Bud Bud Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up for Bud Bud over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough patch ahead, and I’m not seeing any proper standouts to get excited about. Let’s walk through it.

The pattern for the next 16 days is dominated by poor surf conditions and onshore or cross-onshore winds. There’s consistent swell energy coming through at times, with combined energy values up to 603, but the wind and wave quality are doing us no favours. The water temp is sitting at 71°F with an anomaly of 3°F, making it a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is notable.

Starting from Monday, September 7th, Bud Bud sees some WSW swell, 2ft to 3ft with a 15-second period on Monday morning, dropping to 13 seconds later. The wind is on it though, WSW at 6 to 12 mph, and the comment says “poor surf conditions” right out of the gate. Combined energy is moderate, around 199 to 292, but it’s not worth paddling out for. Tuesday is worse – swell builds to 4ft but the wind picks up to 19 mph from the WSW, still on it, and the energy hits 356. Tuesday afternoon turns nasty: cross-on NW wind at 25 mph, swell at 5ft but with a crummy 6-second period, making for a total mess.

Wednesday the 9th is more of the same with cross and cross-on winds, 3ft to 4ft swell, but the period is short at 9 seconds. Energy spikes to 397 on Wednesday afternoon, but with moderate cross-onshore chop, it’s not surfable in any quality sense.

Thursday the 10th morning actually looks like the closest thing to a window: ESE wind at just 3 mph, cross-off, with a tiny 2ft swell from the west, 8-second period. Combined energy is weak at 41, and the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That’s not a recommendation, just the least bad moment. Glassy conditions on Friday the 11th morning with no wind, but the swell is only 1.0ft – practically flat. That’s a no-go.

There’s a gap of several days with nothing worth chasing. Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th have tiny clean windows but the swell stays under 2ft, save for Sunday morning when a long-period 15-second swell hits 2ft with glassy conditions – combined energy 186 – but again, “surfable but ordinary.” Monday the 14th has offshore E wind at 6 mph and 2ft swell, 10-second period, but it’s weak energy at 59.

From Tuesday the 15th onward, everything’s cross-on or onshore, with swell heights ranging 1ft to 6ft. The biggest pulse comes Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th of September, with 5ft to 6ft swell from the west, 10-second period, and combined energy over 600. That’s genuinely strong energy, but the wind is strong onshore at 19 mph, and the surf quality is rated poor. For beginners, anything over 5ft can be too much, and with those winds, it’s only going to appeal to experts looking for a battle – or kite surfers, honestly, because the setup looks more interesting for them than paddle surfing.

The final few days, September 19th to 22nd, show cleaner conditions on Saturday morning and Sunday morning with SE cross-off winds and 2ft swell, 10 to 11 seconds, energy around 87 to 191. Still, it’s only rated “surfable but ordinary” at best. Tuesday the 22nd has fresh NE cross-off winds but only 1ft to 2ft swell – not enough.

Bottom line: there’s no true standout in this 16-day window. Bud Bud stays mostly messy or tiny. The most promising moment might be the morning of Thursday the 10th, but even then it’s marginal. The long-period groundswell on the 13th morning (15 seconds, 2ft, glassy) is a tease – but at a beach break, that long period tends to close out. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on those early morning clean windows, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, and with mostly consistent swell energy coming through, it won’t stay poor forever – just feels like it right now.

Stay patient, Rusty.

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