Urbiztondo Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s happening in the water over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. Looking at the whole 16-day window, the surf’s basically flat and the wind is a mess. We’ve got a long, dry run with nothing worth paddling out for. The first real recommendation doesn’t come until the very end, and even then it’s a gnarly one.

For the first week, from July 27th right through to August 10th, it’s a total bust. Sure, there are tiny ripples here and there – a few 0.7ft blips on the 28th, maybe a 1.0ft bump on the 3rd of August – but it’s all crossed up, onshore, or just plain gone. The wind is constantly shifting around from the SSW, WSW, NW... never settling into anything clean. We’re talking “poor surf conditions” day after day. The only thing breaking is the monotony of getting skunked. The water temp is sitting at 87°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only interesting thing going on. Honestly, for a sandbar spot like Urbiztondo Beach, this is a blank run that feels pretty normal for the area.

Then, we hit August 9th, and things start to get interesting but not in a good way. The swell finally shows up on the afternoon of the 9th – a solid 7ft from the west, with a period of 9 seconds. That’s a moderate energy swell (811). But the wind is a fresh 19 mph onshore from the west. That’s blown-out, messy, and ugly. The swell keeps building. On the morning of August 10th, we’re looking at a 10ft west swell, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving – strong wave energy (2148). But again, the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore from the WSW. That’s a big, lumpy, wind-slapped mess. This is too big for beginners, and with the wind howling, it’s only going to appeal to the experts who want a battle.

The real beast is on the morning of August 11th (Tuesday). We’ve got an 12ft swell from the west with a 12-second period. That’s a very strong energy (2979). This is a long-period groundswell, which usually means better shape, but at a beach break like Urbiztondo, it’s going to be a freight train – fast, straight, and heavy. The wind is still a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore from the WSW. The conditions are “poor” and it’s “lumpy.” With the wind and the size, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Only the most dialed-in locals should even think about it, and even then, it’s a survival mission.

The Standout: If you’re an absolute expert and you’re looking for a challenge, the morning of August 11th is the only real event on the calendar. The 12ft west swell (12-second period) is a massive, powerful groundswell, but it’s going to be a battle. The combination of onshore wind and a high-energy beach break will make for a chaotic, dangerous, but potentially memorable session. For everyone else, keep the board in the car and wait for the next forecast.

Stay safe, and don’t force it.

Rusty.

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