Surf Forecasts:
Bahia Santa Cruz surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,172 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bahia Santa Cruz this week:
The surf forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bahia Santa Cruz in the next 16 days are 1.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Bahia Santa Cruz over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at some proper groundswell energy hitting this spot. For the first highlight, on Saturday the 15th in the morning, we’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is solid at (1185), and with glassy conditions from a light ESE breeze, it’s going to be absolutely pristine. This one’s for the experienced crew though—that size and period will be packing a punch, and it’s best handled by folks who know their way around. The water is sitting at 88°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year.
The pattern then settles into a nice run of clean mornings through to Wednesday the 19th. The swell drops a bit, between 4ft and 4ft, but the period stays long (14-15 seconds), keeping the quality high. Each morning brings glassy conditions and clean surf, making for some excellent paddling sessions. The afternoons do get a bit choppy with a cross-onshore breeze, so plan your day around the early windows.
We hit a bit of a rough patch from Thursday the 20th through to Friday the 21st. The swell drops in period to a short 8-9 seconds, combined with stormy conditions and a moderate breeze. The energy drops right off (403-504), and honestly, it’s not looking great for a paddle. That short-period, choppy setup might be more interesting for the kite crew than for a traditional surfer.
Things start to look promising again come Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd. The swell hangs around 3-3ft from the SSW with a good 13-16 second period. Saturday morning has a clean cross-offshore wind, and Sunday morning is pure glass. The energy is moderate (516-554), but the conditions are clean and inviting. Tucks away nicely for a fun session.
The following week has some real potential, but it’s a bit further out. Monday the 24th morning looks fantastic—2ft of SW groundswell with an 18-second period and zero wind. Absolute glass. The energy is still decent (653). Heading into the final days, Thursday the 27th morning has a glassy 2ft, 18-second groundswell, and then Friday the 28th morning sees a jump back up to a clean 3ft SW groundswell with the same 17-second period, calm winds, and a healthy pulse of (869). That Friday morning session is a standout in the long-range, but we’ll have to keep an eye on it.
Overall, there’s plenty to work with here. The first few days are the clear highlights for size and quality, but the consistent run of clean mornings through the first week and into the second week keeps the stoke alive. A couple of dodgy days in between, but that’s just the ocean telling you to pick your moments.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 32°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSE 9 | SW 14 | SE 8 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1213 | 1172 | 1115 | 1101 | 915 | 685 | 685 | 606 | 521 | 623 | 414 | 476 | 496 | 657 | 489 | 362 | 480 | 202 | 208 | 215 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:44PM1.22m | 4:18AM1.21m | 4:34PM1.18m | 5:09AM1.26m | 5:22PM1.14m | 5:57AM1.27m | 6:07PM1.08m | 6:42AM1.26m | 6:51PM1.01m | 7:27AM1.22m | 7:34PM0.94m | 8:11AM1.17m | 8:17PM0.87m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:04PM0.03m | 10:30AM0.09m | 10:49PM0.01m | 11:23AM0.10m | 11:33PM0.01m | 12:13PM0.13m | 00:15AM0.04m | 1:01PM0.16m | 00:56AM0.08m | 1:47PM0.21m | 1:36AM0.12m | 2:34PM0.25m | 2:16AM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
6:49 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 8 | 33 |
Temp °C | 32 | 28 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 32 | 33 | 28 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 26 |
Feels °C | 34 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 9 |
1213 | 1172 | 1115 | 1101 | 915 | 685 | 685 | 606 | 521 | 623 | 414 | 476 | 496 | 657 | 489 | 176 | 480 | 202 | 85 | 215 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ESE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 6 | SW 8 | ENE 7 | S 11 | SW 13 | S 9 | E 7 | E 5 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 |
57 | 52 | 50 | 66 | 33 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 25 | 83 | 205 | 56 | 32 | 13 | 61 | 362 | 288 | 186 | 180 | 114 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | S 12 | SE 8 | ENE 6 | SSW 11 | ENE 6 | SSW 7 | ENE 6 | S 11 | E 7 | S 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 6 | SSW 21 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 19 |
26 | 26 | 20 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 82 | 23 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 18 | 43 | 15 | 31 | 94 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 | — | — | SW 3 | WNW 3 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | WNW 4 | — | — | E 6 | E 5 | SE 8 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 94 | 111 | 8 | — | — | 22 | 11 | 208 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 87 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 990 | 0 | 0 | 990 | 0 | 0 | 1117 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 51 | 1098 | 51 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oaxaca | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bahia Santa Cruz Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bahia Santa Cruz provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bahia Santa Cruz can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bahia Santa Cruz surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bahia Santa Cruz) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bahia Santa Cruz may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Oaxaca? If you are looking for accommodation near Bahia Santa Cruz, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Oaxaca, consider staying in Miahuatlan de Porfirio Diaz which is 84 km (52 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Puerto Escondido which is 99 km (61 miles) away











