The Fences Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.86° S 174.69° E

The Fences Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 14 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Fences sea temperature is
14.5°C
0.9° 

The Fences surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Fences surf forecast from 14 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 20 Oct, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 16 Oct, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with 4,177 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 18 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Fences this week:

The surf forecast for The Fences over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Fences in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 15) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 18th Oct)2.5ft (0.7m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 20th Oct)5ft (1.5m) 8s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 16th Oct)15ft (4.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Fences over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 34mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
WSW
16
0.7
WSW
14
1.2
WNW
8
2.1
W
8
1.8
W
8
1.2
WSW
14
4
S
10
4
S
10
3.5
S
8
2.4
S
7
0.7
W
12
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.4
WSW
12
0.3
WSW
17
0.4
SW
16
1.5
W
8
0.8
W
7
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
212
186
178
593
378
542
2899
3339
1544
606
137
121
80
58
44
58
67
284
68
42
36
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
20
NNW
30
NNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
25
S
30
SSE
40
SSE
30
S
30
S
20
S
10
S
10
SSE
10
SSW
5
NNE
10
NW
20
WNW
15
N
15
ESE
20
S
5
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
12:46PM2.46m
1:01AM2.35m
1:18PM2.33m
1:34AM2.19m
1:53PM2.17m
2:11AM2.03m
2:34PM2.01m
2:57AM1.86m
3:27PM1.86m
4:01AM1.72m
4:42PM1.76m
5:29AM1.67m
6:10PM1.77m
Low Tide
6:46PM0.28m
6:59AM0.32m
7:18PM0.42m
7:31AM0.48m
7:54PM0.58m
8:08AM0.64m
8:36PM0.75m
8:55AM0.81m
9:37PM0.90m
10:06AM0.94m
11:16PM0.96m
11:56AM0.96m
00:56AM0.87m
cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
—
—
6:35
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—
6:33
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—
6:31
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—
6:30
—
—
6:28
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—
6:28
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—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:37
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—
7:38
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—
7:39
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—
7:40
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—
7:42
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—
7:44
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—
7:45
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 mm
—
—
14
9
1
6
2
—
2
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
17
17
17
11
12
10
10
10
10
11
12
10
12
13
10
15
14
10
17
16
12
Feels °C
14
14
12
7
8
7
-1
0
3
5
7
7
10
11
9
11
10
6
13
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Fences Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Fences provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Fences can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Fences surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Fences) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Fences may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wanganui and the Manawatu? If you are looking for accommodation near TheFences, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wanganui and the Manawatu, consider staying in Wanganui which is 32 km (20 miles) away. Other places in and around Wanganui and the Manawatu where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Palmerston North which is 96 km (60 miles) away and Levin, 99 km (61 miles) away.

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