
Surf Forecasts:
Bahia Santa Cruz surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,044 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bahia Santa Cruz this week:
The surf forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bahia Santa Cruz in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s happening at Bahia Santa Cruz over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a nice set of clean, glassy mornings coming up, so plan on getting out early. The water is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
The action kicks off Monday the 14th, but Monday is a skip day. Morning has a small 2ft swell from the SW with a light cross breeze, energy is moderate (423). The afternoon gets messy with 12 mph cross-on wind. Not worth paddling out.
Tuesday the 15th is where it gets good. Tuesday morning is glassy with a clean 4ft SW swell, period a solid 17 seconds. Combined energy is 936 – that’s strong. The wind is light offshore from the SSW, so the waves will be clean. This spot is fairly consistent, and crowds are sometimes around, so you might have some company.
Wednesday the 16th repeats the magic: glassy again with 4ft from the SSW and 16-second period. Energy at 947. This is the best stretch of the whole outlook. Thursday the 17th morning is also glassy with 4ft. Three mornings in a row of pure gold.
Friday the 18th morning drops to 2ft but the period jumps to 20 seconds. Glassy again, energy moderate (632). That’s a long-period groundswell, which will line up nicely at a point, but might wall up a bit at a beach break. Still fun on a longboard.
Saturday the 19th morning stays glassy with 3ft at 18 seconds. Another clean one.
Now, Sunday the 20th morning is a real standout. Swell bumps to 4ft from the SW, 19-second period, energy jumps to 1123. Glassy conditions. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Same for Monday the 21st morning – 4ft at 17 seconds, energy 1230, glassy. Those two mornings are the best of the whole run.
The middle of the second week gets a bit mixed. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd mornings are smaller with some cross-breeze and risk of thunderstorms. Still rideable, but not the peak.
Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th mornings go back to glassy with 3ft swell. Clean and fun.
Then we get a big change on Saturday the 26th. A massive 12ft SE swell arrives, energy at 5017. That’s way too big for this break. Sunday the 27th stays 15ft from the S, also too big. This is expert-only territory, and the break might not hold it. Even with glassy wind, it’s just overwhelming.
That heavy energy continues into Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th, with 12ft to 8ft swells. Tuesday the 29th morning eases to 8ft from the WSW, with glassy wind, energy at 2407 – still big, but finally getting into a range a very experienced surfer could handle. It’s a long way out, so take that as promising but not certain.
Bottom line: the first week is where the real quality is. Tuesday the 15th through Monday the 21st mornings are your window. After that, it’s either too small, a bit bumpy, or way too big. Get it while it’s good.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 32°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 32°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
299 | 312 | 510 | 621 | 844 | 963 | 595 | 843 | 608 | 561 | 553 | 538 | 351 | 306 | 455 | 441 | 383 | 375 | 635 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:41AM1.28m | 4:58PM1.06m | 5:25AM1.28m | 5:41PM1.02m | 6:07AM1.25m | 6:22PM0.97m | 6:49AM1.20m | 7:02PM0.92m | 7:31AM1.15m | 7:44PM0.87m | 8:14AM1.09m | 8:28PM0.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:19PM0.06m | 11:03AM0.09m | 11:01PM0.06m | 11:48AM0.11m | 11:41PM0.08m | 12:30PM0.14m | 00:20AM0.10m | 1:12PM0.18m | 00:58AM0.14m | 1:54PM0.23m | 1:37AM0.19m | 2:39PM0.27m | 2:19AM0.24m | ||||||
— | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 28 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 28 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
132 | 312 | 510 | 621 | 844 | 963 | 595 | 843 | 608 | 561 | 553 | 538 | 309 | 299 | 249 | 215 | 383 | 375 | 635 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SW 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 13 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | E 7 | E 6 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 12 |
47 | 73 | 37 | 74 | 71 | 88 | 196 | 73 | 73 | 74 | 50 | 33 | 38 | 306 | 455 | 441 | 209 | 202 | 147 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | S 9 | SW 12 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | S 8 | SW 11 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | SSE 8 | SSW 21 | S 8 |
299 | 38 | 71 | 44 | 21 | 28 | 69 | 31 | 45 | 26 | 34 | 368 | 351 | 27 | 38 | 35 | 41 | 300 | 47 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | E 4 | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | ENE 6 | — | — | ENE 6 | W 3 | — | — | WSW 6 | — | SE 7 | W 3 |
24 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | 155 | — | — | 103 | 6 | — | — | 4 | — | 21 | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 8 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 994 | 0 | 0 | 1129 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 736 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oaxaca | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bahia Santa Cruz Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bahia Santa Cruz provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bahia Santa Cruz can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bahia Santa Cruz surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bahia Santa Cruz) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Oaxaca? If you are looking for accommodation near Bahia Santa Cruz, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Oaxaca, consider staying in Miahuatlan de Porfirio Diaz which is 84 km (52 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Puerto Escondido which is 99 km (61 miles) away










