Aha Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this forecast is a tough one for the entire 16-day window. There’s simply no good surf on offer at Aha Rivermouth. The whole outlook is a flat spell with barely a ripple, followed by a few pulses of raw, messy energy that are completely unsurfable because of terrible conditions. Let’s break it down.

We start off with a long, drawn-out gap of nothing. From Tuesday, July 14, all the way through to Saturday, July 26, the swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 1ft—that’s barely a knee-high wobble. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 15 and 54, which tells you it’s flat out here. There’s a stretch of clear skies and some nice offshore or glassy winds, especially on the morning of July 21 and the morning of July 22, with glassy conditions. But even with the clean surface, the surf is just too small to do anything. It’s a frustrating wait for sure.

Then, around Sunday, July 26, we finally see a rise in swell. By Sunday morning, the combined energy jumps to 122 (moderate), with a long-period groundswell of 15 seconds out of the east, pushing the waves to about 2ft. That’s promising on paper, but the wind is onshore from the NE, and the conditions are listed as “unknown,” which is never a good sign. The trend continues through Monday, July 27, with the swell building to 3ft and energy up to 461 (strong), but again, it’s onshore and messy.

By Tuesday, July 28, it gets wild. The swell hits 4ft with a 15-second period, the energy is 933 (very strong), but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore breeze from the NNE at 22 mph, making it lumpy. The surf is too big for beginners and the conditions are poor. The situation degrades further on Wednesday, July 29, when a violent storm-force cross-shore wind of 68 mph absolutely destroys the place. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, and the combined energy is a massive 1624. The afternoon eases to a gale with cross-offshore winds and 6ft waves, but it’s still a dangerous mess. This is not for paddle surfing; it’s more of a kite-surfing setup if you’re brave enough.

The water temperature at Aha Rivermouth is 81°F, which is about 3°F colder than average for this time of year—a bit cooler than usual, but nothing shocking.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. The whole period is a write-off. The only glimmer of hope is that the flat spell is persistent, but with a few pulses of energy showing up, forecasts can change, so don’t give up entirely. But right now, I wouldn’t bother waxing up.

Rusty.

Read more