Aha Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got one main spot on the radar for this stretch, Aha Rivermouth, and honestly, it's a bit of a rough patch ahead.

Starting with the overall pattern: The next couple of weeks look tricky. The first few days are a total write-off, and then we get a massive pulse of energy that's way too big and messy. There's a period of clean, tiny surf in the middle, but it's not really rideable. The best we can hope for is a window of manageable size right at the end, but it's a long way off.

Friday 10th July is a no-go. We're looking at a massive 20ft to 23ft swell from the SE, with a very long period of 17 seconds. That's a huge amount of energy (22646 to 31178) and the wind is a near gale from the east. It's blown out and way too big for the break. This is expert-only or maybe even kite-surfing territory if that's your thing.

Saturday 11th and Sunday 12th July are completely flat with zero energy. Severe gale winds on Saturday clean up a bit by Sunday, but there's no swell to work with. The same goes for the whole week from Monday 13th through Thursday 17th July. The swell is tiny, dropping to 1.0ft to 1ft with weak energy (8 to 40). The wind does go light and cross-off, making the water clean, but it's just not enough to surf. The water temp is sitting around 83°, which is about average for this time of year.

The first real chance of a wave comes Saturday 18th July, but it's a wild one. The swell jumps to 10ft to 15ft from the ESE, with a short, choppy period of 8 to 9 seconds. The energy is strong (1137 to 3326), but the wind is a strong breeze to near gale, blowing cross-onshore. It's a lumpy, blown-out mess. Again, this is for experts only, and honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle surfing one.

Sunday 19th to Tuesday 21st July continues the trend of big, messy swell. The swell hangs around 7ft to 10ft from the SE and ESE, with short periods. The wind is still fresh and cross-onshore, keeping it lumpy and uninviting. The energy is moderate to strong (422 to 1553), but the quality just isn't there.

The best window, and it's a long shot, is from Wednesday 22nd July onwards. The swell starts to drop. By Wednesday 22nd, it's 4ft to 4ft from the E with a period of 8 seconds and moderate energy (171 to 206). The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it's still not great. But by Thursday 23rd and Friday 24th July, the swell settles to 3ft to 3ft from the ENE, with a period of 10 seconds. The wind goes light and onshore, which will clean things up. This is the standout period, but it's over a week away. The energy is weak to moderate (143 to 224), but it's the most manageable and cleanest window on offer.

Saturday 25th July the swell is back down to 2ft with weak energy (88 to 89), so that window might be short.

The standout: If you're looking for the best bet, it's the Thursday 23rd and Friday 24th of July. The swell is a manageable size, the period is decent, and the wind looks light. It's not a classic, but it's the only window that looks like it might offer a few clean, rideable waves. Keep in mind, this is a point or river-mouth style break (Aha Rivermouth), so that longer period swell from the ENE should set up nicely, but it's a long way out, so don't set your watch by it.

Rusty.

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