KM-200 - Totoritas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’m looking at the 16-day forecast for Totoritas (KM-200). Honestly, this one’s a bit of a downer. The whole outlook is plagued by weak swell and mostly poor conditions. There’s no standout period or break to get excited about—the data shows "poor surf conditions" across nearly every session, with only one brief flicker of "marginal" quality. We’re talking about a long run of nothing.

Let’s start with what we’ve got from Saturday, September 12th. The morning’s showing a little 2 ft swell from the WSW with a period of 12 seconds and combined energy of 164. The wind’s a light 6 mph breeze from the WSW, directly onshore, which is a letdown—those little waves are already struggling, and onshore wind just chops ’em up. The water’s sitting at 68°, which is way warmer than usual for this time of year. That anomaly of 7° is very unusual. Afternoon builds to 2 ft from the SW, but same story—poor conditions.

Sunday, September 13th, is more of the same. Morning offers 2 ft from the SW, light onshore wind, poor surf. Afternoon ticks up to 2 ft with a short, weak period of 8 seconds (combined energy 173), but it’s all onshore and messy.

Monday, September 14th, sees the only glimmer of hope in the whole forecast. The morning brings a 1 ft swell from the WSW, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds (groundswell), with combined energy at 238. That long period usually means better-shaped waves and more push, but it’s so tiny—1 ft—that it’s barely rideable. Wind’s light onshore, and the data says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." The afternoon is even smaller, poor again. From there, it’s a brutal slog.

Tuesday, September 15th, through to the end of the run on Sunday, September 27th, it’s all poor. Swell heights rarely top 2 ft, periods are all over the place from short to long, but none of it matters because the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore. Energy values drop from moderate (around 200) down to weak (30 or 40 by the 24th). The 21st and 22nd see energy falling below 100—just a whisper of energy. The 24th is the low point: 0.7 ft swell, 30 combined energy. Honestly, this is flat.

Given the consistent onshore flow and tiny, weak surf, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing—if you’ve got a kite, you might get some use out of it. But for the rest of us, there’s nothing to recommend. The forecast is bleak straight through, and with such poor consistency and quality, this sort of blank run is more normal for the area. Forecasts can change, but right now, I wouldn’t bother.

Rusty.

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