Almanarre Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The forecast for the next couple of weeks is a flat spell, plain and simple. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak surf with nothing that’s going to get the heart racing. We’re talking about a run of days where you’d be better off finding something else to do than paddling out for dribble.

The one bright note is that the water is running seriously warm. The first day we might even see a wave, the water temp is sitting at 82°F, which is a solid 8°F above what you'd expect. That’s not just a little warm, that’s a tropical anomaly, so at least if you’re sitting out there waiting for a set, you won’t be cold.

Now, here’s the breakdown.

The forecast kicks off on Friday the 7th. It’s not great. We’ve got a small, weak 3ft swell coming from the west with a short, crumbly 6-second period. The energy is weak, registering only 59, and to make matters worse, the wind is howling onshore at 12 mph. This is a washout, folks.

The weekend offers some clean conditions but no power. Saturday the 8th has a tiny 2ft swell, and even though the morning wind is a nice cross-off, the energy is a paltry 21. Sunday the 9th is dead flat, with nothing but glassy conditions.

We’ll see a couple of tiny bumps through the middle of next week, but nothing with any push. The energy levels are all in the single digits or low twenties, with short-period windswell under 3ft. The fetch just isn't there.

It’s not until Monday the 17th that we see a slight pulse of life, with a 2ft to 2ft swell. Still weak, but the direction is from the southwest, which is what Almanarre likes to see. The energy is still pretty marginal, registering 23. But again, we're talking about ankle-biters.

The most interesting, and I use that term loosely, window opens up on Tuesday the 18th and into the following Friday the 21st. On the 18th, we see a 3ft west swell with the energy climbing to 67. The wind is light, though cross-on. Not ideal, but something is finally moving.

Then things get a bit feisty on Friday the 21st. A stronger west swell builds, showing 4ft in the morning and pushing to 5ft by the afternoon. The period stretches to a slightly better 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to a moderate 192. But here's the catch—the wind is howling onshore, a near-gale from the WNW at 31 mph. It’s going to be blown out and messy.

The advice? The early part of this run is a right-off. You might find a clean, tiny wave on the 8th with the offshore flow, but it’s a struggle for a longboard. The pick of the whole two weeks might end up being the morning of the 18th, where you have a little more size and the wind isn't completely ruining it, but it's still a far cry from good.

Overall, this is a wait-and-see forecast. The good news is that Almanarre is a consistent spot, and these dead spells rarely last forever. Forecasts can change, so don't write it off completely. But for now, I'd be making other plans, because there’s nothing here worth waxing up for.

Rusty out.

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