak energy readings (mostly in the 300s). The 18th of September (Sunday the 13th) is the last day listed, with 3 ft and a cross-on 9 mph breeze – poor conditions.

So, the honest take: there’s a frustrating gap of poor surf from the 30th of August right through to the 3rd of September. Then we get a brief window on Friday, the 4th, with the best of the swell – that’s your one true standout. After that, it’s flat to marginal for the rest of the run. The break is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long, but this window is tight.

For the record, the water is sitting around average temperature for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Stay frothy.

Rusty.

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