Jaguay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at the charts for Jaguay.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch of the forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions right through the end of the month. The energy is there in the water, with a moderate combined swell energy (236) kicking off Monday morning, but the wind and wave state are just not playing ball. The swell is coming from the WSW, which is pretty much the wrong direction for this spot – it's an exposed break, and it needs a good SW swell to really light up. On top of that, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-on, making things choppy and messy. The water temp is running at 68°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year – a real anomaly (7° above average), so at least you won’t need a thick suit, but the waves aren’t going to be your friend.

For the first week, from Monday the 14th through to the 20th, it’s pretty much a write-off. Swell heights hover around 1ft to 2ft, with periods that vary but mostly stay below 15 seconds. The combined energy is all over the place, but it’s not enough to overcome the poor conditions. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-on, and the wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions." No recommendations here, folks – it’s a blank run.

We get a bit of a spike around the 25th of September, with a 4ft swell from the WSW and a combined energy of 429 – that’s a moderate to strong energy reading. But again, the wind is onshore, and the wave state is still poor. It’s a tease, really. The swell period is around 12-13 seconds, so it’s not a long-period groundswell, but it’s not terrible. The problem is the direction and the wind.

Looking at the second week, from the 22nd onward, the swell drops back down to 1ft to 3ft, with energy readings in the 100-200 range. The wind stays onshore or cross-on. There’s a glimmer on the 29th with a 1ft swell but a very long period of 20 seconds – that’s a groundswell, but it’s tiny. That kind of long period is better at a point break or reef, not a beach break, and with the wind onshore, it’s not going to do much.

Honestly, for this entire 16-day window, there’s no standout session. The conditions are just too poor. If you’re desperate, you might find a small window on the 25th morning if the wind holds, but don’t expect much. This is one of those periods where it’s better to save your energy and wait for the next swell.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts – things can change.

Rusty.

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