Friendly Beaches Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for us. We’ve got a run of surfable days coming up, but nothing that’s going to have you calling in sick for work. The standout window is right around the corner, so let’s break it down.

We’re starting things off a little slow. The first real option we have is Monday afternoon at Friendly Beaches. It’s a bit of a washout, honestly. We’ve got a 6.9ft NE swell rolling in, but the south wind is chopping it up something fierce. The water’s sitting at 57.2°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but you won’t be feeling it with that wind. The energy is moderate at 859, but the surf quality is poor. I’d give this one a skip unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

Now, Tuesday morning is where things start to get interesting. The swell drops to a cleaner 4.6ft from the NE, and we’ve got a cross-offshore breeze from the WSW. It’s still a bit marginal, but it’s a step in the right direction. The real gem, though, is Tuesday afternoon. The wind goes glassy out of the ENE, and the swell is a clean 4.6ft from the NE. The energy is still moderate at 771, but the conditions are looking very good. The period is 10 seconds, which is a solid, average swell. This is probably the pick of the first few days.

Wednesday looks rideable. The swell drops to 3.3ft from the ENE, with a clean cross-off breeze in the morning and a proper offshore from the WSW in the afternoon. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean. The energy is moderate, dropping from 439 to 327. Good, but not great.

Thursday and Friday see the swell back off a touch, with the period stretching out to 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is a good sign for shape. The size is small, 1.6ft to 2.6ft, but it’s coming from the south. The winds are light and offshore, so it’ll be clean. The energy is still moderate, around 241 to 482, but with this size, it’s going to be more of a longboard day. The period is long, so it might be breaking a bit straight at the beach, but it’ll be pretty.

Saturday morning is looking like another glassy winner. The swell is 3.0ft from the S, with a 10-second period, and there’s no wind to speak of. It’s clean and small. The energy is moderate at 311. Saturday afternoon gets a bit dicey with an onshore breeze, so I’d get out there in the morning.

Sunday and Monday of the first week are still rideable, but the energy is dropping off. Sunday morning is glassy again with a 3.0ft S swell, but the period eases to 11 seconds. The energy is 238. After that, it starts to wind down. Monday morning has a 2.0ft S swell, but it’s weak, with an energy of just 96. The conditions are clean, but it’s getting small.

Then we hit a lull. From Monday afternoon through to the following Friday morning, things go flat. The combined energy values are all below 100, often in the 40s and 50s. There’s just no power in the water. The swell is tiny, and the winds are mostly cross or onshore, which doesn’t help. This is a stretch where you’re better off doing something else.

Now, here’s the thing. The forecast does show a pulse of energy around Friday, the 21st, but it’s all over the shop. The swell jumps a bit, but the period is short and the conditions are poor. It’s not worth getting excited about.

The following week, from the 22nd onwards, sees a bit more activity, but it’s pretty ordinary. There are a few clean moments with small cross-offshore winds, but the swell direction is all over the place and the energy is mostly weak. There’s nothing here that’s going to be a standout.

So, if you’re looking for a window, the best bet is Tuesday afternoon on the 11th. That’s the one with the glassy conditions and the clean 4.6ft NE swell. After that, it’s a waiting game. The long-range stuff looks promising but less certain, and I wouldn’t hold my breath for anything big.

Keep it salty.

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