1st Street Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, let’s get real about the surf ahead at 1st Street Jetty. It’s gonna be a rough couple of weeks, that’s for sure. We’re in a proper flat spell, and it’s gonna hang around for a while.

The first week is just a total bust. For days, we’re looking at tiny 0.7ft to 1ft slop with weak energy. The combined swell energy is stuck in the low 20s to 50s, which is as weak as it gets. Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are all about ankle-biters, and while there’s a glimmer of clean surf on Sunday the 13th morning with some light offshore wind, it’s still only 1ft. That’s not worth paddling out for unless you’re just stoked to get wet. The period is around 8 to 10 seconds, which is just meh.

Monday the 15th and Tuesday the 16th are more of the same, with nothing over 1ft and lumpy, cross-onshore winds making it look even worse. There’s one glassy moment on Wednesday the 16th morning, but the swell is still a pathetic 1ft. The weekend of the 19th and 20th brings a tiny bump, but it’s short-period windswell at 3ft to 4ft from the NE. The energy picks up to a moderate 100, but the quality is still poor, and the cross-offshore wind will just be chopping it up.

Now, the second week is where it gets a bit more interesting, but the conditions look rough. Starting Monday the 22nd, the swell finally shows up. We’re looking at 5ft to 6ft, with energy jumping into the 400s and up to 664. This is real swell, but it’s coming from the ENE with strong onshore and cross-onshore winds, so the wave quality is going to be a mess. The period is around 8 to 10 seconds, so it’s stormy and lumpy. It’s going to be big enough to hold you up, but you're battling a washing machine.

The biggest push is on Wednesday the 23rd, with 6ft of ENE swell and fresh onshore winds. It’s the biggest we see all week, but it’s going to be too lumpy and disorganized to be any real fun. Light rain and 45 km/h winds on Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th make the whole thing look more like a kite-surfing session than a surf session. Don't get me wrong, there’s power there, but it’s sloppy and blowing hard. This is not the day to be messing around with a log.

Honestly, the only reason to even mention this is for the swell. On the 22nd and 23rd, if you’re an expert on a heavy board, there might be a couple of waves to be had, but the direction and wind are all wrong. The jetty setup might be the only thing that keeps it from being a complete mushburger, but the cross-offshore and onshore winds are going to kill it.

For the first week-plus, the water temp is going to be about average for this time of year, don’t expect any surprises there. The water is still warm enough for a springy, maybe not a full suit.

So, to sum it up, we have a long, flat, frustrating run, followed by a big, windy, messy swell. There’s no standout here. Just an honest case of a bad forecast. Sometimes it’s like that, but it never stays this bad for long. Keep an eye out, things will change.

Rusty out.

Read more