Aviones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s cookin’.

First up, straight off the bat, I gotta be honest with you. The forecast for Aviones is lookin’ pretty grim for the next couple of weeks. This spot is a reef break, great for beginners, and very consistent. But right now? It’s just not happening. The water’s sittin’ at a warm 83°, which is about average for this time of year. But that’s the only nice thing I can say.

The wind is coming out of the east, blowin’ around 16 mph, and it's cross-shore or cross-offshore for most of the period. That’s not gonna clean things up much. The swell’s tiny, barely cracking 3 ft, with a short period of 5 to 6 seconds. It’s weak, weak energy, with combined swell energy readings mostly below 100. We’re talkin’ sloppy, choppy, close-out conditions.

From Friday the 3rd right through until the end of the forecast period on the 18th of July, the whole 16-day run is a write-off. The only flicker of something different is on Monday the 6th, where the combined energy hits 260 in the afternoon with 4 ft of swell, and again on Wednesday the 8th when it jumps to 495 with 6 ft. But even then, the comments are all "poor surf conditions" or "marginal." That’s a sad truth.

Bottom line: there is no standout session here. No day you’d want to drag your board out for. The break is consistent, sure, but the quality just isn’t there. This is a stretch of flat, messy, frustrating days. For the whole first week and into the second, it's the same story: small, weak swell and moderate breeze makin' a mess of things. If you’re a kiter, the cross-shore wind might get you going, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass.

Hang in there, the forecasts can change.

- Rusty

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