
Surf Forecasts:
Big Ben surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, E swell with 411 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Big Ben this week:
The surf forecast for Big Ben over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Big Ben in the next 16 days are 1.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Big Ben over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, looking at the same stretch of coast but in feet and miles. It’s a slow start, but the second week has some serious juice coming in.
We’re looking at Big Ben, a beach and jetty setup that’s exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at a warm 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a warm bath.
The first proper chance to paddle out doesn’t come until Saturday, September 12th. Before that, it’s flat or junk. Saturday morning brings a small 2ft easterly swell with a 14-second period – that’s a long period groundswell, meaning better shaped waves but longer waits between sets. The combined energy is 251 (moderate), and with a light breeze, it’s clean. Saturday afternoon bumps up to 3ft and 332 energy, still clean. It’s not epic, but it’s rideable. The caveat is that Big Ben is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for the sets.
Sunday and Monday are similar, with waist-high waves, but the wind turns onshore, and the quality drops. Tuesday the 15th shows a pulse of 3ft with a 14-second period and 547 to 602 energy (moderate), but the wind is cross-on, so it’s a bit lumpy. Still, it’s a chance for a beginner to get a few.
Now, the big one. Friday, September 18th is where it gets real. A massive SSE swell rolls in, starting at 4ft with an 18-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 2053 (strong). By the afternoon, it’s pumping 10ft with a 16-second period and 4183 energy (very strong). This is expert territory. The wind is light and glassy, and the conditions are clean. But the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The waves will be heavy and powerful, and with that long period, it’s going to close out on a beach/jetty setup. This is for very experienced surfers only, and honestly, this setup might be more interesting for the kite crew than paddle surfers.
Saturday and Sunday the 19th and 20th keep the 10ft swell with glassy conditions and strong energy (3846 to 4482). The period drops to 14-15 seconds but still solid. Again, too big for the average surfer.
The peak of the swell hits Monday, September 21st with a 12ft S swell at 16 seconds, and combined energy of 5189 (very strong). Tuesday the 22nd goes even bigger to 18ft and 21ft, with 13980 energy – that’s extreme. That is purely for the brave and the stupid. The wind is cross-on, making it even more chaotic.
After that, the wind turns into a nightmare. Wednesday, September 23rd brings strong winds at 25 mph from the south, combined with a dropping swell, and the conditions are messy and dangerous. By Thursday and Friday the 24th and 25th, the swell drops to 2ft and the energy is weak (57). The wind is up again, so it’s a write-off.
So, the one true standout is the Friday, September 18th to Monday, September 21st window. The swell is massive, the energy is through the roof, and the wind is light or glassy. But it’s a double-edged sword: it’s way too big for this break, and it’s only for experts. For the average surfer, the best bet is the small window on Saturday, September 12th and Tuesday, September 15th for some clean, small waves.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 24°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 23°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | ESE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | SE 9 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
239 | 208 | 172 | 144 | 140 | 183 | 180 | 289 | 295 | 215 | 273 | 239 | 235 | 241 | 315 | 377 | 411 | 280 | 340 | 196 | 184 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:35PM1.51m | 4:02AM1.57m | 4:53PM1.53m | 4:42AM1.62m | 5:12PM1.55m | 5:20AM1.63m | 5:30PM1.56m | 5:58AM1.59m | 5:50PM1.57m | 6:37AM1.52m | 6:10PM1.56m | 7:20AM1.42m | 6:29PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:59AM0.30m | 10:15PM0.72m | 10:31AM0.32m | 10:42PM0.59m | 11:01AM0.38m | 11:11PM0.48m | 11:29AM0.47m | 11:41PM0.39m | 11:55AM0.58m | 00:13AM0.33m | 12:20PM0.71m | 00:48AM0.32m | 12:42PM0.84m | 1:26AM0.34m | |||||||
5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | |
— | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
Feels °C | 18 | 21 | 20 | 27 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 6 | S 8 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | ESE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
239 | 133 | 82 | 44 | 41 | 183 | 180 | 289 | 295 | 215 | 273 | 239 | 100 | 241 | 215 | 169 | 182 | 138 | 122 | 101 | 75 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | S 8 | E 14 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | ENE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 12 | E 12 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 |
68 | 67 | 100 | 57 | 140 | 41 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 29 | 59 | 78 | 235 | 193 | 315 | 377 | 411 | 280 | 340 | 196 | 184 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | E 14 | E 6 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | — | S 9 | SE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 15 | ENE 8 | S 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 10 | SE 8 | S 7 |
18 | 18 | 16 | 144 | 15 | 24 | 32 | — | 2 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 3 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | S 7 | — | SW 3 | — | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 |
227 | 208 | 172 | — | — | 22 | 21 | 25 | 33 | 40 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — | 11 | 14 | 38 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 184 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 6 | 273 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Chiba | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Big Ben Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Big Ben provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Big Ben can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Big Ben surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Big Ben) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Big Ben may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Big Ben is 3 km (2 miles) from Kawaguchi. If you plan a holiday in Chiba, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kawaguchi. Kawaguchi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










