Guarda do Embau Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me give you the straight-up for Guarda do Embau over the next couple of weeks.

The forecast period starts with a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got some real gems lined up if you’re patient. The water temp is sitting at an anomaly that’s not exactly screaming anything unusual; it’s about what you’d expect for this time of year around Guarda.

Right off the bat, Monday, July 6th is a write-off. There's some small swell, but the scores are low and the conditions aren't clicking. Tuesday doesn't look great either with onshore breezes and lumpy cross-chop. The surf is there but it's a mess.

Now, Wednesday, July 8th is where things get interesting. The morning is an absolute stunner with glassy conditions and a clean 4 ft swell from the south. That's ideal for a beginner-friendly river-mouth like Guarda. The swell period is a meaty 12 seconds, giving it some proper push and shape for a river break like this. That’s the standout of the first week. The combined wave energy is moderate at 532. If you can get out Wednesday morning, you’ve timed it perfectly. The south swell direction is solid, and the offshore wind from the WNW will keep it clean.

Jump ahead to Saturday and Sunday, July 11th and 12th. We’re seeing a consistent run of 4 ft to 4 ft ESE swell with 12 to 13-second periods. Expect clean conditions with cross-offshore winds – the combined energy is climbing into the moderate-to-strong range (531–766). It’s not as glassy as Wednesday, but it’s still very good and consistent. The crowds? Guarda usually has surfers around, so be ready for company but nothing mental.

Then you gotta look at Monday, July 13th. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the south (9-second period) in the morning, but the afternoon report throws down a 10 ft SSE swell with 30 km/h (19 mph) winds. That’s a lot of water moving. The combined energy is over 1300 – strong wave energy. But here’s the catch: the forecast is saying it’s too big for this break at that point, probably just walls closing out. That afternoon is for experts only, if anyone, and the wind is cross-shore, making it lumpy. The days following also have 7 ft to 7 ft swells with strong winds – it’s rough, messy, and not really the best paddle surfing product. Honestly, that July 13th setup might be more interesting for the kite crew.

Look further ahead. Sunday, July 19th delivers a big 8 ft swell from the NE, but the wind is howling from the north at 20 km/h (12 mph). That’s a lot of juice, but not clean. It’s a promising size for the second week but less certain, and the quality takes a hit.

Here’s the bottom line: Wednesday, July 8th morning is the best on offer – glassy, 4 ft southern swell, perfect for a beginner-friendly session. The next true standout is Saturday and Sunday, July 11th and 12th – those days offer consistent, clean 4-4 ft swell with good period. Don’t bother with the opening days or the big, windy stuff mid-week. That’s the plan.

Be safe out there.
Rusty

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