Turtles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu at Turtles.

This is a very consistent, exposed reef break that handles a good south-west swell direction, and the wind is locked in from the east-south-east to south-east – cross-offshore the whole time. That’s a major positive for clean conditions. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild. The big issue? Almost the entire 16-day run is a story of "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions". The wave energy is there – often strong to very strong (think 2092 up to a massive 3886) – but the quality is being held back, likely by the combo of swell size, period, and tide. Let’s get into it.

We kick off Monday the 27th of July morning with a decent pulse: 8.2 ft SE swell, 10-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 2092 – proper grunt. The text says "excellent surf for experienced surfers" and I’d buy that. The 8.2 ft mark is right on the edge for experts only, so if you’re not solid, sit this one out. Conditions are clean with that gentle cross-off wind. The afternoon though, the wind jumps to 19 mph and the swell bumps to 9.8 ft – it gets messy and the score drops. That morning is your best bet early on.

Tuesday the 28th drops off quick. Morning has 6.6 ft SE swell at 9 seconds, clean but marginal. By afternoon it’s a tiny 3.0 ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period – long gaps between sets, better for points and reefs, but the wave state says marginal. Not worth chasing.

Wednesday the 29th morning gives us another flash of brilliance: 3.6 ft SSW swell, 14-second period, clean cross-off. The energy is 1063, and the text again calls it "excellent for experienced surfers." That long period on a reef like Turtles should produce some nice, lined-up walls. A true standout for the first week. Afternoon turns to marginal junk.

From Thursday the 30th all the way through to Tuesday the 11th of August, it’s a long, consistent run of 4.3 ft to 8.2 ft SSW swells, periods mostly between 14 and 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The energy levels are big (three and four-digit numbers, often over 2000). The problem is, every single row says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions" or scores it a 2 or 3 out of 10. It’s like the tide is fighting the swell shape every session. The wind stays cross-off and clean, so the surf will look pretty, but the ride quality is going to be frustrating.

If I had to pick a standout from the second week, it would be Thursday the 6th of August morning. 7.5 ft SSW at 17 seconds, 3004 energy, and the score is the highest of that whole block at a 4. The wind is a moderate breeze, still cross-off. It’s the most promising of a tricky bunch. But for everyone else? The Monday 27th morning is the one to circle – that’s the cleanest, punchiest, most surfable session of the whole outlook.

Because this spot is very consistent and the swell just keeps pumping, I wouldn’t write it off completely after the first few days – forecasts shift. But for now, expect a lot of "almost" waves.

Stay salty.

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