KM-200 - Totoritas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. This stretch is looking pretty flat and meh. For the next week and a half, we’re dealing with tiny waves, mostly in the 0.4m to 0.7m range, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which just ruins any chance of clean surf. There’s not much to get excited about.

From the start, right through the first week, everything is rated as poor. The swell energy is weak, mostly in the 100–260 range, which is pretty marginal. For example, Tuesday morning the 15th has a 0.7m WSW swell with a 15-second period, but the energy is only 226 and it’s cross-onshore—so it’s messy and small. That long period is nice in theory, but with this size and wind, it’s not doing anything.

We’ve got a real gap here—basically from the 15th through the 24th, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. It stays small, poor quality, and the wind just won’t let up. The 25th and 26th finally show a slight bump, with swell getting to 0.9m on the 25th afternoon and 26th morning, but even then, the energy is still moderate (255–334), and the conditions are still poor or marginal. The wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s not clean.

The only real glimpse of something better comes right at the end of the window, on the 28th of September. That Monday afternoon shows 0.9m of SW swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 270—still not huge, but it’s the best we see all window. It’s still cross-onshore, so it won’t be glassy, but at least there’s a bit more push. Then on the 30th, we get a 1.0m SW swell with a 10-second period, morning energy at 218, but again, onshore wind. These are marginal calls at best.

So, if you’re looking for a standout, there isn’t one. The best on offer is probably that Monday the 28th afternoon at KM-200 – Totoritas (this is a point break, exposed to SW swell). Even then, it’s a marginal one—the swell direction matches the optimum SW, but the wind is cross-onshore, and it’s not big. The water temp is a notable 20° with an anomaly of 4°, which is way warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s a real talking point.

Honestly, for most of this run, you’re better off doing something else. The waves are too small and too wind-affected to be any fun. And with the onshore winds, if any half-decent swell did show, it would be messy. If you’re a beginner, well, nothing here is over 1.5m, so you’re safe, but there’s just no push. For the experts, there’s nothing over 2.5m either, so it’s not a washout, but it’s not a challenge.

Let’s be real—this is a blank run. The second week is even quieter, with weaker energy and smaller waves, so don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, I’d keep the board in the car and maybe go for a skate.

Rusty out.

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