Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here checkin’ in with a look at what we’ve got cookin’ for the next couple weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner, so let’s get into it.

Overall, we’re looking at a long stretch of small, background southwest swell at Jaguay. Nothing huge or punchy on the cards, but if you’re a beginner or just want to get the board wet, there’s a few windows where conditions line up. The water is notably warmer than usual for this time of year, coming in at 67°F, which is a solid 5°F above average – a real treat for the skin.

The first real standout pops up early. Wednesday morning, July 8th, that’s your best bet. We’ve got a clean 2 ft of swell from the SW, but the magic is in the wind – glassy, dead calm from the west at just 3 mph. The water will be like a mirror. It’s a long-period groundswell at 15 seconds, so waves will have a nice shape, with proper gaps between sets making paddling easy. The energy is moderate, reading at (194). This is a beginner-plus wave, so perfect for learning or just cruisin’. Just a heads up, it *sometimes* gets a few heads in the water.

From there, the forecast gets pretty ordinary. Thursday morning the 9th sees some onshore breeze with similar 2 ft swell, so not worth the paddle. The pattern of small swell and onshore or cross-onshore wind continues for days. Tuesday morning, July 14th, we get another glassy window with the wind swinging light WNW at 3 mph, but the swell is still a tiny 2 ft from the SW with energy at (197). It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary surf.

We then hit a long stretch of poor to marginal conditions. The best of that period is probably Saturday morning, July 18th, with a 2 ft southwest groundswell (period 15s, energy 211), but the wind is a light cross-onshore from the W at 6 mph, so expect ripples. Then into the second week, on Sunday morning, July 19th, the swell bumps up to 4 ft from the SW with energy jumping to (449), which is a moderate pulse, but the wind is onshore at 6 mph and the commentary is outright poor – so it’s a pass. That size may also be pushing it for beginners.

Honestly, nothing else really sings. The rest of the run is similar: small swell, onshore or cross-onshore winds, and lots of “marginal” or “poor” comments. You’d be waiting a long time between decent waves. Keep your eye on the glassy mornings, because those are the only real chance at something clean.

Rusty signing off.

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