Carola Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. I gotta be straight with you. Looking at the 16-day window for Carola, it’s a pretty grim picture, I’m not going to lie. The entire forecast is a long stretch of poor surf conditions. There's nothing here that’s worth getting excited about.

From the start of the period on Friday the 17th right through to Saturday the 1st of August, the story is pretty much the same: tiny, weak swells or flat spells, and cross-shore winds. The water is a very warm 79°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only positive.

The first few days, like Friday the 17th, we’ve got some knee-high, weak swell pushing in at 1 ft from the NNE with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 21 (weak energy), and with a cross-off wind, it’s not going to be clean. The wind is a steady 16 mph from the south, which just puts a chop on everything.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are a total write-off, with no swell at all. We get a tiny pulse back on Monday the 20th, but it’s still 1 ft from the NNE with the same short period and cross-shore wind. The afternoon drops to 1 ft. It’s just not surfable.

Around Wednesday the 22nd, the wind picks up again to 19 mph from the south, but there’s a small bump in the afternoon with 4 ft of short-period, 6-second swell from the south. The combined energy jumps to 129 (moderate energy), but it’s a short-period, wind-affected swell. With that much wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s not going to be a wave you want to paddle into.

After that, it’s back to flat spells and tiny, unrideable 0.3 ft to 0.7 ft pulses for the rest of the second week. There’s a tiny 0.7 ft pulse from the NNW on Tuesday the 28th with a long period of 12 seconds, but with no size, it’s a non-event. The wind does go cross-off a few times in the second week, which would keep the water clean, but without any swell, that doesn’t matter.

There is simply no standout option in this 16-day window. The whole region is a bust. It’s a blank run, and it’s pretty normal for this area when the swell windows are this narrow. Forecasts can change, but right now, don’t bother paddling out.

Rusty.

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