Carola Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down. The next 16 days are a bit of a slow burn, with a long stretch of nothing to start.

We’re looking at a solid 5-day flat spell right off the bat. From Sunday the 12th through Tuesday the 14th, there’s no swell at all. The water is a very warm 79°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a huge anomaly, really unusual, and it’ll feel like a bathtub.

The first faint hope shows up on Wednesday the 15th. Carola (reef break) is the only option. It’ll see a tiny north swell – only 1.0ft with a short 8-second period, giving us weak energy (13). The morning has a cross-off wind, so it’ll be clean, but it’s barely surfable. This tiny, weak swell hangs around in the ankle-snapper range through the rest of the week. The wind stays mostly cross-off or cross, keeping it clean but tiny. For the experienced crew at Carola, it’s a paddle-out for the exercise, not the waves.

Then we hit a gap again. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th see a bit of a bump – same 1.0ft north swell, but Sunday the 19th has a slightly better 9-second period and a bit more energy (14). Still poor surf. Then it’s flat from Monday the 20th all the way through to Tuesday the 21st afternoon.

The only standout in the whole 16-day window happens on Wednesday the 22nd of July. Carola gets a pulse of north-west swell, still only 1.0ft, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds in the morning and 17 seconds in the afternoon. That’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy jumps to 48 in the morning and 51 in the afternoon – that’s moderate energy for such a tiny wave. The wind is cross-off, so it’ll be glassy clean. For a reef break like Carola, that long-period NW swell will wrap in nicely and offer some real shape. This is the best on offer, but it’s still a small wave. It’s a promising but distant call for the 22nd.

After that, the 23rd serves up a tiny 1ft north swell with an 8-second period, but then it’s back to flatness from the 24th right through to the end of the outlook on the 27th. Another solid 4-day gap.

So, bottom line: a lot of flat water. The only real bright spot is that Wednesday the 22nd at Carola, with that long-period NW groundswell. If you’re a patient local, that’s your window. Otherwise, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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