Tronoen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's talk Tronoen for the next couple of weeks.

It's a mixed bag, to be honest. We've got a spell of tiny, blown-out slop at the start, but there's one absolute ripper of a morning in the middle and a promising lookin' one way out at the end of the forecast.

We start on Thursday, July 23rd, but there's nothing to write home about. A 1-foot west swell with a combined energy of 31. The wind's all over the place, cross-off in the morning but cross-on and choppy by the arvo. A total washout.

Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are even worse. Friday sees the swell drop to 0.6ft, with a combined energy of only 10. It's dead flat. Saturday gets a little bit of size, up to 4ft, but it's a chunky, short-period windswell from the NNW, blown out by a fresh breeze. The combined energy barely gets to 89. Not worth the wax.

Sunday the 26th of July is the first day we see some real power. The combined swell energy hits 276 in the morning and 403 in the afternoon, with the swell rising to 5-6ft from the WNW. The problem is the period is still short at 7-8 seconds, and the wind is a fresh cross-shore and cross-on, turning it into a lumpy, choppy mess. It's a lot of whitewater, but no quality. This one's looking more like a kite day than a paddle day.

Now, here's the highlight. Monday, July 27th. This is the session to circle. The morning is a stunner. The swell is a solid 5ft from the WNW, with a 9-second period putting real grunt behind it. The combined energy is a strong 395. The best part? The wind is a light 5 km/h from the NNE, giving us a clean cross-off breeze. The data says "expect good surf conditions," and I'm stoked on it. Tronoen is exposed, so it'll pick up that swell nicely. It's a bit too big for groms, but for the average surfer and above, it's going to be clean, lined up, and fun. The water temp is about normal for this time of year.

The afternoon of the 27th? Don't bother. The wind swings onshore and it's instantly chopped out.

Tuesday the 28th of July is a tease. The morning is glassy – zero wind, a 3ft WNW swell, and a combined energy of 176. The report says "surfable but very ordinary," so you might snag a few soft ones if you're keen. The afternoon gets messy again.

The rest of the week into the start of August is a tough slog. Wednesday the 29th, Thursday the 30th, and Friday the 31st all get hammered by strong, lumpy cross-shore and cross-on winds, ruining swell that runs from 2ft to 5ft. The energy is moderate, but the quality is garbage. Then Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd of August are a total loss with onshore winds and rain.

There's a little gap on Monday the 3rd of August with a 4ft swell, but it's cross-on and weak. It stays poor all the way through to Thursday the 7th of August.

And then, just when you're about to give up, Friday the 7th of August pops up. The morning shows a clean 5ft swell from the WNW, with a 9-second period and a combined energy of 294. The wind is a light 10 km/h from the NNE, giving us a clean cross-off. The guidance says "expect good surf conditions." It's a long way out, so don't stake your life on it, but it's a promising hope that could give us a similar morning to that Monday the 27th.

So, the bottom line: the first few days are a bust. The absolute best is Monday, July 27th morning. The second best is a long-range hope for Friday, August 7th morning. Otherwise, it's a lot of waiting for a couple of windows.

Rusty.

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