Bud Bud Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Bud Bud.

Well, mate, I’ll be straight with you— the start of this outlook is flat and basically a write-off. We’ve got a long, boring stretch from now until about the 20th of September. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3ft, and it’s from the west, which isn’t the magic direction for this spot. The water is a wild 71°—much warmer than usual for this time of year, which is notable, but it doesn’t help with the surf. The combined energy is all below 100, sometimes as low as 28, which tells you it’s all weak and disappointing. Blame the onshore and cross-shore winds for making a mess of what little bump there is. There’s a few mornings where you might see a glassy surface, like Saturday the 12th, but the swell is only 2ft and period is short—you’d be on a mal trying to catch ripples.

Now, the first real sign of life shows up on Sunday the 20th. The morning of the 20th sees a jump to 5ft from the west, but the period is a stumpy 6 seconds. It’s clean with a light offshore wind, but it’s still ordinary surf. The afternoon gets messy. Then, on Monday the 21st, we get a proper pulse: 6ft from the west-northwest, and with the NE wind, it’s clean and cross-offshore. Combined energy hits 875, which is strong, really strong. This is a big, powerful swell, and at that size for a beginner spot, it’s on the edge—maybe more for the wetsuit-and-reckless crew than learners.

Tuesday the 22nd is the standout, though. 5ft from the west-northwest with a nice 11-second period, and a solid 12 mph offshore breeze from the NE. The combined energy is 647—moderate-to-strong, lots of push. This is the best on offer. Clean, lined-up, and with that perfect offshore wind, it’s going to hold up nicely for a point break-style wave. Bud Bud can handle this size, and it’s not too big for the intermediates either. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

The quality holds into Wednesday the 23rd morning. 3ft from the west at 12 seconds, still with a moderate NE offshore wind. It’s clean, smaller, but a good follow-up session. After that, the swell fades again. Thursday the 24th has a tiny 2ft swell but with a 16-second period—very long, groundswell—which at a beach setup can be too straight, but if you find a bank it’ll have some juice. The wind is offshore again in the morning, so you might get a sneaky glassy wave if the tide lines up.

Into the final days, Friday the 25th shows a drop-off. The wind gets up to 19 mph from the north-northwest, which is cross-shore and lumpy, and the swell is 3ft but with a long period of 14 seconds—again, better for reefs than it will be here. It’s ordinary.

So to sum it up: Don’t bother with the first ten days. Sunday the 20th morning is the first chance to scratch an itch, but Tuesday the 22nd morning is your one true standout. Clean, solid, offshore. If you can only paddle out once, that’s your window.

Rusty.

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