Aviones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

We've got a slow start. The forecast shows mostly poor conditions, with a lot of small, weak, and choppy slop. For the first week or so, you're really not missing much. The biggest issue is the wind – it's mostly a moderate cross-shore or cross-off breeze that's keeping things messy, and the swell is tiny, mostly under 3 ft. The energy is weak, reading in the 50s and 60s for that time, so it feels pretty lifeless.

The standout window doesn't really show itself until late, and it comes with a big caveat. Around Tuesday the 25th of August, we are looking at a real jump in size. The swell at Aviones pushes up to 8 ft from the ENE, but the wind is a cross-onshore 15 mph, making it choppy. On Wednesday the 26th of August, the swell drops slightly to a still significant 6 ft from the E, and the wind eases to a light 6 mph cross-onshore. The energy on that morning is pumping hard at 973, but the surf is still only in the "marginal" bracket. With that onshore wind and a beach/reef setup, this is actually looking more interesting for the kiteboarders than for a standard paddle session. For the experts only, you might get a few, but it will be a battle.

You'll then see a sharp drop-off again, with waves falling back under 3 ft and the cross-shore winds returning, keeping things ordinary right through to the end of the forecast on September 2nd. There's a brief moment on the 31st of August with light winds and clean-ish conditions, but the swell is barely 2 ft. Honestly, the only real potential through this whole outlook is that big push on the 25th and 26th, and even that's a compromise.

So in short: a long run of flat to poor surf, one big but choppy swell event for the experts only around the 25th and 26th, and then back to flat. It's tough, but these things turn around. Keep the wax on the board and wait for the next one.

Rusty.

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