Aha Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, your local surf reporter. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Aha Rivermouth for the next 16 days.

Honestly, mate, it’s a pretty bleak stretch for the next week and a half. From Friday the 24th of July right through to Monday the 3rd of August, the surf is tiny and generally messy. We’re looking at a long run of poor surf conditions with swell heights hovering around 2 ft to 3 ft and weak combined swell energy, mostly under 100 (67) to just over 100 (135) on the 31st. The winds are a constant problem – cross, cross-on, or onshore – leaving the surface choppy and uninviting. There’s a brief moment on the 29th of July morning where the wind swings cross-off and the water cleans up, but the swell is still only 1 ft with a weak energy of 35, so not exactly worth paddling out for.

Now, the real story starts to change as we head into the first week of August. There’s a significant jump in activity on the 4th of August, with a long-period groundswell from the East, but it arrives with nasty storm winds and cross-on conditions, making it a mess. The combined energy climbs to 627 on the afternoon, but it’s still a no-go.

Then things get serious. The 5th of August morning sees a big East swell building to 5 ft and a period of 16 seconds, with very strong combined energy of 1204. The wind is cross-off and clean. This is powerful, long-period groundswell. The 6th of August morning pushes the swell to 6 ft with energy at 2726, and the wind stays clean. By the afternoon of the 6th, the swell hits 12 ft, and the energy is a massive 2830, but the data says it’s too big for this break – only for experts. The 7th of August is the standout: a solid 10 ft swell from the East, with a very long period of 17 seconds, and pure offshore wind from the SSW. The combined energy is a monstrous 5313. This is big, powerful, clean groundswell. The caveat here is that long period swells like this can break too straight at beach breaks, but Aha Rivermouth is a beach/jetty setup, so it might be better suited to the river mouth. The 8th of August morning still has a good 7 ft swell from the East-Northeast, with offshore wind, but the data flags it as marginal due to tide conditions.

The real standout in this whole 16-day window is the 7th of August. That Friday offers the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful swell of the period, with offshore winds and a very long period. It’s an expert-only day, given the size and energy, but for those with the skill, it’s the one to aim for. The 6th of August is also a strong option, especially the morning with 6 ft and clean conditions.

For the rest of the 16 days, the first week is a write-off. The best advice is to wait for that first week of August pulse. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don’t get your hopes up for anything decent before then.

Rusty.

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