Friendly Beaches Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be honest with you – the next couple of weeks are not shaping up to be one for the history books. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much happening, and then a couple of windows where things might just fire, but you’ll need to keep your expectations in check. The grunt work is done, so let me walk you through it.

The first few days are going to be a tease. We’ve got swell, but it’s junky and the wind is going to mess with it. The water’s sitting at 14°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a small win.

Wednesday the 16th sees a cross-off SSW wind with a 2.4m swell, but it’s only an 8-second period – all chop and no push. It’s going to be messy. Thursday the 17th drops right off, with a 0.4m S swell but a long 15-second period. It’s surfable but very ordinary. Friday the 18th has a bit more energy, but it’s still small and short-period, so you’re hunting for corners, not riding waves. We’re basically treading water here.

The middle of the month looks grim. From the 19th through to the 23rd, we’re dealing with waves in the 0.5m to 1.3m range, mostly short-period, with cross-off or cross winds that will chop it up. There’s one morning on the 22nd where the S swell gets to 1.0m at 16 seconds, but the wind is cross-shore and it’s just not clean enough to get excited about. It’s a grind.

Now, here’s where it gets proper. Sunday the 27th is the standout of the whole run. We’ve got a morning with no wind at all – glassy conditions – and the swell is up at 2.2m from the NNE. It’s only an 8-second period, so it’s short, but that size with glass is going to have some push. The combined energy is strong at 1240, and this is the one window that actually looks worth the effort. It’s for experienced surfers only at this size – if you’re a beginner, this is not your day.

The day before and after, the 26th and the 28th, have some smaller, cleaner windows, but they don’t have the same grunt. Monday the 28th morning is glassy with a 1.4m NE swell, and it’s okay, but the afternoon turns to shit with a cross-shore wind that chops it right up. Tuesday the 29th has a light offshore feel and a small 1.1m NE swell, just clean enough for a few fun ones, but nothing to write home about.

After that, it’s dead. The 30th and the 1st of October are small, poor, and windy – forget it.

So, the one true standout is the glassy morning of the 27th. That’s your best shot. It’s a long way out, so the forecast could shift, but if it holds, get in the water early and make the most of it before the wind turns it to mush. Otherwise, it’s a lot of looking at the ocean.

Stay patient, and I’ll catch you down there.

Rusty.

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