KM-200 - Totoritas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next stretch.

So, we’ve got a bit of a flat spell to kick things off, but don’t write it off just yet. The overall pattern is one of persistent, small, clean swell from the southwest, with light winds most days. The real standout is a late run, and the early days are for the patient surfer.

The first few days are a tough watch. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are seeing tiny 3 ft to 3 ft SW swell, but with clean offshore wind. The energy is there, but it’s weak – just 207 to 313 (moderate energy). Problem is, the wave comment is calling it “marginal” and the score is a 1. It’s not surfable in any meaningful way. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are similar, with the swell bumping up to 4 ft on Friday morning, and the period stretching to 14 seconds. That’s a nice long-period groundswell, and the energy climbs to 461 (moderate). But the wind is cross-on, and the comment says “marginal.” It’s close, but not quite.

The weekend of the 8th and 9th is a write-off. The swell drops off to 2 ft to 3 ft, and the energy fades. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

The real story starts to build around the 10th. Monday the 10th sees a 2 ft SW swell, but it’s light and cross-on. Still, the energy is back up to 356 (moderate). The wind is light, but it’s not clean.

Now, for the best on offer, you have to look to the second week. Totoritas (KM-200) is the name on the card. The real standout window is Wednesday the 18th and into Thursday the 19th of August. On Wednesday the 18th afternoon, the swell pushes up to 4 ft from the SW, with a period of 16 seconds – that’s very long period groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 592 (moderate to strong). This is the biggest energy of the whole forecast. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, which is a bit of a bummer, but the swell is coming from the optimum direction (SW) for this point break. The consistency is fair, but given it’s a point break, that long period energy will wrap in nicely. Because it’s a point, the long period won’t make it too straight, it’ll actually line up nicely. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might get a few others out, but it’s not a circus.

The morning of the 19th still has 3 ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period and energy of 356 (moderate), but the wind is cross-on. It’s still a decent option, but the Wednesday afternoon is the peak.

If you’re a beginner, be careful. The swell on the 18th is over 5 ft, so it’s getting a bit too much for the less experienced. For the experts, it’s perfect.

The long-range forecast for the 18th and 19th has a bit of promise, but it’s still a couple of weeks out, so keep an eye on it. The run-up to that is a long, quiet stretch. From the 4th to the 17th, there’s essentially no good surf on offer. It’s a lot of days with marginal conditions and poor surf quality. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

For the main event, the water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no need to worry about a wetsuit unless you’re fussy.

Rusty.

Read more