Carola Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

I’ll level with you—this is one of those stretches where the ocean isn’t doing us any favours at Carola (Big Island). Over the full 16 days, there’s no real surf to speak of. It’s a long, flat run.

Thursday the 27th is a dead loss—nothing but cross-shore wind and zero swell. Friday the 28th brings a tiny 0.2m north pulse at 6-8 seconds, but there’s no energy behind it (reading 3-5), and the wind is still messing with the surface. Not worth the paddle.

The weekend stays just as quiet. Saturday the 29th checks in at 0.3m from the north at 8 seconds, but the cross-shore breeze and low energy (10-12) keep it bumpy. Sunday the 30th drops back to 0.2m. Monday the 31st is the same story—0.3m, 8-9 seconds, cross-shore wind. Just not doing it.

Then we hit a dead patch. Tuesday the 2nd and Wednesday the 3rd of September are flat—nothing at all.

Things tease us a bit on Thursday the 4th. We get a 0.3m northwest swell with a long 12-second period. That’s real groundswell energy, and the combined energy jumps to 21-23 (moderate)—the strongest we’ve seen. The mornings are clean with cross-off winds, which is a big plus for the surface. But 0.3m is tiny—ankle-biters no matter how you look at it. The long period at a reef could give a bit of shape, but you’re still just hoping for something.

That holds through Friday the 5th and into Sunday the 6th—0.3m from the northwest at 11-12 seconds, energy in the 19-26 range. Mornings are clean, afternoons get crossed out by the southerly. Again, small and not breaking properly, but it’s the only window that even vaguely resembles surf.

Flat again on Monday the 7th. Then we get more 0.2m pulses from the WNW on Tuesday the 8th through Thursday the 10th, with periods of 8-10 seconds. Energy is weak—single digits to low teens. Not enough to do anything. The window ends Friday the 11th with another 0.2m from the WNW at 10 seconds, clean in the morning but tiny.

So, straight up: there are no good surf options in this entire 16-day window. The best is that Thursday the 4th to Sunday the 6th stretch—still small, but cleaner and with more energy behind it. This spot is fairly consistent, so it doesn’t usually stay this poor for long—forecasts can turn around. But for now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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