Bud Bud Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window with Bud Bud on the radar, and honestly, it’s a bit of a slow burner for the most part. The water temp is sitting at a warm 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a shorty or even boardies.

The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until the morning of Thursday the 10th. We’re looking at a small 2-foot swell from the west, with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the southeast – that’s clean. The combined energy is weak (56), so it’s not going to be pumping, but it’s surfable. That afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the swell drops to 2 feet, so make the most of the morning.

Friday the 11th starts with a glassy 1-foot swell from the west-northwest. The period bumps up to 11 seconds, which is a nice long-period groundswell, but at that size, it’s barely a ripple. The energy is still weak (44). The afternoon sees a bit more size at 2 feet, but onshore wind chops it up.

Saturday the 12th morning is another glassy session with 2-foot from the west-northwest, period of 8 seconds, and weak energy (47). It’s lovely and clean, but super small. The afternoon gets messy again.

Sunday the 13th morning has a 2-foot west swell with a 13-second period, giving a moderate energy reading (153). The wind is light cross-shore, but the data says the surf is poor. The afternoon ramps up to 3 feet from the west with a 12-second period, and the energy jumps to 434 – that’s moderate to strong. But onshore wind from the west-northwest at 15 mph will make it choppy and lumpy. That’s a local wind swell setup, but it’s not clean.

Monday the 14th morning offers a clean, cross-offshore wind with a 2-foot west swell at 10 seconds. Weak energy (69). It’s ordinary, but rideable.

The real standout in this whole outlook is Saturday the 19th, at Bud Bud. That morning, we’ve got an offshore wind from the east-northeast at 9 mph, swinging in from the optimum swell direction of WSW. The swell is 3 feet from the west, with a 13-second period, giving a combined energy of 210 – that’s moderate. The data says “expect good surf conditions,” and with clean offshore wind, this is the best call of the whole 16 days. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you might have a few mates out, but it’s not a circus.

The morning of Thursday the 24th also shows some promise – a 3-foot west swell, 11-second period, with a strong offshore breeze from the east-northeast at 19 mph. Combined energy is 209 (moderate). The forecast says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so keep an eye on the tide, but the wind is good.

Everything else is a mix of small, weak, or onshore wind. The second week sees a lot of small, clean offshore days (15th to 23rd) but with waves mostly under 2 feet and weak energy, you’ll be scratching for a ride. The 15-second period swell on the 23rd is very long, but with a 1-foot height, it’s more of a pond ripple than a wave.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is the morning of Saturday the 19th. That’s your window. The Thursday the 24th morning is a solid backup if you’re flexible. The rest of the time, it’s either tiny or choppy.

Rusty.

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