Surf Break

Lat Long: 23.48° N 109.45° W

El Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 15 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Rincon sea temperature is
31.4°C
3.4° 

El Rincon surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Rincon surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 16 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 18 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SSW swell with 1,125 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 16 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Rincon this week:

The surf forecast for El Rincon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Rincon in the next 16 days are 1.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 18) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Oct 16) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Fri 16th Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 18s
Best Surf 5PM (Fri 16th Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 18s
Most Powerful 8AM (Sun 18th Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Rincon over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
3
2
2
1
3
3
1
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
19
1
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
17
1.4
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
19
0.9
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
297
336
470
603
751
659
742
870
1112
974
827
726
619
565
498
529
472
425
367
454
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
20
NNW
15
NNE
5
SE
10
S
15
SSE
15
SE
5
NW
15
N
10
N
5
SSW
15
NNE
10
N
5
W
10
NE
10
N
5
SW
5
ENE
5
NE
5
W
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
11:14PM0.89m
9:29AM1.43m
9:29AM1.33m
9:01AM1.24m
7:31AM1.18m
3:43PM1.08m
6:36AM1.22m
5:03PM1.18m
6:27AM1.30m
5:50PM1.28m
Low Tide
4:51PM0.45m
2:29AM0.83m
5:37PM0.57m
9:26PM0.65m
11:01PM0.58m
12:40PM1.04m
11:27PM0.51m
12:08PM0.90m
11:49PM0.47m
12:16PM0.73m
00:10AM0.44m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
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6:15
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6:15
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6:16
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6:16
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6:16
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6:16
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
—
—
5:51
—
—
5:50
—
—
5:49
—
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5:47
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5:46
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5:46
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 mm
—
—
—
—
6
—
—
—
—
—
3
—
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
29
27
30
30
28
30
31
28
29
29
28
28
29
27
29
28
28
29
29
27
Feels °C
29
28
31
32
31
32
32
31
31
31
33
32
31
30
32
30
32
32
32
31
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Rincon Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Rincon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Rincon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Rincon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Rincon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Rincon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Baja Sur? If you are looking for accommodation near El Rincon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Sur, consider staying in San Jose del Cabo which is 53 km (33 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Cabo San Lucas which is 81 km (50 miles) away

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