
Surf Forecasts:
The Fences surf forecast from 12 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 16 Oct, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 16 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with 3,893 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 13 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Fences this week:
The surf forecast for The Fences over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 13) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Fences in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 13th Oct) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 16th Oct) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 16th Oct) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Fences over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 12 | Tuesday 13 | Wednesday 14 | Thursday 15 | Friday 16 | Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 14 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | WSW 12 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
57 | 61 | 291 | 353 | 256 | 212 | 194 | 398 | 345 | 266 | 452 | 1736 | 3893 | 1775 | 750 | 278 | 181 | 57 | 45 | 43 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:55PM2.56m | 12:13PM2.55m | 00:28AM2.47m | 12:46PM2.46m | 1:01AM2.35m | 1:18PM2.33m | 1:34AM2.19m | 1:53PM2.17m | 2:11AM2.03m | 2:34PM2.01m | 2:57AM1.86m | 3:27PM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:00AM0.10m | 6:16PM0.17m | 6:29AM0.20m | 6:46PM0.28m | 6:59AM0.32m | 7:18PM0.42m | 7:31AM0.48m | 7:54PM0.58m | 8:08AM0.64m | 8:36PM0.75m | 8:55AM0.81m | 9:37PM0.90m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | |
7:36 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 10 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WNW 8 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | W 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 |
57 | 40 | 291 | 353 | 256 | 212 | 138 | 398 | 66 | 67 | 452 | 898 | 860 | 289 | 150 | 109 | 70 | 57 | 40 | 41 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 20 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | WSW 13 | SW 19 | WSW 16 | S 8 | W 7 | — | — | — | W 12 | — | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 |
36 | 61 | 38 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 14 | 104 | 5 | 50 | — | — | — | 68 | — | 45 | 45 | 43 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | WSW 13 | S 16 | S 14 | — | W 9 | W 20 | S 14 | S 14 | S 10 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 |
32 | 17 | 5 | 4 | — | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 32 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 9 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 7 | N 4 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | — | — | — |
— | — | 119 | 93 | 77 | 80 | 194 | 15 | 345 | 266 | 319 | 1736 | 3893 | 1775 | 750 | 278 | 181 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 84 | 0 | 7 | 176 | 1 | 7 | 176 | 281 | 169 | 155 | 0 | 170 | 280 | 104 | 75 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wanganui and the Manawatu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
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Information about the The Fences Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Fences provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Fences can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Fences surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Fences) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Fences may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wanganui and the Manawatu? If you are looking for accommodation near TheFences, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wanganui and the Manawatu, consider staying in Wanganui which is 32 km (20 miles) away. Other places in and around Wanganui and the Manawatu where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Palmerston North which is 96 km (60 miles) away and Levin, 99 km (61 miles) away.










