Almanarre Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you—this is one of those outlooks where you’re better off staying on the beach with a cold drink. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about. The first bit of swell worth mentioning doesn’t show up until the 16th of September, and even then, it’s not gonna save the week.

Let’s start with the overall picture. For the next week, Almanarre is seeing nothing but tiny, weak pulses. The water temperature is sitting at 80°, which is a massive 9° warmer than average for this time of year—far warmer than normal. That’s a real oddity. But the surf? Barely a ripple. The combined energy of all swells directed here is in the low single digits for most of the first week, so we’re looking at flat to knee-high slop at best. A few mornings on the 12th and 13th have clean conditions, with light offshore and cross-off winds, but the swell is only 1 ft or less. Not worth paddling out.

There’s a significant gap here. From now through to the 15th of September, there’s basically no surf. It’s a blank run. If you’re keen on consistency, this stretch is a write-off.

Then, on Wednesday the 16th of September, we finally see a bit of energy. The afternoon brings 5 ft swell from the west, with a period of 7 seconds and combined energy jumping to 232 (moderate energy). That’s the biggest pulse in the whole outlook. But here’s the kicker—wind is howling from the west at 19 mph, straight onshore. That’s blown-out, messy, and poor. If you’re an experienced surfer with a log and low expectations, you might find something, but it’s not a recommendation. For beginners, that size is fine, but the conditions are ugly.

After that, it’s back to tiny surf through the rest of the second week. The 18th of September has a glassy window in the afternoon with 1 ft swell, but again, it’s barely enough to stand up on. The 23rd and 24th see a slight bump—2 ft from the west-northwest on the morning of the 23rd, with clean conditions and light cross-off winds. That’s about the best of the second week, but still only tiny.

Bottom line: Almanarre is a no-go for surf. The setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the 16th, when the onshore wind and 5 ft swell kick up some chop. Otherwise, it’s a long, flat, dry spell. The forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to chase.

Rusty

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