Turtles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's cooking for the next couple of weeks.

So, here's the deal. We've got Turtles, a very consistent reef break that's going to have waves the whole time, but the conditions are just never quite right. It’s going to be a frustrating stretch of cross-off winds that keep things from getting truly good. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild. The real standout doesn't show up for nearly two weeks, so you'll need to be patient.

The pattern kicks off on Monday the 14th of September. We have a decent 6ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16 second period. The combined energy is strong at 2007, so there's plenty of punch. But the wind is a 9 mph cross-off from the SE, which just isn't the magic offshore direction for this spot. It'll be clean, but not perfect. That same theme holds for days: the swell sticks around the 6ft to 6ft range, with that long period, but the wind stays a cross-off, and actually gets a bit stronger mid-week, hitting 18-22 mph. This keeps the scores low. It’s surfable, but it’s not the kind of day you get stoked about.

We drop off a bit towards the end of the first week, with the swell backing down to 4ft to 5ft by the 22nd of September. The energy drops to moderate levels (around 886-1343), and the wind is still a problem. Not great.

Then things start to look interesting again around Sunday the 21st of September, with a 6ft SSW swell, and then we see a bit more size early in the following week. The 25th of September Friday morning shows a 7ft SSW swell at 16 seconds and 1919 energy, but it’s still that same cross-off wind.

Now, here is the standout. You need to circle Sunday the 27th of September. That morning, a solid 8ft SSW groundswell with a very long 20 second period rolls in. The combined energy is massive at 6489, which is very strong. The wind is still a 16 mph cross-off from the SE, but the sheer power and size will make it a session for experienced surfers only. This is big, powerful, long-period groundswell. It's over 8ft, so it's expert territory. That afternoon it even bumps up to 10ft, still with that very strong energy at 6390. It carries into Monday the 28th of September with 8ft SSW swell.

The problem is, this is a reef break. While it's exposed to the SW swell, the long period and size can make a reef setup pretty heavy. The cross-off wind will help keep it from being a total washing machine, but it’s going to be a serious challenge. If you’re an expert, that Sunday morning the 27th is the absolute best on offer in this whole window. But it's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it. For the average surfer, this whole stretch is mostly a write-off until that last big pulse, and even then, it’s for the brave.

Rusty.

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