Aviones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, looking at the surf forecast for the next couple of weeks. Let’s be straight with you – it’s a pretty quiet stretch for the most part.

We’re looking at Aviones, a reef break that’s mainly for the beginners. The water’s sitting at a warm 84°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.

The first week, from the 11th of August right through to the 20th, is a write-off. We’ve got swell around, but it’s mostly short-period windswell (6 to 7 seconds), coming from the ENE and E. The problem is the wind. It’s coming from the east and southeast, blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore, and it’s kicking up a mess. The combined energy gets up to a moderate 312 on the 14th, and even hits 778 on the 16th, but with the wind and chop, it’s just poor. It’s really not worth paddling out for.

The first real hint of something rideable comes on Monday the 17th. The wind swings to the southeast, going cross-offshore, which cleans things right up. The swell drops a bit to 5ft, with a longer period around 10 seconds from the ENE. The combined energy is still decent at 474. This is marginal due to tide, but it’s the first clean window we’ve got. The 18th, 19th, and 20th also have some clean cross-offshore winds, but the swell is below 4ft and the energy is very weak (down to 73 and 48). Too small for a proper session.

Then we hit a dead zone. From the 21st of August through to the 24th, the swell is tiny, mostly under 3ft, with short periods and cross-shore wind. It’s flat.

The best shot of the whole forecast comes on Tuesday the 25th of August. The morning session shows a clean 5ft swell from the E with a 7 second period, and the wind is cross-offshore. The combined energy goes up to 365. It’s still a marginal call with tide, but with clean conditions and that bit of size, this is the stand-out. It’s not huge, but it’s the most surfable it’s going to get. The 26th has some more size, but the wind goes back to cross-shore, so it won’t be as clean.

That’s the long and short of it. A real waiting game, with Tuesday the 25th being the one to pencil in.

Rusty.

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