Ikei Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the outlook for Ikei Island. There’s a bit of a quiet spell to start, but the second half of the forecast window has some real promise.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 29°C, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The next few days are pretty flat and ordinary. We’ve got glassy conditions Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th, but the waves are tiny—around 1ft to 2ft with a weak, short-period ENE swell. The combined energy is low (74 or less), so it’s really just board-floaters out there. Saturday the 15th stays small with glassy mornings, but still nothing to get excited about. From Sunday the 16th through to the 23rd, it’s a rough run. The wind turns onshore and picks up, and the swell stays small or comes in with a messy short period. The surf quality drops hard, and there’s a stretch where the combined energy gets moderate (131 to 879), but the wind and chop ruin it. On the 20th, the swell jumps to 8ft to 12ft from the ESE-SE, but with a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions, it’s more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session. That period of poor surf lasts about a week.

Then things start to turn around. On Tuesday the 25th, we finally get some solid groundswell. The morning sees a 2ft E swell at 16 seconds, but the energy is ramping up (503). By the afternoon, it’s 4ft from the east at 15 seconds, with a combined energy of 718. The wind is light and glassy, and the conditions are expected to be very good. This is a long-period groundswell, so it’ll handle the reef well and offer clean lines, though the set gaps might be a bit longer. Wednesday the 26th keeps the energy up (711) with 5ft E swell at 14 seconds, and light onshore wind, but it’s a bit more marginal. Thursday the 27th is a standout: glassy in the morning with 4ft E swell, and by the afternoon we get offshore wind from the west, 4ft E swell at 14 seconds, and very good conditions. Friday the 28th is the pick of the bunch—clear skies, light offshore breeze, 5ft to 5ft swell from the ENE at 14 seconds, and combined energy pushing 980. The reef at Ikei Island should be offering some long, clean walls. This is the best window for intermediate to advanced surfers, as the swell is a bit too much for beginners.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off, but the last few days from the 25th to the 28th are looking really promising. Thursday the 27th afternoon and Friday the 28th are the standouts. Get on it.

Rusty.

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