Guarda do Embau Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some solid swell windows but the wind is going to be the deciding factor. It's not going to be completely flat, but we'll have to pick our moments. The water's sitting at about 67°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year – nothing freaky there.

We start off with a bit of a dud. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are looking pretty poor. We've got some small, short-period swell with cross-shore winds messing it up. There's just no energy in the water, the combined swell energy is only around 124-126, and it's just not worth paddling out for the slop. Best to sit this one out.

Now, Saturday the 8th brings a real change. That SSE swell arrives with a proper 14-second period, and the energy jumps right up to 1463. It's a bit of a bigger, more powerful groundswell, with 7ft on offer. The wind is light and cross-off, which should keep things clean. It's a bit tricky, though, and the tide might play games with us. It's not perfect, but it's the first real sign of life.

That swell sticks around for Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th. Sunday sees it bump up to 7ft with a shorter 8-second period, but it's cross-shore and a bit chopped. The energy is strong, hitting 2090, but it's not pretty. Monday, the 10th, looks better. The swell is still around 7ft, the period stretches back out to 12 seconds, and the wind swings to a light cross-off, leaving the surf clean. The energy is pumping at 2180-2263. This is a better day for the more experienced lot, as it's pushing past the 5ft mark.

Guarda do Embau is the spot, a river mouth that can handle this size and direction. The SSW swell direction is grinding in nicely here.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th could be the ones to circle. Tuesday morning is still okay, but the afternoon turns glassy with the wind dropping to nothing. We've got 6ft of that long-period SSE swell (13 seconds) and it's going to be clean. The energy is still moderate-strong at 935. Wednesday the 12th looks similar – clean conditions, that 6ft swell rolling through with a 12-second period. These are the days where it could be really fun, especially if you can find a peak that handles the long-period swell properly.

Thursday the 13th is a bit of a letdown. The morning has clean 5ft waves, but the afternoon brings in a lumpy 8ft with a shorter period and cross-onshore wind. That's a big jump and it might just be a washing machine. Friday the 14th sees the swell drop a touch, but the wind turns straight onshore and it's going to be blown out. The vibe is off.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th is a write-off. The wind is up and the swell is junky. Don't get too excited about it. It's the kind of weekend where you'd rather be doing something else.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. We've got a long-range promise for the middle of the next week. The 18th and 19th of August are looking like proper standouts. The swell is back up to 8-8ft, and while the period is a bit shorter at 9 seconds, the wind is forecast to be super light, even glassy at times. The energy is strong, around 826-930. It's not the cleanest period, but the calm conditions are a massive plus. This could be the best surf of the whole window. The only caveat is this is a week and a half out, so we don't lock it in yet. But it's promising.

After that, the energy starts to fade into the 20th and 21st, with smaller, weaker swell and less consistent conditions. It's a slow fade-out. Thursday the 20th might have a clean 4ft if you're desperate, but the magic will have gone.

So, keep an eye on Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th for some clean, mid-period fun. But if you can wait, the 18th and 19th look like the true highlight – promising if the forecast holds.

Rusty out.

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