Aha Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got Aha Rivermouth on the table. The water’s sitting at a warm 86.2°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice for a long session without a winter suit. Now, the bad news is that for the next week or so, the surf just isn’t going to be worth paddling out for. The conditions are poor, or the swell is ill-timed with the wind. You’ve got a few days with some clean faces, but the wave energy is low, and the swell direction isn’t locking in with the break’s optimum from the northeast.

The whole stretch from Friday the 7th right through to Thursday the 14th is pretty much a write-off. There’s a monster swell on the Friday morning with a massive 14.8ft from the ENE and a staggering energy reading (15427) – but the problem is, it’s a severe gale cross-shore, and the report explicitly says it’s too big for this break. That’s a kite surfer’s dream, not a paddle surfer’s. After that, the wind drops but the swell drops off a cliff, and you’re left with messy onshore or cross-shore breezes and weak, short-period swell. You’ll see a lot of zeros on the scorecard.

The real window of interest, and it’s a long shot, comes on the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. We’ve got a clean-looking 2.9ft swell from the ENE with a period bumping up to 11 seconds, and a gentle cross-shore breeze. The energy is moderate (272). It’s not going to blow your mind, but after so many flat, windy days, a clean little ankle-to-waist high runner on a rivermouth is something to get excited about. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" there, so you might have a few pals out.

After that, the window closes again. The week of the 16th sees another disappointing run of onshore winds and short-period slop, with a few pulses of bigger, messy 5.6ft – 6.9ft closeouts. There’s a glimmer on the morning of Friday the 21st with a cleaner 3.9ft swell and a light offshore cross, but it's a marginal call. Honestly, for the next two weeks, the 15th looks like the only morning worth the walk.

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