
Surf Forecasts:
Guarda do Embau surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, NE swell with 736 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Guarda do Embau this week:
The surf forecast for Guarda do Embau over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Guarda do Embau in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Guarda do Embau over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, looking at the upcoming swell window for Guarda do Embau.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the first week and a half is a bit of a write-off. We've got a lot of small, weak swell and messy winds, so you're looking at a long stretch of nothing special. The real action, and I mean the *real* action, doesn't fire up until the very end of the month.
The water is currently a brutal 60°F – that's 6°F colder than normal for this time of year. Way, way below average, so you're gonna need a thick suit.
The only true standout in this whole 16-day period is the 27th of July (Monday morning and afternoon) at Guarda do Embau (river) . Monday morning sees a building 5ft SSE groundswell (11 seconds period) with clean conditions and a light offshore breeze. The combined energy hits 947 (moderate energy). It gets interesting. But Monday afternoon is where it goes off: the swell jumps to 8ft from the SSE with a very long 15-second period. The energy is through the roof at 2991 (very strong energy). Winds are a clean cross-offshore. Look, this is big. Over 8ft with that period will be pushing into expert-only territory at a river mouth, and the long period might make it break a bit straight in the channel, but for the crew who know the lineup, it's going to be pumping.
Before that, the only other window worth paddling out for is Saturday the 25th of July. You've got moderate rain, but a solid 6ft S swell (9 seconds) with onshore wind. Combined energy around 963 (moderate to strong). It's not going to be perfect, but it'll be the best of a poor run. Not a standout, just something to wet the whistle.
Tuesday the 28th of July (morning) is another good call. Clean 6ft SSE swell, 13-second period (groundswell), light offshore breeze, and energy at 979 (moderate to strong). It's a good follow-up to Monday's swell.
Wednesday the 29th of July is the cherry on top. The morning has a clean 5ft SSE groundswell and glassy conditions by the afternoon. Both windows rate well, and the afternoon is dead calm with a perfect glassy surface on a solid 5ft swell. That is a session to get excited about.
So, if you can wait, get on it for the 27th through the 29th of July. Everything before that is a hard pass unless you're desperate for a paddle. Don't bother looking at the week leading up to that – it's mostly junky windswell and cross-chop. For the first ten days, the setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a surfer.
Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
290 | 240 | 182 | 163 | 188 | 416 | 334 | 602 | 682 | 443 | 730 | 560 | 365 | 290 | 270 | 448 | 234 | 319 | 161 | 125 | 116 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:55PM0.72m | 2:04AM0.67m | 4:01PM0.65m | 2:38AM0.72m | 4:11PM0.60m | 3:15AM0.73m | 4:27PM0.56m | 9:16PM0.43m | 3:55AM0.71m | 4:49PM0.55m | 4:39AM0.66m | 5:14PM0.53m | 5:30AM0.59m | 5:44PM0.52m | 11:26PM0.35m | 6:39AM0.52m | |||||
Low Tide | 10:07PM0.43m | 9:56AM-0.02m | 10:30PM0.46m | 10:35AM0.03m | 10:48PM0.45m | 11:12AM0.11m | 8:49PM0.43m | 11:48AM0.20m | 9:02PM0.38m | 12:28PM0.29m | 9:45PM0.35m | 1:28PM0.37m | 10:47PM0.35m | 10:04AM0.46m | |||||||
— | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | |
5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | 5:38 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 23 |
Feels °C | 15 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NE 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ENE 8 | ESE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 16 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSE 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
290 | 240 | 85 | 163 | 133 | 267 | 40 | 388 | 422 | 26 | 439 | 323 | 17 | 290 | 270 | 270 | 234 | 207 | 161 | 125 | 116 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 13 | ESE 10 | SE 11 | S 20 | ESE 10 | SSE 16 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | S 13 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 |
2 | 3 | 182 | 18 | 7 | 67 | 26 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 17 | — | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 13 | SE 18 | S 12 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | S 10 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | S 12 | — | S 3 |
4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | — | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | N 4 | — | NE 8 | N 4 | NE 8 | — | SSW 2 | — |
41 | 52 | 176 | 124 | 188 | 416 | 334 | 602 | 682 | 443 | 730 | 560 | 365 | 30 | — | 448 | 26 | 319 | — | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 38 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 27 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 14 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Sul | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Guarda do Embau Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Guarda do Embau provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Guarda do Embau can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Guarda do Embau surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Guarda do Embau) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Guarda do Embau may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Guarda do Embau is 30 km (19 miles) from Palhoca. If you plan a holiday in Santa Catarina - Sul, look for hotels and other accommodation in Palhoca. Palhoca has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











