KM-200 - Totoritas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipeline for Totoritas. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s a glimmer of hope further out, so don’t write the whole period off just yet.

Right now, we’re stuck in a pretty flat spell. The first session that’s even worth a mention doesn’t show up until Sunday the 19th of July, with a small 3ft swell from the SW. Combined energy is sitting at 299 (moderate), but the wind is cross-on from the SW at 6 mph, and the description is "poor surf conditions." The water is a balmy 69°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s very unusual, so you’ll be in for a warm one if you’re desperate.

Through Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, it’s a similar story. We’re looking at knee-high waves around 3ft to 3ft, with onshore or cross-on winds. The combined energy hovers in the mid-to-high 200s (moderate), but it’s all "marginal surf forecast" or "poor surf conditions." Not much to get excited about.

The middle of the week stays quiet. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd offer tiny waves—2ft to 3ft—with a bit of a longer period on Thursday morning (24 seconds, very long period), but it’s only 1ft. That’s a groundswell with no size, so it’s just a tease. Still, combined energy pushes up to 340 (moderate). The wind is light, mostly cross-on or onshore.

Friday the 24th through to Sunday the 26th of July is a write-off: waves barely breaking 2ft, combined energy dropping, and the wind onshore. It’s a real lull.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Starting Monday the 27th of July, we see a proper pulse. The swell jumps to 4ft from the WSW, with a period of 18 seconds in the morning. That’s a solid, long-period groundswell. Combined energy ramps up to 935 (very strong wave energy). The wind is WSW at 3 mph, which is onshore, but it’s a slight air, so it’s glassy. Monday afternoon keeps the 4ft, period drops to 16 seconds, and energy is still huge at 751 (very strong). This is the standout of the entire forecast. With that long period, Totoritas, being a point break, will handle it beautifully. It’s a bit much for beginners—over 3ft and with that power—but for the intermediate crew, this is the one to pencil in. The break is "fairly consistent," and crowds are "sometimes" possible, so keep an eye out.

Tuesday the 28th of July holds similar size, 4ft to 4ft, with periods easing from 15 to 14 seconds. Combined energy is still strong (610 and 515). The wind shifts to a light cross-on from the WNW, which is still manageable. Quality stays "marginal surf forecast," but given the energy, it’ll be fun.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the end of July and into August. Wednesday the 29th drops to 3ft, Thursday the 30th to 3ft, and by Friday the 31st, we’re back to 3ft. The energy drops steadily (368 down to 148). Wind remains light and onshore.

The first few days of August are flat again. Combined energy falls below 150 (weak), and the waves are 1.0ft to 2ft. The "poor surf conditions" tag is unfortunately accurate.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a wash, with a big gap of poor-to-marginal surf from the 19th to the 26th. The real action is Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th of July, when that solid groundswell hits. That’s the best on offer. After that, it fades fast. If you’re after a session, aim for that Monday.

Rusty.

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