Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Jaguay, but don’t get your hopes up too soon. The first recommendation is a long way off, and we’re looking at a pretty big gap of over a week with no real surf on offer. The good news? When it does show up, there’s a couple of proper sessions to get excited about.

Right out of the gate, things are flat and messy. From Monday the 20th of July right through to the 23rd, we’ve got small, weak swell with onshore winds. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 242 and 299 (weak energy). It’s just not worth paddling out for. The water is a whopping 69°F and that’s a massive 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – very unusual, so you might not even need a thick wetsuit, but the surf is plain poor.

The first real sign of life comes on Friday the 24th of July. It’s small, with a swell of 1ft from the WSW, but the wind goes glassy. That’s a major plus. The period is a very long 20 seconds, which is prime groundswell energy (combined energy 318 – moderate). This kind of long-period swell is best at point breaks and reefs, but at a beach break like Jaguay, it can break a bit straight. Still, a glassy morning with that much energy in the water is a rare treat.

We’ve got another quiet spell after that, with a few cross-on and onshore days, but the swell is building. The 27th of July (Monday) shows a solid jump: 3ft to 4ft from the WSW, with a period of 16 to 18 seconds. The combined energy shoots up to 651 to 751 (moderate to strong). The wind is light cross-on in the morning, which isn’t perfect, but it’s rideable. This is a promising few days, but the morning of the 27th is the best of this batch.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning session is an absolute gem. The swell is 5ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. The combined energy hits 876 (strong). And the wind? Glassy. Absolutely glassy. That’s going to be clean, punchy, and lined up. It’s a beginner-plus spot, so 5ft is on the upper edge for learners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the best of the whole outlook. The swell direction is matching the optimum from the SW, so Jaguay should be working well. The afternoon picks up to 5ft, and while the wind goes onshore, the morning is the winner. Expect crowds to be possible, so get there early.

After that, it tails off quickly into the 3rd and 4th of August with smaller, weaker swell and onshore winds. The energy drops back to weak levels (189 to 497). The window closes out quietly.

So, for the best on offer: Friday 24th July morning for the glassy, long-period novelty, but the true standout is Sunday 2nd August morning. That’s the one with the best combo of size, strong energy, and perfect glassy conditions. Get out there.

- Rusty.

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