The Fences surf break

The Fences surfForecast / Wanganui-Manawatu / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Friday 16 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
The Fences surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's The Fences sea temperature is
19.3° C
(Which is 1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Fences this week:

The surf forecast for The Fences over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Fences in the next 12 days are 2.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 17) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jan 18) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 17th Jan)4.5ft (1.4m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 17th Jan)4.5ft (1.4m) 6s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 17th Jan)8ft (2.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Fences over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the ESE by Sun morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thu
22
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
SW
1
S
0.9
S
1.4
S
1.4
S
2
S
0.3
WSW
1.7
SSE
0.2
WSW
1.8
SE
1.7
SSE
1.7
SSE
1.7
SE
0.1
W
1.9
SSE
1.7
SE
0.2
WSW
0.8
SSE
0.8
S
0.2
WSW
1.2
SSE
Period(s) (?)156666612612666615651345224
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)567450139146314281811420018819417162251541724314554
Wind
(km/h)
0
NNE
5
WNW
15
SSW
10
S
20
SE
25
SSE
30
ESE
30
ESE
30
SE
30
ESE
30
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
SE
15
ESE
15
ESE
10
E
20
E
15
NNE
15
W
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glasscross-
on
oncross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:32AM
2.01
9:53PM
2.02
10:17AM
2.15
10:35PM
2.14
10:56AM
2.29
11:12PM
2.26
11:31AM
2.41
11:47PM
2.35
12:05PM
2.50
12:21AM
2.41
12:38PM
2.56
12:56AM
2.44
1:13PM
2.58
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:20AM
0.69
3:48PM
0.66
4:05AM
0.56
4:31PM
0.52
4:45AM
0.43
5:09PM
0.39
5:21AM
0.31
5:44PM
0.27
5:55AM
0.22
6:19PM
0.18
6:29AM
0.16
6:52PM
0.13
7:02AM
0.15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thu
22
Sunrise-6:09--6:11--6:11--6:13--6:13--6:16--6:16-
Sunset--8:50--8:50--8:49--8:49--8:47--8:46--8:46
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
Rain (mm)
521------------32010161225
Temp. °C181919161819161919142021172124201617212217
Feels °C (?)19201815141410131381517121820181517202317
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Fences Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Fences provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at The Fences can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Fences surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Fences) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Fences may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wanganui and the Manawatu? If you are looking for accommodation near TheFences, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wanganui and the Manawatu, consider staying in Wanganui which is 32 km (20 miles) away. Other places in and around Wanganui and the Manawatu where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Palmerston North which is 96 km (60 miles) away and Levin, 99 km (61 miles) away.

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