
Surf Forecasts:
Big Ben surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, E swell with 459 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Big Ben this week:
The surf forecast for Big Ben over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Big Ben in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Big Ben over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Big Ben. This is a beach and jetty setup, exposed to the swell, but it’s inconsistent – it doesn’t fire all the time, so we gotta be patient.
The next 16 days start off pretty quiet. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much. From Friday the 17th right through to the end of next week, the surf is tiny and the wind is messy. There’s a bit of energy around, but it’s all cross-onshore or onshore, keeping things choppy and poor. The water temp is sitting at 77° which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday the 22nd in the morning. The wind goes light cross-offshore, the swell is a clean 3 ft from the east, and the period is 10 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 235. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and that’s a rarity. That’s the only window in the first week where you’d actually want to paddle out.
Then we hit a dry spell again until the 26th of July. That Sunday morning, the swell jumps to 6 ft from the SSE with a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell. Energy is strong at 1407. The wind is cross-shore and light, so it’s a bit lumpy but surfable. This is for the experienced crew, as it’s over 5 ft. The long period means it’ll be better on the point or out at the reef, but at a beach break like this, it could wall up and close out. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen.
The real standout, though, is Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is glassy – dead calm, no wind. The swell is 7 ft from the SSW, but the period is short, only 7 seconds. That’s a bit of a trade-off: it’s big for sure, over 8 ft, so experts only, and the short period means it’ll be a bit walled and fast. But the glassy conditions are a massive win. The combined energy is strong at 710. This is the best on offer, no doubt, but it’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.
For the beginning of August, the 31st of July also has some size – 8 ft and 8 ft – but the period is short and the wind is onshore, so it’s not going to be pretty. The 1st is the one to aim for.
Overall, this is a 16-day outlook with a lot of blanks. The consistency is low, so if you’re desperate, the Wednesday morning the 22nd is your best bet for a small clean wave. For the bigger stuff, wait for the 26th or the 1st of August.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
199 | 162 | 147 | 130 | 134 | 220 | 202 | 201 | 192 | 188 | 459 | 388 | 308 | 250 | 245 | 204 | 194 | 151 | 110 | 83 | 81 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:10PM1.47m | 6:05AM1.47m | 7:35PM1.45m | 6:50AM1.40m | 8:00PM1.43m | 7:39AM1.31m | 8:26PM1.41m | 8:37AM1.20m | 8:54PM1.39m | 9:58AM1.10m | 9:25PM1.38m | 12:17PM1.05m | 10:06PM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:18PM0.11m | 00:36AM0.82m | 12:51PM0.22m | 1:15AM0.75m | 1:23PM0.36m | 1:57AM0.70m | 1:55PM0.52m | 2:46AM0.65m | 2:25PM0.68m | 3:46AM0.60m | 2:55PM0.85m | 5:01AM0.55m | 3:28PM1.01m | ||||||||
4:37 | — | — | 4:37 | — | — | 4:37 | — | — | 4:39 | — | — | 4:39 | — | — | 4:39 | — | — | 4:41 | — | — | |
— | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:51 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 5 |
199 | 162 | 147 | 130 | 134 | 220 | 202 | 201 | 192 | 188 | 459 | 388 | 308 | 250 | 245 | 204 | 194 | 151 | 110 | 83 | 22 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 4 | SW 5 | SSW 5 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | E 9 |
20 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 45 | 24 | 30 | 11 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 25 | 81 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SW 8 | SW 7 | SSE 7 | SW 7 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 12 | S 8 | ENE 13 | — | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 11 | SE 19 | SSW 8 | SSE 10 |
15 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 33 | — | 5 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 38 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | SSE 8 | — | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 4 | NE 2 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 5 | — |
21 | 15 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 20 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 880 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 35 | 30 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Chiba | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Big Ben Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Big Ben provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Big Ben can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Big Ben surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Big Ben) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Big Ben may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Big Ben is 3 km (2 miles) from Kawaguchi. If you plan a holiday in Chiba, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kawaguchi. Kawaguchi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










