Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for the Jaguay stretch.

Right off the bat, I gotta tell you, this isn’t a week for big hero stories. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a grind, with a lot of small, weak swell and average to poor conditions. The water is feeling toasty though, a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real standout, very unusual. You’ll be sweating in your wetsuit or loving it without one.

The first real chance to paddle out is on Sunday the 26th (afternoon), but it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the WSW, with a 14-second period, and a cross-onshore wind messing it up. The energy is moderate (367), but the setup is just poor. Not worth your time.

Monday the 27th is a little better in size, with 3ft to 4ft on the way, but the forecast is flagging it as a “marginal” call due to tide. The wind is onshore but light, so it’s a gamble.

Tuesday the 28th is where you want to park your car. The morning session is the clear standout of the entire forecast. The wind goes totally glassy – zero, calm – and the swell is a clean 4ft from the WSW with a long 15-second period. The energy is strong (564). That’s a recipe for some proper lines. The swell direction is SW, which is the optimum for this spot (Jaguay). It’s a beginner-plus break, so that size is perfect for learning or cruising. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so they might be around, but with conditions this clean, it’ll be worth sharing.

After Tuesday, the wheels fall off a bit. Wednesday through to the end of the first week is a mix of onshore winds and small, short-period swell. The energy drops right off, and we’re looking at cross-onshore slop and choppy conditions. Not surfable.

The second week, from Sunday the 2nd of August onwards, is a long, slow grind. The swell stays tiny – 2ft to 3ft – and the winds are mostly onshore or light cross-onshore. The energy is weak (mostly between 100 and 200). There’s a couple of moments with a longer period (14-17 seconds) on Thursday the 6th, but the swell is too small to do anything with. The waves just won’t have enough push. It’s a long stretch of poor to marginal days.

So, to sum it up: the only real window to slide into the water is Tuesday morning, July 28th. The rest of the 16 days is a big fat dud for Jaguay. If you don’t make that session, you’re waiting a long time.

Rusty.

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