Aviones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the charts for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a grim run. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window and, honestly, there isn’t a single session I’d be rushing to get wet for. The whole period is a write-off for quality surf. There’s a persistent cross-shore wind from the East, blowing 15-18 mph for most of it, just chopping everything up. The swell is small and weak, with short periods around 6-7 seconds, so there’s no power or shape to speak of. The combined energy is mostly in the weak to moderate range, but it’s all wasted with that wind.

The only break in the mix is Aviones. It’s a reef setup, exposed to the north, and the swell is coming from the ENE to E – not its optimum direction at all. It’s very consistent, which is a shame because the conditions are just poor. The water temperature is 84°F, which is about average for the time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s normal.

Let’s walk through it. Starting Thursday the 9th, we have a 5 ft ENE swell, but with an 18 mph cross-offshore wind. It’s clean for the takeoff, but the energy is weak and the period is only 6 seconds – it’s going to be gutless. The rating is a flat zero. Friday and Saturday the 10th and 11th are the same story: cross-shore wind, 4-5 ft of weak, short-period slop. The combined energy stays in the same range, it’s just not surfable.

From Sunday the 12th through to the end of the second week, the swell drops off even more, sinking to 3 ft-4 ft, with periods of 5-6 seconds and energy levels falling way down. The wind never really lets up – it’s either cross-shore or cross-off, but the wave quality is marked as "poor surf conditions" for every single session. Even the mornings that are "clean" have a 15 mph cross-offshore wind, which is too strong for a wave that small.

By the end of the run, around Monday the 20th, we see a tiny bump in energy with a 4 ft, 6-second swell, but the wind is back to 18 mph cross-shore. It’s the same old story: lumpy, choppy, and uninspiring.

So, what’s the best on offer? There isn’t one. Honestly, with these persistent cross-shore winds and weak, short-period swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The only positive is that this break is very consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long – forecasts can change, and we might get a lucky window. But for now, leave the boards in the shed.

Rusty.

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