Aviones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, it’s not a classic stretch for Aviones. We’re looking at a long, quiet start with a lot of poor conditions. The wind is mostly cross-shore and the waves are just not cooperating. Don’t bother paddling out until we get into the second week.

There’s a gap of several days with no real surf on offer. The first chance of something decent comes on Tuesday, August 18th. The swell is 6ft from the east, but the wind is a cross-onshore breeze from the NNW at 6 mph. The energy is still strong at 812 (moderate to strong). It’s a marginal call, with tide issues possible. It’s not great, but it’s the first sign of life after a dry spell.

The one to watch, the real standout, is Tuesday, August 17th. I know it’s a week out, but pay attention. The swell is a solid 8ft from the east with a period of 8 seconds. That’s powerful groundswell, and the energy is huge – 946 (very strong energy). That’s a serious wave. It’s only for experts because it’s over 8ft, and it’s a reef break, so it’s going to be a heavy, fast wave. The wind is cross-shore, so it won’t be glassy, but the power is there. It’s a short-period swell, so it’ll be a bit walled-up, and it’s going to be crowded – crowds are common here. This is the one to mark on the calendar if you’ve got the skills.

The water temperature is 85°F – that’s about normal for this time of year.

After that, on Wednesday, August 19th, the swell drops to 5ft from the east with a cleaner cross-off breeze from the southeast at 9 mph. The energy is 362 (moderate). It’s a better look than the early days, but still a gamble. The crowds will be there.

The rest of the second week fades into small, weak surf. The 22nd and 23rd are tiny, with the swell direction flipping to the NNW, which isn’t good for this spot.

So, beginners, stay out when it’s over 5ft, and definitely skip the 17th. For the experienced crew, August 17th is your window. It’s a big, powerful reef break, but the wind is a factor. For everyone else, the 18th or 19th are your best bet for a session, but don’t expect perfection.

Rusty.

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