Surf Forecasts:
Bahia Santa Cruz surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, SW swell with 701 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bahia Santa Cruz this week:
The surf forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bahia Santa Cruz in the next 16 days are 1.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Bahia Santa Cruz. We’ve got a promising run of surf lining up, but you’ve gotta pick your moments because the afternoons tend to get chopped out.
The opening salvos are a bit small but clean. The real action starts to build from July 19th onwards, and the final few days of the month are where the serious power is at.
Wednesday morning, July 15th is a quiet start. It’s glassy with a light SE wind, and you’ll find clean waves around 3 ft from the SSW (wave energy is 306, so it’s weak). It’s a session for the longboard or a fun mid-length, but it’s not gonna set the world on fire. The water is sitting at 87°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like bath water.
The 19th of July, Sunday morning is when things start looking up. A clean cross-offshore breeze from the ENE makes for tidy lines on a 3 ft SW swell with a nice long 17-second period (energy is moderate at 688). That longer period means better-shaped, more powerful waves for a spot like this, but keep an eye on the crowd situation as it can get busy here sometimes.
Now, for the absolute standout – circle Monday morning, July 27th. That is your call for the experienced crew. We’ve got a glassy morning with a solid 5 ft SW groundswell pumping in at a 17-second period. The combined wave energy is hitting a very strong 1722, so there is serious weight behind these waves. This is big enough that beginners should sit it out – it’s for the confident ones only.
If you’re patient, the Saturday morning, July 25th is also a belter. Totally glassy, with a 4 ft SW swell and a very long 21-second period (energy is strong at 1235). That kind of period makes for proper groundswell lines that will set up nicely here, with long lulls between sets making the paddle out a bit easier.
Overall, the pattern is clear: mornings are your friend. Every afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore wind kicking in. The second week, from the 24th onwards, sees the size jump up and the conditions for experts get really good – but it’s a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed for those forecast glass-offs to hold.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 217 | 312 | 264 | 235 | 326 | 111 | 276 | 136 | 286 | 249 | 290 | 244 | 505 | 499 | 587 | 661 | 644 | 589 | 492 | 434 | 299 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:08PM1.35m | 3:37AM1.08m | 4:02PM1.32m | 4:36AM1.15m | 4:54PM1.28m | 5:31AM1.21m | 5:44PM1.21m | 6:24AM1.24m | 6:33PM1.14m | 7:15AM1.24m | 7:20PM1.05m | 8:03AM1.21m | 8:07PM0.97m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:38PM0.03m | 9:40AM0.03m | 10:29PM-0.00m | 10:40AM0.06m | 11:16PM-0.02m | 11:38AM0.09m | 00:03AM-0.01m | 12:33PM0.14m | 00:47AM0.02m | 1:28PM0.19m | 1:31AM0.06m | 2:21PM0.23m | 2:14AM0.11m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 31 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | E 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 217 | 312 | 246 | 235 | 326 | 32 | 276 | 107 | 286 | 222 | 244 | 244 | 505 | 499 | 587 | 661 | 644 | 589 | 492 | 434 | 299 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SW 15 | S 14 | SE 8 | SW 18 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | S 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 13 | W 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 89 | 208 | 264 | 58 | 64 | 49 | 104 | 136 | 60 | 249 | 58 | 43 | 156 | 123 | 135 | 190 | 277 | 68 | 86 | 76 | 41 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | SE 8 | ESE 7 | SW 16 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SE 7 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SE 7 | S 13 | SE 8 | ESE 7 | WSW 8 | S 11 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 |
| kJ | 21 | 39 | 35 | 91 | 42 | 111 | 27 | 106 | 147 | 87 | 290 | 89 | 27 | 87 | 50 | 36 | 38 | 110 | 114 | 116 | 72 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | — | WSW 6 | ENE 5 | E 6 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 118 | — | 4 | 15 | 39 | 72 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 7 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 910 | 0 | 51 | 990 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 51 | 1103 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 910 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oaxaca | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bahia Santa Cruz Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bahia Santa Cruz provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bahia Santa Cruz can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bahia Santa Cruz surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bahia Santa Cruz) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Oaxaca? If you are looking for accommodation near Bahia Santa Cruz, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Oaxaca, consider staying in Miahuatlan de Porfirio Diaz which is 84 km (52 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Puerto Escondido which is 99 km (61 miles) away
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